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Slippery slopes and the futility of brakes

posted at 8:46 am on May 12, 2008 by Ed Morrissey
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When Congress and the Bush administration rushed to bail out the lending industry, some of us warned that a precedent had been set for continued government interference in the market. Others said that government action could be limited to keeping banks from failing, and that the intervention could be strictly limited to keeping the banking system from defaulting. Now Congress is about to prove that they can’t stop at one potato chip, using the precedent set earlier to broadly bail out everyone affected by the lending crisis — and the Wall Street Journal reports that voters may have seen enough:

Democrats may be risking a backlash at the polls in November by pushing hard to use taxpayer money to rescue homeowners who can no longer afford their mortgages in the face of stiff resistance from President Bush and many other Republicans.

The Democrats in Congress and the party’s presidential candidates frame the issue as doing at least as much for beleaguered homeowners as the government is doing for Wall Street. The White house and most House Republicans counter this amounts to using taxpayer money to reward bad behavior.

The Republican protests are striking a chord with some Americans who are paying their mortgages on time or who didn’t buy more house than they can afford. President Bush is vowing to veto a bill the House passed last week — with the support of 39 Republicans, about a fifth of their ranks — that would, among other things, allow certain homeowners to refinance loans through a government agency if their lenders agree to take less than the full amount borrowed.

Perhaps if this happened in an off-election year, like 2007 or 2009, common sense would prevail. People would understand that the government does not exist to guarantee against investment risk, and that foolish choices often result in financial loss. The market would then correct for the failures, prices would drop in the short term, and houses would get purchased by more qualified buyers under more stable lending terms, bringing long-term stability back to the market and producing wiser homeowner and lending classes.

Unfortunately, this is an election year, which makes pandering the rage. After bailing out the lending industry, regardless of how one rationalizes it, it’s political suicide to allow homeowners to suffer foreclosure without intervening on their behalf. How does one explain on national television that bankers who offered ridiculous loan terms to underqualified buyers deserve welfare more than the family they just threw onto the street? Even if one can make a nuanced economic case for it — and it can be done — the optics of it are insurmountable.

This is what happens when government intervenes in markets, and why most conservatives had deep misgivings about the Fed action to sell off Bear Stearns and issue hundreds of billions in guarantees. It set a precedent for the action that Congress now contemplates, which is to force all Americans to pay the mortgages of those who made bad investment decisions. All that does is reward folly, and now that we’ve done it once, we will be sure to do it again, and often.

The US government is not a co-signer for loans. Risk is something that people need to manage for themselves. Today’s politicians don’t seem to grasp that concept, which presents a real risk to private property rights, free markets, and the concept of personal liberty. These efforts assume that the lenders and the buyers alike are playing with Monopoly money that belongs to the government, and not the owners themselves, and that the government can choose winners and losers capriciously at any time.

The WSJ seems optimistic that citizens have recognized this risk. I’m less optimistic. The politicians have a better sense of the national mood, I suspect, which is why we see a bipartisan rush towards bailouts in an election year rather than personal responsibility and protection for taxpayers against forced guarantees with their money for bad investments. (thanks to Michelle for the graphic)


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Hey ed, can you disable the redirection on your old blog archive? It makes reading it an absolute pain.

Darth Executor on May 12, 2008 at 8:53 AM

Democrats may be risking a backlash at the polls in November by pushing hard to use taxpayer money to rescue homeowners who can no longer afford their mortgages in the face of stiff resistance from President Bush and many other Republicans.

I take exception with this comment from the WSJ. These “homeowners” had no business taking on a mortgage that they couldn’t afford! Why on earth am I, who lives within my means, expected to bail out a bunch of greedy irresponsible idiots? I want a nicer house but I’m not going to get it until I can afford it!!!

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 8:55 AM

I take exception with this comment from the WSJ. These “homeowners” had no business taking on a mortgage that they couldn’t afford! Why on earth am I, who lives within my means, expected to bail out a bunch of greedy irresponsible idiots? I want a nicer house but I’m not going to get it until I can afford it!!!

