Exit polls: The night of tears? Update: Fox calls Virginia for Obama; Update: Obama wins Maryland too?; Update: McCain takes VA & MD; Update: When will Huck quit?
posted at 6:19 pm on February 12, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Huckabee within a single percentage point of Maverick in Virginia, says Geraghty — a 31-point gain in three days, if true. And check this out. Among women:
And:
The lesson? Always stock up on liquor before a primary. Stand by for fuller exit poll results imminently. Virginia polls close at 7 p.m.
Update: At the risk of stating the obvious, it doesn’t much matter if Maverick actually pulls out a win in Virginia or not. The fact that it’s this close means Huckabee gets to extend the primary for another few weeks.
Update: 7 o’clock, the polls are closed, and the margin’s already great enough for Fox News to call Virginia for Obama.
The GOP race? Too close to call.
Update: Raw Story claims inside info indicating Obama wins in Maryland and D.C. too.
Update: Based on these exits, it sounds like Maverick’s going to pull it out in Virginia. Barely.
Update: Here’s the GOP exit poll in Virginia. Note the gender divide; down to the wire.
Update (MM): Fox, CNN call Virginia for McCain. “Winning ugly” is still winning.
Update (Bryan): Voting in Maryland was extended 90 minutes, so the polls there are just about to close. We should start getting some data soon.
Update (Bryan): And at 9:30 on the nose, Fox calls the GOP race for McCain. It must be a blowout. Maybe he even topped 50% for the first time. Obama also took Maryland.
Update: Say goodnight, Hucky.
[A]fter going 0 for 3 tonight, despite a valiant effort in Virginia, Huckabee is looking at probably no wins until Texas. (And I don’t think I’d automatically give him a majority or plurality in the Lone Star State, either.)
We’re going to hear a lot about how close tonight was, and Huckabee can have his head held high, but with 86 percent of precincts reporting, it’s McCain 50 percent, Huckabee 41 percent. A nine percent margin isn’t a rout, but it’s not neck-and-neck, either.
It’s a free country, and Huckabee can stay in as long as he likes. But I suspect the question, “what’s the point?” is going to get steadily louder in the coming weeks…
Update: Wow. McCain lost Navy territory?
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In. sane.
Vizzini on February 12, 2008 at 6:21 PM
That chicks a babe
Roger Waters on February 12, 2008 at 6:21 PM
That, and: Never underestimate the stupidity and ignorance of your fellow man.
Huckabee, folks? Seriously? Why not just go home now, if that’s the path we’re taking?
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:22 PM
and= intelligient and brassy Fox-babe
Onager on February 12, 2008 at 6:23 PM
Told you Huck would win because evangelicals are underestimated and underpolled.
Valiant on February 12, 2008 at 6:25 PM
And underbrained.
profitsbeard on February 12, 2008 at 6:26 PM
Seems to me we were sitting here on Super Tuesday seeing the same thing
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 6:28 PM
Very nice with the pics AP. You could have just typed the numbers, but three pics of Meygn Kelly was the right choice. Thank you.
MT on February 12, 2008 at 6:31 PM
Some other figures from Fox:
Seniors: Obama 53, Clinton 47
Late-deciders: Clinton 52, Obama 48
Young voters: Obama 80, Clinton 20
Independents: Obama 66, Clinton 33
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:32 PM
And completely oblivious to Huckabee’s liberal record in Arkansas. If you hate abortion, love guns and embrace Jesus you’re a-okay to them. Doesn’t matter if you raise taxes, campaign for Democrats, and call fellow Republicans shiites.
McCain is a tool; Huckabee is a tool. Such is why our next president will be a Democrat.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 6:32 PM
I will pray for Huckabee to lose.
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 12, 2008 at 6:33 PM
Dang! You ARE serious!
RushBaby on February 12, 2008 at 6:34 PM
They never should have let us women vote.
Buy Danish on February 12, 2008 at 6:35 PM
There were stats on that screen? Where? Prove it!
God, I love her new hair!
Is anyone using ScHmuckabee? Do I get credit for that one?
urbancenturion on February 12, 2008 at 6:36 PM
This trend could make my decision in the general much easier. McCain on a bubble,..Huckster-absolutely not.
a capella on February 12, 2008 at 6:37 PM
Eventually it will be a WWF cage match with the “Antique Soldier” vs. the “Misfit Minister” . The “blue bloods” will destroy the Huckster and send him back to the pulpit for 4 years.
