Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri
posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit
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We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.
Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.
Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.
Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.
Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?
Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.
Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.
Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.
Update: Via Drudge, brutal.
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.
Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.
Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.
Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.
Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.
Hillary wins Tennessee.
Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?
Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.
Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.
Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.
Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.
Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.
Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.
Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.
Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.
Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.
Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.
Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.
Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.
Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.
Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.
Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?
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Your delegate math needs work. According to this, about half the delegates are winner-take-all, whereas the rest are awarded by district. If it were Romney-McCain-Huck 40-30-30 in every district, Romney would get 100% of the delegates, having won everything possible. That is not “proportional” by any definition of the word.
calbear on February 5, 2008 at 7:47 PM
McCain 1,853 36%
Huckabee 1,737 33%
Romney 1,345 26%
Paul 125 2%
Giuliani 88 2%
1%reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:48 PM
Hmmm, I wonder if Huckabee will be as lovey-dovey with McCain if he wins as McCain has hinted he will be with Huck if McCain wins…
If that makes sense.
NTWR on February 5, 2008 at 7:51 PM
I would call him an excellent leader, probably the best, being neck and neck with McCain. Frankly leaders are shepherds, they keep their flock in their camp and I think he would be better at it than anyone else because they really don’t care what he does, they are “inspired”. That is basically a blank check. Almost all politicians are snakes but fewer would be excellent shepherds. I do agree with you that he is a snake but differ on the matter of leadership, but my definition of leadership is based on historical precedent, not what is ideal since I don’t think that will exist in my lifetime. If he was not a leader he wouldn’t be worrisome.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:52 PM
Huckabee 3,836 35%
McCain 3,833 35%
Romney 2,756 26%
Paul 238 2%
Giuliani 125 1%
2% reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:53 PM
Will McCain will be so lovey dovey with Huck if McCain doesn’t do well may be the more important question.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:54 PM
Other election returns getting ready to come in
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:54 PM
Wow…Romney winning Gwinnett County…Atlanta suburb. This is FANTASTIC news!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 7:56 PM
Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee polls close in about 3 minutes.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:56 PM
I think Obama is going to pull out the Dem. nomination… Hmmm.
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 7:57 PM
Georgia
McCain 3,918 36%
Huckabee 3,876 35%
Romney 2,782 25%
2%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 7:57 PM
The scuttlebutt was that Mitt would do well in the metro-Atlanta area while the country folk….
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:58 PM
More projections less than a minute away.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:59 PM
Now Huck is back on top 196 votes
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 7:59 PM
I love the south but these results show that I should never talk politics or religion when down there, but if I do, speak with an accent since its good for about twenty percentage points.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:59 PM
Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee polls now closed.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:00 PM
McCain carries CT.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:00 PM
Mass. carried by Romney. Illinois carried by McCain.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:00 PM
That Dem race in Georgia is closer than they had been leading us to believe.
Obama 7,596 53%
Clinton 5,975 42%
2% reporting
WoosterOh on February 5, 2008 at 8:01 PM
What is up with Huck winning? It befuddles me…
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 8:01 PM
Obama carries Illinois. Clinton carries Oklahoma.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:01 PM
Fox News is talking racial breakdown of voters. If Obama loses, his camp will blame “those racist southerners.”
pullingmyhairout on February 5, 2008 at 8:02 PM
PROJECTION ARMAGEDDON!!!
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 8:02 PM
McCain Win Illinois!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:02 PM
Obama himself is a projection.
Of the id of the naive.
profitsbeard on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
Lots of voters who just won’t for Mitt.
cool breeze on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
He gets the can’t vote Mormon and McCain vote.
He gets the “he’s lack me” vote.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
Hillary takes Tennessee…
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
CNN projects: Romney wins Mass.; McCain wins Conn. and Illinois; Obama wins Illinois; Clinton wins Okla.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
McCain wins Juarez!
profitsbeard on February 5, 2008 at 8:03 PM
Haha… yeah, I’m sure you’re right. *sigh*
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 8:05 PM
Looks like I will be staying home for the nationals…
Peace2Israel on February 5, 2008 at 8:05 PM
I hope Hillary cries.
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 8:06 PM
I’m about to go out & cast the tie-breaking vote for McCain.
jgapinoy on February 5, 2008 at 8:09 PM
W00T!!!
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
But she said she wouldn’t.
