Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
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From AZ too and I would never, never vote for McCain. Rather see the Republic Party lose and regroup as a Conservative Party once again.
Sick and tired of RINOS
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 9:22 PM
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:22 PM
What good is the republic without a Constitution? Answer: The republic is dead. McCain drove a stake into it.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Don’t be a RINO
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
I fully agree. This primary system absolutely sucks. Allowing a bunch of insignificant states decide who gets to carry on to run in the rest of the nation is incredibly stupid.
The primaries should be held on the same day in every state. I don’t even have a chance to make my choice official until June; And of course by then, there will be no choice left at all.
Talk about being disenfranchised. I don’t even get to hang any chads of significance.
LegendHasIt on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
FOX is starting to run over Romney much in the same way as they did Fred.
I guess I had better start learning Spanish.
matd on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Giuliani, the reconciler.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
LOL
RUDY JOKES ABOUT PAULBOT SPAMMERS
IN FNC DEBATE TEXTING POLLS!!!!
LOL
LOL
LOL
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:23 PM
Giuliani is about to cry.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Screw it… my week has been officially ruined. Conservatism has been dealt a crippling death blow tonight and I really can’t see it recovering any time soon.
Good try, Mitt. And screw you, McVain.
Jockolantern on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Nice speech from Rudy
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Rudy jokes about Ron Paul winning all of the text message polls.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
McCain isnt the entire party just as Bush isnt. We need to keep that in mind. A lot of good conservatives will lose their offices if we sit out.
There are some people in the republican party worth fighting for.
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
SECOND LOOK AT REFORMING THE PRIMARY/CAUCUS SYSTEM.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
For years I’ve watched people and friends in NJ complain about high taxes, high crime, lack of growth etc. And inexorably, the dumb idiots continue to vote for Democrats.
Well, we are all New Jersians now.
tlclark on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
this should be one interesting debate tomorrow night.
ctmom on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
You bet!
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
He sounds like he is leaving the race.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
@ William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Are there?
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
Yeah, spread was way off.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:24 PM
I imagine Medved will be gushing over this for the rest of the week. I feel sick
Gatordoug on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
After this whole election is over, I may be a registered WINO.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Remember that look on McCain’s face after he scored the “Candidate of change” line on Romney? I wonder if he’s going to wear it the whole time he’s at CPAC.
Deety on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
I wonder how soon before Romeny starts kissin’ up to Mav to throw him a bone. Maybe an ambassador to Malta or National Boundary Commission.
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Rudy is getting out. This speech makes that clear enough.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Amen.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Those days seem like so long ago.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
Turned off isn’t the word, completely disgusted is more like it. The endless Mitt bashing on Fox News has turned me off to them for good. Tonight will be the last night I’ll be tuned into that farce of a news program. The Clinton News Network has more appeal.
Even my 77 year old father told me the other day he stopped watching Fox because their bias against Mitt.
Michelle, you need to drop Fox News like a bad habit.
TexasBella on January 29, 2008 at 9:25 PM
This just in….
with 99% of the vote…
Ron Paul wins the Republican nomination…
with a bunch of stoners with TracFones…
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Coming from a ron paul supporter I dont know if I should llaugh or cry at your question
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
He doesn’t.
Either:
a) There’s not enough conservatives left in the Republican party;
b) There’s too many conservatives that are ready to believe that McVain will actually govern as a conservative; or
c) There’s too many conservatives that are willing to sell their principles down the river on the altar of “electability”, just as the Dems did with Kerry in 2004.
I’m not sure which one of those applies, or applies the most, but the numerical evidence suggest that’s exactly what’s happening.
I’ll vote for my congressional delegation on election day, but as far as presidential votes go, see you in 2012.
thirteen28 on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Rudy: “Best way to achieve peace is through overwhelming strength”.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Great point, Willie A. There are great conservative Representatives and Senators at the State and Federal levels that need our support.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
McCain, ick, just ick. I need a shower.
RJS2 on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Second look at December 21, 2012 as being the end of the world!!!
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
LOL!
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Sounds like the morons who move into Northeast PA to escape the costs and taxes of NY and NJ…who then vote in Democrats.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
Yep. He’s used the past tense several times. “We ran a good campaign…..”
BacaDog on January 29, 2008 at 9:26 PM
We need to win a war on terror, and we have to stick together to make sure Obama isn’t elected CIC
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:27 PM
Well said.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:27 PM
mccain is going to make you eat beans with your eggs, dude.
can you even fathom the horror? BEANS? FOR BREAKFAST???!!!