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 8:55 AM

Right on!
I am sick and tired of the leftist Democrats and their attempts to redistribute the wealth to their irresponsible, parasitic constituents.

rplat on May 12, 2008 at 9:03 AM

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 8:55 AM

EXACTLY!

Tugging on our heart strings, as though this is the same as the displacement of the American poor around 1930, MUST NOT be accepted by the average Joe who pays the tax burden that enables the government bail-out of financial institutions that own our government officials. Whoever believes that our tax dollars are actually being used to save the poor can donate their income to such a cause. But open your eyes and look hard. Do you see the poor in YOUR community being housed via government bail-outs of financial institutions? I see real estate booming exclusivity for the wealthy continue to mushroom, but no low cost housing, despite propaganda at election time.

maverick muse on May 12, 2008 at 9:15 AM

rplat on May 12, 2008 at 9:03 AM

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 8:55 AM

I agree wholeheartedly and I don’t give a crap which party or faction is pushing it. I probably wouldn’t bail one of my own kids out of a mess like this why in the world would I bail someone else’s!

Oldnuke on May 12, 2008 at 9:17 AM

Democrats may be risking a backlash at the polls in November by pushing hard to use taxpayer money to rescue homeowners who can no longer never could afford their mortgages in the face of stiff resistance from President Bush and many other Republicans.

Fixed it for you.

RiverCocytus on May 12, 2008 at 9:18 AM

Folks, think Macro, not micro…

“Democracies always fail over loose financial policy, once the electorate understands that it can vote itself largesse from the public trust”…

Its been said by so many historians, and political philosophers, that you can’t even really source it anymore.

The Parties no longer represent the electorate. Fully one third of voters are independent, and many Conserative Repubs and Centrist Dems are no longer represented as well.

We have a “cult of personality” who has a very good chance of winning office on a blatant lie (hes not even BLACK, he’s Arab American), and his opponent is one who has helped CREATE the problems… and is not one of the solutions.

Not looking good folks.

Romeo13 on May 12, 2008 at 9:25 AM

It’s not the TAX PAYERS job to bail out people and their crappy investments.

tx2654 on May 12, 2008 at 9:34 AM

Where does this stop? What about people who have their cars repossesed? Do we set up a government program for them? What about people who take on too much credit card debt and can’t pay them off. Do we have a government program where the taxpayers will pay the banks because some people are just plain stupid? An acquaintence of mine is about ready to lose his house because he mortagaed it to the hilt and tried to live beyond his means, buying a Hummer and a Mercedes to boot? Why should I pay his bills?My wife and I pay our own bills and now the politicans in Washington want me to pay somebody else’s bills also. Maybe I should just quit work and let the governmetn take care of me. I don’t like getting up at 4:30 am anyway.

sdd on May 12, 2008 at 9:35 AM

The media is certainly not reporting on the 96% of Americans who do pay their mortgages on time. I was in mortgage banking for 27 years and when the idea of “b” and “c” paper became popular, anyone involved in credit risk could see the problems coming. It’s a lending area that is wrought with not only borrowers who cannot afford their $10 monthly Visa payment, but there is so much fraud on the part of lenders, brokers AND borrowers. This was a situation that did not have to happen.

mimi1220 on May 12, 2008 at 9:36 AM

Too many Americans think that government’s role is to assure a risk-free life. This commentary disabuses us of the folly of life without edges. Leftthink plays on people’s fears.

onlineanalyst on May 12, 2008 at 9:38 AM

Whoever came up with the whole subprime mortgage idea should be punched in the face many, many, many times.

Dave Rywall on May 12, 2008 at 9:45 AM

I am sick and tired of the leftist Democrats and their attempts to redistribute the wealth to their irresponsible, parasitic constituents.

rplat on May 12, 2008 at 9:03 AM

Yeah, redistribution! Would that be like Nancy Pelosi’s son who owns a big share of Countrywide Mortgage (the company that owns my mortgage)? You know the company that gave $100,000 as a bonus to their owners this year?

The rich get richer and the poor get poorer!

