A one or 2 percent drop is always within polling error. Usually polling error is at least 3 to 4 percent.

This is so skimpy it indicates no trend except Fox’s pollster’s

entagor on May 1, 2008 at 1:09 PM

I’ll point out that responses for the three matchups in this poll were drawn from the same 900 or so voters, so yo can’t blame sampling error for these differences (it’s +/-3%, by the way). Take the poll again with a different voter pool, and you’ll be sure to get different numbers due to sampling differences, but this is just one more piece of evidence that people don’t like Mitt and don’t want him to be anywhere near the White House.

That’s two data points now, and it is becoming apparent that Mitt Romney is not very well-liked outside his base, and might be a significant drag on the Republican ticket, at least initially.

Big S on May 1, 2008 at 10:56 AM

Possible although that is a FOX poll and Romney is not well liked by the GOP in crowd as we saw Thompson, Giuliani etc throwing their dogs to McCain. I trust FOX as far as I trust MSNBC for impartiality.

McCain) – (Obama): 46 – 43
(McCain) – (Clinton): 44 – 45
(McCain/Romney) – (Obama/Clinton): 41 – 47

Suspect this poll because it implies that 1 percent won’t vote for anyone if they cannot have McCain without Romney, but two percent will take Clinton/Obama if they can’t have Mccain without Romney.

Obama/Clinton is absolutely not conservative.

A one or 2 percent drop is always within polling error. Usually polling error is at least 3 to 4 percent.

This is so skimpy it indicates no trend except Fox’s pollster’s

A solid Indiana win by Hillary — piled on top of her Ohio and Pennsylvania wins — reinforces her argument about “electability” in swing states. She’s unlikely to win North Carolina outright, but just wait until the TV talking heads get a look at t…

If Obama’s poll numbers continue to tank, and/or if Clinton wins big in Indiana or comes close in North Carolina, the super-delegates might start bailing on Obama, and it’s still a long way to August.

Steve Z on May 1, 2008 at 12:13 PM

If the DNC ends up choosing Hillary, the unspeakable happens (or at least the unmentionable), it will be a long “hot” summer in Washington, Philly, CHICAGO, Detroit, Atlanta, L.A., etc.
The DNC would never state it, but the potential for riots if Hillary is chosen over Obama is way to big of risk. They would rather choose the “weaker” candidate, then to have the inner cities erupt into chaos.
Listen to the rhetoric ramp up, if Hillary is thought to be chosen over Obama.
The MSM knows it, but is afraid to mention it…it is the elephant in the room.

In which case, the difference between her dropping out “early” versus “late” is really a matter of a month or so.

This is true. Weird, right?

In that case, better to have her supporters left feeling that she wasn’t given every chance to compete fairly during the primaries because the supers conspired against her beforehand.

I just keep thinking that she’s going to get closer and closer, and build up hope. And they all still hope (I admit to it myself, with an ulterior motive) that Florida and Michigan will get seated somehow. If they have a chance to get really pumped up and believing again, and then have it ripped away in Denver, the crushing will be a lot worse. (I don’t think anyone really believes right now, but if NC goes her way…)

All armchair psychology and wild guesses, of course.

Obama looks like the weaker of the two Democrats by now, but Operation Chaos might have some unintended consequences, and McCain should be prepared to run against Hill-Rod(ham).

Although, if Clinton wins the nomination, if the Democrats try to portray McCain as Bush’s third term, McCain could portray Hillary as (Bill) Clinton’s third term, and closets will be exploding with skeletons. The other question would be, would Jeremiah Wright’s true believers turn out for Hillary, or stay home?

Bigots.

kirkill on May 1, 2008 at 11:51 AM

Maybe, but smart ones, they can spot a loser.
Mitt has no coattails, after all of the touting of his being a “great” governor, he never helped anyone of the republican party in Mass get elected. He would be great for a cabinet position, but a weak Veep.

Thirty-one percent (31%) of New Hampshire voters say they’re more likely to vote for McCain if he selects Mitt Romney as his running mate. Thirty-nine percent (39%) are less likely to vote for McCain with Romney on the ticket.

Bigots.

AZCoyote on May 1, 2008 at 11:36 AM

Gee, I hope all this commotion doesn’t cause ConAgra to have any Windfall Profits.

… you also see more and more polls …

Nothing like followship instead of leadership.

Who owns Orville Redenbacher now? Cause I need to buy some stock.

JeffC_95 on May 1, 2008 at 10:52 AM

ConAgra owns it. Their stock sells for around $23 per share.

Don’t they see what a mockery they make of themselves?

I have to disagree. I think the earlier she’s pushed out, the longer her sore loser contingent will have to get over it and “fall in line” before November.

Fair point. I’m working on the assumption here that somehow this will be decided in June at the latest, that the supers will show their cards and the pledged delegates will be counted and she’ll have to face reality. In which case, the difference between her dropping out “early” versus “late” is really a matter of a month or so. In that case, better to have her supporters left feeling that she wasn’t given every chance to compete fairly during the primaries because the supers conspired against her beforehand.

Keep it up, boys. The earlier she’s pushed out, the sore-r that sore loser contigent of hers is going to be.

I have to disagree. I think the earlier she’s pushed out, the longer her sore loser contingent will have to get over it and “fall in line” before November.

SELECTED NOT ELECTED!!!

LOL

Actually it is “apparent” that these polls mean absolutely nothing until the actual tickets are formed.

It has always been thus.

EJDolbow on May 1, 2008 at 11:12 AM

I would say you have a point except for the fact that Romney always polled much worse against Clinton or Obama than the other main Republican contenders did during the primaries. There was a reason for that, and I’d submit that it is that people don’t like/trust Romney very much. Now, months later, when his name is put on the ticket, people are less likely to vote Republican and more likely to vote Democrat. Surprised? Not me.

Why would McCain pick someone who has such a negative effect on his polling? He’s already running from behind this year; why would he set himself further back intentionally?

/I wonder which candidate he’ll want to drop out?

Tune into Rush for further instructions.

That’s two data points now, and it is becoming apparent that Mitt Romney is not very well-liked outside his base, and might be a significant drag on the Republican ticket, at least initially.

Big S on May 1, 2008 at 10:56 AM

Actually it is “apparent” that these polls mean absolutely nothing until the actual tickets are formed.

It has always been thus.