Good news: Global warming to take a little break for the next, er, decade

posted at 9:47 pm on April 30, 2008 by Allahpundit

Don’t worry, it’s not dead. It’s just resting. By all means, keep holding those mega-concerts.

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years, influenced by colder flows in the North Atlantic, said a report today by the institution based in Kiel, Germany. Temperatures worldwide may stabilize in the period.

The study was based on sea-surface temperatures of currents that move heat around the world, and vary from decade to decade. This regional cooling effect may temporarily neutralize the long- term warming phenomenon caused by heat-trapping greenhouse gases building up around the earth, said Richard Wood, a research scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, a U.K. provider of environmental and weather-related services…

“If we don’t experience warming over the next 10 years, it doesn’t mean that greenhouse-gas warming is not with us,” [Noel] Keenlyside said in an interview. “There can be natural fluctuations that may mask climate change in the short term.”…

“Natural variations over the next 10 years might be heading in the cold direction,” Wood said. “If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

“We thought a lot about the way to present this because we don’t want it to be turned around in the wrong way,” Keenlyside said. “I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”

The good news for environmentalists? This is all based on computer modeling. And as we know only too well by now, global warming modeling is chock full of mistakes.

Update: Good news for the obese, though, huh? Chow down — but only until 2018!


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I think it’s time to take it away that Nobel Prize and give it to the most qualified nominee, Rush Limbaugh.

malan89 on April 30, 2008 at 9:50 PM

If you run the model long enough, we will enter another ice-age. Bring on the Gorebal Worming before its too late!

Jimmy the Dhimmi on April 30, 2008 at 9:51 PM

Allah, use this link
Yours has warped formatting where you can’t read the text in Firefox.

ViperPilot on April 30, 2008 at 9:51 PM

“I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”

Heh. They hoped wrong.

jimmy the notable on April 30, 2008 at 9:52 PM

Who cares? Al Gore has already cashed in with his 680 billion dollar hedge fund. He’s happy.

lorien1973 on April 30, 2008 at 9:52 PM

They should go back to picking Lotto numbers with their models.

pedestrian on April 30, 2008 at 9:54 PM

“We thought a lot about the way to present this because we don’t want it to be turned around in the wrong way,” Keenlyside said. “I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”

No. No. ‘Course not. That would eat into your industry, and we can’t have that, now can we.

Weight of Glory on April 30, 2008 at 9:54 PM

Can someone please hit the MSM and Greenpeace in the head with this information until they see common sense?

Defector01 on April 30, 2008 at 9:55 PM

Thank mankind for preventing some serious natural global cooling.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on April 30, 2008 at 9:56 PM

“I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”

Yeah, it would suck if skeptics were able to use the actual facts to their advantage.

Pay no attention to the reality of the situation!

amerpundit on April 30, 2008 at 10:01 PM

Gasp! Could there be something the infallible model missed? (Besides water vapor aka clouds, solar activity, volcanoes, and, and…)

obladioblada on April 30, 2008 at 10:02 PM

Apparently the global Tylenol has worked and the global fever has broken. Nice work, Al.

Dr.Cwac.Cwac on April 30, 2008 at 10:02 PM

I blame President Bush.

Weebork on April 30, 2008 at 10:08 PM

But this doesn’t keep them from lying about it. The article claimed the last decade was the warmest IN HUMAN HISTORY. Ignoring the fact that the globe has been noticeably warmer during Roman times and the viking exploration era.

billhedrick on April 30, 2008 at 10:08 PM

not to mention the 1930′s

lorien1973 on April 30, 2008 at 10:10 PM

All your glaciers are belong to us!!! Ahahaha

Seriously don’t these people ever get tired of having to explain why the exact opposite of what they predicted keeps happening. They should take on the George Costanza approach and just do the opposite of every instinct they have. They would have more luck with that.