Of course the government has to bail out the mortgage companies! Makes perfect sense to me! yeah right!

Vntnrse on May 12, 2008 at 9:53 AM

The LENDERS and the BORROWERS got themselves into this mess. LENDERS by over qualifying the amount of loan people could receive. BORROWERS by going for much more home than they could afford. I say let them work it out amongst themselves. We must let our elected officials know what our mindset on this issue is. This is imperative, or you will see a FEDERAL bail out on this problem.

pueblo1032 on May 12, 2008 at 9:53 AM

Last time I said anything remotely resembling the tone of the article in mixed company, Dems and Reps, I was called an uncaring eliteist looking out for the big banks and not the little guy.
Who knew….I was part of a trend?!

CBarker on May 12, 2008 at 9:55 AM

This is what happens when you loan people who’s primary banking venue is the currency exchange.

Prosecute the people who came up with this brilliant idea (sub Prime mortgages).

southsideironworks on May 12, 2008 at 10:07 AM

Hey, I pay my mortgage and other bills on time. Where’s my bailout.

rbj on May 12, 2008 at 10:08 AM

I found myself suddenly unemployed and lost my home when I wasn’t able to come up with a lousy $3000 to pay the whole thing off and own it free and clear. The government didn’t step in and offer me help, nor was it their place to do so. I had to SUCK. IT. UP. Why shouldn’t these people?

scalleywag on May 12, 2008 at 10:09 AM

Prosecute the people who came up with this brilliant idea (sub Prime mortgages).

southsideironworks on May 12, 2008 at 10:07 AM

Why? Did they do anything illegal or did they just pander to greed? They should be fired by the lending companies for being fiscally irresponsible and many of their agents should be fired for manipulating stupid greedy people BUT the responsibility really lies with the borrowers who took on more debt than they should have.

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 10:10 AM

This issue makes me angrier than anything except Islamist fascism/terrorism.

Who’s gonna bail these idiots out? Me, that’s who. A renter who lives in a small apartment with no outdoor space and no car and no nothin’ extra.

I live modestly and use my money to invest in the stock market. I have recently incurred some big losses. Where’s my government handout? Speculators in real estate are more deserving than speculators in the markets? Why?

And make no mistake, those who borrowed more than they could afford to pay back are no less speculators than I am. The “dream of home ownership” doesn’t make them somehow superior to those like me who “dream of equity ownership.”

Let them suffer for their own irresponsibility. Grrrr!

Gilda on May 12, 2008 at 10:13 AM

See this link for a hair-raising story about the level of fraud in subprime and Alt-A lending.
http://www.housingwire.com/2008/04/23/viewpoint-finding-fraud-and-what-it-really-means-for-loss-mitigation/

glendower on May 12, 2008 at 10:14 AM

Gilda on May 12, 2008 at 10:13 AM

GRRRRR is right! This is outrageous. Like the guy said, “it’s not yours to give.”

scalleywag on May 12, 2008 at 10:18 AM

It is not the government’s job to bailout stupid people, prop-up greedy lenders, provide healthcare for everyone, rebuild homes for morons who live 15 feet below sea level in a hurricane zone, meddle with a women’s reproductive system, investigate home-run whacking baseball players or grant amnesty to illegal immigrants.

Our founding fathers thought nothing of the kind and must be turning over in their graves. This is where liberal-think, liberal academia and liberal-policy has gotten us.

A once proud nation of people who not only wanted to care for themselves, but thrived and prospered in an environment of self-preservation has sadly become a flock of unmotivated and lazy sheep bleeting for the government to take care of every obstacle or problem that comes their way.

Our ancestors toilfully participated in the rise of this great nation and we are witnessing it’s fall, as the sheeple twiddle their thumbs in ignorance and the MSM give their stamp of approval to the entire disgusting process.

fogw on May 12, 2008 at 10:22 AM

The government made a huge mistake allowing subprime mortgages to come into existence in the first place.

It’s a huge fu**ing mess and the government bailing people out simply isn’t fair to the rest of you who are customers in good standing.

