The caucuses are wide open right now. We have five major candidates in the Republican field and the leaders are hovering around 20%. That means anything can happen.

Is Charlton Heston still around? Maybe a nice Thompson-Heston ticket. Chuck would fit in nicely, waving his gun around on the white house lawn and scaring off the MoonBats:

“Get your taxes off me, you damn dirty apes!”

And think of the evangelical vote! After all, he was Moses.

I’ll be glad when technology catches up and we can thaw out the Duke.

Can you tell that this election cycle has stretched out far too long?

Sheesh…

Fred’s in fifth now, do note.

Sounding a diferent tune a few threads ago weren’t we?

That’s because the national polls are increasingly irrelevant. There is no national primary. You win delegates state by state and as I’ve already mentioned in this thread,

National polls as a basis for positive reprting for Fred should be discounted, this being a state by state primary. But not when he is fifth, instead of second in a national poll, then it shall be noted, gotcha.

Allah’s analysis is mostly right, I think. After dallying with Giuliani on a lark — and being quite surprised that this lark of a candidate was actually leading nationally, for some inexplicable reason — it’s time to put away childish……

Exit question one: Is Fred the only candidate who can prevent the coming crack-up?

Yes, he is. And I don’t know if he’s gonna be the nominee. I really, really hope he is.

tommylotto on December 20, 2007 at 3:25 PM

Dream a little dream.

Huckabee

Yep. That’ll do it.

If the IA caucus wasn’t looming, I doubt everybody would be polling this close to Christmas. And I think the conflicting results bear that out.

The key word is “likely”. Rasmussen’s always doing interviews pimping his polls based on the fact that they screen for likely voters. He always says that his firm is the only one that does it, which is completely untrue. His LV screen is tight, and is rejecting a lot of moderate voters that every other polling firm includes. It’s based on a guess; whether that guess is right or not is the real question.

At least for me, my conscience will be clear when I vote for Fred
AZCON on December 20, 2007 at 3:09 PM

Only if someone put a gun to my head, I could vote for Fred, but I would feel dirty the rest of my life. I would feel like I was voting for a fraud — a pro-choice candidate that has the unmitigating gall to claim to be pro-life. A career lobbyist and legal advisor to murderous terrorists. An undistinguished Senator that did little more than give us CFR, botch the Clinton campaign finance investigation and voted to keep a perjurer in the Oval office. Oh, and he was a mole for Nixon who thought he was stupid.

What happened?

I don’t pay as much attention to the minutia as you do AP, but I’d guess that a majority of the MSM recommendations went to McCain leading to his increasing support. Rudy probably had a misleading boost in his numbers resulting from all of the Rudy-bots supported him right out of the gate, but although his support was deep it was also narrow, which is Huck’s problem as well. Now that undecided voters, which glean a significant portion of their news and opinions from the MSM, are making their decisions regarding a candidate, they are backing McCain.

McCain’s rise, if true, is a combination of a vestigial affect left over from 2000 and the MSM endorsements mixed together with undecided voters that probably don’t give it very much thought. Those are the people with which the MSM still holds the most sway.

I’m gonna flat out state for the record that NONE of this makes sense. Maybe that’s why they say common sense ain’t too common. Either that or the world is on its head. Either way I’m not investing in the outcome.

CTDeLude on December 20, 2007 at 3:18 PM

I’m guessing that the poll craziness is a combination of three things:

1.) People are taking a second look at candidates, throwing the whole thing up in the air.

2.) Pollsters have a hard time figuring out who a “likely voter” is; remember, last year Republicans got killed in the midterm elections, and the party registration dropped. That’s factoring into a lot of pollsters’ likely voter screens, but not necessarily the same whay in each poll.

3.) People who have decided on a candidate have gotten sick of answering calls from pollsters after a year-long primary campaign.