Co-Stanza

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:12 PM

Yeah…

Seven Percent Solution on April 30, 2008 at 10:12 PM

I’m sure Lysenko said something similar to his Soviet bosses as the crops failed.

This whole thing is so “stuck on stupid” it’s hard to believe. A democracy needs to have an educated citizenry, but instead we have luddites who cower in front of nuclear reactors. And cower in front of some “climate scientists” who have an agenda. And soon they’ll cower to the “no Coal” people.

r keller on April 30, 2008 at 10:14 PM

When I was in college, I had to write a 20 page typewritten (hey, it was on a typewriter!)paper on the coming ice age. Nothing came true. I bet my grandchildren or great grandchildren will have to do the samething only it will be 2 pages. Same BS different year.

thatcher on April 30, 2008 at 10:14 PM

So the polar bears get to live another decade? Man, I wish these people would make up their minds.

“There can be natural fluctuations that may mask climate change in the short term.”…

“If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

I bet none of these morons can tell me what year “global warming” started.

redzap on April 30, 2008 at 10:15 PM

thatcher

Your grandchildren won’t be using paper because we will have used up all them trees!

My grandchildren will be working to serve others who control the minds of the workers. My people will be the hunters and the muscle for the collective. They will hunt the Eloi. Just check it. It’s all in the model.

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:18 PM

Is it safe to assume that the models predicted this 10 year cold spell last year? No?

Vizzini on April 30, 2008 at 10:19 PM

Ok, keep repeating:

“Global warming causes global cooling.”
“Global warming causes global cooling.”
. . .

(this is not original, i read it on another blog’s comments, and i shamelessly stole it.)

2klbofun on April 30, 2008 at 10:21 PM

HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

I’m emailing this link (and others) to all of my loony neighbors. They’re all such Gore-sucking morons.

Gartrip on April 30, 2008 at 10:21 PM

redzap

I’m sure this has been answered but my 15 year is force fed this global warming tripe in school and he said “Hey Dad, how do we know what temperature the earth is supposed to be?”

I told him Algore found a rock near his house in TN that had guidelines for the earth. It said “Keep at room temperature.” It also had the location of Jimmy Hoffa’s body and what was supposed to be in Al Capone’s vault. He didn’t get it.

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:22 PM

It’s because we started putting Gas-X in the feed, and all the cows stopped farting..

TexasJew on April 30, 2008 at 10:23 PM

Something they gorbal warmenists don’t talk about anymore is the “global optimum” That’s the historical “ideal” temperature, and it’s WARMER than it is now. Somehow the idea of a longer growing season in Canada and the possiblity of growing grapes in NewFoundland and Britain as it did a thousand years ago is a bad thing.

billhedrick on April 30, 2008 at 10:24 PM

Gartrip

“Gore-sucking.”

An instant classic.

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:24 PM

If getting warmer is bad than is getting cooler more badder?

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:25 PM

Chance the Gardener: As long as the roots are not severed, all is well. And all will be well in the garden.

President “Bobby”: In the garden.

Chance the Gardener: Yes. In the garden, growth has it seasons. First comes spring and summer, but then we have fall and winter. And then we get spring and summer again.

President “Bobby”: Spring and summer.

Chance the Gardener: Yes.

President “Bobby”: Then fall and winter.

Chance the Gardener: Yes.

windansea on April 30, 2008 at 10:28 PM

I was thinking of buying a 2nd row house at the beach in the hopes it would be ocean front in a few years! Damn you, Algore!!!

SouthernGent on April 30, 2008 at 10:32 PM

Just when I bought some extra tubes of Coppertone. Darn – I hate when that happens!

Travis1 on April 30, 2008 at 10:32 PM

is getting cooler more badder?

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:25 PM

The badderest.

Weight of Glory on April 30, 2008 at 10:32 PM

Found this link today. Pretty interesting.

http://tinyurl.com/2ca6q

Tom

marinetbryant on April 30, 2008 at 10:33 PM

When I was a kid, we just called it weather.

dentalque on April 30, 2008 at 10:34 PM

California and the North Atlantic?