Is it retarded to suggest that the banks take possession of the properties but be forced to rent to the subprime deadbeats at a reduced rate? I suppose that would just create a large population of deadbeat renters….

Dave Rywall on May 12, 2008 at 10:24 AM

I just sold my house in Florida. Had to write a giant check to do it to. We agreed to a certain loan amount, so that’s what we paid.

Interestingly, there’s lots of options if you want to skip out on a loan, but no one was very helpful in coming up with option to pay down the whole thing.

frankj on May 12, 2008 at 10:27 AM

glendower on May 12, 2008 at 10:14 AM

Great link. Thanks. Interesting to point out, I feel, that when I was investigating mortgage fraud on the A side, a very high percentage of the credit scores that were involved in it were in the 700’s. The subprime mortgages make the fraud more easily identifiable. In MANY instances, a quick peek at the loan application was all it took.

mimi1220 on May 12, 2008 at 10:27 AM

High Hopes,

The “currency exchange” type customer is one with little experience in dealing with traditional banks, have no understanding of contracts and are otherwise poor credit risks. Think of someone who takes their entire paycheck in cash each week and then wonders why there is no money left at the end of the month. I know several people who got caught in the sub prime mess and this is precisely how they manage their money.

Everyone involved in this scheme needs to suck it up. The government should be focusing on prosecuting the people who came up with this bright idea, not bailing people (suckers) out.

southsideironworks on May 12, 2008 at 10:32 AM

I grew up in a lower middle class neighborhood, I actually never realized how poor I was as a kid until I realized that my three children never went without any of the things I did as a child. (The jury is still out on whether that was good or bad.)

We didn’t buy our first house till we where 40 and then used “sweat equity” to help. Some years later we refinanced took some money paid off some bills. We had a 2 year ARM, it got us a incredible rate. 2 years later we converted it to a fixed rate that was lower than my original. We made a promise to each other, we had taken all the equity we where gonna take. We could have refinanced again and again the offers came at us daily, but we didn’t.

My wife and I are not “Rocket Scientist” we are just average folks. We’ve worked hard and made mistakes, some of them huge, and NEVER expected anyone to bail us out. We live, we learn, we keep moving forward.

Why do so many people think their problems should become my problems? What is happening to our country?

NO BAIL OUT

Bogeyfre on May 12, 2008 at 10:35 AM

…. voters may have seen enough….?

Try voters have HAD EMOUGH!

Enough of the high gas prices!

Enough of the housing market going to hell in a hand basket!

Enough of political wrangling on who can fill their wallets the fastest!

Enough of career politicians who serve in office for 4 decades or more and don’t do a damned thing in the process!

Yeah, we had HAD ENOUGH!

And on Election Day, we are going to show Congress just HOW MUCH we have HAD ENOUGH of all this nonsense!

pilamaye on May 12, 2008 at 10:38 AM

A few months ago, I had CNN on in the background while doing some work around the house. They were covering a Clinton campaign appearance. A 30-ish woman was telling her tale of woe as a “victim” of the housing crisis. (Clinton was taking questions from the audience; this woman was wanting to know what Clinton-sponsored government give-away program was going to provide for her). Anyway, the woman told how she went to a bank to get a loan for a house, the loan agent filled out the forms for her, and when she read the paper she noticed that the agent had written that she made over $80k annually. The woman said she only made about half that amount, but the agent told her she would not get the loan if she told the truth. The woman said she hesitated, but then the agent told her that everybody does it. The woman signed her name to the lie, and — predictably — could not make the loan payments once the teaser rate period expired.

Equally as predictable, Clinton oohed and aahed and made sympathetic noises about the poor woman and how she’d been “victimized” by the evil bank. Not a word about the borrower’s own responsibility for her behavior. This was an adult woman who knew the difference between right and wrong, yet deliberately chose to lie about her income so she could get a loan she knew she wasn’t qualified for. And Hillary Clinton stood there and told this idiot woman that, of course, it was the government’s responsibility to bail her out of the mess she’d created for herself by engaging in fraud. It was unbelievable. Not one person in the cheering crowd objected to the idea that taxpayers should bear the burden for this woman’s irresponsible and dishonest behavior.

