Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri
posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit
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We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.
Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.
Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.
Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.
Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?
Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.
Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.
Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.
Update: Via Drudge, brutal.
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.
Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.
Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.
Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.
Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.
Hillary wins Tennessee.
Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?
Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.
Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.
Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.
Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.
Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.
Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.
Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.
Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.
Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.
Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.
Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.
Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.
Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.
Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.
Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?
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Looking better for Clinton than first expected. She’s catching up in Connecticut and the MA loss is bad for the Messiah.
This is just what GOP supporters need - a long, protracted, and bitter Democratic battle!
Pax americana on February 5, 2008 at 9:15 PM
awesome, 1/3 is more conservative than most the people at my school….
….the kids who want socialized healthcare….for animals
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 9:15 PM
They should Call NY For McCain Look at the Exit poll.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:16 PM
I’m depressed… thank god my wife brought me home a milk shake. Comfort food can keep me from going postal.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:16 PM
Everything above Rt195 at least.
Below, Philly
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:16 PM
It’s MKH on FOXNews! MKH sighting!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 9:16 PM
Well, you can spend $1.3MM for a 1 bedroom apartment or get a 5 bedroom house if you cross the Hudson.
dedalus on February 5, 2008 at 9:16 PM
Looks like Huck is going to win Missouri that willl show em….
UGH
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:17 PM
Yep. Huck sowed his anti-Mormon seed wide and far. Hope he’s proud of himself. Wonder what he’ll do when he runs against Jindal in 2012. Catholic Indian-American. I’ll bet old Huckster can even make something out of that.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 9:17 PM
EXIT POLLS: New York
Male(57%) McCain 47% Romney 31%
Female(43%) McCain 47% Romney 38%
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:17 PM
Why are we supporting Hillary again? She’ll just pick Obamessiah as the VP. Will Obama’s magic with independents fail to generate support for a Hildabeast/Obamessiah ticket?
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:17 PM
I spent a year in Philly. Loved it!
(And may be moving to Princeton in the Fall.)
Tzetzes on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
Yeah, and still spend the same on Prop Taxs
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
I’m with ya…whole bag of Hershey’s Special Dark Chocolate. Got to get to the treadmill in a minute.
jwp1964 on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
Look at the party vote totals by state.
It is predominantly more dems than reps.
It won’t even be close in November with the motivated base for the dems.
heartburn.
Starlink on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
It looks like the exit polls are suspect. See:
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YTgwZmZjMWRkOWY5MTk3YjNkMzI4OWFhNjA2YjdlMWE=
and
http://campaignspot.nationalreview.com/post/?q=MGEyODk0NTk4MTg0YjlhNTU0M2UwNmYxMDJmMmU4MzY=
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
The devil you know.
lorien1973 on February 5, 2008 at 9:18 PM
Homeschool, baby. It’s a beautiful thing.
TX Mom on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
Fox just did.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
Bring lots of cash
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
New York is also part of the Northeast.
Sorry, but it is part of the Northeast along with Maine, NH, Vermont, RI, Mass, CT, NJ, PA.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
McCain up in Alabama 41% with 18% vote in
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
and yet McCain fails to completely nail down his OWN state
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 9:19 PM
Unsurprisingly.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:20 PM
At least Romney is making a run of it in AZ. Where’s my chocolate shake?
TX Mom on February 5, 2008 at 9:20 PM
McCain/Huckabee ticket? Now that would sure change things for me … from just voting for a Dem all the way past campaigning for a Dem to doing my own robo-calls, almost all of which will be truthful.
Dusty on February 5, 2008 at 9:20 PM
Nope, PA NJ Mid Atlantic.
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:20 PM
Hershey’s? Oh, I don’t mean to be a snob, but we’ve got to get you hooked up with some Leonidas.
Tzetzes on February 5, 2008 at 9:20 PM
YEAH!!
From personal experience…I know..
Homeschooling was pretty awesome, I switched to Public Schools after my family moved.
