Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri
posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit
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We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.
Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.
Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.
Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.
Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?
Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.
Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.
Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.
Update: Via Drudge, brutal.
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.
Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.
Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.
Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.
Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.
Hillary wins Tennessee.
Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?
Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.
Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.
Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.
Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.
Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.
Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.
Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.
Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.
Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.
Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.
Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.
Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.
Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.
Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.
Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?
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Obama carries Georgia, CNN predicts.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:00 PM
Republican race in Georgia too close to call.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:00 PM
Georgia returns are just starting to come into the CNN site
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:01 PM
Damn! CNN calling Georgia for Obama already! 7:00pm!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 7:01 PM
Come on Georgia! We’ll take a small Huckmania or Maverick victory. If Romeny doesn’t get Georgia he MUST get Missouri or Tennessee.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 5, 2008 at 7:01 PM
Drudge
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
Here in Georgia, there were a bunch of Obama signs in my area. His ads were on constantly, Huckabee’s were on often also.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
Hillary wont carry a single southern state mark my words
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
We love Firefly and Serenity… I wish they would revive the series and do episodes set before the movie. Zoe and Wash had such a great dynamic, I was sad to see him killed off. Actually all the characters are superlative, we’re currently in the middle of re-watching the series (for the umpteenth time).
Come on Mitt! It’s been a hard few days, but he’s the best there is in this race. He’s fought against illegals, lowered taxes, is a businessman, has a plan for the GWOT. McCain thinks he deserves it; we don’t OWE anyone the Presidency. McCain’s a Beltway insider who has made a career of flirting with the left and buddying them up to them. If I wanted to vote for a lib, I’d be a Democrat!
linlithgow on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
I just got off the phone with my Mom. She said she’s voting McCain just to spite all the Talkers. She’s liberal, but she said the two Dem’s are too socialist for her.
p0s3r on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
Opps forgot arkansas
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
Obama is going to regret all those gerrymandered districts when it comes to allocating delegates.
rw on February 5, 2008 at 7:02 PM
David Gergen says HOLD THE FORT on a McCain big sweep. Hmmmmmmm.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 7:03 PM
Woohoo Supertuesday
keepin an eye on the Illinois senate republican race Steve Saeurberg has the best shot at defeating Dick Turbin Durbin in November
Kevin43 on February 5, 2008 at 7:04 PM
That’s funny, I clicked on the ABC News link on Drudge about the “Change over experience” and the pic they have of all the candidates has McCain between Obama and Clinton on the right side, while Romney is not only pictured with a not-so-campaign look is all the way on the left.
Not so photo worthy for Mitt I expected, but putting McCain with the Democrats? I’m just shocked!
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 7:04 PM
:prays Gergen is right:
SimplyKimberly on February 5, 2008 at 7:04 PM
Marked and quoted : )
Rick on February 5, 2008 at 7:05 PM
William Amos, Clinton took Tennessee.
p0s3r on February 5, 2008 at 7:05 PM
Via CNN - Democrats:
Georgia Female voters: 62%
Georgia Male Voters: 38%
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:05 PM
CNN has thier georgia exit polls up
Huck wins women, Mitt wins men in Georgia
huck wins under 30 Mitt wins over 40 and McCain wins over 60
Huck wins very religeous voters McCain wins least religeous
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:06 PM
linlith,
I watched most of the first season of Firefly and I have to say, it had great potential, but I think they failed mostly because their episodes were mostly unrelated to each other, meaning no real developing storyline. It just seemed like a bunch of random episodes they just happened to pick every week.
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 7:06 PM
I can’t believe Huckabee is going to win every southern state because “he tawks like dem” are they really that stupid?
joncoltonis on February 5, 2008 at 7:07 PM
As a woman, I am ashamed of my sistahs!
ihasurnominashun on February 5, 2008 at 7:07 PM
Blame FOX for that. They shuffled the deck and had them appear out of the intended order.
I still cry about Firefly’s cancellation. But the Big Damn Movie was incredible.
SimplyKimberly on February 5, 2008 at 7:07 PM
I hope the Romney-ites prevail tonight, at least to drag this thing out. While I see it as lose-lose more situation this is the closest thing that “conservative” Republicans ever come to introspection, which is the Republicans’ biggest problem. McCain is the bigger problem now because of who he is and his current momentum, but I wouldn’t call Romney a solution. The man is no conservative, he is just a safer Rockefeller than the ego maniac with a Teddy Roosevelt fetish.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:08 PM
can’t believe Huckabee is going to win every southern state because “he tawks like dem” are they really that stupid?
joncoltonis on February 5, 2008 at 7:07 PM
Most of the south are the Zell Miller type of democrat. NC has a dem state government but sends REP to the national arena
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 7:09 PM
georgia CNN exit polls
Male (52%)Female (48%)
Giuliani 0% 2%
Huckabee 31% 32%
McCain 30% 31%
Paul 5% 4%
Romney 32% 30%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:10 PM
Second wave of Dem exit polls.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 7:10 PM
The mind is the first thing to go. Here’s a strong argument for euthanasia of the elderly.
