Open thread: Super Tuesday results! Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Connecticut, Illinois; Update: McCain 36, Romney 36 in … Arizona? Update: Hillary wins Massachusetts, New Jersey; Update: Maverick takes Arizona; Update: Hillary wins Missouri

posted at 6:15 pm on February 5, 2008 by Allahpundit

We’ll stay with this thread as long as we can. Georgia closes at 7 p.m.; if there’s a late conservative surge towards Mitt, presumably it’ll show up there first. Missouri, which is winner take all, checks in at 8 p.m. After that, it’s a long hard slog until California at 11.

Have I mentioned yet that it would be worth your while to cross over and vote for Hillary? I think I have, but in case you missed it, vote Hillary.

Exit polls as soon as I get them. Stand by.

Update: As of 6 p.m., Megyn Kelly says on Fox that Huck earns 33% of the half or so of GOP voters who voted today who call themselves evangelicals. Mitt leads among immigration voters, with 48%, but McCain leads among economy voters and Iraq voters.

Update: Mitt wins Missouri — but McCain wins California?

Update: Obama leads among black voters, 44-17, and trails among whites only 50-44. Among white women, he trails only 57-44. She’s in trouble, although she does lead big among Latinos.

Update: CNN should have Georgia results at 7 and other states at 8.

Update: “Obama large in exit polls,” says Drudge. Start praying.

Update: Via Drudge, brutal.

OBAMA: Alabama: Obama 60, Clinton 37… Arizona: Obama 51, Clinton 45… Connecticut: Obama 53, Clinton 45… Delaware: Obama 56, Clinton 42… Georgia: Obama 75, Clinton 26… Illinois: Obama 70, Clinton 30… Massachusetts: Obama 50, Clinton 48… Missouri: Obama 50, Clinton 46… New Jersey: Obama 53, Clinton 47…

CLINTON: Arkansas: Clinton 72, Obama 26… California: Clinton 50, Obama 47… New York: Clinton 56, Obama 43… Oklahoma: Clinton 61, Obama 31… Tennessee: Clinton 52, Obama 41…

Update: Obama wins Georgia on the strength of blacks. GOP is too close to call.

Update: Good lord — 86-13 for Obama.

Update: The exit polls give Huck a six-point lead among women in Georgia. It’s a proportional state, so each candidate will take about a third of the delegates.

Update: McCain wins New Jersey, Illinois, and Connecticut, as expected. Huck steals Alabama. Mitt wins Massachusettes. Hillary wins Oklahoma and Obama takes his home state of Illinois.

Megyn Kelly says Obama wins among whites(!) in Connecticut and Hispanics in Illinois, 51-47. Huckabee’s killing Romney among evangelicals in Georgia.

Hillary wins Tennessee.

Update: Wow indeed: Maverick’s home state is in play?

Update: Romney’s running a fairly distant third in Georgia right now, 37-33-25 with Huck in the lead. If Huck holds on, this makes three wins for him already: Georgia, West Virginia, and Alabama, which McCain was supposed to win.

Update: Rove is on FNC right now calling McCain’s decision to campaign in a lost cause like Massachusetts a huge mistake. Georgia was the early prize, not Mitt’s backyard.

Update: Good lord. As of 9 p.m., Fox still can’t call Arizona for Maverick yet. The Glacier wins New York and, whew, Massachusetts too, negating the Waffles/Teddy effect. But Obama wins Delaware and is in position to steal Connecticut.

Update: Whew. Hillary holds onto New Jersey.

Update: No surprise — Maverick takes New York’s winner-take-all delegates. As for Massachusetts, Hillary wins among women 57-40; in Delaware, Obama wins 90% of the black vote.

Update: Dean Barnett e-mails to say Hillary is doing better than the exit polls predicted — and Mitt’s doing worse. The only state McCain’s lost so far that he hoped to carry was Alabama. If Hillary sneaks out of California with a win, it’s a good night for her. 90 minutes until the polls close.

Update: Obama locks up Alabama. Meanwhile, Huck’s on the brink of taking WTA Missouri while McCain leads in Tennessee and it’s a dogfight between Maverick and Huck in Oklahoma. Where’s Romney? The only state he’s won thus far is Massachusetts.

