Exit polls: The night of tears? Update: Fox calls Virginia for Obama; Update: Obama wins Maryland too?; Update: McCain takes VA & MD; Update: When will Huck quit?
posted at 6:19 pm on February 12, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Huckabee within a single percentage point of Maverick in Virginia, says Geraghty — a 31-point gain in three days, if true. And check this out. Among women:
And:
The lesson? Always stock up on liquor before a primary. Stand by for fuller exit poll results imminently. Virginia polls close at 7 p.m.
Update: At the risk of stating the obvious, it doesn’t much matter if Maverick actually pulls out a win in Virginia or not. The fact that it’s this close means Huckabee gets to extend the primary for another few weeks.
Update: 7 o’clock, the polls are closed, and the margin’s already great enough for Fox News to call Virginia for Obama.
The GOP race? Too close to call.
Update: Raw Story claims inside info indicating Obama wins in Maryland and D.C. too.
Update: Based on these exits, it sounds like Maverick’s going to pull it out in Virginia. Barely.
Update: Here’s the GOP exit poll in Virginia. Note the gender divide; down to the wire.
Update (MM): Fox, CNN call Virginia for McCain. “Winning ugly” is still winning.
Update (Bryan): Voting in Maryland was extended 90 minutes, so the polls there are just about to close. We should start getting some data soon.
Update (Bryan): And at 9:30 on the nose, Fox calls the GOP race for McCain. It must be a blowout. Maybe he even topped 50% for the first time. Obama also took Maryland.
Update: Say goodnight, Hucky.
[A]fter going 0 for 3 tonight, despite a valiant effort in Virginia, Huckabee is looking at probably no wins until Texas. (And I don’t think I’d automatically give him a majority or plurality in the Lone Star State, either.)
We’re going to hear a lot about how close tonight was, and Huckabee can have his head held high, but with 86 percent of precincts reporting, it’s McCain 50 percent, Huckabee 41 percent. A nine percent margin isn’t a rout, but it’s not neck-and-neck, either.
It’s a free country, and Huckabee can stay in as long as he likes. But I suspect the question, “what’s the point?” is going to get steadily louder in the coming weeks…
Update: Wow. McCain lost Navy territory?
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58% of the precincts are in and our sunshine is down by like 28 points and behind by almost 100,000 votes. She’s going to be balling like a baby.
ninjapirate on February 12, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Who cares Fred! has nearly 1500 votes! :D
*ducks and runs*
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Remember Huck’s folks vote early. Heck they were probably in line at the crack of dawn. Mav’s folks are rebels and vote late.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:19 PM
89,832 to 85,422 with 54% in.
MT on February 12, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Never. Who needs a quarterback who will cough up the ball on purpose every chance he gets. Better to take the field with a unified defense.
Valiant on February 12, 2008 at 8:20 PM
VA Precincts Reporting:
1,335 of 2,472 (54.00%)
John McCain 89,832 46.99%
Mike Huckabee 85,422 44.68%
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Well, I voted in MD, and Mitt and his Delegates were still in the computer, so he got my vote. Just couldn’t touch the screen near the other choices. Also, MD has extended its polls to 9:30 due to weather. So, expect those returns to take a while.
resqgal on February 12, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Meghan Kelly just said “Maryland conservatives” voted for McCain. Are there any conservatives in Maryland anymore?
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Rudy’s doin’ well in Bedford County – 24 people there think he’s still in the race.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:21 PM
If you are “very conservative” isn’t that a bad thing?
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:21 PM
I live in a city as big as a county… yet I have no county, only city. It makes little sense even to some of us who live here. I think it’s a way to tax us more (like the dine in/carry out nearly 11% sales tax at restaurants around here). Communistwealth of Virginny, how I loathe thee…
the goddess anna on February 12, 2008 at 8:24 PM
Mac’s lead down to 4500 with 60% reporting…
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:24 PM
I would never go around and say that I am “very moderate”.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:25 PM
VA Precincts Reporting:
1,481 of 2,472 (59.91%)
John McCain 97,082 46.92%
Mike Huckabee 92,407 44.66%
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:25 PM
Probably not going to happen, if HotAir is any indication. I’ve seen people insist that neither Jack Kemp or Ronald Reagan are conservative enough for them on this site today. I’m not sure what they’re looking for.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:26 PM
Very low turn out or Republicans in VA, at 60% of the vote counted: Voter Turnout:
215,019 of 4,466,223 active voters (4.814%)
215,019 of 4,618,981 total voters (4.655%)
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:26 PM
Ouch!
aero on February 12, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Most Hot Air supporters backed Fred. I wouldn’t say it’s an excellent sampling of the general population.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:26 PM
Not if you take your ball and go home. Quitters never win and winners never quit.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:28 PM
Heh. Where I come from, there are five counties in a single city.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:28 PM
What’s up with the love affair with Fred? I’ve never seen a guy care less.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:28 PM
This explains Huck’s success – the Dem figures are much higher. Indies have followed the Hammer.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:28 PM
If you are “very conservative” isn’t that a bad thing?