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 9:27 PM
Lindsey Graham Vice President
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:27 PM
As someone who spends a lot of time in Scranton……
AMEN!
See…
Chris Carney
Ed Rendell
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
@ bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:27 PM
I would rather have Obama than McCain. Compare pulling out immediately, or staying for a hundred years. When you have those two extremes, why go with the guy who wants to not lower taxes, and obviously not reduce spending, ie, McCain.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Johnny Mac. Great win!
Opinionnation on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Don’t worry, I’ll be at the polls to vote for them - there’ll just be a big empty box at the top of my ballot.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Lord. I hope you’re not right.
BacaDog on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Get
Out
NOW!
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
You’re a moron if you think Mitt Romney is some type of conservative savior or anything.
Christoph on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
None of them are appealing. I’d rather stay posting online and getting updates that way…
SECOND LOOK AT NEW MEDIA AND BETTER WAYS TO OBTAIN INFORMATION…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
Sooooo we’re going to run a fossil whose only strong point for us is support of a war that the MSM will continue to dedicate 24/7 coverage into surrendering? Good thing with the worldwide recession on the horizon that our candidate admittedly doesn’t quite “get” that economics stuff, really doesn’t like the tax cuts that fought off the last recession, wants wage-suppressing open borders,…. eh… what difference does it make? Bill is already looking at applications for White House interns. Caligula returns!!!!!!
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 9:28 PM
You never lived in the SouthWest I guess.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Schwarzkopff Defense Secretary
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
And McCain is? LOL!
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Get a grip you Putzes, lets face it, you need to adapt to the “lesser of two evils” mode, Shrill or Maverick. Get over it. If u wanna stay home on election day because Romney lost the primaries, then dont piss and moan with every move Shrillary makes.
malkinmania on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
McCain up 60,313 votes now.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Can YOU?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natto
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Answer? He doesn’t. Unless something dramatic happens, it’s 80/20 in favor of the Maverick™ as our nominee.
Slublog on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
McRino lost in 2000, and he’ll lose in 2008.
Better prevent his candidacy.
If he gets the geriatric wing tonight, be sure to not vote for him anywhere further.
Write in anyone… Tancredo, Hunter, Fred, Rudy, Romney… anyone but Asbestos Trousers McShamnesty.
profitsbeard on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Sounds like a plan to me.
Zorro on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
The media’s to blame? Analyst on Fox says Rudy’s support began declining when the reports of bad budgeting and detail for his mistress came out. Brit notes that much of that was unfair, with even the NYT calls the story out.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
More and more I’m thinking I’ll vote for the democrat whoever it is. Scorched earth dammit. I want to see people suffer like hell for nominating this JACKASS of an treasonous old man. I WILL NOT VOTE FOR ANOTHER RINO. I figure even hillary or osama is going to be no worse than McCain, but I would rather have the democrats get the credit for realling F**king everything up. That way, maybe the RINO’s will get a clue that there is no such thing as a little bit liberal.
Bikerken on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
Who has the MOST Delegates NOW?
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
He’s not. By any stretch of the imagination, he isn’t.
But he’s all we have.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
He doesn’t.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:30 PM
The liberal.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
@ malkinmania on January 29, 2008 at 9:29 PM
Yes, how dare you conservatives bitch about the republican party running a bunch of democrats as nominees. /sarcasm
Why should anyone vote for the lesser of two evils? We arent supposed to be voting AGAINST people, we are supposed to be voting FOR people.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
McCain will.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Rudy gonna endorse McFraud? Naturally!
RINO media creations stick together.
It aint over but…
If McCain is the nominee, I can guarantee 5 solid Texas Republican votes in my family will sit it out. Not a threat, we just remember what McCain has done to our Party and the conservative movement, and we won’t reward him for it.
The sad thing is, it’s taken me most of my 43 years to see the Supreme Court within one vote of sanity. Now it probably won’t happen in my lifetime. Thanks alot Florida and South Carolina. You will get what you deserve.
edgehead on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Do us all a favor and go eff yourself. McCain practically ripped up the Constitution. Of course you would probably use it as toilet paper? Thanks for screwing up our party.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Romney about to talk.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
OMG, Giuliani’s the VP. Listen to his speech on CNN… 50 state GOP…
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
NJ elected Tom Kean and Christine Whitman governor. It also voted for Reagan and Bush 41. It’s a moderate state. McCain might have a shot there.
Also, crime is low; taxes high.
dedalus on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Johnny Mac. Great win!
yeah, if you’re interested in a lying liberal in republican clothing
colep on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Dude/Dudette… you’re bordering on spam there
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
I’m not staying home. I’ll vote for conservative candidates/libertarian candidates locally and state-wide, and I’ll vote for the Libertarian candidate for president.
The guy I liked the best dropped out a few days ago (Fred), so…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Cut him off Mav! Cut him off Mav! Payback!!!!
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:31 PM
Question: Who is happier tonight? McCain, or Democrats?
Gatordoug on January 29, 2008 at 9:32 PM
Yeah…I’m hoping we can get rid of Carney soon enough. His win was kind of a fluke, our past Rep. Don “Is Don Sherwood gonna have to choke a b*tch” Sherwood got himself in trouble by having an affair and supposedly choked his mistress during a fight(he said/she said)…he was also a pork machine.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:32 PM
ok, how can we plug up McShame’s pressure relief valve, so one of his explosive tirades can be caught on tape, and he can have his Dean scream moment? then we can pick someone better, someone not sooooo past his sell by date???
mrfixit on January 29, 2008 at 9:32 PM
i think you underestimate. these are the people who played the absolute card, ended up with no immigration plan, will never get an immigration plan in the imaginable future, yet believe they’ve won a “victory” of sorts.
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 9:32 PM
C’mon, man. With all due respect, the poll pimping has to stop.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Well, darn it.
This may well be an election to remember. I can’t remember a time when the conservatives were more dispirited. McCain, of course, is looking forward to selling us down the river. On the Left, they are gearing up for thermonuclear war inside the party.
I don’t know, maybe we are about ready for a collapse and reformation of the two-party system…. a great realignment.
Under President Obama, or something.
If we have a McCain Huck ticket, I honestly predict the Dems will win Utah.
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
McCain by 39 delegates. 59 for Romney, 97 for McCain and 36 for Huckabee.
1,191 are needed to win the nomination.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
GLORIOUS.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Look. I’m as disgusted with a McCain win as you are. I’ve got a sour feeling in my stomach that this is it - that a McCain nomination is all but a certainty after this.
But I’ll be damned if I vote for a Democrat (especially THESE two Democrats) over McCain, as loathesome as I find him to be on numerous issues.
I’ll be damned if I “stay at home” too, because that’s just about as good as a vote for the Democrats.
Vyce on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
What PA pol isn’t?!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Dude, I don’t like McVain, but he does have an 82% lifetime rating from the American Conservative Union.
Why don’t you take a look at Obamarama’s ratings and think about your paycheck vanishing as you pay for everyone else’s medical bills?
And to all you McCain trolls, WTF guys? Are you Democrats or just wannabes?
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
I don’t know what I’m going to do. It still is only January. We still have a lot of campaigning to do. Mitt will not drop out. This sucks that this “win” might help McPain next week, but I will not count Mitt out. Mitt still will have more delegates than McVain.
Ceroth on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
Nah. It’ll probably be Fred. Rudy would be in a cabinet position like AG or Director of DHS.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:33 PM
ANSWER: He doesn’t. This is McCain’s to lose IMO. All Romney can do is keep the focus on conservative issues. He’s the only one left who can influence the discourse. Huck will drop out at some point and also endorse McCain.
I predict that when the statisticians break down the demographics, it’ll be vets, independents in the open primaries, and last but certainly not least, the AARP Republicans who voted enmasse for McCain.
CliffHanger on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Can’t wait to watch Hannity squirm in twenty seven minutes, and I like Hannity.
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Not many people really believe that. What most of us real conservatives believe is that Romney sucks just a little less than the rest of the ones left in the race.
LegendHasIt on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
There is one HUGE party going on over at MSNBC, CNN, ABC, CBS, and NBC. They’re looking at the Bob Dole candidacy 2.0.
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Not Silver Medals Mitt.. Sorry Winner takes ALL
McCain has more delegates than you do..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
I can’t believe Rudy mention Ron Paul.
Lance Murdock on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Lighten up. I thought it was pretty funny. Its not like I’m rigging it like some…other polls.
DIEBOLD
BABY,
DIEBOLD
Oh god, Mitt starts that “they haven’t” crap….
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
Time to form a new party? It`ll take a few decades but it can be used to bring back conservatism. So stay home, sulk and begin to plan a new future. Only quit whinning, grow a pair and DO SOMETHING!
ThePrez on January 29, 2008 at 9:34 PM
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