Someone explain this to me because I don’t get it–I must not have the climatology credentials of Mr. Gore.

Bob's Kid on April 30, 2008 at 10:36 PM

TexasJew on April 30, 2008 at 10:23 PM

Kiki Friedman, is that you?

dentalque on April 30, 2008 at 10:36 PM

dentalque

You people and your fancy words. You don’t speak to the common man.

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:37 PM

Damn. I had 100 shares of World Ends 2015 at intrade.com

km on April 30, 2008 at 10:38 PM

umm they may have to create a brand new 30 year history (what % is 30 years compared to the life of planet earth)based on brand new false stats!!!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:39 PM

Now if we can only get day show hosts to take a ten year break from preaching global warming….

gmbdds on April 30, 2008 at 10:43 PM

It takes a real scientist to tell you to ignore the next 10 years of empirical data!

redshirt on April 30, 2008 at 10:45 PM

I had to cover my tomato plants last night because of FROST.

Frost in Georgia on April 29th!!!! Not in my adult life have I had to do that before.

EJDolbow on April 30, 2008 at 10:45 PM

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years

What does this mean for the wine business?

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:46 PM

Now if we can only get day show hosts to take a ten year break from preaching global warming….

gmbdds on April 30, 2008 at 10:43 PM

And race predators from preaching hate and opressing the black members of our culture for personl profit and power!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:47 PM

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years

What does this mean for the wine business?

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:46 PM

I dunno, but as long as it doesn’t hurt the Diet Coke business, I’m cool with it.

So to speak, of course.

Bob's Kid on April 30, 2008 at 10:48 PM

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years
What does this mean for the wine business?

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:46 PM

In the last mini-ice age France and the UK could not grow grapes for a hunderd years or so, they could only start again about 200 years ago. And guess what? Ireland could not grow spuds and many starved until they started growing a hardier cold resistent (harder go care for) spud.

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:51 PM

Mormon Doc on April 30, 2008 at 10:37 PM

That’s what I went to college for! If you were a real doctor, you would know that.

Seriously, I have sometimes seen an inverse correlation between education and common sense

dentalque on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

Good news: Global warming to take a little break for the next, er, decade

At least the penguins can rest for a bit and prepare themselves for their next “march.”

In other news, former Vice President Al Gore announced in a press conference from Reijkiavik (Iceland) that he has decided to cancel Global Warming temporarily due to lack of profitability, the spread of food riots in poor nations, the rise of gas prices in America and the long lasting winter season in the last few years.

Mr. Gore, in a rare openness, admitted that Global Warming was his invention and that during Christmas of 2007 while praying for Global Warming to plague the Earth, Jesus appeared to him in his dreams and showed him a demented pig representing Mr. Gore himself, jumping off a cliff while yelling “I betray you, I’m a liar, My ass is on fire.”

At the end of the press conference, Mr. Gore declined to answer a question asked by CNN reporter Blitzer Wolf who wanted to know why Mr. Gore was still wearing his green thong in that icy freezing weather of Iceland last January.

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

There’s still hope for Frosty the Snowman. I love that.

Travis1 on April 30, 2008 at 10:55 PM

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

FOFLMAO excellent!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:56 PM

Polar Bears should be smilin’ now.

Travis1 on April 30, 2008 at 10:56 PM

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:51 PM

That’s just great. I better start hoarding wine now. I can live without potatoes.

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:59 PM

“If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

The hope of audacity.

fourstringfuror on April 30, 2008 at 11:01 PM

“Global Warming” you are teh sucks go take a time out, give “Global Cooling” some face time! >:D

Chakra Hammer on April 30, 2008 at 11:01 PM

Climate Change changes.

What a startling surprise.

