Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
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Mitt’s gonna cry..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
democrat’s are real happy that the only gop candidate which outpolls their frontrunners is sliding into home.
seriously, that’s paranoid koskid logic you’re using.
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
When I see the hyperpartisan foaming at the mouth going onhere it absolutely reinforces my belief that the time is right for President McCain.
We can’t solve America’s problems by excluding 49% of the people from the government.
I will vote for McCain and I will strongly support him in the general election.
If America is to get back to working together, we need McCain.
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Mitt isn’t dropping out. I’d be shocked if he did.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
McCain wins the Panhandle
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=ODcwZjkwOTllMDJlMDg3M2JhYWUxNDQzODc1NzNkOTc=
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I really really hope the VP is fred. Then we can ditch Mav in 4 years and go back to conservatism
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I agree. That will be great - I will be doing my part to ensure that Huckabee goes nowhere near the whitehouse.
melda on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
By 39 delegates, with over 1,190 needed to win.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I agree with Vyce. I will never vote for the party of treason, the Demoncrats. I will never vote for Hitlery or Obambi. I will not sit out this election.
Ceroth on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
Good speech by Mitt
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
The overall vote spread is roughly what the vote spread is in Miami-Dade County. Last legal American in Miami, please turn off the lights!
SouthernGent on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
No, PA is a moderate state, Jersey is a lib state.
Also, Jersey has Newark, you can’t tell me its low crime…course we have Philly, but I’m hoping we can sell that to Jersey, they can have it. We don’t friggin’ want it.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Your opinion on HRC and Messiah, please? I’m serious. Own up, pal.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
I really really hope the VP is fred. Then we can ditch Mav in 4 years and go back to conservatism
I’ll take some of that!
colep on January 29, 2008 at 9:35 PM
Look at the “Change” banners! LOL
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
You’re looking at polls 10 months out from the general. IIRC, Mondale led Reagan coming out of the conventions.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
How the hell did McCain win…I have got to see the inside the numbers info. Most conservatives can’t stand the guy. Don’t break my heart and tell me that there are no more conservatives. Don’t tell me the Regan dream just turned into a nightmare?
McCain will take it out of the conservatives hide should he miraculously win, worse than Hillary would, such a scary, scary, thought.
With talk radio soon to be gone, will the tubes be next?
RJS2 on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Maybe mitt will drop out and endorse Rudy?
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Billary just passed on desert.
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Agreed.
Too little, too late?
I think not!
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Mitt is giving his stump speech as his concession speech.
But he sounds drained, and his voice is faltering.
He should have just made it quick and eloquent and stopped there. Now it sounds annoying. Washington is broken? Florida disagreed, Mitt….
Always Right on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
McCain will be our Eisenhower candidate to their adalai stevenson democrat.
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
Give me a break! McCain will get destroyed in Novemmber
Gatordoug on January 29, 2008 at 9:36 PM
McCain it is then. Not even close to my first choice but what can you do. He’s still far better than the Democratic option, no matter what type of garbage is written here that says otherwise.
sublime on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
@ Vyce on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
So you are going to vote for the no tax cut, pro illegal immigration, iffy on second amendment, no economic knowledge at all candidate, just because he has an R next to his name?
You are NOT doing this country a service. If you vote for people who don’t hold your principles, how the hell are people who do hold your principles supposed to run? The GOP will run more and more candidates like McCain, if they know people like you could care less about principle, but will vote for whoever they run with an R next to their name JUST BECAUSE the person with an D next to their name is worse.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
thirteen28,
You left out the quite possible explanation that a sizable minority of the electorate simply won’t vote for a Mormon. They regard it as a cult.
If so, it is likely that this is true of Democrats as well as Republicans, and those who say that Mitt is unelectable are correct. Given the Republican vote in Florida, I am inclined to think that this is the case.
cool breeze on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
SECOND LOOK AT FRANK J!
MarkoMancuso on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
In what eon have liberals ever worked with Conservatives. Go back to LaLa Land.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
My bad. I thought “Chakra Hammer” may have been Hindu for “troll.” I now realize it means “ass.”
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Refer back to the “reefer” comment…
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Romneys best speech….go figger
malkinmania on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
Job leave mitt because someone like you exports the jobs overseas for profit.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
SECOND LOK AT REEFER!!!
mrfixit on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
I’m still waiting, dude. Your opinion of the Dem candidates, please.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Well this Utahn would rather die than vote McCain or Huck. You can guaran-damn-tee a lot of conservative Mormons won’t vote.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Mitt: “the economy is my DNA”
There’s a visual I didn’t need.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
If McCaine gets the nomination, it will vindicate his “maverick” image and we can expect his few conservative opinions to grow in the in the leftward direction (He won’t want to disappoint the Times.)