Nelsa on February 12, 2008 at 6:37 PM
The Indies have gone to the Obama/Clinton race, which is why Huck might win.
Well done guys – real smart – looks like Huck will be on the ticket as well.
All we need to hear for the next eight months…
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 6:37 PM
Not according to Google. There is nothing new under the sun. What about on this site at least?
urbancenturion on February 12, 2008 at 6:38 PM
OK, does anyone know what Huckabee’s real stance on Islamism is? I’m asking because if it’s as strong as (or nor weaker than, whatever your perception) McCain’s then I might as well throw my lot in with the social conservative.
NorthernCross on February 12, 2008 at 6:38 PM
GO HUCKABEE!
BURN MCCAIN! BURN BABY!
Message to GOP …
We’re done with you.
Gregor on February 12, 2008 at 6:38 PM
you huck haters would have beat the hell out of reagan.
you all suck and i hope you drink yourselfs even more stupid.
some of the things said here are crazy, AP you and Michelle are letting this site turn into the crazy right daily kooks.
I am ashamed at how some people front their opinion as truth.
Liars
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 6:38 PM
Protest vote against McCain.
I’ve heard it before, just not recently. I’m sticking with Pastor Holiday Inn Express.
Laura on February 12, 2008 at 6:39 PM
You being who? Conservatives? Huckabee is a tax-raising, nanny state governor, who opposes Gitmo, gave tuition breaks to illegals, has little foreign policy knowledge, and originally said opposition to McCain’s amnesty was partially driven by racism.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:41 PM
I don’t like Mike but I gotta tell you, I’m loving this after the Press, the TV, the EVERYONE TELLING US WE MUST VOTE FOR MCCAIN AND LIKE IT. I almost hope Huck wins it all.
At least Huck signed Sen Jeff Sessions immigration pledge, McCain refused.
Lesson: DO NOT, I REPEAT, DO NOT PI$$ OFF YOUR BASE, YOU IDIOTS.
stenwin77 on February 12, 2008 at 6:41 PM
What lies were told about Huckabee?
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:42 PM
Did You Know?
According to the latest U.S. Census, the Latino community comprises approximately 6% of Virginia’s population. In fact, Latinos are among the fastest- growing ethnic groups in the state, with native-born U.S. citizens coming here from all parts of the country, and foreign-born residents coming from all over the world. Their wide range of skills and diverse cultures brings endless potential to the Commonwealth.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 6:42 PM
Kara, tell us what you really think. Be honest.
If Huckabee wins Virginia and Texas…OBAMAMANIA, baby!
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 6:42 PM
I’m glad to see Huckabee doing well but in the end I think McCain will win by a decent margin. After all, Virginia is an open primary…I know Obama will get a big chunk of the independents but McCain will still get a bunch.
keepinitreal on February 12, 2008 at 6:42 PM
He signed statements when his past failed to fall in line with his current position. He originally said opposition to McCain’s amnesty was partially driven by racism.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:43 PM
Oh, he says all the right things… sorta… just don’t ask him about Pakistan.
Laura on February 12, 2008 at 6:44 PM
Yup. I voted for Huck today. I’ll vote for McCain against either Dem, but no way in the primary. I would have rather been able to vote for Fred or Mitt though. I may have even gone for Rudy before Huck. He’s ahead of the Maverick in my book though.
MT on February 12, 2008 at 6:45 PM
Huckabee – you’re no Reagan!
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 6:45 PM
Some people are still so clueless that they don’t grasp the reality that McCain is just as much a loss as if Hillary should win. Even after the news that McCain has been backed by George Soros, the sheep keep following.
I’d prefer to hit McCain over the head with a shovel and take my chances with Huckabee. At least with Huckabee, I know there’s a chance we can stop the war against Christianity. Even if that’s not possible, I’d still prefer to lose if it means McCain is not rewarded.
Gregor on February 12, 2008 at 6:46 PM
I don’t see no stats! All I see is blonde!
mmmmmmmmmmm…
urbancenturion on February 12, 2008 at 6:47 PM
Greg Kelly is a putz!!
urbancenturion on February 12, 2008 at 6:47 PM
Huckabee = Satan
Or, I should say, er, I heard that Mike Huckabee and Satan are brothers…I mean I dont know but thats what I heard but I dont know, I’m just saying…
Roger Waters on February 12, 2008 at 6:48 PM
Greg, jk
urbancenturion on February 12, 2008 at 6:48 PM
It was always going to be that way, regardless. Very very sad.