Nostragoredamus says:

In the year Two thousand, fifty two,
This ill little chill shall surely find an end
And global warming’s chilblains, bright and blue,
Will join us all in happy heat again.

profitsbeard on April 30, 2008 at 11:03 PM

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

FOFLMAO excellent!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 10:56 PM

Thank you.

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 11:03 PM

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:59 PM

LOL I wouldn’t worry about it too much we have developed a lot of cold weather hybreds, we can even grow them in Minnesota now!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 11:03 PM

“If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

Global Warming vs. Global Cooling

Kind of like the old Budweiser Bud Bowls..

Global Cooling, less filling and keeps the beer cold!

Chakra Hammer on April 30, 2008 at 11:04 PM

I especially liked their fear inducing prediction of temps by 2100 as if technology wont likely offer cleaner and more efficient alternatives over the next 92 years.

Yakko77 on April 30, 2008 at 11:07 PM

Get with the program. It changed about 6 months ago.

It’s “Climate Change”.

The old lingo – “Global Warming” – is dead and gone …

That is, until it comes back again.

BowHuntingTexas on April 30, 2008 at 11:12 PM

“If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

That is absolutely true.
Eventually the sun will expand far enough to engulf the earth and it will incinerate. Ain’t no getting around it.

redshirt on April 30, 2008 at 11:15 PM

BowHuntingTexas on April 30, 2008 at 11:12 PM

Temperature differential

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 11:16 PM

There can be natural fluctuations that may…”

“…[mask climate change]…”

It all hinges on the “may“.

Let’s overturn the global economies over a “may“.

The Audacity of May.

(Forgetting that May implies, and INCLUDES May Not.)

profitsbeard on April 30, 2008 at 11:19 PM

Al Gore, biggest scam artist in world history.

fossten on April 30, 2008 at 11:20 PM

I am for a FAT tax.

SIJ6141 on April 30, 2008 at 11:23 PM

I am for putting Gore in prison for fraud. Oh yes and Moore too. It is so easy to prove they are both fakes for personal profit. Why do criminals go to prision and these fools do not???? Their crimes are giants compared to most of the people in prison.

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 11:30 PM

“If we don’t experience warming over the next 10 years make it a 100! [couldn't resist], it doesn’t mean that greenhouse-gas warming is not with us,” [Noel] Keenlyside said in an interview. “There can be natural fluctuations that may mask climate change in the short term.”…

So if temps go down, that doesn’t mean anything, but if temps go up – all hail the Goracle. Sounds fair.

MB4 on April 30, 2008 at 11:35 PM

Damn, I was looking forward to warmer temps.

Update: Good news for the obese, though, huh? Chow down — but only until 2018!

I hope Micheal Moore is paying attention.

Buy Danish on April 30, 2008 at 10:59 PM

LOL I wouldn’t worry about it too much we have developed a lot of cold weather hybreds, we can even grow them in Minnesota now!

allrsn on April 30, 2008 at 11:03 PM

There’s nothing like the California Cabs though!

4shoes on April 30, 2008 at 11:45 PM

Al Gore, biggest scam artist in world history.

fossten on April 30, 2008 at 11:20 PM

Charles Dawson, Ken Lay and those Nigerians who want to split their inheritance with you all rolled into one.

MB4 on April 30, 2008 at 11:46 PM

I knew I was right when I had additional insulation put in the house. Hot or cold, I’m prepared.

amr on April 30, 2008 at 11:59 PM

It is like arguing with a child.

Johan Klaus on May 1, 2008 at 12:07 AM

The greenhouse science insists that there will always be increasing heat in the system. James Hansen even quantfied this when he expressed it in terms of a certain amount increase of co2 adding an exact amount of joules per square meter of atmosphere that would light a Christmas tree bulb. There is no way that they can account for any cooling except to admit that their science was a fraud.

You just need to ask the gorebot “where is the missing heat?” and you learn very quickly that they are in denial of the basic laws of thermodynamics.

Buddahpundit on May 1, 2008 at 12:17 AM

But with global cooling we already know what to do, Give everyone a new Hummer!!! Yea Global Cooling

Gwillie on May 1, 2008 at 12:45 AM

where is da proof, I want da proof, 12 years, all I ask is proof, where is da proof?

allrsn on May 1, 2008 at 12:50 AM

OOOO there is no proof??? OOO only proof against??? OOOO

allrsn on May 1, 2008 at 12:51 AM

Goore smaarttt

allrsn on May 1, 2008 at 12:51 AM

Fat People Have Bigger Carbon Footprints

Well, well, well, Mr. Gore ought to know. However, we can all get rich with the Schweinchen.

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

Indy, thank you, thank you. I laughed tears at your story. You are a special one, unique in many ways. So glad you’re in this parlor.

Entelechy on May 1, 2008 at 1:05 AM

Well, this is good. I can safely ignore the temperature over the next 10 years, because it will be warming even though it’s cooling, but the cooling will mask the warming for a while. I’ll just wait for Al Gore to erupt again, in 1018 or so.

NellE on May 1, 2008 at 1:15 AM

So why didn’t these “scientific” computer models that are supposed to be so accurate and that we are supposed to be so worried about know that the “colder flows in the North Atlantic” were a-commin’? How come we’re only finding out now, after the cooling has already begun?

29Victor on May 1, 2008 at 1:19 AM

what was there first clue the snow still on the ground ???

damn you al gore you are the reason we are going into the next ice age you bastard .

Mojack420 on May 1, 2008 at 1:23 AM

As others noted above … these idiots do realize that eventually the next ice age will arrive .. don’t they?

That no matter what we do, its coming. The glaciers will come in the next couple thousand years. No matter what. They get that, right?

The stupidity. It’s just so impressive.

I guess if it makes them feel better, the whole planets due to be fried to a crisp and then swallowed by the sun in roughly 900 million to 2 billion years. So they’ll win in the end.

Professor Blather on May 1, 2008 at 1:26 AM

Every day it is something. People saying things that have no basis in fact but get repeated often enough to become believable. There is global warming, McCain wants the troops in Iraq for 100 years on and on. This is how psychopaths pass lie detector tests…they repeat a story to themselves often enough and it becomes truth. Its damn infuriating I tell ya…then again I have been grumpy all day so maybe I am overreacting.

HawaiiLwyr on May 1, 2008 at 2:13 AM

LOL

Sorry… okay if I laugh?

HAHAHAHA

ahem.

Ugly on May 1, 2008 at 2:31 AM

Along about 1977 the PDO did the same trick, it ended the ice age hoax. Now that it’s switching back to cold, the warm scare is in serious trouble. Maybe that’s why it’s called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation instead of the alGore get rich quick scam?

Anybody buy the it’s just resting hoax? What’s normal and who gets to decide.

Say, why didn’t the vaunted computer models predict the down turn before the downturn turned down? The temperatures they are a falling, and the taxes, they are a rising. My guess is taxes don’t follow temperature.

tarpon on May 1, 2008 at 4:11 AM

Coming soon:

Trials at the Hague for crimes against Mother Earth. Crimes will include intentional disregard for Earth’s safety, punishable by repeatedly being told “Go Green” in lockup until you are converted.

madmonkphotog on May 1, 2008 at 5:15 AM

Indy Conservative on April 30, 2008 at 10:52 PM

Indy, thank you, thank you. I laughed tears at your story. You are a special one, unique in many ways. So glad you’re in this parlor.

Entelechy on May 1, 2008 at 1:05 AM

Keep on inflating me. It’s your life not mine.

Hiroshima will be nothing compared to me.

Indy Conservative on May 1, 2008 at 6:46 AM

Since there has been no warming since 1998, that will make 20 years.

Will someone please tell John McCain that ‘climate change’ has been cancelled?

