Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
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He’s a Democrat, so yeah.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Just like in 2000.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
I believe the Florida SoS website is more accurate than networks, yes, since they’re going by exit polling and not votes.
And the SoS website is where Drudge is getting his numbers.
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
McCain 346,260 34%
Romney 324,869 32%
Mccain up 21,391 votes
37%
reporting
CNN
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:36 PM
Recount.
Recount.
Recount.
Recount.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:36 PM
Drudge has Romney up 34 to 33
MrSteve on January 29, 2008 at 8:36 PM
Ok, maybe the DoS site is slower, but how do you acocunt for them having Mitt ahead all along, while the MSM has had McCain ahead all along—only faster.
I don’t get it.
IrishEi on January 29, 2008 at 8:36 PM
This is far too close…
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Do you guys really believe Drudge is more accurate and updated than the tv networks?
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 a
I,, don’t , understand? Drudge says Mitt is ahead?
Why wouldn’t that be accurate?
He has to be ahead! He just has to be!!
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Not if he wins :)
Anyway, FL has an automatic recount if the result is within a certain percentage. I can’t remember what that is.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:37 PM
Florida SoS still has it:
Romney 34.2%
McCain 33.2%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:37 PM
I don’t trust him either, but neither do I trust McCain. Or Huckabee. Or Rudy.
However Mitt did come out in favor of the drug bill in the first debate; he’ll probably claim that he was for it, but would’ve made it better if he was President.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:38 PM
I think I remember that it is within 2% then there is a recount in FL.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:38 PM
McCain 352,923 34%
Romney 330,315 32%
McCain up 22,608
38%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:38 PM
Drudge: McShamnesty 34%, Romney 32%
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:38 PM
Okay. Let’s look at this.
The official results are the Secretary of State’s website, right? There, Mitt’s currently got an 8000 vote lead on McCain. This was at 8:33 PM on their website, good for a full percentage point lead over McCain.
I find it hard to believe that all night long Mitt has been up over McCain here but not in the media.
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:39 PM
Not in FL id doesn’t ;-)
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:39 PM
Fox: McShamnesty 34%, Romney 32%, 38% in…
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:39 PM
According to CNN, the automatic recount kicks in if a candidate is defeated by one-half of a percent or less of the votes cast for that office.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Stupid Drudge!!
He just posted McCain up by 2%!!
This can’t be right! Where does he get his stupid numbers!!
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Not right. From their site: UNOFFICIAL ELECTION NIGHT RETURNS (may not include absentee or provisional ballots)
Also note, they are very slow posting the results there.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:40 PM
Florida SoS Website update:
Romney 291,216 at 34.2%
McCain 283,114 at 33.2%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:41 PM
McCain 358,453 34%
Romney 334,310 32%
McCain up 24,143..
38%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:41 PM
Can you provide a link, or should I reject digital laziness and just “Google it?”
Darnell Clayton on January 29, 2008 at 8:41 PM
D
….
I
….
E
….
B
….
O
….
L
….
D
Dude.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:41 PM
If McCain is ahead when 70% precincts are in then I will prepare the revolver for usage.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
If McCain wins the nomination, then I guess
weI will have to settle forObama/Clintonthe Libertarian candidate as my protest vote.eanax on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
Oy vey.
Gonna be a long night.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
Pat Robertson is channelling them from God and passing them on to Drudge.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
It is going to be McCain vs. Hillary in the general election.
What an appalling choice!
cool breeze on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
I agree, bnelson, that they aren’t including the absentee ballots, but didn’t those go to Mitt anyway?
Yes, the SoS site is slow…. but it’s not THAT slow. We got the first word McCain was up over an hour ago…. but it’s never been reflected in this vote tally.
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
McCain’s nearly up 30,000…
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
It’s in Allah’s post.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
As Fred! found out, the two spoiled states require constant care and soothing for months on end. Fred! and Rudy failed to suck up enough - and touched on the wrong notes when they did - and they paid the piper.
calbear on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
LOL!
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:42 PM
With 40% of Pat’s visions reporting…
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:43 PM
So, can we please start looking at third parties?
muyoso on January 29, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Here’s the link to the SoS’s site…. its’ also linked in the main story, too. Link to SoS site
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Screw you Pat Robertson and your damn vision. Only when Romney is winning will I worship you.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Wow. I never thought I’d actually be watching the self-immolation of the Republican Party.
In slo mo, yet.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 8:44 PM
Rudy to endorse McCain as early as Wednesday, sources tell Mark Halperin.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
McCain 373,235 35%
Romney 345,032 32%
McCain up 28,203
41%
reporting
Per CNN.com
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
I hope someone is Tivo-ing Shillary right now… sure to be some gold
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
Schwarzenegger Attorney General
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
I think I am going to vomit. I hope the remaining 59% are better for Mitt.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
Meh. Self preservation is more like it.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
This one is over. Shamnesty wins.
Big Orange on January 29, 2008 at 8:45 PM
McCain 35 Romney 32
I guess it’s time to start moving on to Jindal ‘12.
RWyankee on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
Halperin reporting Giuliani will drop out and endorse McCain as early as tomorrow in California. If McCain wins tonight, Giuliani’s endorsement could be the clincher. - TOM BEVAN, Real Clear Politics Blog
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
Democratic Party Ticket-
Clinton/Silky
Republican Party Ticket-
McCain/Lieberman
American Conservative Party Ticket-
Teh Fred/Romney
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
I am waiting for her shrieking, will you HELP ME, will you HELP ME!
CrimsonFisted on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
Hillary just promised to make the Florida delegates count.