ColdBore76 on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
bible thumpers (like my dad)
NeverSubmit on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
Figure of speech?
see-dubya on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
Huckabee is leading in GA.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
jgapinoy
Pick up a few illegals on the way,just to make sure, then hope they dont kill you when you drop them off, but McCain will help you out.
WoosterOh on February 5, 2008 at 8:11 PM
Don’t do that. Too many have done too much to give you that privilege. There ARE congressional races, too. We have to ensure at least a close Senate. We can NOT let the democrat party get close to 60 votes.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 8:12 PM
Wow… I’d absolutely LOVE it if Romney wins Arizona… Talk about karma.
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 8:12 PM
MAC ATTACK!!!
Return of the MACK!!!
McCain wins New Jersey!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:13 PM
Go Johnny MACK!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:13 PM
I’ve been watching that. It could be. AZ anti-immigration Republicans and LDS surge. The LDS voters are VERY motivated this year, and they usually don’t vote Democratic. We won’t know what is going on until we see the exit details, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a very large % of AZ LDS voters turning out in this primary. You can’t really poll for that demographic here, we have LDS throughout the state. Apart from city of Mesa which is heavily LDS, the saints are pretty evenly distributed throughout the state.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:13 PM
MS13 holds parades in Trenton to celebrate the victory.
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:13 PM
All I see is Obama signs and supporters here in my town in NJ. Something was on my door urging me to vote for him when I got home. Saw at least 4 people on the short ride home standing on the street with signs. Obama supporters came to my door on Saturday.
Fox is saying he’s making it close here.
Dash on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
My parents are pretty devout Christians, and they cannot stand Huckabee, or McCain.
Actually, most Christians I know dislike (or at least, do not support) Huckabee.
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Obama better watch his back if he beats the Clintons. Seriously folks!
go Mitt!!!
Winebabe on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Wow. If Romney wins Arizona…..man. What a slap in the face to McCain.
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Well, it would be something to raz McCain about that is for sure. Shows McCain going to MA was pretty stupid.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
I always giggle when I think back to last year when Osama Bin Ladens right hand man scolded the Dem Congress for not living up to their promises…for Petes sake, doesnt this tell the whole story.
malkinmania on February 5, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Huckabee is winning Georgia? Well, I do declare!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 8:16 PM
Maybe a lot of Huckabee’s voters don’t have land lines.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 8:16 PM
Arkansas polls close in 10min
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:17 PM
I usually agree with Bill Bennett, but I have an issue with what he just said. He points out that talk radio loves Lieberman and wants him to join the party, so he can’t understand our objection to McCain since Lieberman is to the Left of McCain.
Because we’re not asking Lieberman to run as president, Bill. I would have a bigger objection to Lieberman.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Well, at least Huck is stealing from McCain. I’m disappointed to see him winning so many states.
TX Mom on February 5, 2008 at 8:18 PM
It will give Mitt something to smile about while he writes his concession speech.
JayHaw Phrenzie on February 5, 2008 at 8:18 PM
McCain tied with Romney in AZ? Ouch. If true, will this be a useful tool against McCain on in the campaign?
McCain should carry his own state well, as Romney did in his. If McCain scraps by in his own state, that would be hilarious!
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Can they run land lines under rocks nowadays?
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Like this?
aclark on February 5, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Say, is this a lefty troll trying the old “racist Republican” sockpuppet, or does this represent community opinion here?
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Obama vs McCain would be devastating. Not even a contest. John represents the change Obama is selling. Tired, old, bitter, white guy representing inside the Beltway interests against fresh, energetic, charismatic, young black guy with a dream.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
So a good razzing is the high expectations for the evening? Excellent.
lorien1973 on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Bill Clinton can be called in to get the rocks off.
malkinmania on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Barone just suggested that Romney is not really in contention in Georgia.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Fox has Karl Rove on. He will be there all night. Well, I guess I know what channel I’ll be watching tonight.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Tennessee
McCain 4,823 35%
Romney 3,610 26%
Huckabee 2,844 21%
0%
reporting
———
The exit polls favor Huckabee in TN, with Men..
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:20 PM
He’ll pledge them to McCain in the end
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Na Na Na Poo Poo
I won your home state!
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Yea, but AZ is a winner take all state, so if McCain wins by 51% he wins the state.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM
McCain wins the Female Tennessee Voters.