MrLynn on May 1, 2008 at 7:19 AM

Found this link today. Pretty interesting.

http://tinyurl.com/2ca6q

Tom

marinetbryant on April 30, 2008 at 10:33 PM

Thanks for the link; that’s an excellent paper. Figure 1 alone is worth the price of admission.

MrLynn on May 1, 2008 at 7:44 AM

If such a moderation in temperature trends does persist in the North Atlantic, it will provide ammunition for skeptics, to be sure, and probably will mire down efforts to craft a reasonable policy to address global warming.

But I would add this: if the rest of the world does warm during the next decade, while the Atlantic cools, then it will in my mind validate the computer models — the same computer models now predicting dramatic and near-catastrophic warming by century’s end.

http://blogs.chron.com/sciguy/

Lol..don’t you see? This just validates the computer models…because they can predict the cold snap.

I find it hilarious that the “facts” are getting in the way of making policy. If these people got a scratch on their arm, they’d break out the bone saw because they’d be freaking out about gangrene.

Asher on May 1, 2008 at 8:07 AM

So I’ve been running my AC continuously to stave off global warming. My husband says with this new information, we should turn the heat on instead.

I’m going to hedge and blast both the AC and the heat. Just doing our part for the environment and all.

Sheesh. As someone said above, we used to call this sort of thing weather. Well, my family still does at least.

the goddess anna on May 1, 2008 at 8:09 AM

This regional cooling effect may temporarily neutralize the long- term warming phenomenon caused by heat-trapping greenhouse gases

That should be: the “disputed” phenomenon “allegedly” caused by greenhouse gases.

These quotes are so full of methane and toxic intestinal emanations they are probably causing localized heating and burnt nostrils at the source.
Let’s just CYA for any eventuality that might disprove the theory we’ve staked our careers on.
Science? Not any more.

whitetop on May 1, 2008 at 8:22 AM

Time for Al Gore give a speech about global warming tomorrow in Rapid City, South Dakota. He might want to leave early, to allow himself time to shovel a foot of snow in May.

Steve Z on May 1, 2008 at 8:39 AM

ummm, would anyone like to buy my 10,000 cases of spf 60? I was stalking up in the hopes of a spf shortage…
Craigs list: Carbon offsets, bargain price call A. Gore for your special price (free pair of blu-blockers sunglasses with each order).

right2bright on May 1, 2008 at 8:58 AM

So I’ve been running my AC continuously to stave off global warming. My husband says with this new information, we should turn the heat on instead.

the goddess anna on May 1, 2008 at 8:09 AM

And I have been driving around with the AC on and the windows down trying to help cool the planet.

right2bright on May 1, 2008 at 8:59 AM

In the wonderous world of Algore, he could step outside and see a warm cold dry wet calm windy day, all at the same time, and it wouldn’t phase him in the least.

In other words, he is so out of touch with reality, he sees Global Warming in everything. He is also suffering from a severe, possibly terminal case of Don’t-Confuse-Me-With-The-Irrefutable-Facts-My-Mind-Is-Already-Made-Up-itis.

I would say his situation is hopeless.

Time for him to go away.

pilamaye on May 1, 2008 at 9:10 AM

So can we quit whining about drowning Polar Bears and just refer to this cr@p for the next decade as “Al Gore’s Invisible Friend”?

And by the way, what is the “proper temperature” for the planet…and who gets to control the thermostat? Do we all take turns, or do we have to fight for it?

landlines on May 1, 2008 at 9:22 AM

Epicycles.

Noocyte on May 1, 2008 at 9:24 AM

I’ve maintained all along that Gorebal Worming was a complete and utter fraud. It’s really good to see major scientific studies that take Al to the woodshed. Time for the rest of the world to wake up and smell the coffee.., er, refinery or something.

JimK on May 1, 2008 at 9:36 AM

Comment pages: 1 2