Results: Floridamania! Update: Hillary wins; Report: Rudy to endorse McCain tomorrow; Update: Fox, AP call it for McCain; Update: “I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party”
posted at 7:43 pm on January 29, 2008 by Allahpundit
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Early vote counts are expected at 8 p.m. ET, fuller results by 9. High drama on two fronts, needless to say, both in the Romney/Maverick showdown and the last rites coming for Rudy at Giuliani HQ. As usual, CNN and Politico are posting running tallies. Drudge says it’s Romney, not McCain, by a point and a half right now but that’s down a few tenths of a percent from five minutes ago.
Stand by for updates.
Update: The AP tally on Politico has McCain up three with 9% reporting. Drudge has it dead even.
Update: There’ll be a million Rudy autopsies tomorrow but Carl Cameron’s out of the gate with this misleading tidbit: “Some campaign aides privately gripe about what might have been. There are those who believed Rudy could have competed and won New Hampshire.” He did compete in New Hampshire, though — aggressively, in the last few months of last year. He got nowhere.
According to Campaign Media Analysis Group, Mr. Giuliani spent $1.7 million in New Hampshire between November 10 and December 9. During the same period, Mr. Romney spent $1.3 million and Mr. McCain $1.2 million.
Despite being the biggest spender on television in New Hampshire during that period, Mr. Giuliani saw his support fall away…
Put another way, between the beginning of July and early November, Mr. Giuliani polled an average of 21% in New Hampshire. In the following four weeks, when he was advertising heavily, support dropped to an average of 18%.
Update: Here’s the Florida SoS page, updating constantly.
Update: No surprise, Hillary wins.
Update: Fox is running exit polls now. Romney wins among Republicans, McCain wins among independents as Republicans. Too close to call.
Update: Actually, never mind the SoS page. It’s slower than CNN and the Fox News TV totals. Stick to those.
McCain leads by 8,000 votes with 29% in.
Update: CNN has the full exit poll data. McCain won both men and women, which I guess means…
Update: Everything’s coming up Maverick!
ABC’s Karen Travers offers these results, with 85 percent reporting in Pasco County, a bellwether: McCain 36.7, Romney 29.3, Rudy 16.8
Update: Halperin says the Reaper is at Rudy’s door and that an endorsement for Maverick, possibly in LA tomorrow before the debate, is coming.
Update: With 44% in, McCain leads by 35,000 votes. The over/under on a call is 9:20 p.m.
Update: Now 50,000 votes with 51% in.
Update: If you took the under, you win! At 9:11, Fox News and AP call it for Maverick. SECOND LOOK AT STAYING HOME!
Update: So here’s your exit question. Closed primary, and Maverick still wins. How does Romney win competitive states, especially with Rudy ready to throw his support to Mac?
Update: The exit polls were wrong about the absentee ballots. Mitt didn’t win; he split them with McCain.
Update: Is it wrong that I’m already excited to see how Hewitt’s going to spin this for Mitt?
Update: John McCain, conservative icon:
“It shows one thing. I’m the conservative leader who can unite the party,” the Arizona senator said in a brief interview with The Associated Press.
Update: Steyn plays anti-Hewitt: “This is a tough night for the Romney campaign. Fred’s withdrawal should have benefited them more than McCain. If Huck stays in, there’s no prospect of southern victories for Mitt on Super Tuesday. And, if Huck and/or Rudy pull out, their votes on balance are likely to break for McCain.”
Update: NBC says it’s confirmed the Giuliani/McCain endorsement deal.
Update: “The beast is dead.”
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McCain’s got it sewn up with Rudy’s endorsement.
cool breeze on January 29, 2008 at 10:16 PM
Dunce&Eyebrow just announced that Rudy would be endorsing McCain…crap.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 10:16 PM
Obviously, Mitt lost because he wants another Assault Weapons Ban.
mad saint jack on January 29, 2008 at 10:16 PM
I announced the Rudy endorsement 3 comment Pages ago! H&C READ HOTAIR COMMENTS!!! :P
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 10:16 PM
Dubya did for the national GOP what Huck did for it in Arkansas. Fractured it. Remember when they went to bat for Arlen Spector? Then there is No Child Left Behind, and the Senior Prescription Drug bill, both done with a loving hug from Uncle Teddy. Shamnesty. Now, he finally found his veto pen on pork when he’s going out of office. The buck stops with him.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 10:16 PM
I can’t do it. I tried to psych myself up for the possibility of voting McCain, but it’s not working. If I thought President Bush ignored the conservative base too much over the last 8 years, then the prospect of a McCain candidacy/Presidency is too much to bear.