Update: MM notes that McCain’s in trouble in a number of states he was supposed to win: Missouri, Georgia, Arizona, and Alabama (which he’s already supposedly lost). True enough — but it’s Huckabee, not Mitt, who’s knocking him off.

Update: Maverick knocks off Huckabee in Oklahoma. Still no big wins for Mitt.

Update: Mitt wins Utah, as expected. So does Obama.

Update: Damn. Obama takes Connecticut from Hillary.

Update: Mitt takes the North Dakota caucuses. Obama takes the Minnesota caucuses.

Update: Took him long enough but McCain came through in his home state. Arizona goes to Maverick, winner take all.

Update: Drudge says Mitt takes Minnesota, Colorado, and Montana. That’s super, but McCain’s swept all the winner-take-all states and is poised to take Missouri too. If Romney doesn’t take California, this is a disappointment.

Update: Atta girl. The Glacier sneaks through in Missouri. But does she trail in the delegate count?


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Comment pages: 1 12 13 14

Dude, she’s not as hot as Jeri, but still.

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:24 AM

Hurrah! McCain set to win California and Missouri!

This is definitely Jonny Mac’s night. And I will enjoy after all the BS he’s received over this past week. Coulter – Hillary needs you now!

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:21 AM

It won’t just be Coulter…there are many of us conservatives who WILL NOT support McCain…EVER! This is why the Repubs will get destroyed in the general…conservatives have no reason to show up. It’s that simple

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:24 AM

Mrs. McCain would be one of the most attractive first ladies of my lifetime. She’s a looker.

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:17 AM

Well there you are!
McCain in ’08!
ACLU to Guantamano!
Cindy’s a looker!

billy on February 6, 2008 at 12:24 AM

Cindy McCain is also VERY rich. Not that there’s anything wrong with that.

SouthernGent on February 6, 2008 at 12:25 AM

It won’t just be Coulter…there are many of us conservatives who WILL NOT support McCain…EVER! This is why the Repubs will get destroyed in the general…conservatives have no reason to show up. It’s that simple

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:24 AM

Yes they will, the Corw eating starts in a few days, or whenever mitt decides to give up on his folly of a campaign.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:25 AM

Crow eating* even

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:26 AM

I never looked, but she is pretty hot for an old broad.

Hiney Von Pewps on February 6, 2008 at 12:27 AM

That democrat race in Missouri will produce hundreds of conspricary theories tomorrow on the left loon blogs! It’s sooooooooooooooooooo close!

SouthernGent on February 6, 2008 at 12:28 AM

Yes they will, the Corw eating starts in a few days, or whenever mitt decides to give up on his folly of a campaign.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:25 AM

I don’t think you understand. Us conservatives will not vote for John McCain. He is not one of us. Unless we have a third party to vote for, we won’t show up.

malan89 on February 6, 2008 at 12:28 AM

MaryKatharine in the house!

fourstringfuror on February 6, 2008 at 12:29 AM

* TOTAL DELEGATES

John McCain 475
Mitt Romney 151
Mike Huckabee 93
Ron Paul 6

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:29 AM

Yes they will, the Corw eating starts in a few days, or whenever mitt decides to give up on his folly of a campaign.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:25 AM

I don’t think you understand how much many of us despise McCain. You maybe able to forgive having that backstabber consider being the dem VP and allowing 20 million more democraps into the country, but I won’t. I won’t be eating crow. The people who believe people like me will vote for McCain will be eating crow after the general. Enjoy 8 plus years of dems!

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:29 AM

McCain has over 3 Times as many Delegates as Mitt Romney.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:30 AM

So is it true that McCain was urging his supporters, in states he was losing, to vote for Huckabee? What a slime.

oakpack on February 6, 2008 at 12:18 AM

So it is true that concern trolls start whisper campaigns on internet message boards.