His one strong issue - national defense - will be rendered meaningless by the Dhimmi Congress.
Nosferightu on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
SECOND LOOK AT WRITE-IN FOR THOMPSON.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
True, there’s no such thing as a kosher politician in PA.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
This just in…Shrillary beats McCain in Florida raw votes and the democrats had nothing to vote for. All hail Commander-in-Chief Hillary!
SouthernGent on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
If Hillary=McCain, then what the hell happened to my (former as of next week) Party?
I will never vote for that rancid lying RINO SOB and the Party that puts him up for President can just go to hell.
If the RNC can’t find anyone better than that to carry on the traditions of Reagan and the Republican Revolution…
well, I can say it best en espanol (since y’all don’t speak Yiddish):
Hijos de la chingada! (as we say down here on the border)
TexasJew on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
What a load. The Founders didn’t design our government “to work together” easily.
It was meant to be difficult to get things done as a check on overbearing factions.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Excellent speech by Mitt. He’s my guy now.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Ahh yes, profit. The foe of liberal anti-capitalists like Chakra Hammer.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
This is Mitts stump speech that he has given a thousand times. If you think this is his best speech you havent been paying attention…
Always Right on January 29, 2008 at 9:38 PM
Dont tempt me I really want to do that
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
look man, my typing sucks. much better with wrenches than keyboards
mrfixit on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
So far Republican voters have rejected Conservatism
Gatordoug on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
I Love you too..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Ya Know?
Being a sore Loser is BAD!
…Being a SORE WINNER is double asshat bad. jerk…
-Wasteland Man.
WastelandMan on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
War Hero vs. The Clintons
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Well, this heartbroken FredHead casts off the last of the lethargy and gets busy supporting Mitt.
RushBaby on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
This is nice speech by Mitt. I wonder what he will do if he doesn’t win the nomination.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
oof!
thank god japan is an island then, right?
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Romney is giving quite a speech. One of the most energetic, passionate speeches I have seen him give recently.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 9:39 PM
Lets see what tack McCain takes when he takes his victory lap shortly.
Is he going to assume the mantle of the nominee and bash the Dems or is he going to continue to attack Mitt?
Stay tuned
Always Right on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
He’s giving it with passion. Real passion.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Chakra Hammer
Fuck you troll.
alteredbeat on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
SECOND LOOK AT HIBERNATING TILL 2012!
terryannonline on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Being a sore Loser is bad.
…Being a SoreWinner is REALLY bad. Jerk.
-Wasteland Man.
WastelandMan on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Reluctantly agreeing.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
Wrong Jummo. We got legislation for a fence and increased enforcement of the existing laws. Most importantly, we got no legislation codifying amnesty like the open borders crowd wanted to ram down our throats. That is a victory. If your only goal is new immigration legislation that opens the doors to everyone then I can see why you are frustrated.
Dudley Smith on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Whatever the teleprompter says is what he’ll say.
SouthernGent on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Here’s my bottom line. If it’s between McCain or Hillary as to who’s going to ruin our country over the next 4 to 8 years, I’d rather have a Democrat to blame than a “Republican”.
p0s3r on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
And, of course, that’s all Americans will look at. Conservatives, too. Nevermind the fact he opposed tax cuts, supported amnesty, was responsible for CFR, opposes enhanced interrogation…
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
McCain DIDN’T step on Mitt’s concession speech.
Of course, Mitt was smart enough to keep it real short.
cool breeze on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Mega-dittos.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
OK, how many illegals did McCain’s buddy Juan Hernandez get in to vote for McCain
Gatordoug on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
LOL! You mean there are not enough reactionary bigots left in the GOP!
Thank goodness Mac has won - this is our best chance of keeping the Democratic liberals out of the White House, and of putting a real patriot in, who will not cave into the defeatist, anti-life, socialised healthcare, protectionist policies of Clinton/Obama.
Tonight’s victory isn’t just about Johnny Mac - it is about the GOP maintaining a leading role in the government of this country/ controlling the excutive/providing supreme court nominees. Anyone who is a genuine conservative will not consider giving the Democrats a free hand over the government of this nation.
Pax americana on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
I’m thinking “Director of CashMoneyMoolah Operations” for the newly formed American Conservative Party. LOL….
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
sorry for the double post
WastelandMan on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
terryannonline on January 29, 2008 at 9:40 PM
hope ya have someone warm to hibernate with
mrfixit on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
I simply cannot vote for Huckabee either. I can’t vote for a man who goes out of his way to stir up hatred for my religion. If he’s on the ticket, I won’t vote for a presidential candidate, or maybe the constitution party.
Gosh, imagine the rebuke for McCain/Huckabee: the most conservative state in the union voting Dem over them.
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Second look at agreeing with Allahpundit.
