Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
Send to a Friend |
printer-friendly
Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
You must be logged in to post a comment.
Blowback
Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.
Trackbacks/Pings
Trackback URL
Comments
Comment pages: « 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »
Come on Mitt!
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
per CNN
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Drudge: Mitt up by 1.2%
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Missed it by that much.
/agentsmart
Slublog on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
That got close quick. What happened?
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
This is one freaky social phenomenon. Up to the minute results from an election 2500 miles away, with running commentary. Feels like a day at the track. A very big track.
peski on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
Lies!
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
McCain 241,857 34%
Romney 219,650 31%
25%
reporting
mccain up 22,207
CNN
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:14 PM
You guys are going to have a stroke. Calm down. This looks like it will take a while.
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
Can we trust the FL SoS numbers? How are the chads voting?
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
dude
custer on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
Okay, now CNN’s numbers are bigger than the FL sos. Wonder if they’ve included absentees and early voters.
Slublog on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
Conservatives voted.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
Why are CNN’s and Politico’s numbers so different from the Florida Secretary of State’s numbers? FL SoS has McCain and Romney neck-and-neck with 213,328 and 218,015 votes, respectively.
Bad Penny on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
These results are all over the map: The Secretary of State has had Mitt up all night long, and he’s up 4000 votes. Isn’t that the official tally?
So how do they get the whole “McCain by 4% bit?”
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:15 PM
McCain 293,780 34%
Romney 284,177 33%
30%
reporting
CNN
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
I really, really hope McCain has his Dean Scream moment soon. You JUST KNOW it’s coming. I sincerely hope it’s before SuperDuper Tuesday.
Janna on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
McCain 241,857 34%
Romney 219,650 31%
25%
reporting
mccain up 22,207
CNN
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008
LIES! ALL LIES I TELL YOU!! HOW DARE YOU POST SUCH ABSURDITY1
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
CNN is far ahead of the state website… and frankly, they want McCain to win.
I’ll wait for the state’s results.
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
That’s the interwebs!
It is a small world now.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
Mitt’s closing fast
with 29.32%, Mc 33.67, Mitt 32.63
fred5678 on January 29, 2008 at 8:16 PM
C’mon Mitt!
swami on January 29, 2008 at 8:17 PM
Wait for the different time zone Panhandle results to put Mitt over the top.
Physics Geek on January 29, 2008 at 8:17 PM
Will Alan Keyes beat Hunter and Tancredo? Stay tuned to find out!
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:17 PM
If McCain wins the nomination, then I guess we will have to settle
for Obama/Clintonin Australia.Darnell Clayton on January 29, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Or his admission of liberalism.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:18 PM
Panhandle should go strong for Mitt.
Barone also saying absentee vote is going to break for Mitt.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:18 PM
CNN’s Exit POll’s suggest that McCain won..
Male(56%) Mccain 35% Romney 32%
Female(44%) Mccain 32% Romney 30%
McCain won among Males and Females..
Unless mitt wins among the dead and hermaphrodites mccain wins..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:19 PM
dude
custer on January 29, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Oh F#$@. Is anyone else listening to Barone?
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:19 PM
I would consider that if John Howard was still PM.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:19 PM
Exit polling indicates McShamnesty collected 89% of the “GET OFF MY LAWN!” vote.
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:19 PM
And this would hurt him how?
Straight talk, my friend.
Deety on January 29, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Drudge still has Mitt ahead by .05%.
I like Drudge. He’s an honest, decent man.
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:20 PM
What’s he saying?
Slublog on January 29, 2008 at 8:20 PM
Dude, the MSM is full of lies. They want a moderate to take the nomination.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:20 PM
I want to believe that. But - strong military presence in the panhandle and they tend to go for McAmnesty.
Shay on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
in case someone hasn’t already pointed this out, i’m pretty sure Drudge is getting his numbers directly from the Florida State Dep’t website.
locke on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
He’s hedging for McCain based on the Tampa area.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
On the Fox scroll… at the moment, MMitt is about 7K behind
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
I thought those were already tabulated and included. Hope not.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Guh! Ugh!
-grabs heart-
I’m having an infarction!
ROMNEY 34.1%
MCCAIN 33.5%
Go Mitt!
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Mitt is barely carrying strongholds in Orange County and another county, and said it’s likely looking like a McCain night.
But after I posted he said the wildcard is the absentees which are predicted to lean Romney.
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:21 PM
Drudge is showing Mitt up. Who to believe?
Sugar Land on January 29, 2008 at 8:22 PM
McShamnesty 34%, Romney 33%, with 32%…
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:22 PM
CNN has exit polls up on their results page
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:22 PM
However this turns out, I predict that tomorrow Hugh Hewitt will declare that the results are good news for Mitt Romney. Objectively.
Centerfire on January 29, 2008 at 8:22 PM
C’mon, MITT!
Califemme on January 29, 2008 at 8:22 PM
When are the absentee ballots added? Does anyone know for sure?
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:23 PM
McShamnesty 34%, Romney 32%, with 33%…
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:23 PM
I’m still not getting it. Okay, so the SoS page is slower…. but it’s been Mitt all night long. Even if they are behind CNN, et al–CNN has had McCain up all night. How are those numbers justified?
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:23 PM
There’s no way to know how quickly they update the SoS site.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:24 PM
Probably just because he pushed for the surge in Iraq.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 8:24 PM
McCain 322,801 34%
Romney 304,889 32%
mccain up 17,912 votes
33% reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:24 PM
I think Shep said that each county is adding them in as they report and that there is no way to tell them apart from today’s votes.
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 8:24 PM
We hope these are like the Exit Polls with Kerry.
BKennedy on January 29, 2008 at 8:25 PM
CNN has exit polls up on their results page
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008
Exit poles mean nothing to me.
CNN means nothing.
The MSM means nothing to me.
Drudge says Mitt is up.
Therefor, I believe.
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:25 PM
Duplications!! Duplications!! I don’t trust CNN.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:25 PM
The Corner has this:
I just don’t like any of our choices!
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 8:26 PM
From CNN Exit Poll:
Feelings About Bush Administration
Enthusiastic
Romney voters 32%
McCain voters 27%
Satisfied
Romney voters 37%
McCain voters 30%
Dissatisfied
Romney voters 25%
McCain voters 43%
Angry
Romney voters 15%
McCain voters 45%
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:26 PM
thanks for nothing rudy
Lance Murdock on January 29, 2008 at 8:26 PM
On Fox, Romney’s supporters are in the background, holding “Change begins with us signs.”
I’m re-registering my party affiliation to “nauseated.”
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:26 PM
Fox also said thier exit polls had McShamnesty winning
Big Orange on January 29, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Heh.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Hey, are the absentees being reported simultaneously?
Vizzini on January 29, 2008 at 8:27 PM
Do you really think he’ll wait that long :)
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 8:27 PM
I’m changing my registration to Independent. I will choke on the ballot before I write McCains name on it.
BadBrad on January 29, 2008 at 8:28 PM
SoS website update:
McCain 33.5
Romney 34.0
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:28 PM
Ditto. No one wanted to believe me when I made the case that Romney is another Big Government Republican. Even when Romney himself makes that case.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 8:29 PM
CNN’s exit polls were correct for SC..
It took them forever to call that vote and McCain won among males and females in the exit poll also..
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:29 PM
DRUDGE
ROMNEY 34.1%
MCCAIN 33.5%
GIULIANI 14.4%
HUCKABEE 13.0%
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 8:29 PM
From the CNN exit poll:
Dade/Broward/Palm and Tampa Bay went for McCain
Southern Florida went for Mitt
They were more or less tied for Central Florida & Northern Florida with a slight edge for Mitt
bnelson44 on January 29, 2008 at 8:30 PM
You know who’s looking good after losing in Florida? Mitt Romney.
/Hugh
SnarkVader on January 29, 2008 at 8:30 PM
SoS Website update:
McCain 33.2%
Romney 34.2%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:30 PM
A cold coke? Yeah, if you put some whiskey or rum in it.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:30 PM
So, hmm. What if the offical results stay with the Romney half percent lead all night long, despite all the networks showing something different?
Vanceone on January 29, 2008 at 8:30 PM
Ditto that, but my opposition is to Romney.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:31 PM
Wha? McCain viciously smears Romney and Brit and Wallace agree with McCain that Romney’s been the “attack dog” in the race? Wow, am I living in a twilight zone or what.
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:31 PM
Looking at the county by county breakdown, it looks like McCain is winning in mostly democrat counties, whereas Romney is taking all the rebpulican counties.
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:31 PM
Romney 34.3
McCain 33.2
8:30 SoS FL
IrishEi on January 29, 2008 at 8:31 PM
ROMNEY 34.3%
MCCAIN 33.2%
Drudge.
When this primary is over, I’m gonna kick Chakra’s ass.
CABE on January 29, 2008 at 8:31 PM
How is Romney the attack dog? These guys are idiots.
therightwinger on January 29, 2008 at 8:32 PM
Hollowpoint, maybe I am too cynical, but I bet if Romney is asked about this in tomorrow night’s debate he would claim he opposes the drug bill.
I don’t trust him at all.
flyfisher on January 29, 2008 at 8:32 PM
still on Fox.. McShamnesty 34%, Romney 32%, with 35%…
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
WAHHHH!!
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
Inhale.
Exhale.
We are all on edge tonight.
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
SoS Update:
McCain 33.3%
Romney 34.3%
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
Wait, where is Drudge getting his numbers from?
doodleduh on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
im confused and i live in florida
custer on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
Come on, Mitt! Up by nearly 1% on Drudge at the moment.
Jockolantern on January 29, 2008 at 8:33 PM
The CNN exit polls divide race into “Black” and “Non-Black.” But that makes sense, right? It’s not like that stat could be used to a particular candidate’s advantage. It’s not like one candidate is suggesting their opponent only has black support. And it’s not like there are any latinos in Florida.
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
Politico has McCain ahead by about 20k votes with 35% reporting, FWIW.
Centerfire on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
Mitt up by a full point now on FL DOS.
34.2
33.2
SimplyKimberly on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
Do you guys really believe Drudge is more accurate and updated than the tv networks?
Patriot33 on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
still on Fox.. McShamnesty 34%, Romney 32%, with 37%… Panhandle, it looks like you’re Mitt’s last, best hope…
Bob Owens on January 29, 2008 at 8:34 PM
I am wondering. Will McCain demand a recount if it is close?
JellyToast on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
doodleduh,
Drudge apparently gets his numbers from the state government of Florida Secretary of State’s website. Unfortunately, it vastly lags behind FNC and CNN numbers.
Weebork on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Well I predict if Romney loses we get a concession speech that goes “…But they haven’t”
And if he wins, he’ll break out the victory speech that goes “…But they haven’t”
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
McCain 346,260 34%
Romney 324,869 32%
Mccain up 21,391 votes
37%
reporting
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 8:35 PM
Comment pages: « 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 … 14 »