Hiney Von Pewps on February 6, 2008 at 12:31 AM

I don’t think you understand how much many of us despise McCain. You maybe able to forgive having that backstabber consider being the dem VP and allowing 20 million more democraps into the country, but I won’t. I won’t be eating crow. The people who believe people like me will vote for McCain will be eating crow after the general. Enjoy 8 plus years of dems!

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:29 AM

Traitor.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:31 AM

billy, most great presidents have tried to govern from the middle. But I have the feeling Mac is going to lower the boom on earmarks and pork. We will hold his feet to the fire over securing the border and yes, a few may get amnesty. But that would have happened with any of the candidates. His stance on torture is out of concern for our troops. Time to shelve the bitter rhetoric and either get on board like a good republican or go someplace else. I don’t think you would tolerate such whineyness would you?

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:32 AM

McCain has over 3 Times as many Delegates as Mitt Romney.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:30 AM

Yes, we know that. Why do you think we’re so depressed.

billy on February 6, 2008 at 12:33 AM

McCain’s contract trading at 95.3 on intrade. It’s over folks.

phronesis on February 6, 2008 at 12:34 AM

Traitor.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:31 AM

You’re kidding me. John McCain has turned his back on the Republican party so many times the other party considered taking him on as THEIR VP and I’m the traitor…you need to cut your dosage of whatever you’re smoking.

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:34 AM

Us conservatives will not vote for John McCain. He is not one of us. Unless we have a third party to vote for, we won’t show up.

malan89 on February 6, 2008 at 12:28

It is some conservative, who imagines that Romney is solid on core issues, and would rather vote Hillary/Obama into office than the GOP nominee.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:35 AM

billy on February 6, 2008 at 12:33 AM

I’m not depressed. The GOP mainstream has given us a candidate with a fighting chance of actually beating HillObama.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:37 AM

Yes, we know that. Why do you think we’re so depressed.

billy on February 6, 2008 at 12:33 AM

Depression is a huge understatement for how I feel. i o longer have a party…this sucks!

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:37 AM

No longer…

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:38 AM

jwp, sucks for you maybe. I’m sick of the hatemongers of my party monkeying up the works. Good riddance!

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:38 AM

It could be worse. You could be Hugh Hewitt.

phronesis on February 6, 2008 at 12:38 AM

Who posted the spreadsheet again?

Great spreadsheet… thanks! Can I post a link on my blogsite?

linlithgow on February 6, 2008 at 12:39 AM

You’re kidding me. John McCain has turned his back on the Republican party so many times the other party considered taking him on as THEIR VP and I’m the traitor…you need to cut your dosage of whatever you’re smoking.

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:34 AM

And you are turning your back on your country..

Both of the dems want to LOSE in Iraq, and WANT to decrease, our military budget, also want to get rid of what has kept us safe.. like the Patriot Act.. Etc..

You vote for Hillary i call you a traitor.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:39 AM

jwp, sucks for you maybe. I’m sick of the hatemongers of my party monkeying up the works. Good riddance!

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:38 AM

How am I a “hate monger”? Because I don’t support your guy? Because I don’t support allowing our government to give our country and our hard earned money to Mexico?

jwp1964 on February 6, 2008 at 12:41 AM

Poor Mark Levin, I bet his head is ’bout to explode.

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:41 AM

Something fishy is going on in Missouri. Obama looks like he’s now ahead with only 6 counties in the state. St Louis makes the difference.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:41 AM

Conservative Talk Radio took it in the teeth tonight, that’s for sure.

Always Right on February 6, 2008 at 12:42 AM

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 12:32 AM

Putting all snarkiness aside for a moment, I’d like to believe you, but I just don’t.
I think this election will mark the end of the revival that began with Goldwater in 1964 and reached fruition in 1980.
Maybe there’s a truebeliever in McCain just waiting to burst out and lead us all into a new era of limited government, a vigorous defence of the nation, and a renewal of the traditional rights of citizenship.
But I just don’t see it.
And now I’m thinking that the best thing now is for the “conservatives” to lose in Nov., lick their wounds, and regroup for 2010.
If in the next few months, you McCain supporters can disabuse me of this notion, I’ll try to keep an open mind.
But right now things don’t look all that swell.

billy on February 6, 2008 at 12:44 AM

Conservative Talk Radio took it in the teeth tonight, that’s for sure.