AZCoyote on May 12, 2008 at 10:41 AM

The US government is not a co-signer for loans.

For years now, the government has been co-signing student loans.

But you know what? Between the deficit facing federal entitlement programs and the deficit facing state and local pension funds, our country will be bankrupt in the coming years. (According to WaPo, public employees should brace for a “breach of faith.)

So I wouldn’t worry about this little minor spending in the meantime. Our path is already set.

paul006 on May 12, 2008 at 10:46 AM

Although I agree with the ‘no bail out’ stance, I disagree with the various views on government involvement.
There should be none at all!

Logically, if one wishes the govt to punish lenders for their unsavoury, but legal, practices, then one must also allow that the govt has the right to regulate other areas of life that are outside of their purview.

This sub-prime mess was created by two, willing, groups – the lenders and the borrowers. Only they should bear the responsibility of managing the consequences.

OldEnglish on May 12, 2008 at 10:48 AM

Not one person in the cheering crowd objected to the idea that taxpayers should bear the burden for this woman’s irresponsible and dishonest behavior.

AZCoyote on May 12, 2008 at 10:41 AM

And, how many, do you think, are actual net tax payers?

OldEnglish on May 12, 2008 at 10:53 AM

Thanks, mimi1220. Here’s two more good links on lending fraud, specifically “occupancy fraud.”
http://www.housingwire.com/2008/05/12/on-the-myth-of-walking-away/

http://www.housingwire.com/2008/02/06/occupancy-fraud-seen-as-growing-problem/

I just found these stories over the weekend. Several months ago, I spent many hours trying to find out how many foreclosures and delinquencies were for primary residences and how many were for investment or speculative properties. The answer: nobody knows. Why? Occupancy fraud. See the links above.

glendower on May 12, 2008 at 10:57 AM

scalleywag on May 12, 2008 at 10:18 AM

Excellent link. Exactly.

Here’s an idea: Why don’t those Democrats who are so gung-ho for a housing bailout appeal to their mega-wealthy donors to bail them out with their personal fortunes? George Soros has hundreds of millions to devote to the left-wing agenda, why not give some to these so-called needy housing speculators?

Why doesn’t Obama go back to San Francisco’s Billionaires Row (the site of his “bitter” “cling” snobbish remarks) and ask those people to bail out the fraud-ridden borrowers and lenders?

Nah, it’ll never happen. If there are vote-bribable “needy” among us they’ll force me and you to pay.

The superrich Democrat donors don’t give money to help others. They only give it to help themselves.

Gilda on May 12, 2008 at 10:58 AM

Bitching about the Dems bitching is all well and good, but shouldn’t you all be bitching more about whoever allowed subrprime mortgages to come into being in the first place?

Dave Rywall on May 12, 2008 at 11:31 AM

Rather than a bailout, encourage those underwater to get a second job by giving them tax free income through their second job. The government gives up no tax payer money for this, and it encourages responsibility.

beatcanvas on May 12, 2008 at 11:43 AM

The CBO estimates that the program would cost about 1% of this year’s stimulus package. Also, homeowners may have to share profit from future home appreciation with FHA.

Limiting the number of foreclosures can be in the interest of communities by keeping houses occupied and paying local taxes.

There were a lot of dumb borrowers and irresponsible lenders but many of the “2 & 28″ or “No Doc” borrowers are so far underwater that this package isn’t going to help them.

dedalus on May 12, 2008 at 11:59 AM

glendower on May 12, 2008 at 10:57 AM

Thanks again! Bookmarked the site. Trying to work my way back into the investigation side as we speak (I’m in Austin). When I was with my former employer, we rarely pursued occupancy fraud. If the borrower was remitting timely, we normally left it alone or just forced them to refinance elsewhere. The FBI, OCC and others won’t pursue the occupancy angle unless it’s part of a larger scam. it is costly to the taxpayers and the mortgage companies do not want the REO’s on their books. Personally, it makes sense to me. The mortgage lenders couldn’t be under any more regulation than they are and survive. The OCC and state regulators are all over us (OCC since bank owned) constantly – auditing, questioning, fining. They also knew the issues with “b” paper and “Alt A” before these loans ever adjusted.

mimi1220 on May 12, 2008 at 12:51 PM

Limiting the number of foreclosures can be in the interest of communities by keeping houses occupied and paying local taxes.