Weight of Glory on February 12, 2008 at 6:48 PM
What do you mean? You don’t think we can defeat Hope Man?
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 6:49 PM
One of the worst of the anti-mccain demagogues.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 6:50 PM
From Drudge.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:51 PM
to which we get profitsbeard writing
profitsbeard, that is beneath any dignity. I know that Bryan P is an evangelical, I am an evangelical, the President of the United States is an evangelical. To say that evangelicals are “underbrained” is disgustingly idiotic, and most importantly offensive!
Dhornertx on February 12, 2008 at 6:52 PM
He believes the Bush Doctrine is “arrogant foreign policy.” ‘nuf said.
Bwaaaaahahahaha. Huckabots are hilarious!
ROFL. Shine on you crazy diamond! That was awesome.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 6:52 PM
i can’t take this site anymore.
it just shows how divided our party is. i mean there were people on here that were wanting thompson to win, i mean why not did up reagan and run him dead, he would probaly look younger.
huch is not perfect but he is not as bad as some make him out to be. he did not grant that one guy clemancy, prior governer did. but most people believe the press not huck. funny, when we agree with the press there right, when we don’t agree there wrong.
Fair tax all the way. Want some of you stop saying something want happen, and get behind some thing to make it happen.
Sorry if forgot, most of you are professional bloggers that makes you an expert.
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 6:52 PM
Or drive.
Hollowpoint on February 12, 2008 at 6:52 PM
You just don’t get it, do you? McCain is a lying, arrogant, manipulative, egomaniac who couldn’t possibly care any less what the American people want.
I’ll take my chances that Huckabee might just be willing to support the wishes of his voters. McCain has already shown he’s not.
Either way, people such as McCain need to be shown the door and that’s what conservatives have been saying for two years. Now, suddenly many have forgotten.
Gregor on February 12, 2008 at 6:53 PM
man my typing sucks
kara26 on February 12, 2008 at 6:53 PM
Let’s wait for the vote.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 6:53 PM
One of the worst of the open-borders, pro-amnesty trolls.
Gregor on February 12, 2008 at 6:54 PM
I say McCain by 5.
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 6:55 PM
Which of the 1,000 pardons and clemencies are you referring to? The rapist who got paroled after Huckster personally intervened on his behalf after the parole board denied parole on a 5-0 vote? The Huckster spin is that the previous governor was responsible for making him eligible for parole, but Huck is the one who made sure he went free to kill.
But thank you for confirming my suspicion that most of the Huckster’s supporters are completely clueless with regards to his record.
Hollowpoint on February 12, 2008 at 6:56 PM
He granted more pardons than the three former governors combined. While he signed the Fair Tax pledge, he raised taxes consistently in Arkansas. Fair Tax will not be passed anytime soon, by the way.
Of course, we could go on to Huck’s ignorance (See: U.S.-Cuban relations), his support for a smoking ban, his statement that Bush’s foreign policy is “arrogant”, his statement to bring the Constitution in line with the word of God, his tuition breaks for illegal aliens, his original statement that opposition to McCain’s amnesty was partially driven by racism, and much more.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 6:56 PM
Krathamer (sp>) just said that Huck isn’t running against McCain, he is running against Romney and trying to get more delegates than Romney.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 6:57 PM
Pax americana, Gregor is absolutely accurate. McCain is no better than Hillary or Obama. I wouldn’t vote for Huckabee under any circumstances, but other than that Gregor is right on the money.
McCain is not only incapable of being elected President, he’s incapable of leading. He can’t even convince his OWN party to back him. What. A. Goober.
It is offensive, Dhornertx, but the reasons Evangelicals are giving for supporting Huckabee are pretty darn stupid. If it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s probably a duck.
I don’t think Evangelicals are underbrained. I think it’s silly to stereotype any religious group. But they definitely aren’t voting rationally. Huckabee is a frickin’ joke.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 6:57 PM
Gee…I wonder why?
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 6:57 PM
No. I’ll put it this way, if it comes down to “cha-cha-cha-change man” and either Huck or McCain, and we win, I’ll put on one of my wife’s maternity dresses and wear it to church.
on second thought, no I won’t. But I still don’t think we can beat him, whose name shall not be uttered.
Weight of Glory on February 12, 2008 at 6:57 PM
Yeah, I’ll take being pandered to now in lieu of being spit on. I’m voting Huck if he makes it to Texas.
TexasDan on February 12, 2008 at 6:58 PM
Yeah, I agree. The guy attracted almost 7,000 people when he visited Maine.
