Riehl World View

Allah at Hot Air:Worst-case scenario: She beats him up for another seven weeks, flames out in Pennsylvania, the superdelegates say enough’s enough and defect to him en masse, and the stake is at last well and truly driven.Sorry for …

For Hillary, the Superdelegates, Florida and Michigan could turn the tide come convention time. If this happens, and Hillary wins a disputed nomination, look for all Hell to break loose in the Democratic Party. Blacks, in particular, will be outraged and their anger will not be limited to polite political discourse – there will be rioting. Combine this with the antipathy that many Democrats and Independents have for her, you end up with a candidate that is not electable.

On the other hand, if Obama secures the nomination, he is going to face the problem that Susan Estrich alluded to in a column last month. Believe me when I tell you that a significant number of Democrats and even more Independents will not be able to pull the lever for a liberal black man. It may not be something people will want to speak of but it is what it is. The Rezko prosecution is also going to be a problem.

On the Republican side we have a moderate who will be acceptable to a great many dissatisfied Democrats and Independents. Given the choice they are going to vote McCain instead of Clinton or Obama.

Best-case scenario:

The end of Obama’s speech accepting the nomination:

“… and we’re going to fight McCain in South Dakota, & Oregon, & Washington, & Michigan, and then we’re going to Washington, D.C., to take back the White House! Yeaahrr!!!”

Since when did we become defeatists?

TheBigOldDog on March 5, 2008 at 5:33 PM

You’re right, of course. I hate to be a defeatist. It’s so…Democrat. But whenever I hear about voter turnouts for the primaries, it sounds like the Dems are turning out in droves, while the Repubs, well, aren’t.

- – John McCain, last night, when count was done.

taking notes and strategizing.

Rick on March 5, 2008 at 4:50 PM

You mean planning our strategery.

Either Hillary or Obama gets the Dem nomination and ultimately elected president.

Pardon me for not exulting too much.

flipflop on March 5, 2008 at 4:46 PM

Since when did we become defeatists?

I dont get it either
It’s celebratory and exultant. Geez.

Allahpundit on March 5, 2008 at 4:42 PM

Too cerebral Allah!

Perhaps this would have been better.

Obama will probably pad his lead by winning MS, but Clinton will probably win PA on April 22. Then comes May 6, where they split IN and NC. After that come WV (5/13), OR and KY (5/20), and MT and SD (6/3). Although Obama has cleaned up in red-state CAUCUSES, all the remaining races are PRIMARIES, where Clinton does better. The primary season is likely to end with Obama leading by 50-100 delegates, with both candidates short of 2,025 delegates (including super-delegates) due to the exclusion of the FL and MI delegates!

In such a scenario, why should either candidate drop out? What would remain is a lot of arm-twisting of uncommitted super-delegates, and/or do-over primaries in FL and MI, or else the race going to the convention without a nominee.

Clinton and Obama will probably spend millions of dollars bashing each other for the next three months, giving McCain lots of free “opposition research”. This could be very entertaining!

My only concern is that we’ll enjoy ourselves too much watching the brawl, and nobody will be taking notes and strategizing.

That’s true. Ultimately McCain should take notes from the 1992 election: adultry and crooked dealings are not enough to disqualify a candidate. Stick with policy or the lack there of.

natesnake on March 5, 2008 at 4:55 PM

Exactly, DNA didn’t convict OJ so don’t even try to dissuade A BDS sufferer…

Obama still leads in delegates and with all the hoopla last night regarding Hillary’s victories in Ohio and Texas she only closed her delegate gap by 12 according the the Associated Press and even that number is still fluid. There is no doubt that th….

When Obama called Clinton to congratulate her on her Ohio win, he should have waited until 3 a.m. to see if she’d pick up the phone.

…now *that* is funny.

I don’t see the problem. Mrs. Clinton made it very clear this morning she’ll consider Mr. Obama to be her lawn jockey — er, uh — Vice President. Now that uppity ingrate better make nice and accept this gracious offer or his testicles are going in her lock box.

miles on March 5, 2008 at 4:51 PM

Get I get an “Obama Amen” on this sentiment?

Which means all the conservatives wringing their hands at the thought of Hillary rising from the grave should mellow out, take a hard look at the projections,

Exactly. It’s amazing how ignorant people can be about the facts. The only way the woman can possibly win is to steal it at the convention which would fracture the Dem coalition for maybe a generation. All she gets from the wins is the political cover to keep fight and fight at the convention which is why tipping the election in her favor is such a big win for Republicans.

I never realized CDS was as rampant as BDS. Either disease prevents you from thinking clearly.

You just had to spoil my dinner, right?

That video was shot on the top of Ettenberg, a hill over the village of Marktschellenberg, between Salzburg and Berchtesgaden.

Great hiking, F*cked up folks.

Thanks but, IMHO, if you want a video to metaphorically portray the DEMOCRATIC PARTY IN THE YEAR 2008 try this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EdM8PDu6VMg

Delegates, schmelegates. Republicans have to take the socialist offensive seriously this time around.

In my mind, there’s no longer any sense in the arguement (analogy: were this 1932 Germany), “well, let their side win, and I’ll vote for our side in four years, after they’ve made a mess of everything.”

Allah at Hot Air:Worst-case scenario: She beats him up for another seven weeks, flames out in Pennsylvania, the superdelegates say enough’s enough and defect to him en masse, and the stake is at last well and truly driven.Sorry for having…

flipflop on March 5, 2008 at 5:19 PM

By “him”, of course, I mean AP.