Good news: Global warming to take a little break for the next, er, decade

posted at 9:47 pm on April 30, 2008 by Allahpundit

Don’t worry, it’s not dead. It’s just resting. By all means, keep holding those mega-concerts.

Average temperatures in areas such as California and France may drop over the next 10 years, influenced by colder flows in the North Atlantic, said a report today by the institution based in Kiel, Germany. Temperatures worldwide may stabilize in the period.

The study was based on sea-surface temperatures of currents that move heat around the world, and vary from decade to decade. This regional cooling effect may temporarily neutralize the long- term warming phenomenon caused by heat-trapping greenhouse gases building up around the earth, said Richard Wood, a research scientist at the Met Office Hadley Centre, a U.K. provider of environmental and weather-related services…

“If we don’t experience warming over the next 10 years, it doesn’t mean that greenhouse-gas warming is not with us,” [Noel] Keenlyside said in an interview. “There can be natural fluctuations that may mask climate change in the short term.”…

“Natural variations over the next 10 years might be heading in the cold direction,” Wood said. “If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.”…

“We thought a lot about the way to present this because we don’t want it to be turned around in the wrong way,” Keenlyside said. “I hope it doesn’t become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics.”

The good news for environmentalists? This is all based on computer modeling. And as we know only too well by now, global warming modeling is chock full of mistakes.

Update: Good news for the obese, though, huh? Chow down — but only until 2018!


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Comment pages: 1 2

I live in Colorado Springs, it’s a white out going on right now. I guess I should be thankful for Global Warming.. er. Global Climate Change because I would be living under a glacier right now if not for people driving SUV’s!

saltydogg14 on May 1, 2008 at 11:52 AM

Hang in there! The prophecies will come true! Just wait until nature has stopped deciding to disprove us!

Seixon on May 1, 2008 at 12:04 PM

Hiroshima will be nothing compared to me.

Indy Conservative on May 1, 2008 at 6:46 AM

Heh, too late. I know your soft spot, wishing to go to Heaven. Blowing innocents up, especially those who understand you wit, won’t get you there. You’re a riot. Keep at it!

Entelechy on May 1, 2008 at 12:22 PM

Natural variations over the next 10 years might be heading in the cold direction, Wood said. If you run the model long enough, eventually global warming will win.

Keep in mind… Mr. Wood doesn’t get paid (with your tax dollars) unless he says that. So I guess we are suppose to pay all these global warming huckster for another 10 year so we can see if their climate models ever gets it right.

Maybe we should insist that tax dollars for global warming “research” be put to another use. How about we save a few billion instead of constantly flushing this money down the toilet to pay a bunch of lying con-artist?

Maxx on May 1, 2008 at 1:48 PM

This is the alarmist’s attempt to maintain their global warming fantasy in the face of a cooling world. It is actually possible for an oscillation of cold ocean surface water to mask global warming (where an active sun is raising the average temperature of the oceans), and it even happened a mere 60 years ago (between 1940 and 1960), but this is NOT what is happening now. Instead, have a very dangerous situation where the cooling effect of a fall off in solar activity is being compounded by cold Pacific and Atlantic oscillations. Warming effects incur negative feedbacks that make them self limiting. Not so with cooling effects, which regularly plunge the world into 100,000 year long ice ages, with the next one due any century now. We should be guarding against this very real danger by pumping out as much greenhouse gas as we can, tailored to patch the infrared “holes” in our greenhouse blanket. My post here.

Alec on May 1, 2008 at 11:46 PM

There is scientific evidence that we are indeed headed for a cooling period per Dr. Patterson of Canada who did a study using core sample in northern Canada. It follows the climate model in this article, but shows it is not a dip in temperature during an actual warming period as these gentlemen want us to believe.

amr on May 2, 2008 at 8:44 AM

Comment pages: 1 2