Always Right on February 6, 2008 at 12:42 AM

Dennis Miller, Prager and Medved only ones worth listening to.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:45 AM

Maybe there are a few more.. worth listening too..

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:46 AM

McCain didn’t even get 50% of the vote in ARIZONA! He got over 50% in liberal blue states that won’t matter to him in the general election. His media-annointed front-runner status isn’t what it seems to those of us that can look beyond the hype.

SouthernGent on February 6, 2008 at 12:49 AM

Dennis Prager is awesome.

Obama looks as if he has sneaked Missouri. This has been a poor night for Hillary. Coulter and Tammy Bruce – your girl needs you now!

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:51 AM

Bill Kristol says Mitt should pull out…surprise!

SouthernGent on February 6, 2008 at 12:53 AM

SouthernGent on February 6, 2008 at 12:49 AM

How many primaries has Romney won outside his homestates of Utah and MA? Struggling? No caucuses in the general I’m afraid. Good thing the GOP voters can see beyond the hype of our so called radio pundits.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:56 AM

I think Rush and Laura are still worth listening to… they just took it in the teeth.

One might really argue that not just talk radio but CONSERVATISM in general took it in the teeth tonight, since I do not for one moment consider Huckabee a conservative.

Always Right on February 6, 2008 at 12:57 AM

Looks mighty close in the Dem race – NBC has them neck and neck on delegates. This is good news.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 1:06 AM

This is good news.

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 1:06 AM

How so? Are you black? or female?

billy on February 6, 2008 at 1:11 AM

I think the hullabaloo that Rush has stirred up is his way of uniting the country. By marginalizing the far right conservatives, many moderate republicans and democrats feel they can vote for McCain because they don’t see him as a right wing zealot that hates their very existence. (their impression of righties, not mine) Advancing a conservative agenda will be alot easier with a moderate republican president than it would be with a socialist democrat. And with the country being so weary of partisan politics lately, a true conservative would sadly have no chance in the general. But nobody is asking you to abandon your principles, I sure don’t plan to.

myamphibian on February 6, 2008 at 1:20 AM

Look, I understand people are concerned about the military if Obama and Hillary get in, but how is John McCain better? The fact that he wants to close Gitmo and give all the combatants there access to ACLU lawyers negates McCain wanting to stay the course in Iraq because you know what? Giving enemy prisoners Constitutional rights means our soldiers died so al-Qaeda ops (like those who used the handicapped women as unwilling suicide bombers), get rights.

The Haditha Marines were convicted by Murtha, Schumer, et al before they were even tried and McCain thinks NOTHING about giving bloodthirsty murderers rights on US soil and access to taxpayer money so they can whine and complain about their treatment and access to Korans.

How is McCain wanting to close Gitmo a help to our soldiers who risk their lives catching these guys? How does it help the US taxpayer who now will have to foot the bill for the combatants who don’t get the ACLU’s attention? Glad to have our blood and treasure spent that way.

McCain thinks nothing about letting terrorists like Shukrijuma cross our border, and the best he can say is “If they want their goddamn fence I’ll build it”, but then tells Russert he’d sign amnesty. Aside from killing us economically, and handing the Dems millions of more voters, how does this keep us safer? How is this a more conservative position than the Dems’?

I don’t think Clinton or Obama will pull out of Iraq; the surge is working and in one of the debates last year, neither would promise to do that within the first few years of their term. So if I’m right, then the only other thing that McCain has over a Dem is he is anti-earmark, supposedly.

Well, he doesn’t play the earmark game, but he’s had over 20 years to fix it. If he attacked earmarks with the ferocity with which he tried to push through amnesty, they (earmarks) would be a thing of the past. I don’t believe it’s going to happen.

So what is McCain’s grand plan for his Presidency? What will he be known for? What will be his cause celebre? I know what Romney’s would be – the economy/cutting taxes/trimming pork like he did in MA. If McCain finally gets the Golden Ticket that he felt he’s been denied (he’d lose against the Dems anyway, but let’s assume), what will he do?