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:21 PM
jwp1964 on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
I am perplexed. Sen Obama continues to gain support, steam, and momentum as the campaign continues. What I am perplexed about, seriously, is why so many feel compelled to follow him even though he hasn’t said anything substantive!
Weebork on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
NBC’s Tim Russert said if Huckabee wins VA, McCain cannot lock up the nod numerically until 5/6 (MSNBC).
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
Policy over process, baby…Fred! is the ANTI-Obama
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
Don’t worry, we’re not. If we were any kind of barometer of the mood and preferences of Republicans in general and conservatives in particular, Fred would already have had the nomination wrapped up on Super Tuesday. ;-)
aero on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
Oh, I know it’s not representative of the population. However, it might be slightly more representative of the no-compromise wing of the Republican party.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:30 PM
It’s one of the advantages of running against Hillary.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:30 PM
I’ve got to quit drinking before posting, for a number of reasons.
jwp1964 on February 12, 2008 at 8:30 PM
McCain wins Virginia.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 8:31 PM
fox is calling it for McC
trailortrash on February 12, 2008 at 8:31 PM
Maverick is in trouble if he doesn’t win VA
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:31 PM
jwp1964 on February 12, 2008 at 8:29 PM
You could use some moderation in your life.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:31 PM
fox gives VA to McCain
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:31 PM
HE. He didn’t like Reagan.
I’m only twenty five. I’ve voted twice for GWB and have been a registered Republican since I could vote. And now with only Huckabee, Paul and McCain left I’m re-registering as an independent. The GOP is no longer the party of conservatism.
Cut taxes; shrink the size of the Federal gov’t; secure the borders; support Attrition Through Enforcement; nominate conservative judges. I don’t ask for much, but none of the remaining candidates appeals to me at all.
Paul always bring up the gold standard and surrounds himself with nutbags. Huckabee is a liberal who can’t utter a sentence without mentioning Jesus. McCain is against Free Spech and has no interest of playing ball with conservatives.
So I’m voting for the least experienced Democrat come November. Four years and out. Hopefully by then the GOP will come to its senses and nominate a true conservative and not just a bunch of lip-service-paying jabronis.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 8:32 PM
Virginia Beach is pulling those numbers up for McCain. Now 7500 votes ahead after 63%
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:33 PM
Meanwhile, PMSNBC in full mourning for the passing of the Clinton campaign.
steveegg on February 12, 2008 at 8:33 PM
One step closer. Bring on the Messiah who talks but doesn’t say anything. I like our chances.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:33 PM
Sorry Hebrew, you are so bright I just assumed you were female. ;-)
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 8:34 PM
Well, that explains it.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:34 PM
I started out as a FredHead, and am still a FredHead. Fred for VP!
Huckabee/Thompson –
A winning ticketTHE winning ticketITookTheRedPill on February 12, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Not if a symptom is compromising all principle and supporting McShmnesty. I need a new drug…going to be a long 8 years.
jwp1964 on February 12, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Karl Rove is doing really well on Fox. He and Michael Barone have forgotten more about politics across america then any one on any other channel.
Complete7 on February 12, 2008 at 8:36 PM
Kudos to Virginia for getting results so fast! Other states take note!
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 8:36 PM
MCCAIN WINS VIRGINIA. Thank God. CHOSEN ONE your prayers came good.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Reagan put two moderates on the Supreme court and signed a HUGE amnesty bill. Want to keep going? I didn’t think so.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Right now Dobson and Robertson are sharing a bottle.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:39 PM
MD extended their polls till 9:30 due to the icy weather. There are accidents everywhere.
resqgal on February 12, 2008 at 8:39 PM
Can’t we get all of these candidates onto one plane… and then send it through a dimensional rip in the space-time continuum and off to a bizarro world where they would all fit in much better?
Pray for meteor storms, poltergeists, locusts, something, anything!
SECOND LOOK AT A DO OVER.
profitsbeard on February 12, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Yes, I know. I meant in general.
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 8:41 PM
I think you mean “bawling”. Btw, MK looks remarkably hot.
Jaibones on February 12, 2008 at 8:41 PM
I’ve noticed that’s being said on FNC often tonight, along with references to ‘right wing’ voters. What the hell’s going on here? FNC’s starting to use the jargon, the mind-shape jargon of NBC, ABC, CBS, CNN, PMSNBC.
petefrt on February 12, 2008 at 8:41 PM
I swear the VA state site has remained frozen for the last 10 minutes. I hope this isn’t going to be another Washington state situation.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:41 PM
I hear Tony Blair’s looking for a job. How about amending the consitution and having him over. Any takers?
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:42 PM
Anything but bright. I attended UC Santa Cruz. ;)
Ageism is an ugly, ugly trait to display.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Its funny watching Ron Paul fight Mitt Romney for the whose more irrelevant vote.
Complete7 on February 12, 2008 at 8:44 PM
petefrt on February 12, 2008 at 8:41 PM
The Silent Majority runs this country, aka as moderates. We always hear the screams and shreaks of the far left and far right, but in the end this group decides which way the election will tilt.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Only people interested in Blair would be Dems and RINOs.
jwp1964 on February 12, 2008 at 8:45 PM
Ugh. Go away, Troll. Thompson would never join forces with Schmuckabee. He barely endorsed McCain, for heavens sake, and they are friends!
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 8:45 PM
Oh, good grief!
Weight of Glory on February 12, 2008 at 8:47 PM
So is ignorance.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 8:48 PM
I always click from CNN when Donna Brazille is on. Her high-pitched voice makes me cringe. Her inane blabbering not withstanding.
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 8:49 PM
Weight of Glory on February 12, 2008 at 8:47 PM
What? Do you think I’m pulling this out of a hat or something?
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:51 PM
Gee now FoxNews is saying VA will be a significant victory for McCain.
Bad exits again?
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:55 PM
Is the VA (R) primary winner-take-all or proportional?
And thanks AP for the Megan Kendall clips. You really do have an affection for your readers.
CliffHanger on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Go McCain!
Chakra Hammer on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Ignorant? I’m ignorant for calling Huckabee out on his anti-GOP tendencies? I’m ignorant for calling McCain out on his Free Speech restrictions and Open Borders affliction? I’m ignorant for not wanting to toss aside my principles and vote for somebody I cannot support under any circumstances? If that’s ignorance, I don’t care to be informed.
Take your name-calling elsewhere.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Word. Wow.
Jaibones on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Comment Of The Day™
steveegg on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
CliffHanger on February 12, 2008 at 8:56 PM
WTA baby!
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:57 PM
The Dems are turning out in far greater numbers throughout the primaries and a lot of people on our side think we’re going to get crushed in November. So I went back to the most recent comparable election year: 1968.
During the 1968 primaries, the Dems racked up 7.5 million votes, the GOP 4.5 million. Nixon, of course, won the presidential election, albeit narrowly.
Just trying to cheer you up (assuming you want McCain to win in November).
infidel65 on February 12, 2008 at 8:57 PM
McCain wins ALL 60 delegates tied to the primary.
Chakra Hammer on February 12, 2008 at 8:57 PM
Rep. Tom Davis told the crowd at John McCain’s victory party a few minutes ago that the candidate will speak at 9:30 p.m.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 8:57 PM
Oh, it’s Megan Kelly now. :(
CliffHanger on February 12, 2008 at 8:57 PM
Jon Martin says McCain has whipped Huck’s a** in the suburbs. If he gets an absolute majority Mac can call it a good victory, given that the polls had it neck and neck this morning.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Compare what you want to Huckabee’s stand on these issues. You have a viable candidate who will be everything you want in a President. But you don’t want to vote for him because he doesn’t “appeal” to you?
Many posters here think I’m crazy. How sane is your position?
You’re acting likeYou want to be just like the Democrats who are voting to Obama for no substantial reason…he just “appeals” to you.You think that it wouldn’t matter if a Democrat is in office for the next 4 years? Think again…2 or more liberal Supreme Court justices would retire and be replaced with young, liberal justices who will serve for the majority of the remainder of your life. We have 4 solid conservative justices now. The other 5 are 68 years old or older. We need only one more conservative justice to tip the balance of power in the Supreme Court!
This election will determine if you have a liberal Supreme Court or a conservative Supreme Court for decades to come. This ain’t just about the next four years. And you want to put Obama in office to nominate two or more liberal justices.
Or, you could vote for McCain, the father of the Gang of 14, who called Alito “too conservative”
Or, you could vote for Huckabee who will appoint more justices like Roberts, Alito, Thomas, and Scalia. Which is what you want, right?
Wake up and Grow up. Huckabee is what you are looking for, but you don’t like him because he talks about Jesus. Well, assuming that you are Jewish (seems logical given “HebrewToYou”), you should realize that Christians are the best friends Israel ever had. NO ONE else fights to defend the Jews and Israel. You must realize that.
In fighting the war that the Islamofascists have declared against Jews, Christians, and nations that are predominantly Jewish and Christian (Israel, The USA, England, Australia) no one is better than Mike Huckabee to defend us.
ITookTheRedPill on February 12, 2008 at 8:59 PM
I’ll take Laurie Dhue over Megan Kelly any day. Megan is one of those chics who would continue talking during overtime.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Winner takes all. Thanks, and uh… go McCain…?
CliffHanger on February 12, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Though it is a scary thought, he is right. In the 2006 elections, republicans and conservatives came out to vote. But the GOP lost,by a good amount, among independents. In 2008, republicans are going to have a big disadvantage among independents. In most polls a majority of Americans don’t trust republicans on every issue. McCain’s natural strength among independents is why he is the best candidate who can win at this time, not the best overall conservative candidate.
Complete7 on February 12, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Where’ve you been Chakra?
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 8:59 PM
The Dems always far outnumber us in the primaries. Most Republican’s don’t vote in primaries.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 9:00 PM
EXIT POLLS SHOW 2:1 OBAMA LEAD OVER HILLARY IN VA AND MD, 3:1 IN DC…
*In Virginia Exits, Obama wins Latin Vote by Double Digits — 55-45...
Yeeehawww! The Latin vote is a big surprise, portending a major realignment — an alliance between blacks and Hispanics that would change everything in this election — a surprise that has to be sending shock waves through Team Billary.
petefrt on February 12, 2008 at 9:00 PM
Uh oh. Here’s Hannity, Probably to remind us that Mav didn’t do well with real real real conservatives again.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 9:01 PM
I present to you the next President of the United States……
President Barak Obama
Its done, its over.
its 1996 all over again, we put out some old fossel fart at 71, they put out a young, great communicater.
Game Over
Oh well there goes our chance at two or three judges.
i guess we will learn our lesson right, higher taxes, probally an atack on US, open boarders, amnesty, government health care, no telling what will happen with talk radio.
Good job everyone in our party, good job!
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 9:01 PM
War Hero vs. The Messiah
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 9:01 PM
Thank you MD voters for voting for Mitt!
cjs1943 on February 12, 2008 at 9:02 PM
Er. Just what size is the latin vote in VA?
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 9:03 PM
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 9:01 PM
He’ll do a lot better than Pastor Huckabee and Mitt the phony.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 9:04 PM
Huckabee is a bloody liar as are all his most vocal supporters. See the Harald Haradra, popularpolitics, and apacalyps if you don’t believe me. Huckabee has campaigned for Democrats, called fellow republicans shiites, called Bush’s foreign policy arrogant, and raised taxes.
You Huckabots are pathetic. You don’t even research your own candidate.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 9:04 PM
I don’t like you much, The Chosen One, but I agree with you on that.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 9:05 PM
David Freddoso had a great piece on the turn out myth. Basically, democrats are just more eager then republicans to be in power, it doesn’t usually translate into a general election.
Complete7 on February 12, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Retirees are the new silent majority. They’re fiesty, they always vote, they don’t use cell phones or the internets, and they love McCain.
Pass it on.
CliffHanger on February 12, 2008 at 9:06 PM
VA Precincts Reporting:
1,998 of 2,472 (80.82%)
John McCain 157,274 49.53%
Mike Huckabee 130,546 41.11%
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 9:07 PM
Huck doesn’t appeal outside evangelicals and rural voters. Most indie voters think young earth creationists are only slightly less wacko than UFO spotters.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 9:08 PM
I think the word “decides” is faulty. It merely comes about by superficiality and chance. Yes this voting block determines who will win, but I don’t think there are as many moderates as people who pick one day a year to look into politics and vote and then go home and stick their head into the sand for a year. I know it is mere semantics I am arguing over but the idea of the middle being thought of as deciding on anything is preposterous. I don’t think anybody can make a political decision unless they attempt to have a world view, otherwise it is an incoherent patchwork quilt that was usually regurgitated down their throat by the mother robin, the MSM.
LevStrauss on February 12, 2008 at 9:08 PM
Study the McGovern campaign. Obama’s campaign reminds me a lot of the McGovern campaign
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 9:08 PM
If Mac gets above 50% this will have been a good result. Especially in the Commonwealth.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 9:09 PM
I wasn’t challenging his proposition (although some pretty heavy generalizations were made in it) but rather the over-the-top dramatic “we the moderates” speech. Again, good grief!
Weight of Glory on February 12, 2008 at 9:09 PM
hebrew and choosen one, huck is better than mcain, he was not the best choice over all.
I am a Goerge Allen man. Hell I would vote for Mark Warner over Mcain.
We had our chance and blew it.
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 9:09 PM
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