sheesh on February 5, 2008 at 7:10 PM
Drudge changes headline to: OBAMA LARGE IN SOME EXITS; ROMNEY SHOWS PULSE
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:11 PM
joncoltonis on February 5, 2008 at 7:07 PM
I’m from AR, and have lived in the south my entire life. Sadly there is a large portion of the population down here who break things down that simplisticly.
modin5540 on February 5, 2008 at 7:11 PM
GEORGIA results here…although the networks will probably be faster.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 7:11 PM
In dem georgia exit polls Obama wins men and women and all age groups except those over 60
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:12 PM
It’s not that Southerns are stupid and voting for Huck. It’s that Southerners Republicans are more religious, more social conservative, and less economically conservative than the “average” Republican. The South is poorer and still comparatively reliant upon agricultural and manufacturing jobs. Huck’s populism resonates there, as does his faith. Plus, Mitt’s “slickness” doesn’t play well. Authenticity, or the appearance of it, goes a long way down here. I hate Huck, btw.
RW Wacko on February 5, 2008 at 7:12 PM
Good lord is right.
Topsecretk9 on February 5, 2008 at 7:13 PM
Simply Kimberly, do you have a link to Gergen’s analysis?
linlithgow on February 5, 2008 at 7:13 PM
Wow, I can’t type today. Too much moonshine and time spent in the heat fixin’ my pickup in the front yard.
RW Wacko on February 5, 2008 at 7:13 PM
Huck is winning in Georgia because of the Fair Tax. Georgia is the unofficial state of the Fair Tax what with Linder being a state congressman and Boortz being the big conservative voice from Atlanta.
Queasy on February 5, 2008 at 7:16 PM
Sounds like you had yerself a nice afternoon, there.
Rick on February 5, 2008 at 7:16 PM
Georgia is one of the dark red states on the map…..Romney takes it. I am just saying…..
David in ATL on February 5, 2008 at 7:16 PM
Clinton looks good in Cali in those exit polls.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:17 PM
Dang it! I forgot I lent Serenity to a friend of mine (who needs to be converted).
Anyways, Hulu is playing Firefly (in order) for those who are lucky enough to get inside.
PS
I think in 2008, we all may be screwed.
Help us Obi Wan Mitt Romney, you are our only hope.
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 7:19 PM
That’s what I call a SERIOUS a$$ kicking.
Rick on February 5, 2008 at 7:19 PM
Have you punched a McCain supporter today?
paulsur on February 5, 2008 at 7:19 PM
Georgia exit poll Abortion question
Legal Illegal (33%)(64%)
Giuliani 2% 1%
Huckabee 19% 42%
McCain 39% 25%
Paul 7% 3%
Romney 34% 29%
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:19 PM
What’s the delegate count at this time?
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:20 PM
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:20 PM
too close to call??????
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 7:21 PM
Now that we have the exit polls we will be able to test the so called Bradley effect with a much larger population after South Carolina. How racist are the Dems?
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:21 PM
From CNN including superdelegates
McCain 111
Romney 94
Huckabee 47
Paul 6
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:21 PM
Finally some results on CNN
Obama 72%
Clinton 23%
0% reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:23 PM
Heheehehee.
Califemme on February 5, 2008 at 7:24 PM
First republiucan voter reports
McCain 158 38%
Romney 116 28%
Huckabee 113 28%
Paul 17 4%
Giuliani 6 2%
0%reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:24 PM
early # in Georgia form cnn
Mac 38
Rom 28
huck 28
modin5540 on February 5, 2008 at 7:25 PM
Obama scares me. I actually like the guy. Yeah, I know he’s a socialist, but he seems like a good dude. Picturing him sitting next to McCain on a stage somewhere, debating, I can almost hear the sound of Obama sucking massive amounts of votes over to his side of the stage. McCain may lead now in the polls, but several months of the media star treatment for Obama vs the old cranky dude is gonna make for a tough campaign. If McCain wants to win, he’s gonna have to play dirty, and I don’t wanna see that, either.
RW Wacko on February 5, 2008 at 7:26 PM
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:24 PM
What state?
billy on February 5, 2008 at 7:27 PM
Georgia
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:27 PM
Obama lost me when the MSM led the news with his “topless” photo from People Mag… Ugh!
Califemme on February 5, 2008 at 7:27 PM
DU reports Chelsea Clinton at CT polling place
Uh oh!
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:29 PM
McCain 427 35%
Romney 408 33%
Huckabee 324 27%
Paul 41 3%
0%reporting
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:29 PM
The current numbers (38%-28%) are with just over 400 votes, or 0% of precincts, counted, so grain of rice so far.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:29 PM
Don’t worry, he’ll play dirty. That’s his MO. It’s in his DNA…Sen McNasty.
jwp1964 on February 5, 2008 at 7:29 PM
Heh. I always love the 0% reporting. Those 1200 voters or so?
NOBODY!
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 7:30 PM
Does anyone have a link to a list of the states divided along winner take all/district split?
linlithgow on February 5, 2008 at 7:30 PM
I don’t even know what Georgia county those votes are from. Everything I click on gives me a big fat zero.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:32 PM
A second look at 0%!
(I am not very good with that line)
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 7:33 PM
Here:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/republican_delegate_count.html#upcomingstates
C means closed
W means winner take all
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:33 PM
Buy Danish - here’s the Georgia SoS website. Breaks it down by county.
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 7:34 PM
It’s going to be a looooooooooong night
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:34 PM
Heheh…Georgia has a county named “Clinch”. INDEED!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 7:34 PM
And criminy…does Georgia really need that many counties? :-)
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 7:34 PM
Clinch, Dooly, Jasper, Seminole and Taylor.
amerpundit on February 5, 2008 at 7:35 PM
Darn I was such Hillary would win CLENCH county !
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:35 PM
Out here in AZ we have counties as large as some NE states.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:35 PM
Fox’s vote ticker is hard to read.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 7:36 PM
RW Wacko on February 5, 2008 at 7:26 PM
Obama worries me as well, but because he is much smarter than his rhetoric. It really makes me wonder what he has in store. One of Harvard’s finest, extremely intelligent, and he speaks in vague platitudes with excellent oratory and timing. He hires Mika’s pop as his foreign policy adviser. Mika might seem pretty sharp for a liberal but her dad is sharper. He is the most respected person to come out of the Carter administration. I see plenty of smart people, with I assume plenty of plans for this country and world, and they don’t want to tell us what they are. I shouldn’t have to point out that he will have a lot of influence in Hollywood and thus pop culture. All of this combined makes him potentially very dangerous.
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:36 PM
Obama is beating hillary so far 2 to 1 but is early
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 7:36 PM
Yeah, but most of those are owned by the government for alien research and stuff.
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 7:37 PM
Second look at socialism!
Obama is more liberal than Hillary albeit less chafing.
NTWR on February 5, 2008 at 7:38 PM
I mean grating. Freudian slip?
NTWR on February 5, 2008 at 7:38 PM
States that close in 20 minutes:
8:00 p.m.
Alabama
Connecticut
Delaware
Illinois
Massachusetts
Missouri
New Jersey
Oklahoma
Tennessee
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:38 PM
We have black blimps out here, but don’t tell anyone.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:39 PM
Romney’s way back in GA…
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 7:39 PM
NTWR,
No, it’s obviously George Bush’s fault you messed up!
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 7:39 PM
Man, something is going wrong out here in Cali. My friend and her boyfriend got absentee ballots with only propositions on them and not candidates. They were told that they had to request a ballot with a party on them if they wanted to vote for someone in either party. One of them was an independant and the other a republican.
I went to vote today and they couldn’t find my name in the voter list. It turns out that they had me listed as an inactive voter with no party affiliation. I have been voting in that same precinct every election for thirteen years. Always republican, every election, off-year and ballot initiative elections. I have never missed one. Now they’re telling me, I haven’t been voting. I am madder than f***ing hell. I khow that we have a lot of problems out here because the polls are almost all controlled by democrats. They have found republican voter registration in the garbage behind the sec of states office in this town before. I got a contact to request a copy of my voting record, if it turns out like I suspect that they have been tossing out my vote, I’m going to look at sueing the state for violation of my civil rights.
Bikerken on February 5, 2008 at 7:40 PM
In fact, I blame George W Bush for a McCain win!
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 7:40 PM
LevStrauss on February 5, 2008 at 7:36 PM
Yes, he has no real record and he is not clear on his plans. He is an unknown charismatic candidate, and I do not trust him one iota, he is not a leader IMHO, he is just the head of a wiley duplicitous snake.
bbz123 on February 5, 2008 at 7:40 PM
Thanks bnelson44!
linlithgow on February 5, 2008 at 7:41 PM
Still at 0%(??) reporting, though.
Slublog on February 5, 2008 at 7:41 PM
Radio America Reports: Huckabee via’ing for McCain Veep!!???
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:41 PM
Your looking at
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:41 PM
Make fun of his accent? Is that all you got? Nothing about being inbred, or a hillbilly, or a Bible-banger?
FWIW, your run-on sentence isn’t the epitome of syntactical fortitude, either.
fourstringfuror on February 5, 2008 at 7:42 PM
Your looking at less than 1% of the vote, still a 3 man race in GA
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 7:42 PM
CNN, Politico…
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 7:42 PM
Thanks - I shoulda thought of that myself!
Tell em about it. Everyone has a different school calendar too, but I digress.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:43 PM
The country goes socialist.
The economy goes to hell… people suffer.
The terrorists win a few battles and make some inroads blowing up stuff in the U.S.
Blame Huckabee……….I will.
Roger Waters on February 5, 2008 at 7:43 PM
I wonder if they have added the absentee ballots to the Georgia totals, there has been early voting here for some time.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 7:45 PM
Um. I meant to say tell [me]about it at 7:43.
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 7:46 PM
Weebork
I am sure you blame Bush for your dysfunction in bathroom stalls also.
Everything is the fault of Bush.
WoosterOh on February 5, 2008 at 7:46 PM
CNN - Hillary 245 to Obama 183 delegate count
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 7:46 PM
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