Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri
posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit
Send to a Friend |
printer-friendly
We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.
Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.
Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.
Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.
Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?
Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.
Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.
Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.
Update: Via Drudge, brutal.
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.
Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.
Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.
Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.
Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.
Hillary wins Tennessee.
Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?
Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.
Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.
Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.
Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.
Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.
Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.
Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.
Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.
Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.
Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.
Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.
Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.
Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.
Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.
Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »
Go Rudy!
Go Big Mac!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 6:15 PM
How the heck does McCain lead on econmy voters? Are they all as ignorant as he is?
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 6:16 PM
I voted for Ron Paul
offroadaz on February 5, 2008 at 6:16 PM
What I find staggering is the three million absentee votes in Cali. Do they already have those counted and just lump them into the totals or do we have to wait for each one to be counted and added to county totals?
Tacitus on February 5, 2008 at 6:18 PM
I knew McCain would take Cali…I just knew it…
JetBoy on February 5, 2008 at 6:18 PM
Looks like Huckabee could win a good part of the south.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 6:19 PM
Uffda!
Chakra Hammer on February 5, 2008 at 6:19 PM
Futile or not, go Romney!
NeoconNews.com on February 5, 2008 at 6:20 PM
I am keeping up a summary tonight on google docs for all the Republican races.
Gonna have my hands full with that without dealing with the other sides numbers.
To the spreadsheet
CommentGuy on February 5, 2008 at 6:20 PM
I wouldn’t count the chickens yet. Cali goes until 11pm Eastern.
Enoxo on February 5, 2008 at 6:20 PM
WTF?
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:21 PM
I’m going to be bald by November.
pullingmyhairout on February 5, 2008 at 6:22 PM
I wondered the same thing, BK. The weird thing is that Mitt is ahead with the security voter.
BacaDog on February 5, 2008 at 6:22 PM
As I always say, many voters’ definitions of “the economy” and its various strengths and weaknesses are entirely subjective and often completely irrational. They’re based on the “what can you do for me?” sentiment, as well as warped perceptions and total cluelessness about the workings of markets. Yes, even among Republicans, and even among those who consider themselves economic conservatives. Don’t expect business leaders to do any better on “the economy” than anyone else.
Big S on February 5, 2008 at 6:22 PM
The same thing happened in Florida.
Complete7 on February 5, 2008 at 6:22 PM
That scared me… until I scrolled up and saw you’re just reporting exit poll data.
BTW, am I the only one who wishes we could eliminate exit polls?
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:23 PM
Yep!
SimplyKimberly on February 5, 2008 at 6:23 PM
I cannot take the suspense…….
I am going to watch a couple of DVD’s with the woman, go to bed, then log in for the results in the am of 02/06…….
The DVD’s are:
Red Dawn…..
Road-House………..
awesum on February 5, 2008 at 6:24 PM
You really need to lay off the energy drinks and heroin for a while, I believe it’s causing a fair amount of brain damage.
ChrisM on February 5, 2008 at 6:25 PM
I say McCain wins by a mere 5% in Arizona, not even getting 45%. Unfortunately, it’s a winner take all state.
Georgia and Missouri to Mitt by a nicely coiffed hair (thanks to bad weather in the Ozarks..Hucky’s prime area).
Alabama is Hucky’s.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:25 PM
THese exit polls really should be outlawed. Sorry, but until ALL pricincts are closed, they DO have an influence.
stenwin77 on February 5, 2008 at 6:26 PM
Wait awhile before giving up. California closes late for the east coast and has a ton of absentee balloting. We may not know until Wednesday who the real winner is.
Also, California is not a winner take all state.
BacaDog on February 5, 2008 at 6:26 PM
Latinos are 30% of the state.
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 6:26 PM
Yeah, I know…it’ll be close, and anything can happen, but it’s looking like McCain will take California by my prediction of 3% over Romney.
I’m not so much counting chickens, but the eggs are looking good!
JetBoy on February 5, 2008 at 6:27 PM
We haven’t even finished our work day yet…a lot of people will head to the polls when they get off.
