Xrlq on June 14, 2008 at 9:50 AM

Only if you discount the fifteen to twenty points the polls are skewed toward the Democrat.

How ’bout drunk? Those who are non drinkers may want to start easing into it ’cause by November they may need quite a number of drinks.

MB4 on June 14, 2008 at 1:21 AM

Tuco would say “guns and gold don’t mix well with alcohol”.

Obama … should have more concerns about his staying power.

Sexual, with a tinge or racism.

The optimist proclaims that we live in the best of all possible worlds, the pessimist fears this is true.

Murphy9 on June 13, 2008 at 9:52 PM

The glass is half full if water was poured into it, half empty if water was poured out.

Check out the Hope and CHEnge posters behind the judge who decided the death penalty case in Ohio.

http://bench.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NDc2NzBjZTI5YjQ5MGQxMWZkODJiZjhiN2IyMzg4MTE=

ninjapirate on June 13, 2008 at 9:46 PM

Wow! I wonder if he’s on Barry’s short list for the Supremes.

Dukakis had a 17-point lead on GHWB, and Kerry had a double-digit lead over GWB.

My point exactly: pre-Labor Day polls don’t mean squat. Nevertheless, to the extent they mean anything at all, polls showing Candidate A leading Candidate B by “only” 7 points are better news for Candidate A than for Candidate B.

I was tired of seeing his face a month ago. Today it is hard to watch video clips of him. All the hoopla has increased my animous towards his policies and personality driven campaign.

Theworldisnotenough on June 14, 2008 at 2:14 AM

Me too. He reminds me of my divorce trial – every day I had to go into a room where nobody cared whether I lived or died and yet I was forced to sit there as if it was all good.

Crawling over broken glass looks preferable, in comparison to either BHO or my ex-wife.

BHO’s “white folks’ greed runs a world in need…” line is going to hurt him among the TWP’s. (typical white persons)

Indy Conservative on June 14, 2008 at 6:39 AM

My heart bleeds …. really.

Miss_Anthrope on June 14, 2008 at 8:26 AM

And if you added 10 points for the candidate trailing in the polls and subtracted 10 points from the leading candidate you’d have a real story!

Hmm. Interesting. I think the more news that comes out on Obama, the lower his rating. The convention should prove HIGHLY entertaining.

“The dead-cat bounce”? I love the metaphor. Thanks for a good laugh. Now, whenever Obama’s name comes up, I’m gonna think of dead cats being tossed hard to the floor. Thump!

Rational Thought on June 13, 2008 at 9:35 PM

From the financial world. Used to describe a worthless company whose stock seemingly snaps back to life, snookers a few buyers in, and then bottoms again.

Malik Obama Holding Picture Of Barack(far left) with family members
Barack Obama’s half brother claims that his brother, Democrat Presidential candidate Barack Obama, was raised as a Muslim. Contrary to the Obama campaign’s assertions othe…

Come on, give Hussein a break.

After all, it is going to be eight long years for him in the Black House.

Let him breath a little.

Hillary was a pain in his ass.

That would seem to be holding down the numbers some and I think many are waiting to see the outcome of the convention and if their is a back room deal to somehow put Clinton back in the top spot. Long shot but with them anything is possible.

There is a fight going on here outside of Obama / Clinton it is in the progressive left / conventional dem factions and there is a lot to happen there yet to be played out.

Also 4 states jumped ahead of their earliest poll dates the DNC ruled as allowable and have not been punished and this will all be dealt with at the convention.

White men. There was an article that described your average white male voter. Didn’t want anything from government, strong defense, less taxes, etc. Where is that voter represented within the Democrat party? Kerry did notget the whote male vote as a white male. In a primary season that made very clear that white men were in the back of the bus where do the white males that turn out in November go? We know where they do not go, which gives McCain the edge in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Missuori, maybe just maybe Wisconsin too.

Jews. Come on. Obama’s past remarks on Israel and “Palestinians” will keep the Jewish voter most likely to show up on election day in the McCain column. Not to mention recent tension in New York. A smart ground game by McCain in that state could force Obama to go on the defensive and spend some money there when I doubt with the lead he has plans on running more than a commerical or two.

Abortion, the issue wont hide forever. His staunch support for partial birth abortion will bring out conservatives that know the only way to change the nature of abortion in this country is to have another conservative on the court. Throw in the latest episode of judicial activism by SCOTUS and you have a good reason for socially conservative voters to go to the polls.

The media, can’t hjelp him. No one trusts it least of all centrists, conservatives, or white men. The media’s coverage of Iraq has so eroded their credibility that they are not an asset to Obama. Even now with critical coverage of Obama I doubt they get the trust back

There are more issues but the point remains, Obama has uneploited weaknesses that should make his small lead a worry. Presidential elections tend to break late for conservatives. Even Reagan was way down in the polls. Reagan! And this was after 4 years of Carter. Much more works needs to be done but I cannot help but look at the hand dealt and think McCain will not be washed away come November.

But then, 1972 was about McGOvern
1984 was about Mondale

and yes, 1964 was about the Other Barry

It suggests that even all of the laudatory coverage of his historic nomination, as well as his remarkable achievement in beating the Clinton machine, cannot mask the weakness of his candidacy.

The laudatory coverage, is the cause of the “dead-cat bounce.” I was tired of seeing his face a month ago. Today it is hard to watch video clips of him. All the hoopla has increased my animous towards his policies and personality driven campaign.

Dukakis had a 17-point lead on GHWB, and Kerry had a double-digit lead over GWB. Obama, for all of his Obamessiah coverage, hasn’t gotten past 7 points. It may not be dispositive, but Obama is a lousy closer and McCain is a very good closer. If he can’t get a better bounce from the paroxysm of unity celebrations last weekend, he’s in trouble.

Ed Morrissey on June 14, 2008 at 12:18 AM

I remember the Dukakis polls quite well. I was stuffing envelopes for GHWB in TX at the time.

Let’s not get cocky/optimistic, giddy, snotty, snooty, nor depressed. Let’s just stay realistic.

Entelechy on June 14, 2008 at 1:16 AM

How ’bout drunk? Those who are non drinkers may want to start easing into it ’cause by November they may need quite a number of drinks.

McCain is a very good closer.

Ed Morrissey on June 14, 2008 at 12:18 AM

I dunno. He didn’t close that McCain/Kennedy so well.

Spin is so fun!

Nonfactor on June 14, 2008 at 12:59 AM

Indeed: CNN International, CNN, CBS, NBC, ABC, PBS, MSNBC, CNBC, etc. etc. etc. 24 hours a day, not to mention all the international stations and the domestic/int’l newspapers, with very few exceptions. And, they claim to work for the public, and to keep the government/s honest.

Pessimism will not defeat Obama.

Connie on June 14, 2008 at 12:40 AM

And undue optimism will only make the pain worse this November.