What a stinkin’ witch.
IrishEi on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
It’s true that McCain is closing the gap on the SoS website, though.
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:46 PM
NYT has an interactive map that makes it easier to see the results by county.
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Broward (est. pop. 1.8 million) and Miami-Dade (est. pop. 2.4 million) are beginning to report.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Schwarzenegger Attorney General
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at
How about Hillary for Attorney General! McCain loves her!
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
McCain 388,129 35%
Romney 352,705 32%
McCain NOW up 35,424!
44%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
w/e. This is a damn funeral.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Drudge stopped getting his information from Florida DoS. Judas!
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Jindal/Palin ‘12
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
Clinton is actually giving a victory speech. What a tool.
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 8:47 PM
That’s easy, the msm is hell bent on shoving McCain down our throats. If McCain wins, the msm wins the 08 election, because it assures the msm a liberal in the White House come 2009.
voiceofreason on January 29, 2008 at 8:48 PM
Yes it is, but it could be worse. Hillary vs Huckster was my worst nightmare. McCain makes a GOP vote just barely possible for me, but it really is the pits. Gonna hate myself forever.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 8:48 PM
Disagree. Loss would be far worse. Congress and Prez? Nightmare.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:48 PM
Yeah, disgusting. She said she wouldn’t campaign in FL along with the other Dems… then (surprise!) turned out to be a liar. No way will the Dems go along with that- Obama and Edwards supporters would riot.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:48 PM
Rudy slotted for AG I suppose.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 8:49 PM
Over a million people voting with half the tally in.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:49 PM
It will be - to the Democrat ticket winning the White House.
Voidseeker on January 29, 2008 at 8:49 PM
Prepare for disappointment, Romniacs.
WELCOME TO THE HELL FREDHEADS HAVE HAD TO ENDURE.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
You can never underestimate the Clinton Machine.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
According to the sos link, it’s now Mitt 33.8%, McCain 33.4%
!!!
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
Sos Website Update:
Romney 305,116 at 33.8%
McCain 301,495 at 33.4%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
I feel betrayed. Rudy endorsing McCain? Hunter endorsing Huck.
Dude this ain’t my party.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
Gee…I guess I’m one of the few that is happy McCain is winning as I believe he is the only remaining Repub that has a solid chance to beat hillary or obama…
Yes…I know he isn’t perfect but one must be pragmatic…The idea of a Hillary or Obama, who are both radical leftists, in the Whitehouse should make us all think that regardless who is the Repub nomination, HE will be 100 times better then the dangerous duo of Hillary or Obama!!
Albertanator on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
Best news tonight. That ought to trigger a massive infight amongst the donks.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 8:50 PM
Does anyone remember when Romeny interrupted Mav in Michigan during his second place speech? Payback, bet the family farm.
THE CHOSEN ONE on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
True, but they’d risk alienating Obama supporters to such a degree that they might stay home if they did that.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
Romney won’t be out after this. Not for a while. Mitt has plenty of money and will only lose (if he does) by a slim margin.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
Romney is still up by 4000 votes on the Florida DOS election site.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
My friend, a loss is inevitable now.
Cause of death: Self-inflicted.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
so has McCain made a deal with Rudy to make him AG?
jp on January 29, 2008 at 8:51 PM
Which would be excellent for us.
amerpundit on January 29, 2008 at 8:52 PM
Here is the Florida DOS election website link.
http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 8:52 PM
How about Homeland Security?
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:52 PM
Oh, he won’t drop out… but I suspect that with Super Tuesday so near, a McCain win in FL will all but seal the deal.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:52 PM
I’m with you, I trust none of the remaining guys!
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
DOS is showing Romney up by 3,000 votes.
p0s3r on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
Gonna give another $25 to Romney.
McCain is a disgrace to this country.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
McCain 390,442 35%
Romney 354,556 32%
McCain up 35,886 votes
45%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
Well, if McCain is the nominee, I’m not sure I’d call that “excellent”. Might help in the congressional races though if angry Dems boycotted.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
Romney is a disgrace to truth.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:53 PM
Nope. And we are witnessing the death of the conservative coalition and the current Republican party. If McCain is the nomination he will get destroyed, and the conservative backlash and opposition will resonate for years to come.
What a sad, sad development this has become.
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:54 PM
I think I just heard Hume said gunowners broke big for McCain…I friggin’ told you guys that would happen if Mitt didn’t get his sh*t together on second amendment issues.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 8:54 PM
You’re not alone, but I’m not giving up hope. We’re not even at the halfway mark.
TexasBella on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
I’m trusting the Florida DOS election page vote counts before I’ll trust the networks.
Romney still up about 3800 votes there.
And, the Huckster is up on Rudy. Bad for Rudy
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
a little more specific on the DOS site for lazy folks:
http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/2008PPP/20080129_REP_SUM_PRE.html
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
Gotta tell ya, these polls aren’t even close, especially the absentee number. Mathematically McCain would need 2 million non absentees to win if the polls are to be believed, and that won’t even be close.
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
President Barack Hussein Obama.
President Hillary Rodham Clinton.
God help us.
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
It may actually be time for me to join a 3rd party.
What could we call it??
Let me see,, The “New Republican Party”
uh,, the “Progressively New Republican Party”
the “Christian Republican Party”
the “Conservative Republican” Party
the “Libertarian Republican Party”
In all seriousness,, if McCain wins this nomination,,, I am gonna strongly consider for the first time in my life getting out of this party! I will not vote for McCain!
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:55 PM
It’s starting to look that way…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 8:56 PM
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