Tied up traffic something fierce.
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 6:59 PM
Fox calls Virginia for Obama.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 7:00 PM
GOP Virginia race too close to call.
amerpundit on February 12, 2008 at 7:00 PM
Fox just called for Obama in Virginia. He is projected to get over 90% of the black vote and more than 50% of women.
OBAMAMANIA!
Too close to call for Huck and Johnny.
BacaDog on February 12, 2008 at 7:01 PM
Burn in
HellMexico, McCain.SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 7:02 PM
What a stupid, shallow comment. Thompson had principles. What does Huck have besides a deep, profound affinity for mentioning Jesus in every sentence he utters? Oh, yeah. He plays the bass guitar, too.
The fair tax doesn’t solve a damn thing and would never get anywhere. Same with his silly Anti-Gay-Marriage amendment and his Anti-Abortion amendment. All those would do is make centrists hate the Republican party, and we need centrists in the general election.
Hollowpoint nails it. Kara has no idea what Huck’s record is. But I bet Kara is quite informed about how pious Huck is, how great a musician Huck is, and how funny Huck is. For, as we all know, those are Presidential traits that matter! Ugh.
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 7:03 PM
And NOW the media is admitting McCain is a WEAK candidate…after they chose him for “us”. Burn in Hell, MSM!
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 7:04 PM
McCain fan are you then?
MT on February 12, 2008 at 7:05 PM
CNN has exit polls up
VA Voters:
52% male – Huck 36%, McCain 52%
48% female – Huck 47%, McCain 43%
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 7:05 PM
MCain will win the delgates and the nomination.
Hillary will win the popular vote and lose the delagate count.
Then the Supremes will decide the Democrat nomination in Obama’s favor after deciding that the DNC must live by it’s own rules and not include the Forida and Mich delagates.
The only wild card will be the Super delagates.(Within the rules of the DNC) which will give it to Hillary
If it goes against Obama, be prepared for massive protests!
Then we will have two divided partys.
Go figure……
Nelsa on February 12, 2008 at 7:06 PM
Just standin on the sidelines watchin’ it all unfold…
eanax on February 12, 2008 at 7:06 PM
CNN is STUNNED…STUNNED!…the southern Whites are voting for Obams. Stereotype much? I believe it’s the NORTHERN liberal whites who are NOT voting for Obama. HELLO!
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 7:06 PM
Because every cycle since 1956, the Pubbies have gone to the “next in line”, and finishing 2nd in the delegate count will (barring the improbable in November) put Huck next in line in 2012.
steveegg on February 12, 2008 at 7:07 PM
Obama is very beatable. He loses debates to Hillary Clinton, one of the most shrill and mechanical politicians we’ve seen in a while, and a relative policy lightweight. He can’t be that tough.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 7:08 PM
McCain is a very strong candidate, compared to everyone else running, he is the strongest. Why?
Obama doesn’t have any accomplishments, and no real agenda except a very liberal one. All he does well is make speeches.
Hillary is running in her husband’s shadow and has very high negatives
Huck is a regional candidate and would lose a general election where more than just evangelicals can vote
McCain has experience, is a moderate (there are more of them then conservatives), can pull in hispanics and independents, is consistant.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 7:08 PM
Please take him and GO!!!
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 7:08 PM
I figured it was for leverage. I think Huck really wants to be on the ticket, regardless of what he says in interviews.
Plus, I think Huckabee really has some serious dislike/envy of Romney.
Slublog on February 12, 2008 at 7:08 PM
McCain disgusts me just slightly less than Huckabee.
I’ll be voting for Obama should he win the Democrat nomination. If not Obama, then I’ll be writing in for Fred!
HebrewToYou on February 12, 2008 at 7:09 PM
It’s all my fault. I live in Virginia, and my wife and I were going to haul all our kids (we’ve got three of voting age) out to vote at around 7PM ’cause we thought the polls closed at 8.
If Huckabee wins by five here…
flipflop on February 12, 2008 at 7:09 PM
Looking at these exits. White men went huge for Hillary, and white women went huge for Obama? What?
Vizzini on February 12, 2008 at 7:10 PM
Heh…Shepard said western Virginia turned out in droves in the Republican primary. Told ya so! Told ya so! If McCain wins, it’ll be the DC suburbs that carry him.
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 7:10 PM
Ahhhhh Fred P0rn!
I MISS teh Fred!