The truth is the only legacy McCain will leave in his wake is a fractured party and a bunch of moderates complaining that we all should just swallow our principles and vote for him anyway because the letter after his name is different than Hillary and Obama’s.

Same problem the GOP has always had; it doesn’t fight enough for what’s important.

linlithgow on February 6, 2008 at 1:31 AM

Dennis Prager is awesome.

Obama looks as if he has sneaked Missouri. This has been a poor night for Hillary. Coulter and Tammy Bruce – your girl needs you now!

Pax americana on February 6, 2008 at 12:51 AM

Larry Elder is good too.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 1:33 AM

Allah

MO has been called for Obama by Michael Barone

infidelpride on February 6, 2008 at 1:34 AM

Obama won Alaska

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 1:37 AM

What is the record for comments on a single post on HA?

MACMENTUM!!!

JayHaw Phrenzie on February 6, 2008 at 2:18 AM

You vote for Hillary i call you a traitor.

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 12:39 AM

Enjoy your gloating while you can. Come November, the shoe will be….

infidelpride on February 6, 2008 at 2:20 AM

Look, I understand people are concerned about the military if Obama and Hillary get in, but how is John McCain better? The fact that he wants to close Gitmo and give all the combatants there access to ACLU lawyers negates McCain wanting to stay the course in Iraq because you know what? Giving enemy prisoners Constitutional rights means our soldiers died so al-Qaeda ops (like those who used the handicapped women as unwilling suicide bombers), get rights.

The Haditha Marines were convicted by Murtha, Schumer, et al before they were even tried and McCain thinks NOTHING about giving bloodthirsty murderers rights on US soil and access to taxpayer money so they can whine and complain about their treatment and access to Korans.

How is McCain wanting to close Gitmo a help to our soldiers who risk their lives catching these guys? How does it help the US taxpayer who now will have to foot the bill for the combatants who don’t get the ACLU’s attention? Glad to have our blood and treasure spent that way.

McCain thinks nothing about letting terrorists like Shukrijuma cross our border, and the best he can say is “If they want their goddamn fence I’ll build it”, but then tells Russert he’d sign amnesty. Aside from killing us economically, and handing the Dems millions of more voters, how does this keep us safer? How is this a more conservative position than the Dems’?

linlithgow on February 6, 2008 at 1:31 AM

Great points – should have been made everytime McCain made his hollow claims on fighting the jihad (does he even know what it means, with its entire scope?)

infidelpride on February 6, 2008 at 2:26 AM

Must be a lot of laughter going on among the Dem strategists tonight as the Repub’s pick a “gray, cranky old loser” and Dole retread to pit against their “historical and vigorous” candidates of “change”.

They Repubs did their job for them.

An anti-evolutionist smarmy preacher and a cantankerous old warhorse.

Against the Great (Half) Black Hope and the First Woman President.

Is Bill Clinton running the GOP secretly?

profitsbeard on February 6, 2008 at 2:34 AM

profitsbeard, quit picking on Bob Dole!

I like Bob Dole!

I bet he could still kick your butt!

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 3:35 AM

Obama won Missouri, if this hasn’t been addressed yet, Allah. If so, sorry to bring it up again.

Torch on February 6, 2008 at 11:03 AM

When McCain gets trounched in the general, who do you think will take the heat? The MSM, who made McCain the media darling? The left leaning Repubs? The Independents who voted for him in the Primaries? The right leaning dims? NONE of the above! The “blame” will lie with the conservative base and talk radio. Mark my words…

kcd on February 6, 2008 at 11:50 AM

WhenIF McCain gets trounched loses in the general, who do you think will take the heat? The MSM, who made McCain the media darling? The left leaning Repubs? The Independents who voted for him in the Primaries? The right leaning dims? NONE of the above! The “blame” will lie with the conservative base and talk radio. Mark my words…

kcd on February 6, 2008 at 11:50 AM

Definitely the unappeasable people who say, I’d rather vote for hillary.(Ann Coulter and Tanny Bruce)

Chakra Hammer on February 6, 2008 at 9:52 PM

Comment pages: 1 12 13 14