Sorry…that line on my ballot will remain blank.
JohnTant on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
OK, before we all tear up our voter cards - as others have said: Write in Optimus Prime for President if you want.
But PLEASE vote against the Dems running for Congress unless you want to extend Madame Nancy’s reign as Speaker.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
How about Fred?
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
Exit question:
Can talk radio (Rush, Sean, Glen, Laura) unite the Republican wing of the Republican Party under the only conservative left and defeat McCain?
malan89 on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
They do not believe Romney… at least I don’t.
Chakra Hammer on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
I haven’t heard him say any of that. He’s likely to be tougher on spending than Bush.
dedalus on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
And, I’m glad Rudy got creamed. Never thought I’d say that.
a capella on January 29, 2008 at 10:17 PM
Hehe I wonder how things are going at:
http://hughhewitt.townhall.com/blog
:(
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
Gunowners broke heavily for McCain…I’ve been saying it the whole time, if Mitt wanted to win, he needed to “evolve” on the 2nd Amendment. He didn’t, and I bet that hurt him.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
If McCain is our nominee there is one reason to for vote him — his promise to veto pork-barrel spending. Maybe he won’t pass cap and trade legislation because there will be too many earmarks. Who knows… we might even get another government shut-down. Save a few bucks.
Bush wanted the amnesty bill and there were enough conservatives to stop it. So it’s not a guarantee under McCain, right? Right?
I reserve my right to grasp straws.
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
Begging is undignified - let the lemmings go over the cliff.
Bradky on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
I’m glad math is working out for you.
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
AHHH! HRC on Fox.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
OMG, the Beast is on Fox news!!!!
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 10:18 PM
She just cackled. 10 seconds in - gotta be a record.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
Oh god, that cackle!
conservnut on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
It’s the closest thing I had to an ignore button.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
the best thing McCain has going for him, is the GOP/conservative Fear of Hillary/Obama as President/CinC, being as far out in left field as the modern Dem. party has become. If they were sane on Foreign Affairs, McCain might have more trouble in these primaries.
right now, giving the Dems the whitehouse is insane. paticularly while they hold the congress at the same time.
jp on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
The Queen Bee live on FOX.
I need more vodka.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
Someone mentioned it took Jimmy “Peanut-Crackpot” Carter to bring us to a Reagan.
It may take a Democrat, be he Hillary, Obama or McCain, to bring us another decent leader.
Brace yourselves for 4 years of Dhimmitude.
Montana on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
McCain is Bush 41 on ‘roids. Look what that got us…
misterspork on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
You go over the cliff. I’ll build a retaining wall, thanks.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
I have been a Rudy guy. Rudy will drop out and endorse
We are all Americans?
No, not all of us. Millions of potential John McCain constituents, many of whom will vote in November for either he (if enough additional moronic Republicans vote for him), or for Hillary, are not Americans? They are the criminals that have invaded my country (and yours, if you are a citizen), and who are criminals every minute that they are permitted to remain here.
And secondly, lets cut the “can’t we all just get along” crap. It was old when Rodney King used it, and its older now. Now, we can’t all get along, when, as you say, HALF of us are Dimmocrats whose views will continue to destroy this country if they’re permitted to continue to gather more political power.
I don’t want to get along with the enemy, and in polical terms, the Dems and the Left are the enemy. Make no mistake.
seanrobins on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
you’re either under 20 or completely blinkered if you think the left or the msm share your estimation of mccain as being a “liberal”.
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
Sic ‘em Wallace.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
Fred would be one of my choices. Romney, and Secretary Rice would be the others.
Pending those three–or for the real wild card, Rush Limbaugh–as Veep… McCain will never get my vote.
Definitely not going to vote for a McCain/Huckabee or a McCain/Guiliani ticket. That just makes it worse.
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
Honestly, I used to think that Hillary would motivate the Republican/Conservative base to turn out against her and lose her the election. But with McCain as the alternative…I’m rethinking my opinion.
JohnTant on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
I hear ya. Let me throw some crazy action here: We’re talking about Rudy dropping - is Huck really going to stay in now too? If he’s angling for a Veep spot with McVain, I guess he’s doing a favor for the boss, but his boss will lose based on the break I’m seeing with the FL results. Math works like 517K (Mitt) + 250K (Rudy) > 604K (McVain). I’m not saying all states will trend like this, look at MI. What’s your take?
SkinnerVic on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
Remember, this means McVain now has about 90 delegates and Romney about 60.