Bad public policy is bad public policy. It isn’t in the best long-term interest of communities to be filled with deadbeats who can’t make their mortgage payments without government bailouts.

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 12:57 PM

Bad public policy is bad public policy. It isn’t in the best long-term interest of communities to be filled with deadbeats who can’t make their mortgage payments without government bailouts.

highhopes on May 12, 2008 at 12:57 PM

The owners would still have to make scheduled payments at the new rate, and surrender some of the upside from possible price appreciation. The owners, in many cases, would have jobs in the area and children in the schools.

Foreclosures are expensive to the banks and to the municipality. Also, having boarded up houses lowers the real estate values for other homeowners.

dedalus on May 12, 2008 at 1:29 PM

The problem really started when the government told lenders to ease off on their requirements to get more minority homeowners. Then the mortgage companies saw how much money was to be made selling to this new group so they filled out the applications using their knowhow to get the people the loans. The banks then bought the loans as packaged group because they were making alot of money doing so. The buyers saw they could make alot of money and afford a large home as long as house prices kept going up and lied to get the mortgages or bought as large a house as they could afford hoping for house prices to go up. As with any other bubbles there are many causes, and just as with any bubble, those responsible need to suffer the consequences. If a few billionaire bankers lose everything because of their decisions, it is no different than a minimum wage worker losing everything because of their decisions. If I have to bail out the bank, I expect to be put on the board of directors. And if I have to bail out homeowners, I expect a percentage stake in their house.

Corsair on May 12, 2008 at 2:02 PM

So last week I get a letter from Citi saying my credit card is going up 6 percent. I call customer service to find out why. I’ve never missed a payment, never payed less than double the minimum, most times four or five times the minimum. I’ve had this card six or seven years, not a problem. Customer service doesn’t know why, only that the letters were sent out. I’m not going to pay 13.99 for a credit card, so I’ll put it on my other one. (I keep two just in case) I don’t keep a large balance on cards but this just tworks me off that they expect me to pay for their horrible judgement in lending and the people expecting a 900K home on 5 dollars an hour. (part-time cuz it would screw up their welfare)

oakpack on May 12, 2008 at 2:11 PM

If I have to bail out the bank, I expect to be put on the board of directors. And if I have to bail out homeowners, I expect a percentage stake in their house.

Corsair on May 12, 2008 at 2:02 PM

In the case of Bear Stearns and this housing bailout legislation the government is in a position to make a profit from the assets they are securing. So you will be getting a percentage stake. Unfortunately, it also exposes us taxpayers to downside loss and raises the question of whether the government should be exposing itself to market risk.

dedalus on May 12, 2008 at 2:24 PM

This whole notion that taxpayers need to bail people out when they make mistakes is ridiculous.

I have a 23 year old friend that went to buy his first house with his new wife.

He had a great credit record, but didn’t quite make enough to qualify for the fixed-rate loan in the amount that they needed without having her on the loan. Because her credit record was just ‘alright’, once she was on the loan, they didn’t qualify for the better rates.

The person working on their loan with them offered some seemingly shady alternatives for ways that they could get enough money to buy the home – things that are very similar to the loans that are being defaulted on now.

My friend and his wife thought it over and decided not to buy until they were qualified for the type of loan they wanted. They felt there was too much risk involved in the types of variable rate loans they were being offered. So, they’re renting while less responsible people are getting bailed out by the taxpayers? That makes no sense!

Reward behavior that you want more of. If you want more instances of people taking out loans that they can’t afford, swoop down and rescue them right now.

JadeNYU on May 12, 2008 at 4:30 PM

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