ProudPatriot on February 5, 2008 at 6:28 PM
REMEMBER EXIT POLLS ARE JUST SURVEYS, THEY ARE NOT VOTES
If you are in a state that is voting today, VOTE, no matter what the exit polls say.
bnelson44 on February 5, 2008 at 6:28 PM
Did you lose a bet? Maybe last Sunday?
The Apologist on February 5, 2008 at 6:28 PM
Could we wait until the polls close all over the country at least before they are released?
Buy Danish on February 5, 2008 at 6:28 PM
I don’t know who will win, but the big loser on both sides is The American People!
bopbottle on February 5, 2008 at 6:29 PM
Thanks for the reality check. Us east-coasters are already starting to drink.
BacaDog on February 5, 2008 at 6:29 PM
MO has picked the president for something like the last 30 years, except for once. Do I dare keep hope alive? Go Mitt!
JustTruth101 on February 5, 2008 at 6:29 PM
Another thing about “the economy” is that it’s a proxy issue for others. If you’re worried about illegal immigration, “the economy” is bad when illegals depress wages, and if you’re worried about health care costs, “the economy” is bad because health care is too expensive. And so on. Remember the old saying that when your neighbor loses his job it’s a recession, and when you lose yours it’s a depression. That logic still applies for many people.
Big S on February 5, 2008 at 6:29 PM
Yes, Florida 2000 comes to mind. The Central time zone counties in the panhandle really changed the course of history. VOTE, PEOPLE!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:29 PM
How the heck does McCain lead on econmy voters? Are they all as ignorant as he is?
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 6:16 PM
McCain lead on the economy with the people who think everything is all right, that everything is fine. McCain said in the MI debate we are not in a recession that everything is fine 9Mitt should have played that clip over and over again), bush says the economy’s fundementals are sound see the connection? the 30% of the base that like Bush and the status quo are voting for McCain. i.e those that are no impacted by higher food/gas prices that do not worry about losing their job to trade, that enjoy the fruits of low waged illegal immigration, etc
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:30 PM
SHHH! You’re ruining the “SC is the decider” media narrative!
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 6:30 PM
Yeah, but I was sleeping when you started work, so its all good…
ProudPatriot on February 5, 2008 at 6:30 PM
At least… but why not ban exit polls all together… what purpose do they serve other than heartache and headaches? The potential to make people stay home? The only thing they do is allow media to go wild rushing to be the first to announce them, but it does NOT serve us well.
Can someone please name one benefit to exit polls?
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:31 PM
Bad weather in the Saint Louis area is good news for Mitt…hopefully keeping away the McCain voters in one his strongest areas, according to SurveyUSA.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:32 PM
You’ve done your country a great service. It’s too bad many others don’t agree.
BlackCapitalist on February 5, 2008 at 6:32 PM
Wow, a double dose of Swayze-Cheese! Better throw in Next of Kin in case it’s a long night.
BuzzCrutcher on February 5, 2008 at 6:32 PM
Juan McCainez: “Thank you … thank you. I hereby accept your nomination for Republican candidate for President. I wish to thank all my supporters, who really kept my immigration stance under the radar and a big thank you to all my Mexican friends who worked tirelessly to see that I usurp the will of the people. To the rest of you so-called Republicans who didn’t vote for me … F*** OFF!
darwin on February 5, 2008 at 6:33 PM
They save the nails of so many liberal MSM hippies.
Why work when you can try and spin your narrative?
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 6:33 PM
Geraghty has exit polls.
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:33 PM
It gives the MSM something to blather on about until the polls actually close and the votes are counted?
Of course, who exactly that benefits is up for debate.
SimplyKimberly on February 5, 2008 at 6:34 PM
Me too.
Zorro on February 5, 2008 at 6:34 PM
I voted for Ron Paul
offroadaz on February 5, 2008 at 6:16 PM
You’ve done your country a great service. It’s too bad many others don’t agree.
BlackCapitalist on February 5, 2008 at 6:32 PM
If it’s a choice between Paul and McCain i think i would vote for the nutcase I know instead of the nutcase of McCain….just saying…at least you know what craziness Paul is going to dream up.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:34 PM
I’ve brewed fresh coffee and cracked a bottle of Bean.
Just in case.
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 6:34 PM
Can someone please name one benefit to exit polls?