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
Y’know, of course, if Huckabee were President, you wouldn’t have any choice about that treadmill…
Tzetzes on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
NJ property taxes are too high, but people like the schools.
dedalus on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
Slightly off-topic, but there’s a huge tornado outbreak in ARK, MO, TN. Keep those people in your thoughts.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
Pretty sweet, thorough election briefing from FOX.
American-Infidels.com on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
HOW can America vote for a power-hungry blatant liar like McCain? Sure, he’s a war hero. Does that mean he’ll be the best leader for our country? Maybe McCain is the best man for Iraq, but what about the myriad issues we face domestically? Borders, taxes, economy, et al… where does McCain ad ANY value on these topics?
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
Cnn Just called New York for McCain!
Go Rudy!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
If Huck wins Ga, Al, Ak, OK, TN and Missouri, I don’t know what Romney would do. Huck may come out with as many delegates as Mitt.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 9:21 PM
Finaly the paul threat is subsiding
Romney 22 29% 0
Huckabee 21 28% 0
Paul 20 26% 0
McCain 13 17% 0
Giuliani 0 0% 0
1%reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
*sigh* Still part of the Northeast!
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
Best baby sitters your Prop Taxes can buy
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
McCain
New York
New Jearsey
Illinois
Connecticut
Delaware
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
Good thing I don’t have that milkshake or it would be all over the screen!
TX Mom on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
CNN calls NY for McCain
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:22 PM
How great would it be if Romney won AZ? As McCain pointed out his MA newspaper endorsements “from the papers that know you (Mitt) best…” it would be GREAT to see Mitt take AZ and slam the bejezus out of McCain.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:23 PM
CNN calls NY for McCain
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Huckabee is way up in Missouri after 10% - bad news for Mac. But McCain has a big lead in Alabama after 10% - why has AP called this for Huckabee?
Pax americana on February 5, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Because a lot of people have swallowed the specious argument that, somehow, being a “war hero” immunizes you against also being a nasty, mean-spirited old coot.
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Actually, its a good night. Obama is getting hammered where the big votes are, and McVain already does well in polls against the Beast. So we don’t have to beat the black guy, we just have to beat the witch who did.
pedestrian on February 5, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Don’t count Rudy out yet! He’s skipping some of these early primaries.
dedalus on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Hey, I call it like I see them. ;-)
If its Obama/Hillary vs McCain/Huckabee, the only one who will win will be the IRS, as our taxes will surely go up after Social Security implodes and the deficit reaches unholy heights.
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Hmm, Huck vs Romney? Where was it I saw that? A Japanese giant-monster movie? Or was it in Revelation.
Tzetzes on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
To Paraphrase Agent Smith:
You hear that Mr. romney?… That is the sound of inevitability… It is the sound of your concession… Goodbye, Mr. Romney
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
I’m beginning to wonder if Rudy was planning this all along. Just the first of many dark theories to spring from this apocalyptic Tuesday I’m sure.
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Oklahoma 40% reporting
McCain 40,487 38%
Huckabee 35,125 33%
Romney 24,462 23%
Paul 3,740 4%
Giuliani 955 1%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Indeed
P.S. I hope you’re reading this, Chakra Hammer
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Goodbye GOP.
CABE on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Hmm, things are looking interesting in Arizona. My God, if McCain can’t win his own state, shouldn’t that give the other states who will vote later some pause?
jewells45 on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Amen to that. Shudder.
Geronimo on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Barone is discussing incorrect exit poll numbers for Obama in Alabama.
SCGOPgirl on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Let’s keep it friendly…
sulla on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Down the Rat
RabbitHole we go.Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Conspiracy theories are for Huckabee.
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Bkennedy & Kini -
Hope this will clear up your confusion.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:26 PM
What’s up with Oklahoma… don’t they realize that Giuliani dropped out? Damned Sooners. ;-)
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Please, don’t confuse our electorate with things like the issues. Did you know McCain was a P.O.W.? That he led a flight squadron? That’s all you need to know, screw the issues.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Some words on McCain’s prolife credentials:
1. He is in favor of ESC Research
2. He filed an amicus curiae brief in Wisconsin Right to Life v. Federal Election Commission. On behalf of WRTL? Oh, no. Don’t forget Russ Feingold is from Wisconsin.
As Andy McCarthy so succinctly put it:
More here:
INC on February 5, 2008 at 9:26 PM
And I should add that the media will be quick to disabuse us of this notion starting the moment McCain declares victory.
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Only two things come out of Oklahoma steers and Guiliani supporters….
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:27 PM
Wilder effect for sure. White people are so skiddish about being called raaaaaaaaaaacist. Not me, mind you…just sayin’! I’m sure they skewed the exits at least some.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 9:27 PM
I know that McCain’s daddy helped him move up the chain. I know that McCain lost three planes during the war. I know that he has a bad temper and sucks at economic issues and the border.
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:27 PM
You might want to wait until you have actual results instead of exit polls before you schedule the party.
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 9:27 PM
Missouri was a “must win” for Romney
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Certainly true. I’m sure when the dust settles someone is going to want to have some explanation for how everything went so horribly. “Conspiracy theories”
blankminde on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Obama takes Alabama.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I also hope,,, nah i don’t. But maybe some choice Romney supporters on TV crying. Ingraham or somebody.
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
McCain beating Romney in Montana
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Looks like Mitt will pick up CO, UT, possibly CA. This could be a very interesting mess with Huckster doing better than I expected.
jwp1964 on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
AZ would be a massive win for Romney, but I wouldn’t bank on it happening just yet.
McCain is ahead in Montana - Romney expected to win here.
Pax americana on February 5, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Can any of the Romney Haters explain why you hate him?
cannonball on February 5, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Return of the Mack!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Um, it says Middle Atlantic on the map…
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 9:29 PM
if McCain doesn’t become president he could have trouble holding on to his seat out there.
jp on February 5, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Bradley Effect?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
reppac122 on February 5, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Don’t encourage them. They’re just going to parrot the “flip-flopper” cant, and make fun of him for being rich.
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:30 PM
He is anti gun? Is that a good enough reason?
muyoso on February 5, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Alabama 24% reporting
McCain 54,351 41%
Huckabee 48,535 36%
Romney 24,943 19%
Paul 3,923 3%
Giuliani 846 1%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 9:24 PM
that link took me to a BHO site. I had to disinfect my laptop. uck!
jerrytbg on February 5, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Since none of you gave any specifics I still like Huck!
CCRWM on February 5, 2008 at 9:30 PM
I’ve been a hunter pretty much all my life
I had the endorsement of the NRA
I saw my father marching with Martin Luther King jr.
I was an Independent during Reagan-Bush i’m not trying to Return to Reagan-Bush
Just to name a few.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Huck takes Arkansas
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 9:31 PM
It’s part of the Northeast like…New England.
Sheesh.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 9:31 PM
I actually don’t hate him. I am just sick of the slime he and his supporters have been pouring on anyone they disagree with.
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 9:32 PM
McCain up 4% in OK with 49% reporting.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:32 PM
You gonna apologize for that “penis” remark?
CABE on February 5, 2008 at 9:32 PM
McCain should win OK, with Female voters, he split with Huck on Male voters.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Uh, huh. Is that “slime” anything like calling your opponents “nativist”, “racist”, and “un-Christian”?
Lehosh on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Let’s this be the last time we have to hear about Hope, Arkansas, please. No more “boys from Hope.” NO MORE!
phronesis on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
If Romney wasn’t in it Huck would be winning!
CCRWM on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
You’ll take your slime and like it Mr. JayHaw. Like it, do you hear?
Geronimo on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Domestic partners? LOL. Very good one.
dedalus on February 5, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Want specifics?
He pardoned more convicted criminals than the three Governors before him combined. Against the begging of prosecutors and others, he pardoned several criminals who went on to commit other crimes, including murder and rape.
He favored tuition breaks for the kids of illegals. He raised taxes. He favors a smoking ban. He said opposition to the so-called “Comprehensive Immigration Reform” was partially driven by racism.
There are some specifics.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 9:34 PM
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