Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri
posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit
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We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.
Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.
Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.
Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.
Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?
Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.
Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.
Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.
Update: Via Drudge, brutal.
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.
Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.
Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.
Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.
Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.
Hillary wins Tennessee.
Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?
Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.
Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.
Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.
Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.
Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.
Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.
Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.
Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.
Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.
Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.
Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.
Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.
Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.
Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.
Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?
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I would say not a good night for Obama or Romney so far?
terryannonline on February 5, 2008 at 9:34 PM
What slime are you referring to? You can’t call a reference to someone’s record slime. Slime is using the “timetable” buzzword over and over again. Slime is legislating amnesty.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Americans are casting their vote for stagnant government in record numbers apparently.
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:35 PM
And McCain doesn’t slime people he disagrees with? Were you in coma for the immigration debate? How about right before Florida where he lied about Mitt’s Iraq stance, which even the MSM (which favors McCain) said was a lie.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I lived there for over 20 years, and commuted to Boston during that time. Even the trains, planes and rental cars distinguash between Mid Atlantic and North East….
As does the PDF you linked…. where are you from???
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:35 PM
The fact that that is an accurate statement means the Republican party is dead. Where does a conservative go now?
jwp1964 on February 5, 2008 at 9:35 PM
So, Huckabee could be Secy of Education? He couldn’t mess that up. Um.
Health and Human Services? (Is it even called that any more?)
funky chicken on February 5, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Ann Coulter may be shockng at times, but she was right when she said “[paraphrase] “If voters did 1/10th the research they do when buying a car the country would be better off.”
Friggin bell curve…
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:36 PM
This is apocalyps and HaraldHarada, isn’t it? How many handles did you register?
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Well, I’m now officially pulling for Hillary. Apparently, I’m further out of touch with the Republican party than I had imagined.
p0s3r on February 5, 2008 at 9:36 PM
FTFY.
Tell me, where does Huckabee have support other than the bigot vote?
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Hey, I am just answering a question.
:)
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
most of the “romney friendly” states have yet to report. don’t get too cocky just yet mccain and huckabee supporters. romney will win his fair share of states. he was never expected to be a huge player in the south or north east.
therightwinger on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
I certainly don’t ‘hate’ him to the extent of leaving the GOP or worse campaigning for the liberal dweebs on the Democratic side. But I do loathe his hypocrisy in going after candidates for flip-flopping when he is the most unreliable of them all. Now we’re being told by all these ‘conservative’ pundits that we must vote for him, as if he were the last great hope of the GOP. Sorry, but if we’re going to have a moderate for the nominee, I’d rather it were someone who can win the election like Mac. And if you’re going to bang on about conservative principles, then have some integrity and go support Alan Keyes.
Pax americana on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Sigh its identy politics. Mitt’s mormonism is real and its storming the south and west.
It shouldnt be that way but it is.
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Mexico will probably have plenty of room for us.
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Karl said it will be a long night.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Or the North or West, for that matter.
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
After McCain gets in the US will BE Mexico.
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Fried squirrels guard your nuts!
Elmer Gantry rides again!
profitsbeard on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Did you mean that to read like an obituary?
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Obama wins Kansas.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
From CNN
The south wouldnt back a Mormon candidate.
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
As opposed to McCain’s moderate/squish vote and Huck’s bigot Evangelical vote?
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Dibs on Cabo!!
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
What’s a “Romney hater”? I don’t think throughout this primary season there’s been a single McCain supporter who’s said that they “hate” Romney, issue apocalyptic visions of the GOP’s future if Romney wins, promise to sit out the general if Romney wins or any of that stuff.
Is this meant as one of those jokes progressives tell when they furrow their brow and ask a patriot, “why do you hate America?”
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
McCain up 4% in OK with 59% in.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
I would have to concede that. Sucks doesn’t it? You’d think our party had came a long way?
CABE on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Clinton is leading Obama big in MO. Another incorrect exit poll?
SCGOPgirl on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Wouldn’t even shake his hand.
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Romney is finally winning in minnesota
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
So everyone who voted for Huck is a bigot?
EnochCain on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
We aren’t already?
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
How Insulting. So every single person that voted for Huckabee is automatically a bigot? Stay classy Romney supporters.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Sheesh.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:31 PM
I lived there for over 20 years, and commuted to Boston during that time. Even the trains, planes and rental cars distinguash between Mid Atlantic and North East….
As does the PDF you linked…. where are you from???
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I am from New York, and I have done my fair share of travelling throughout the Northeast also.
New York is part of the freaking Northeast.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Really, I thought they were having problems?
jewells45 on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Romney wasn’t expected to do well in the Northeast? LOL er, where is Massachusetts again?
Romney seems like a decent fellow, and I will vote for him if he is the nominee. It’s some of his supporters tantrums and screaming that they will support Hillary if Romney doesn’t win that is a turn-off.
funky chicken on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Oh and as far as the South and Romney goes everyone in my family voted for Romney.
EnochCain on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
SCGOPgirl on February 5, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Could be – the exit polls seem loaded in favour of Obama for some reason this season.
Pax americana on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Not everyone. But I do find it troubling that some are unwilling to consider Romney based on his religion.
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Huk and McCain are tied in Alabama at 39%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:41 PM
JH- I ain’t breaking out the champagne yet. Was just giving my thoughts dude.
jewells45 on February 5, 2008 at 9:42 PM
On that point…., we agree.
However, NJ & PA are Mid Atlantic.
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:42 PM
The Surprise of the Night…
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:42 PM
McCain leads Huck by 1 percent in Tennessee
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:42 PM
No matter who wins, humanity loses.
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Keyes is a black Ron Paul. Looney and unelectable.
How can you slam Romney for pointing out flip-flopping when Romney was the first to be attacked as a flip-flopper. He’s defending himself. AND, Romney has moved toward the conservative side of the spectrum on those issues that he has changed on. He has legistlated in the right direction.
Furthermore, I’d rather have an intelligent person capable of addressing the spectrum of issues a president faces, not a stubborn, tempermental maverick. We are finishing up eight years of a stubborn, tempermental maverick in the white house.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Guys, the map linked by BuyDanish groups both New England and the Mid-Atlantic within the larger Northeast category. I grew up in NY and we always considered ourselves to be in the Northeast.
mikeyboss on February 5, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Huckabee’s support outside evangelicals doesn’t hit double digits. He is the snake oil minister candidate who will praise Jesus and smile as he steals your wallet.
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:43 PM
The South would have backed Fred. Sigh
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:44 PM
EnochCain on February 5, 2008 at 9:40 PM
are you a clone?
jerrytbg on February 5, 2008 at 9:44 PM
I don’t like Bill Kristol.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Kini,
If that PDF was too difficult for you, try this.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Favorite place on Earth, until I see yours :)
Entelechy on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
lol! I don’t think I could top that if i were trying to mock the NAU conspiracy hysteria. I’d have to mention the Babylonian Brotherhood.
…you don’t believe in the Babylonian Brotherhood, do you?
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
McCain winning in Montana.. by 5%
23% reporting..
i didn’t see that coming..
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
I never believed the polls for McCain in Alabama. I only used to see Paulian signs, and now I only see Huckabee signs. Well, except for in our friend’s yard, and his is a Romney one.
I’ve seen lots of Obama bumper stickers and some Huckabee ones, and even (!) a couple of Rudy stickers, but not a single one for McCain. AL folks are really, really pissed off about immigration. I’m not sure why they think Huckabee would be better than McCain on that issue, but …..
funky chicken on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Keyes is the reason we must suffer through the Obamessiah. Any semi-rational Republican would have defeated Obama in his run for the Senate. He had already lost a smaller campaign for House of Reps there.
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:45 PM
Slime is giving a news conference and showing an attack ad that he refuses to run because it is an attack ad.
Sue on February 5, 2008 at 9:46 PM
As a MittHead, I ask my fellow Romney backers, where do we go from here if Mitt concedes?
McCain Plus: Secured border, victory in Iraq, Afghanistan (and the future war with Iran). Also will not raise taxes and will send humans to Mars
McCain Negatives: Gay Marriage for the religious right (after Mass. SCOTUS appeals), abortion on demand, embryonic stem cell research, London replaces Wall Street, Global Warming blamed on humans for evah, and 20 million new American citizens.
Huckabee Plus: Secured border, pro-life, for traditional marriage, intelligent design in school (if that’s your thing), leaves the UN, won’t be boring on TV as prez, Jerusalem recognized by the US as Israel’s capital (I’m assuming he would–which would be good).
Huckabee Negative: Our economy royally screwed over with his “I-95 plan,” stoning replaces lethal injections, Rush gets a heart attack, opens diplomatic relations with Iran and Cuba (we’ll throw North Korea in for good measure), we never get to Mars
So, who should we support now if Mitt fails us? :-( Obama?
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 9:46 PM
Waht rally suck about this night isnt for me as much as Romney doing bad its the fact that huck is doing so good. I really weap over that.
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:47 PM
Stone cold R voter since my hero, Milhous, was the candidate……Huckabee will NEVAH get my vote. If he is on the ticket I will write in Milhous.
Limerick on February 5, 2008 at 9:47 PM
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Okay but tell the rest of the story…
CCRWM on February 5, 2008 at 9:47 PM
It was hyperbole of course. I’d advise some light reading on the nature of 4th generation warfare though if you think the whole Mexico/US thing is humorous.
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:48 PM
No, but I do believe McCain has “gotten the message” about security first as much as I believe John McCain has lost his love and admiration for Hillary Clinton, Ted Kennedy, Russ Feingold, and Joe Lieberman.