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:31 PM
it gives Diebold time to rig the elction for the one they want to win?
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:35 PM
I have to look away, I can’t watch this.
TheSitRep on February 5, 2008 at 6:35 PM
Levin is Ripping McCain.
ColdBore76 on February 5, 2008 at 6:35 PM
Exit polls are like a box of chocolates…….GO MITT!
dmann on February 5, 2008 at 6:35 PM
He has Romney on, 1835 EST.
ColdBore76 on February 5, 2008 at 6:35 PM
Arizona running 44% for McCain.
Sweet.
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:36 PM
Are you the poster on Mediatakeout.com (THE largest “black gossip” site on the web!) that’s always posting stuff about Ron Paul?
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:37 PM
My wife and I voted for Mitt in CA. Not that it’s important to the rest of the country, but we also voted to allow the Indian Tribes who have casinos more slot machines, etc.
I just think it would be funny if Romney ended up winning most of the votes in CA of all places.
I think I need to make some fresh coffee for tonight. If you haven’t tried French press, I highly recommend it. You’ll never go back to drip again.
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 6:37 PM
A reminder of the spreadsheet I am updating once the polls close.
Make sure you go to the upper left corner and click on the tab that is labeled Super Tuesday.
Follow along in another tab in your browser and refresh it once in a while for updates.
CommentGuy on February 5, 2008 at 6:37 PM
Too funny!
And I fear we’ll all be taxed to death by next year at this time…
Zorro on February 5, 2008 at 6:37 PM
Arizona running 44% for McCain
Sweet.?????
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:36 PM
A sitting senator can only get 44% of his state and you call that sweet? That is a disgrace and shows how hated McCain really is. Or where you being funny?
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:38 PM
Hopefully when Romeny in on Levine, we’ll finally get that apology for questioning Dole’s military service.
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 5, 2008 at 6:38 PM
I just clicked over to Michelle’s site, and I was stunned. I predicted this…(see way above post!), and I swear I didn’t cheat! Am I psychic, or just desperate for any McCain loss?
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:38 PM
Same benefit a shaking your presents before Christmas.
They’re crack for impatient political junkies.
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:39 PM
THE CHOSEN ONE on February 5, 2008 at 6:38 PM
damn the apologies and full steam ahead. what is with this need for apologies? apologies are for beta males. Mr. Woodcock said so.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:40 PM
Drudge has flashing light - Obama
Kini on February 5, 2008 at 6:40 PM
Been so busy trying to chase George Washington I forgot there was a SuperDuperMegaMaxiGiganto primary today. Paul wins right?
Limerick on February 5, 2008 at 6:41 PM
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:38 PM
Sorry.
I think it’s sweet because St. John is the sitting senator who can’t crack 50% in his home state.
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:41 PM
Looks like a good time to pop in Serenity!
Although hopefully the sequel will be out by…2010? :-(
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 6:41 PM
No matter what the exit polls say…..VOTE. If you don’t then the MSM wins.
volsense on February 5, 2008 at 6:42 PM
I still get a lump in my throat EVERY time I see the coveted Drudge sirene!
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:42 PM
billy on February 5, 2008 at 6:41 PM
I thought that just wanted to clarify and throw a stone. I really really really hate McCain. I would love to vote in the general election but it seems if the results are any indication I will be leaving that box blank come election day.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:43 PM
Since I won’t have any hair left to highlight, I guess they can take the rest of my money.
pullingmyhairout on February 5, 2008 at 6:43 PM
Looks like a good time to pop in Serenity!
Although hopefully the sequel will be out by…2010? :-(
Darnell Clayton on February 5, 2008 at 6:41 PM
great movie and series.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:44 PM
And I fear we’ll all be taxed to death by next year at this time…
Zorro on February 5, 2008 at 6:37 PM
Can’t raise taxes in a depression
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:45 PM
If Gore had carried his home state, Florida would not have mattered. Bush would’ve never been president. McCain not carrying his home state should mean the same thing. When those who know you best reject you, why should other states vote for you?
volsense on February 5, 2008 at 6:45 PM
Damn. I like Brit, but Bill Kristol and Fred Barnes must be positioning themselves for a McCain cabinet position.
