Game over: Obama gains 11 points in North Carolina since speech
posted at 2:59 pm on March 25, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Dave Weigel e-mails with the exciting conclusion to last week’s narrowing of the gap by Her Majesty in NC. She was down by one in the previous PPP poll; now she’s down … 21. (Her lead among whites is down from 56-30 to 47-40.) Question: Was it the speech that did it or the fact that Obama spent a few days in Carolina last week, choosing Fayetteville as the location for his big Iraq address? Answer: It doesn’t matter. Her only chance was to convince the superdelegates that the Wright thing’s hurt Obama so terribly badly that voters are turning on him en masse. Whichever interpretation you choose for these results, that’s obviously not happening. So let’s revise David Brooks’s estimate in the Times this morning. If she woke up with a five percent shot at the nomination, we’ll call it one percent now.
Any good news here? Just this, and it’s only good in a Muntzian “HA-ha” way at Silky’s expense. Mind you, Carolina’s his home state:
Exit question quotation: “At some point we will get their NCAA bracket and it will be determined that whoever picked the most number of winning teams will get the nomination.”
Update: Corroborating evidence that the speech at least didn’t hurt him — he’s back on top in the Gallup national poll.
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Obama’s speech was probably the best speech I have ever heard on race from a purely political criteria. What politicians do is try to be everything to everyone and I think Obama’s speech gave just about every racial group something they could take from it, throw in the Richardson endorsement and you have a slam dunk, since he does have a latino problem. His grandma line was about the only thing that kept him from getting an +A, but old people are not voting for him anyway in large margins so, while he won’t admit it, was probably the most truthful line of the speech if taken as a metaphor. Of course I think the easiest way to defeat racism is simply to wait for old people to die.
That said, I despise politicians for this very nature. As far as the cause of race, I think the speech was barely a net gain, but he did make plenty of concessions albeit with minor caveats that many would miss. But the speech really meant nothing to me, since it is not so much what he thinks about race or what his pastor says, but what his policies are. I don’t think that European Socialism, the continual descent into mediocrity that we have taken for at least the past one hundred years, will raise the status of living of any race, let alone the realization of potential for all races.
LevStrauss on March 25, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Obama–hip young Black man.
Wright–Grumpy old Black man always embarrassing Obama.
Reminds me of Sanford & Son.
jgapinoy on March 25, 2008 at 9:51 PM
jgapinoy on March 25, 2008 at 9:51 PM
I think a non race based analogy is more apt–Archie Bunker and Meathead.
LevStrauss on March 25, 2008 at 10:02 PM
I think a lot of hard core conservatives underestimate McCain’s appeal to the vast independent middle of the electorate that don’t study politics at the day to day granular level that we do. You are missing the forest for the trees. The guy has been a high profile politician for at least the last 10 years and still has a much better favorable/unfavorable ratio than either of the Dems, despite the nearly ubiquitously favorable treatment Obama gets from the MSM. McCain is beating them head to head in the swing states, including places like Pennsylvania that have gone Dem the last two elections. That’s not an accident. The apolitical middle doesn’t really know or care about his specific policy positions. They just know he’s a tough old patriotic SOB who will kick ass for America if he has to, while Obama is a latte sipping weenie and Hillary is a shrill power mad harridan. They can vote for McCain without feeling like they have become a “conservative” and taken a side in the partisan divide because of the distance he has kept from the GOP establishment.
And SouthernGent has the breakdown of the NC Dem primary dymanics nailed.
Dudley Smith on March 25, 2008 at 10:36 PM
Phenomenal! You get it. McCain will destroy the Dhimmicrat nominee for precisely the same reasons why most of the HA crowd doesn’t like him. Plus we’d rather go have a beer with McCain than the Obamanation anyway.
Mojave Mark on March 26, 2008 at 12:36 AM
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/03/post_25.html
Chakra Hammer on March 26, 2008 at 12:39 AM
You are crazy……
Chakra Hammer on March 26, 2008 at 12:41 AM
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