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:48 PM
CNN Calls massachusettts for Hillary. Lurch and slurch have some butt kissing to do
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:48 PM
That is not correct. The correct statement is, if McCain is the nominee then many will vot Hillary or write-in someone. McCain is creating his own party that does not include conservatives.
livermush on February 5, 2008 at 9:48 PM
McCain up 9% in Montana 25% reporting.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Anyone else up for some arsenic-laced kool-aid if Huck does well enough tonight to get McCain to offer him VP?
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Sigh now Hyuck is winning in Minnesota too now
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Maybe….but not in happy way
CCRWM on February 5, 2008 at 9:49 PM
Actually, McCain supports raising taxes on gas in order to fight “global warming”. His secure border comes with amnesty, and he refuses to use enhanced interrogation even if it protects the lives of Americans.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Oklahoma 67% reporting
McCain 73,492 37%
Huckabee 65,748 34%
Romney 46,309 24%
Paul 6,745 3%
Giuliani 1,567 1%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:50 PM
Hah! It’s true.
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Maybe we need a separate thread for this, but NY is part of both the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid-Atlantic_States
It’s like being a Yankee. It can mean someone from the US, the North, the Northeast, New England, or Maine.
pedestrian on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Geez, Darnell. When you put it like that, I’m not sure what the hell I’ll do.
BacaDog on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
First, Mitt is not withdrawing as he is not loosing. Second, NEVER MCCAIN! He is a Democrat dude, he travels with them, he sleeps with them, he curses Republicans.
livermush on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
How embarrassing to have a candidate like Huckabee who is so ignorant on science issues doing so well as one of our parties nominees. The rest of the world must be horrified. I sure hope we dont elect such an anti-science candidate to any major position.
muyoso on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Hyuck is leading in Tennessee now
39% reporting
Huckabee 80,926 33%
McCain 80,811 33%
Romney 53,927 22%
Paul 13,877 6%
Thompson 11,205 5%
Giuliani 3,299 1%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
@ livermush on February 5, 2008 at 9:51 PM
Romney ISNT loosing, he is losing.
muyoso on February 5, 2008 at 9:52 PM
Its the anti mormon effect its driving Huck sigh
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:52 PM
What the hell were you arguing with me about? NY is Mid- Atlantic too.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:52 PM
CNN calls New jersey for hillary
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Yahoo has McCain take New York.
Entelechy on February 5, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Heh! Where have you been all day?
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:53 PM
* TOTAL DELEGATES
John McCain 309
Mitt Romney 99
Mike Huckabee 54
Ron Paul 6
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:53 PM
Are Sinclair Lewis’ books banned in the South?
Huckabee is a classic phony evangelist weasel liar scuzbag.
Or is that popular below the Mason-Dixon Line?
Thanks for the Huck-alert, y’all.
profitsbeard on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Huck is ahead in Alabama
43% reporting
Huckabee 86,668 39%
McCain 85,699 39%
Romney 39,100 18%
Paul 6,013 3%
Giuliani 1,092 1%
Uncommitted 492 0%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Huck will be more to blame here than anyone if this gets handed to McCain. He is so the spoiler. It is obvious looking at what results there are at this time, that Mitt would have swept these states!
Conservative would have won big, except for Huck! That is the key here. That is the one truth that will be ignored here, but not forgotten bu conservatives!
Conservatives have been split, so McCain wins!
More conservatives voted against McCain by far,, but he will be the celebrated big winner! Him and his lib ideals!!
Huck is a slime ball!
JellyToast on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Thank you! I already told them that ages ago but I guess they chose to ignore it.
No wonder the Republican Party is fractured if we can’t even agree on indisputable facts.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
McCain
NY | NJ | DE | IL | CT | FL | SC | NH
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
I am so close to being done with the republican party. An anti science dope is sweeping the south because his religion is better than another candidates religion, making every stereotype about the south seem VERY true. And a candidate who wants amnesty and war, and more taxes and war, and less freedom of speech and lots more wars, is picking up the rest. Freaking disgusting.
muyoso on February 5, 2008 at 9:54 PM
Those New Yorkers. Northeast AND Mid-Atlantic.
Next thing you know they’ll say they’re Southern too :-D
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Hck is winning in Alabama, Tennessee, Arkansas, Missouri and Minnesota
ugh
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Yes, the Evangelicals are very bigoted against Mormons as a rule. He should do better in the west where people aren’t as bigoted towards Mormons.
Ca should be interesting. Az too.
Geronimo on February 5, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Do you have a need to keep posting the states he’s taken? We’re capable of going to the top of the page. You just keep repeating it.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:55 PM
Dude. Go back to your Japanese cartoon pr0n. Nobody believes you’re an actual McCain supporter.
fiatboomer on February 5, 2008 at 9:55 PM
muyoso… stereotypes exist for a reason.
You are correct.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:56 PM
I hate Huckabee, but I hate McCain more. I find it funny Huckabee is winning where McCain was supposed to wrap it all up.
Yes, I said “hate”.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 9:57 PM
John McCain 309
Mitt Romney 99
LOL!
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 9:57 PM
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