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM
I have a feeling you’ll only be posting pro-McShamnesty returns tonight.
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Hahaha… We’ll see, we’ll see. You may be right, but we’ll see how it all plays out.
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 8:22 PM
How does that work? If Huckabee endorses McCain, do his delegates have to vote for McCain at the convention?
TX Mom on February 5, 2008 at 8:22 PM
Not sure there is a coummunity opinion here. We mostly fight amongst ourselves, but you’re welcome to pick a side.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 8:22 PM
“Other” is getting 29% in New Jersey. Go Rudy! or, Fred! or somebody.
pedestrian on February 5, 2008 at 8:22 PM
They wanted to choose the most corrupt guy on the ballot but couldn’t decide. Those NJ voters!
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:24 PM
Go Rudy!
Go Johnny Big Mac!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:24 PM
Gotta enjoy the victories where you can find them… :p
Nineball on February 5, 2008 at 8:24 PM
Probably just a lefty troll. Most people on this blog are pretty pro-amnesty and would never for a minute suspect an undocumented American as being especially prone to crime.
billy on February 5, 2008 at 8:24 PM
I remember on “conservative” radio back in Phoenix the hosts were mostly pro, or at least respectful to, McCain, but I never heard a happy caller when he would grace his constituents with his presence.
If you look back at the past few re-elections he only won because there was no one running against him.
And yes, Conservatives hate him there too!
Vigilante on February 5, 2008 at 8:25 PM
I got a shiver up my spine when I saw this.
FULTON COUNTY, GEORGIA BIG FOR ROMNEY (so far) If this holds it is HUGE HUGE HUGE
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 8:25 PM
Rudy’s just getting warmed up. He’s just waiting for the other guys to get overconfident…and then he’ll make his move.
dedalus on February 5, 2008 at 8:25 PM
McCain up 11% in TN.. 2% reporting..
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:26 PM
If McCain wins the most delegates in the end, it won’t matter.
Unless the convention is a brokered convention, but I don’t think that will happen.
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 8:26 PM
You Know It!
Hiney Von Pewps on February 5, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Hey, on Fox News it’s a segment on blogs. They’re going over the conservative blogs on the discussion between Romney and McCain. I wonder if they go around HA? (They didn’t mention HA.)
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Are you ready for McCain/Huckabee?
That’d really convince conservatives McShamnesty is one of them.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:27 PM
I can’t figure out what is going on in GA. The early returns need to be taken in light of which precints are reporting. I just can’t believe Huckster is leading followed so close by McCain. I did not like Fox’s characterization of Romney voters calling them rich white men. I am not sure McCain is really taking the military vote like they said either.
Oh well sit back and enjoy the ride.
Just A Grunt on February 5, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Based on that Arizona exit poll cited in National Review, maybe McCain knew something about his home state and he wanted to deflect the trouble losing AZ would cause by peeing in Romney’s pool.
sweetlipsbutterhoney on February 5, 2008 at 8:28 PM
Seriously folks, the Clintons have been planning this for far too long for them to just let Barack Obama nab the nomination. We’ve seen the Clintons will say anything to get elected, the question is will they do anything to get elected?
BlackCapitalist on February 5, 2008 at 8:28 PM
I guess that I should not be too surprised if the Huckster wins in my home state of Georgia. After all, we did elect Jimmah as governor:(
dawgyear on February 5, 2008 at 8:29 PM
Yeah, I’d definately stay home w/ that. I would consider voting for McShamnesty in the general if somebody like Mark Sanford was the Veep. But, Huck????
malan89 on February 5, 2008 at 8:30 PM
Arkansas polls closed, Clinton and Huckabee win.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 8:30 PM
Juan Williams kills me…WHITE PEOPLE VOTING FOR OBAMA?!!? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 8:30 PM
Until I hear about the precincts around Atlanta being added in I wouldn’t be so quick to call it for Huckabee.
Just A Grunt on February 5, 2008 at 8:31 PM
Love it!!!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 8:31 PM
I would be great if Clinton wins the nomination and then all the Obamites protested by not voting in the general. lol
But what would be even greater would be for Fred to re-eenter and win!
TheSitRep on February 5, 2008 at 8:32 PM
Lon Horiuchi might owe the Clinton’s a “favor” for his job security.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 8:32 PM
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