Mark V. on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
I’m sure Rosie O’Donnell is quite happy, she does have the highest respect for McCain. No joke. It’s on her blog (The Ask Rosie section, if you can stomach reading the posts from a few days back.).
What a disastrous day for the Republican party.
TexasBella on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Not everybody lives in Newark. Unlike Philly which is a prosperous city influencing the main line around it, Newark is an urban island that doesn’t influence the surrounding suburbs. Republicans are capable of carrying the state–it is filled with soccer moms and dads worried about education, a good economy and tax rates.
dedalus on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Haha.
I’ll give Hugh this though. A year ago or so when he was hyping Mitt, I didn’t think Mitt would make it even this far. I was wrong, and Mitt’s impressed me.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 9:41 PM
Duncan Hunter
Tom Tancredo
Fred Thompson
Willard Mitt Romney(Lost Iowa, NH, SC, And Florida.. )
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Whole lotta McVain suckers lately.
Open the borders to illegals.
Raise taxes on the rich.
Change yer Depends.
If by some demented fluke he gets the Rino nomination, he’ll lose in November.
Another Bob Dole.
Crotchery, excitable and absurd.
profitsbeard on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
AP, can you do something about our spammer?
BacaDog on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
I was for Fred, but other than a couple strong debate performances he was not a good candidate. I believe if there had been an authentic conservative candidate with Fred’s record and either Romney or McCain’s desire, said conservative would be winning. McCain is winning because during a time of war people apparently prefer a moderate war hero/POW to an inauthentic faux conservative.
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
But what’s the point if the people we get to join don’t believe in what we believe in?! It’s like saying atheists can join the Catholic church, but they don’t have to worry about all that “believing in God” stuff, just sign up!
No, you need an ideological base of principles. You can be squishy on a few, but McCain is squishy on all of them (except perhaps the war). What’s the point of expanding the tent if the tent is overrun by people who disagree with you? It’s like saying Israel needs to allow the refugees the right of return, Well that would be the functional end of Israel.
Same deal here. You can give somethings away, but not the whole enchilada! That’s what a McCain presidency does.
tlclark on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Good for you. I’m glad you’re such a big tent Republican, but you just drove many of us out. If you think McShamnesty can gain enough dems to make up the difference of many of us conservatives leaving the party then it is my opinion you’ve made a major miscalculation. I WILL NEVER FORGIVE MCCAIN AND I WILL NEVER VOTE FOR HIM! Ever!
jwp1964 on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
McCain has the MOST delegates going to Super Tuesday.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Mitt is still speaking,but he seems to be the only choice,
for the Republicans,he’s articulate,and his priorities
for America are correct!
canopfor on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Will somebody please shout “La Migre” at McCain HQ? This may help clear out the crowd.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:42 PM
Methinks you’re a Democrat. Care to disagree?
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:37 PM
DITTO. Nothing will change without bold statements and sticking to principles. Those voting for the lesser of evils still get evil. That’s how we got in this mess.
Exercise your 2nd Amend NOW, before it’s too late. And for God’s sake learn how to properly use it.
mustang1 on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
I will Write someone in before I vote for McCain.
SECOND LOOK AT RON PAUL…
ok so it was a quick look with a shudder….
-Wasteland Man.
WastelandMan on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Exactly. Hopefully all this “I’m stayin home” talk is just the disappointment of the moment speaking. Bottom line, we gotta keep Hillary, or worse, Obama, out of the White House.
Not because of gender or race — BECAUSE OF TEH SOCIALISM!!
docob on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
This election has never been about the issues it has always been about voters identifying with the candidates.
and that is the real shame
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
I’m afraid tht I have to agree with you here. I cannot bring myself to vote for that lying dog John McCain, no matter the consequences.
I think I can better handle 4 or 8 years of watching Hillathing destroy me and my country to my face, than McCain doing it behind my back.
seanrobins on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
No, just the pro-amnesty, Gang of 14, no enhanced interrogation, CFR-supporting, anti-tax cut…
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:43 PM
Where can I go to get some of the drugs that the people who care more about American Idol than America itself are clearly on?
Because tonight has made me completely sick and I just want to get away.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
At least he isn’t lying about it..
Mitt will say anything that he thinks you want to hear.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
Seconded
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
AAAACKK…… Greta van Whatiz…. .holy smokes, is SHE still on the air on Fox….. Jeepers….
Always Right on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
By comparison to McVain… yes, he is. If I’m wrong, then I’m contentedly moronic enough to wish that conservatism doesn’t get the biggest bitch slap in history.
Jockolantern on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
HUH? Oh, I guess you don’t know Juan McCain’s middle name IS Cave!
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
I’m still surprised with the economy on the table of issues that McCain won back to back.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 9:44 PM
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