Big frickin’ deal of a diff.
On to Super Tuesday.
No to Shamnesty!
No to undermining the First Amendment!
profitsbeard on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
It might be McCain vs Hillary. Is it 4 years of the jaw or 4 years of hearing cackles ?
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
They pushed hard in Florida but the endorsements from Martinez and Crist seemed to have more sway with the voters.
dedalus on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
Along with your hopes, and your dreams, and your universal HillaryCare.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:20 PM
I tried that in Nov 06 - good luck with the effort just the same.
Bradky on January 29, 2008 at 10:21 PM
“She wore a pearl necklace”
ZZ TOP, for those who don’t get it
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 10:21 PM
She looks pretty good for having been “gang banged,” no?
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:21 PM
Hey, if McCain picks Fred, wins in November (not likely, bet let’s just say he does), then keels over in December, who gets to take office?
Pickin’ through my Constitution…
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
If it’s wrong, I’m going to hell with ya! Please do post about it when it happens so we can join in the fun.
Mark Jaquith on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
The best thing about a McCain presidency is that he can screw the president in the Senate.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
I ask her what she wants
and this what she had to say
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
er, can’t
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
Did anyone else just hear that? “Manage the economy.”
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:22 PM
Right after my ZZ Top quote… either you did that on purpose or it was divine intervention :P
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Ya know, I don’t care WHO endorses Juan, I don’t care WHO he picks for VP. I will not vote for that weasel. EVER.
Someone have a total for how many delegates are up for grabs on SuperDuper Tuesday?
Janna on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Dubya did for the national GOP what Huck did for it in
Nailed. It.
The Ritz on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
True no more Senator McCain Arizona give us a conservative !
JD Hackworth for senate !
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
“Friendship and unity.”
HAHAHAHAHA
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Precisely why I’d only vote for him if he chose one of my top Veep picks.
Enoxo on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
In Florida, which is overwhemingly Cuban and a community that votes for Republicans…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 10:23 PM
Cackles, the jaw will self destruct (mark my words) the media will bring him down faster than they built him up. And they know they can, that’s why they love him.
conservnut on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
Fair enough. As for us in Washington, we have a certain Gregoire to eject from the Governor’s office. We’ll be busy.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
Not sure right off but its a 3rd of all overall delegates.
bad news is before today McCain was winning 70% % of those states.
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
What can I say - I’m bad. I’m nationwide 8-)
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
Hillary just talked about waking up and “managing the economy”. God Help us.
jp on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
For God’s sake, people, pull yourselves together! What a bunch of quivering queenies and nattering nancies.
So McCain won Flori-duh. As if a state whose geological configuration resemble a flaccid penis minus the testicles is in any position to deliver an intelligent assessment of conservative credentials. This was the state that had trouble distinguishing between George Bush and AlGore in 2000…remember?
There are plenty more states to go and plenty more delegates to be won. This fight is far from over…so buck up, wipe away the tears, put away the mascara and act like conservatives.
Geez.
NemoParticularis on January 29, 2008 at 10:24 PM
Dude, as another wet-stater, I concur. In fact, I’ve been killing the undead for four years in anticipation of the next election.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:25 PM
Go Dino!
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:25 PM
Old people and hispanics. Big surprise it went for the liar… I will never vote John McCain.
D2Boston on January 29, 2008 at 10:25 PM
LOL well said.
Ugly on January 29, 2008 at 10:25 PM
“Hello - Government Cheese distro center, can I help you?”
“Uh yeah I’d like to order 500 pounds of cheese with 50 bottles of wine please. have it delivered to this thread.”
“Sorry guy we are all out of cheese. A total run on the cheese and wine wiped out the inventory when fred dropped out”
“Oh all right - A case of thunderbird and ritz crackers please”
Bradky on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
Anyone else notice that even though the Hilldebeast was on the air during H&C airtime, she talked to Chris Wallace and not them?
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
I just KNEW you would show up and use the word “testicles” in a coherent post.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
A great reason to REFORM the primary process…
eanax on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
McCain? McCain! MCCAIN!! Somebody put me out of my misery now.
boomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
Almost funny.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:26 PM
MCCAIN hoes!!!
jummy on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Eep.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
I might have to stand watch in graveyards in King and Pierce counties to make sure Dem zombies don’t leap from the grave and look for ballot boxes.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Wait - you’re right. Just hit me. What the heck?
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Probably because Colmes couldnt stop slobbering over her and it would look undigified.
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
How many recounts did it take for her to win again?
Spolitics on January 29, 2008 at 10:28 PM
I have the same problems with McCain that most of you do, but let me take this moment to specifically address the Romniacs who’ve spent most of 2007 bashing Teh Fred (you know who you are).
Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha…
bwhaha ha ha ha… all that pandering, flip-flopping, focus group and poll obsession, money and hair care went for nothing. Mitt is toast. Huck’s voters will swing mostly for McCain now that he’s the clear frontrunner, and Rudy is apparently endorsing McCain. Hold out hope all you want, but it’s the bottom of the 9th and your team is down 5 points.
However frustrated I am that John F’ing McCain is going to be the nominee, at least I have your anguish to keep me warm.
Hollowpoint on January 29, 2008 at 10:28 PM
Wouldn’t be the first time, you know.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:28 PM
Ha, hey, I’ll whine if I want to.
conservnut on January 29, 2008 at 10:28 PM
Just doing what I do best, Wicca. Heh heh heh….
NemoParticularis on January 29, 2008 at 10:28 PM
Two?
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:29 PM
Someone mentioned it took Jimmy “Peanut-Crackpot” Carter to bring us to a Reagan.
It may take a Democrat, be he Hillary, Obama or McCain, to bring us another decent leader.
Brace yourselves for 4 years of Dhimmitude.
Montana on January 29, 2008 at 10:19 PM
QFT!
DFCtomm on January 29, 2008 at 10:29 PM
Here’s Hewitt.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 10:29 PM
David Fredosso’s Gmail away message currently says: “Earnestly rooting for Rudy to finish in 4th place”
jp on January 29, 2008 at 10:29 PM
Janna-
1048 delegates up for Republicans to win on Super Tuesday.
To win, an R needs 1191, of 2380 total available, for a majority.
profitsbeard on January 29, 2008 at 10:29 PM
You know, he’s right. We just need to get over the shock first. :-)
misterspork on January 29, 2008 at 10:30 PM
All I know is that I now live in a world in which Hillary Clinton is the winner of a beauty contest. And I am sick to my stomach about that. Nothing else matters.
Levy on January 29, 2008 at 10:30 PM
With our luck we would give you Janet Napolitano…..She is horrible.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 10:30 PM
So, your point is that Florida is irrelevent, because it is shaped like a penis.
That’s just strange. I fear you.
JayHaw Phrenzie on January 29, 2008 at 10:30 PM
Sigh I take no comfort in that. I warned that Mitt was dead running in the South. It was a neccessary evil to point that out and I was scorched for it. But I had to be true to what I was seeing and not mislead anyone.
Fred Could have won in the South. Mitt never had a chance.
IF only I could have convinced enough people sooner sigh
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:30 PM
I would LOOOVE to do that for you both, but the GOP will have a hard time getting me back in their place on Oracle Rd. here in Tucson to call if I even smell a stench of McVain.
SkinnerVic on January 29, 2008 at 10:31 PM
And THAT, folks, encapsulates perfectly the German word Schadenfeude which, literally translated, means “savoring the exquisite agony induced by the bullet as it exits your gun and passes through your own foot.”
NemoParticularis on January 29, 2008 at 10:31 PM
Only four. Thank God all of those zombies and felons cast votes for her in King County, otherwise she never would have been able to steal the election.
fiatboomer on January 29, 2008 at 10:32 PM
will they let Paul in the next debate? McCain, Romney, Huckabee and Paul? the guy isn’t going to quit I don’t think
jp on January 29, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Just wait until you hear why we should dismiss NY and Cali after they throw their considerable delegates to McCain.
Mitt is very much behind the 8 ball now.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Remember 8 years of Clinton gave us 9/11 I shudder to think of what 8 years of Clinton or obama will give us. China must be drooling over all the tech they will get if Hillary wins and Jihadists will have Obama as the guy they like.
I will admit our enemies will like america much better with either of them as commander in cheif.
William Amos on January 29, 2008 at 10:32 PM
Actually Hugh makes some sense without injecting his personal views. He is most likely right in his assessment.
azcop on January 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:25 PM
Eep.
doubleplusundead on January 29, 2008 at 10:27 PM
Dude. Did you pay ANY attention to the last Washington governor’s election? It was frickin’ knee-slapping stuff. Dead people won the election for our own version of The Glacier.
wccawa on January 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM
So Democratic.
RushBaby on January 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM
She’s not my governor.
fourstringfuror on January 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM
Agreed.
Spirit of 1776 on January 29, 2008 at 10:33 PM
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