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 7:11 PM
Just as long as it’s a wake up call to McCain…he needs the conservative vote, more then we need him.
right2bright on February 12, 2008 at 7:12 PM
Considering the money situation, “leverage” would be to bow out and allow McCain to not spend what little primary-season money he has left on trying to lock up the inevitable.
I agree on the dislike factor.
steveegg on February 12, 2008 at 7:12 PM
Ew, man! You’re freaking gross!
lol
keepinitreal on February 12, 2008 at 7:13 PM
CNN’s John King, using the magic map-board, plugged in Huckabee winning the rest of the primaries from here on out with 55 percent of the vote to 45 percent of the vote. McCain still clinched the nomination under that scenario, because of the proportional awarding of delegates.
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MWYxMzcxNzIyNTRhMzE1NzY4NWVkMjFjMDllYTE2YzM=
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 7:13 PM
That makes no sense to me. Go with the most inexperienced, on-fire liberal from Fred?
MT on February 12, 2008 at 7:13 PM
I agree. That is about one of the most retarded things I’ve heard.
keepinitreal on February 12, 2008 at 7:15 PM
This is what happens when Mav’s folks don’t hit the polls because its over. Someone send the pastor the news. These stinkin evangelicals are trying to protest vote, because they know their days of control are OVER. Take your adam and eve folk tales and please stay home with your bible groups and stop screwing up any chance of a republican victory.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 7:15 PM
HebrewToYou this is utter garbage, but I’ve exposed the galling hypocrisy of the you so-called ‘real’ conservatives before. When a pro-life, anti-tax hikes, anti-socialised healthcare, pro-free trade, anti-surrender in Iraq, pro-military investment, anti-Islamic appeasment, anti-pork barrel spending, anti-federal deficit candidate runs against one that holds the opposite opinions, it isn’t hard to see which one is preferable from a GOP persepective. My first choice candidate may not have a hope in hell of winning, but Jonny Mac trumps the Democrats every day of the year.
If you were really interested in ‘real’ Reagan conservatism you would have been getting behind the one solid candidate left in the race on all the conservative issues, an appointee of the great man himself, Dr Allan Keyes. Instead we have to endure your whining, defeatist, pessimist drool.
Pax americana on February 12, 2008 at 7:18 PM
Where were these inbreds when we needed them to beat Webb for the senate?
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 7:19 PM
First of all, you’re a bigot. Secondly, evangelicals are not the only ones voting for Huckabee. As we’ve seen recently, a good deal of Romney supporters have gone over to Huckabee.
keepinitreal on February 12, 2008 at 7:19 PM
No.
MT on February 12, 2008 at 7:19 PM
Join me on the dark side Hebrew….write in Fred!
Obama Akbar!
ihasurnominashun on February 12, 2008 at 7:20 PM
Fixed that for ya!
SouthernGent on February 12, 2008 at 7:20 PM
Robertson can endorse Giuliani and his seven wives, but has a problem with a War Hero. Give me a break.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 12, 2008 at 7:21 PM
I get what you’re saying but to be accurate…Giuliani has had three wives while McCain has had two.
keepinitreal on February 12, 2008 at 7:22 PM
Probably voting for Webb.
Big S on February 12, 2008 at 7:24 PM
Obviously white men are a bunch of racists and white women are a bunch of sexists.
RightOFLeft on February 12, 2008 at 7:24 PM
There is no genuine “good” candidate in this race…there is only a bad (Huckabee), a really bad (McCain), and two absolutely DREADFUL (Hillary and Obama) candidates. But…I think we’re all overlooking one very basic truth. No president can act unilaterally – I don’t care what any of them say they’re going to do, the President is NOT a part of the legislative branch. Why is this important? Because, I’m afraid that many of you have become so disgusted with the entire process that you might simply stay home in November. And that would be even more disastrous than a Hillary presidency. (Which, to me, is the most catastrophic of all outcomes.) It’s more important than ever before that we learn all we can about the conservative candidates for the House, the Senate, as well as our state and local elections – and then, VOTE for them. The best defense against rampant liberalism in the White House is a wall of conservatisim in the House and Senate. At the very least, we can help to set the agenda for the next four years.
uncivilized on February 12, 2008 at 7:24 PM
You always lead with your chin.
a capella on February 12, 2008 at 7:24 PM
So you’re a moderate lib who don’t like divorced people?
MT on February 12, 2008 at 7:25 PM
Huckabee is a regional candidate, he would not do well at all in a general election. Sorry, his strength is in the bible belt.
bnelson44 on February 12, 2008 at 7:25 PM
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