BacaDog on February 5, 2008 at 6:45 PM
Might be the only good thing to look forward to…
Darksean on February 5, 2008 at 6:48 PM
You know the really great thing about not caring which candidate wins?
I get to watch all of you go insane with anticipation… and for most of you, heartache.
Let me taste your tears
Hollowpoint on February 5, 2008 at 6:48 PM
from drudge:
WARNING: EXIT NUMBERS EARLY AND DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL VOTES:
OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…
CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:48 PM
The Mormons in CA all have jobs so they’ll show up after work :)
Go Mitt
jawbone on February 5, 2008 at 6:50 PM
Nah, I’m just a pissed off, young, black, internet entrepreneur who dislikes the prospect of being royally screwed over with taxes and inflation in my near future with our government’s obscene spending home and abroad.
BlackCapitalist on February 5, 2008 at 6:50 PM
Those are toss-ups, and the big prizes are Clinton’s according to those numbers…
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 6:50 PM
As a former Starbucks partner, I highly agree…nothing better! Except maybe a Clover press, but since they are $11K…I’ll happily stick with my French Press…coffee the way God intended!
ihasurnominashun on February 5, 2008 at 6:51 PM
I’ve quit watching Fox News election coverage just because I can’t stand Kristol or Barnes.
Mark1971 on February 5, 2008 at 6:51 PM
Mitt should be safely ahead here in Massachusetts, so I just crossed over to vote against Hillary. I know several other Republicans who are doing the same thing.
Go Obama!
cool breeze on February 5, 2008 at 6:52 PM
Access. That’s all they’re after. The financial benefits derive from that. Maybe Kristol is angling for Press Secretary.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 6:53 PM
Don’t underestimate McCain and the democraps…
Zorro on February 5, 2008 at 6:53 PM
Are you in NC? I’m a gay conservative…I need some other “misfit-don’t-fit-the-mold” friends….lol
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:54 PM
Access. That’s all they’re after. The financial benefits derive from that. Maybe Kristol is angling for Press Secretary.
a capella on February 5, 2008 at 6:53 PM
No it runs deeper that that. they truly like the kool-aid of a moderate. They were for amnesty too.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:54 PM
Ah, millions of morons who are voting for someone yet have absolutely no idea why they are doing it.
http://hotair.com/archives/2008/02/04/hannity-to-pro-obama-luntz-focus-group-name-one-of-his-accomplishments/
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:55 PM
Heh. That goes for conservatives in general I would think.
Mojave Mark on February 5, 2008 at 6:55 PM
I voted for Mitt in MA before I went to work today.
BKennedy on February 5, 2008 at 6:56 PM
CNN has that way cool map! FOXNews needs a map with Michael Barone manning it, and less blathering from Juan and Bill Kristol.
SouthernGent on February 5, 2008 at 6:56 PM
Hollowpoint 2/05 @ 6:48
Tears of unfathomable sadness?
(South Park episode)
Weebork on February 5, 2008 at 6:56 PM
Don’t underestimate McCain and the democraps…
Zorro on February 5, 2008 at 6:53 PM
good point, the dems raised tarrifs during the Great depression that led to you guessed it a longer and deeper depression. they also made it illegal to own gold. got to love the dems they are just so concerned with the avg guy.
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:57 PM
Just goes to show you the mentality of most Americans. It’s truly quite pathetic and scary…
pullingmyhairout on February 5, 2008 at 6:57 PM
Fitting considering the intra-Republican cannibalism of late.
Hollowpoint on February 5, 2008 at 6:58 PM
Yeah, but I can’t stand Cafferty.
Rick on February 5, 2008 at 6:58 PM
RightWinged on February 5, 2008 at 6:55 PM
but…but….but…they want change…they need change…they are just so tired of the way things are….they have no idea what they want to change…but damn it they want the change….
unseen on February 5, 2008 at 6:59 PM
Man I just cannot post a link to the CNN site on here anymore
William Amos on February 5, 2008 at 6:59 PM
CNN:Barack wins Georgia
Vizzini on February 5, 2008 at 7:00 PM
Comment pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »