Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
Send to a Friend |
printer-friendly
Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »
I don’t think Mitt understands hunters.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Race for the American Conservative Party Presidential Nomination
VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:56 PM
Word.
Jaibones on January 29, 2008 at 8:56 PM
I hope when Mac interrupts Romney’s concession speech, he tells his people, “Hit the Music”.
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 8:56 PM
can anyone say bob dole
tomas on January 29, 2008 at 8:57 PM
Sorry, I’m from Arizona, was there before McAmnesty, and I know what he’s done to this state. Not perfect?? I’ll write in someone. Anyone. But not McAmnesty. There’s no difference between him and the dems.
Shay on January 29, 2008 at 8:57 PM
I don’t know why — McCain’s no better on guns.
Jaibones on January 29, 2008 at 8:57 PM
Half of America’s retirees live in FL, and the other half in AZ. To them, McCain is a spring chicken.
Picture McCain up against Obama or Clinton—and don’t for a minute think that his age won’t be brought up.
IrishEi on January 29, 2008 at 8:57 PM
McCain 408,408 35%
Romney 370,821 32%
McCain up now 37,587
His lead is getting bigger..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Ugh.
Can someone tell me how many voters there are (judging by the 2000 primary)?
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Huck is talking now. He is going after the South next week.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Don’t give up on Mitt yet in Florida….The panhandle has not reported yet which is expected to break in his favor.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Chakra Hammer, it’s people like you who give McCain the Betrayer a pass that are killing the Republican party. You may win the battle tonight, but you’ve also ensured that conservative values have lost the war.
McCain keeps claiming to be a conservative - he either has no clue what that word means or he’s a filthy liar.
The GOP wants to thank you for taking all of us out.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Huckabee talking on FNC right now. It’s simply tragic that he’s not actually a conservative, because quite frankly he’s fantastic.
omriceren on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Nothing personal, but it is that kind of thinking that will cost the Republicans the White House. Conservatives WILL NOT turn out to vote for McCain. He has stabbed them in the back non-stop on just about every issue.
It does not matter who the Dems run for office, that person will win against McCain. The same voters back him as back Hillary, but they will vote Democrat before ever voting Republican. The only Democrats that cross the line are Fiscal Conservative Democrats (the Reagan Democrats) and they will not vote for McCain either.
Polls are useless this far out - 6 months ago Rudy was the only hope of beating the Democrat ticket, and after tonight he will be out. McCain is a empty suit propped up by the MSM as the “best choice” for Republicans.
When has the MSM EVER wanted something good to happen to the Republicans?
It is sad that McCain’s “Clinton Job” on Mitt worked, but hey - you are the friends you keep - so not a big surprise that he would act like his friends.
After super Tuesday I am out of the republican party. Time to work for McCain’s defeat.
Voidseeker on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
If Rudy is going to endorse McCain on his way out, I completely misjudged him and will be glad to see him get a can tied to his tail. Still having trouble thinking he would do that.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
Congratulations to Ms. Clinton and Mr. Obama. Florida gave them the White House this evening.
Oh, and from a once proud Rudy supporter who became a Romney supporter, thanks a crapload for your effort there Rudy.
Guess I’ll start paying more attention to the Dem nomination to see who my next president will be.
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 8:58 PM
No wonder McCain is winning, he is the only nominee running who doesnt want to steal all our guns. And Florida is a very gun friendly state. I hate McCain, but that is why he is winning. Don’t betray us 2nd Amendment supporters.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Nah. Don’t believe that for a second. The GOP needs to get its head screwed on straight. It needs to figure out what it stands for and NOT be afraid to say so.
Honestly, I’m going to vote Libertarian in this election regardless of who is the Repub nominee…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
First I supported Rudy…then he tanked.
Then I supported Fred! then he quit.
Then I supported Mitt, now it appears he is tanking.
I’m the Chicago Cubs curse of politicians.
Hey! I’m 3-0!!
How much will someone pay me to start supporting Hillary?!
tlclark on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
second look at Cheney/Bolton write-in.
phronesis on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
BETTER B RIGHT!
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
That’s where my folks live (Niceville), and they’re voting Mitt. I’m keeping my fingers crossed.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:59 PM
Race for the American Conservative Party Presidential Nomination
VOTE NOW!
malan89 on January 29, 2008
That name has a nice ring to it.
“The American Conservative Party”
Nice.
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 9:00 PM
Well I’m with ElRushbo, if the ship is going down, I’d just as soon the Dems be at the helm. If its McCain, for the first time ever, I’m staying home.
Big Orange on January 29, 2008 at 9:00 PM
uber-badass.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:00 PM
I think, those here need to understand the “Conservative base” is now so small, that it resembles a downward triangle, NOT one with a strong foundation.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:00 PM
Even though he co-sponsored a bill that unnecessarily regulated gun shows, McCain is a little better in that he voted against Brady and against the “assault weapon” ban. But his record isn’t exactly perfect either.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 9:00 PM
Damn, I miss Fred.
Or, actually, I miss the positions and values he held close. It could be awhile before we see anything like those again.
This feels like 1975.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
I can see it now, two entrenched establishment candidates in the general harping about “change” psshhh.
ronsfi on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
If Rudy endorses McCain I’m going to spit. I will have completely misjudged him.
Lehosh on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
What a disaster.
TexasBella on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
SoS Website Update:
Romney 329,471 at 33.7%
McCain 327,048 at 33.4%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
Apparantly morons can.
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
Could this be the party that beats Hillary?
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
Let’s hope Rudy does not back McCain……Mitt is really the only option left for Conservatives. And for those of you that think McCain can beat the Dems in November. As an AZ resident who follows McCain closely….I DOUBT IT.
I vote Libertarian when McCain is up for election in the Senate.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
Romney’s lead on the FL DOS site down to .3%… as of 9:00 PM
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 9:01 PM
There, that’s better.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
I do too.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
Tomorrow Newt files papers. Developing….
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
God no! Save us from McCain!
Jeff_McAwesome on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
At some point, you’re going to note the obvious and realize you are walking carelessly through the “wrong neighborhood.”
I just pray I’m here to watch the beat-down.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
Is “Chakra Hammer” Hindu for troll or something?
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 9:02 PM
So are you guys going to vote?
tomas on January 29, 2008 at 9:03 PM
Dang it Mitt! You better keep going regardless of the results tonight.
Because if not, then our RINOpublican party is going to lose big time against the Democrats, as no current candidate can beat Hillary or Obama. :-(
PS
Is it me, or is CNN counting absentee ballots and the DOS is not?
Darnell Clayton on January 29, 2008 at 9:03 PM
Your dismissal of the conservative base has locked up minority status for ya baby! Congrats.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 9:03 PM
Maybe McCain will pick a decent VP. And that could matter a lot, given Maverick’s advanced age.
phronesis on January 29, 2008 at 9:03 PM
what about absentees??
ctmom on January 29, 2008 at 9:03 PM
Teh Fred is up with 11 votes to Mitt’s 3 and Bobby’s 2.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:04 PM
Actually, Huck is very good on guns. And he didn’t get good for this campaign. He was good in Arkansas too. It’s ashame he has a poor record on taxes, clemencies, immigration, etc.
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 9:04 PM
When do we have close primaries?
phronesis on January 29, 2008 at 9:04 PM
If McCain wins he’s picking Huck as VP. What a sh*t ticket.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Actually, no.. I’m Baptist..
However i;m quite fond of Anime..
Naruto and Bleach are my favorites.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Mitt is not dropping out…..He has the most delegates. He won’t if he McCain win Florida but he has the money and organization to do the best on Super Tuesday.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Florida is supposed to be.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Yeah, Arkansans needed those guns to defend themselves from all the rapists and murders Huck released.
phronesis on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
No such thing. FL was supposed to be, but they let in indies anyway.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Great. Two republican global warming candidates.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Don’t count on it. Remember he doesn’t like nominees who wear their conservatism on their sleeve.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
Its not just hunters, most gunowners aren’t hunters.
Probably true, but Mitt really sounds bad when he’s asked about the issue, he immediately jams his foot in his mouth, and you immediately lose gunowners when the word ban passes your lips, unless its preceded by the words “there will be no”. McCain’s smart enough to know that, Mitt is not.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
If only.
:sigh:
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 9:05 PM
@ malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:04 PM
Why would anyone want Fred! to run as the first nominee of a new party? His campaign was a cluster@#$# and i doubt that would change.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
CNN 48% reporting
McCain 418,721 35%
Romney 378,847 32%
Giuliani 182,668 15%
Huckabee 160,633 14%
Paul 37,557 3%
Thompson 16,182
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
Vote Obama.
It is over for the Republicans.
Hillary MUST be stopped at all costs.
Dorvillian on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
What happened to the notion that only Republicans will get to vote in Florida, no independents.
terryannonline on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
I’m NOT dismissing it, but to deny that it needs help is to deny the obvious and to stare into darkness.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
No, you don’t stay home. You don’t have to vote for president, but remember the senators and representatives are also running. We have to put some “R”,s in. Capiche?
cjs1943 on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
Palm Beach has no results yet. Very few from Broward. Miami-Dade having no official results on the D.O.S. website.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
Who is Silky gonna endorse??
malkinmania on January 29, 2008 at 9:06 PM
I don’t want Newt to run either. He is no better lately.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
I never thought I would watch a Republican primary and the winner would be the Dems at such a crucial stage. I’ll pop corks will be popping late in to the night and early morning at the NYT.
Get ready for the Dems to control all three branches.
swami on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
What’s more important, come November, is the makeup of both the House and Senate — which party will control either legislative body.
That’s still very key as a guard against the next person who becomes president.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
McCain-Giuliani phone calls….
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
I’m going to vote.
But I will be casting a write in vote.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
51% reporting
McCain 433,989 35%
Romney 384,464 31%
Giuliani 188,535 16%
Huckabee 162,562 13%
Paul 38,187 3%
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:07 PM
Well I guess if McCains the nominee myself,family,and friends will leave are ballot for president unmarked.When the 70+ yr old 28yr in the Senate old man runs in a change election it won’t be pretty.McCain’s still not winning conservatives and I think many like the people I know will simply not cast a vote for president if old man McCains the best our part can muster no thank you!
PTN 39 on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
McCain 433,989 35%
Romney 384,464 31%
51%
reporting
Chakra Hammer is calling this election for McCain.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
McCain by 50,000…….
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
McCain 35 Mitt 31
Giuliani to endorse McCain.
Game over
RWyankee on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
Cali/New York is seven days. Hmmmmm
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
Primaries aren’t until I think May in PA.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:08 PM
D
.
.
.
I
.
.
.
E
.
.
.
B
.
.
.
O
.
.
.
L
.
.
.
D
Dude.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Miami-Dade updated 1 minute ago 58% reporting
McCain 52,229 48%
Giuliani 31,435 29%
Romney 15,756 14%
Huckabee 6,285 6%
Paul 2,021 2%
Thompson 932 1%
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
OOPS… I meant to say…
I’ll “bet corks” will be popping late in to the night and early morning at the NYT.
I’m too disappointed to type, good night all.
swami on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
If that is true, and I ain’t saying it is, it’s a pretty sad day for America. In which case we now have a socialist party (dems) a left of center christian democrat party (repubs) and a small but insignificant conservative party.
Now perhaps you enjoy bending over and grabbing your ankles, but the rest of us aren’t quite yet ready to accept getting screwed.
Sell your bonds, buy gold people.
tlclark on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Apparently, that idea was tossed in the general direction of a trash can…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
THink about it this way, At least Obama has mentioned he wants tax cuts for the middle class several dozen times. Time to jump on the OBAMA train. I WILL miss my guns and money and freedom of speech, but at least I will have picked a winner.
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Well, I’d be much less surprised at Rudy endorsing McCain than I was at Tancredo endorsing Romney or Hunter endorsing the Huckster.
After all, Rudy and Juan McAmnesty are both liberals; They are not any different than Joe Lieberman: Mostly rational on security and defense (at least until it comes to securing the borders, which they are against); very liberal on pretty much everything else.
LegendHasIt on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
How about a McCain/Coburn ticket? With Rudy as AG? I like the sound of that…
packsoldier on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Yup. We don’t count for jack.
AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOMINATION POLL HERE!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 9:09 PM
Time to for the poison pen pushers to jump ship or start backing McCain! He is by far the best candidate for beating Obama/Hillary, and preventing Democratic hegemony over Congress and the White House this year. Rudy Giuliani is smart enough to back a winner when he sees one.
Delighted that the GOP voters have seen through the poison of the far right blogs and backed the strongest candidate. It will be the hardline reactionaries who destroy the GOP coalition, not the mainstream voters. But then again, if such people claim they will only stay in the party if Romney is nominee, a man who has flip-flopped on all the important issues over the past 5 years, and invested a fortune smearing other GOP candidates, then their Republican convictions are perhaps questionable at best.
McCain was right on the economy, right on abortion, right on foreign policy, right on torture, right on stopping pork barrel spending, and right on improving conditions for our servicemen. Go Maverick!
Pax americana on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Yep. I think McLiar is gonna win. Get ready for 20 million illegals to start screaming La Raza.
csdeven on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
51% reporting
McCain 441,590 36%
Romney 390,924 31%
Giuliani 191,105 15%
Huckabee 164,579 13%
Paul 38,788 3%
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
For the first time tonight…Romney losing on FL DoS:
McCain 33.9
Romney 33.2
Crud.
IrishEi on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Why are the figures so different from the MSM and Florida SOS site? Must be the MSM hoping and praying that their slewed numbers will help McAmnesty.
PrettyD_Vicious on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
What if McCain taps Huck as VP, by some miracle wins the general, then kicks the bucket? Huck and Pelosi as successors?
Sweet dreams, all.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Nothing, but you can’t stop Independents from registering as Republicans in order to vote for someone in the Primary.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 9:10 PM
Agreed….but if McCain if the “so-called” Republican on the ticket don’t be suprised when a Republican gets the fewest votes in Presidential history.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 9:11 PM
Comment pages: « 1 2 3 [4] 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »