Iran nuke crisis: EUrocrat to the rescue!
posted at 1:56 pm on November 7, 2007 by Bryan
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If Bill Clinton had outsourced a serious problem in his foreign policy to some unaccountable EUrocrat, the Republicans would rightly still be up in arms about it. What are we to do when a president who we support appears to be doing that?
Iran’s new chief nuclear negotiator made his international debut in Rome on Tuesday, to a chorus of unusually blunt criticism by politicians in Tehran that the departure of his predecessor was unwise.
Saeed Jalili, the negotiator, met with the European Union foreign policy chief, Javier Solana, who has been asked by the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany to find a formula to persuade Iran to suspend key nuclear activities.
Curiously, at Mr. Jalili’s side was Ali Larijani, his predecessor, who took the lead in the closed-door talks and in remarks afterward to reporters.
Mr. Solana described the talks as “constructive,” and Mr. Larijani called them “good.” But there was no movement on the one issue that matters, said participants in the meeting who spoke under normal diplomatic rules: Iran’s refusal to suspend uranium enrichment as required by the United Nations Security Council.
What sort of strength are we bringing to the table with a consensus guy like Xavier Solana? Not a great deal, unless you’re a big fan of the UN.
There is no EU army. Mr Solana cannot – should the desire ever take him – order up an air strike or send a fleet to hover off the coast of a country.
He carries no fat commercial contracts to use as persuasion, nor does he have the power to impose embargoes.
Even the EU’s sizeable aid and development budgets are disbursed by other departments.
He is instead a cajoler and a persuader. He is a symbol of that still nebulous thing, European foreign policy.
Hard and soft power
EU foreign policy is not the sum of the policies of the member states that make up the union. It is different.
Freed from the restraints and demands of national self interest, it starts from a different base – at its best, the desire to spread democracy, respect for human rights and the rule of law.
Yes, yes, except for the inconvenient facts that the EU is hardly democratic and the UN is hardly a model of moral authority. The former is actually run by unaccountable bureaucrats who do their own thing under the guise of a rotating and largely meaningless presidency; the latter is constantly embroiled in sex scandals and colossal financial shenanigans, when it’s not putting the likes of Syria and Libya on its Human Rights Commission.
What are the odds that UN/EU gray man Xavier Solana is going to get Mahmoud and the mullahs to stand down on the nukes? Exceedingly slim, I’d say.
So why are Bush and Condi depending on him? Probably because they’re out of ideas of their own.
(h/t Chris R.)
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Remember, Solana also doesn’t think Hezbollah is a terrorist organization.
Also, why we keep pretending Russia and China have any interest in Iran suspending its activities, I have no idea.
CP on November 7, 2007 at 2:05 PM
Can’t ask the EU to send Chamberlain?
OhEssYouCowboys on November 7, 2007 at 2:05 PM
Jalili: So, Mr. Solana– you want us to stop our nuke program. But you can’t bomb us, since you don’t have an army. You can’t promise us anything in exchange for giving up the program, since it’s not in your power to offer any commercial incentives. Why are you here? Why should Iran listen to you?
Solana: You’re forgetting the most potent weapon in the arsenal of the EU– or, indeed, of any nation or state!
Jalili: [nervously] Oh… what’s that?!
Solana: [triumphantly] The moral authority of Europe!
Jalili: [unsuccessfully tries to stifle a giggle]
Solana: NO! I mean it!
Jalili: [bursts into hysterical laughter]
Solana: Stop that! We will publicly denounce you!
Jalili: [convulsed, and sobbing with laughter] Oh, no! Please! Not the moral authority!!
Solana: I can’t believe this undignified behavior! I…
Jalili: [now wetting his pants and rolling on the floor] Oh, by the beard of the Prophet!!
morganfrost on November 7, 2007 at 2:07 PM
Chaimberlain sez “Hey dont associate me with these losers !”
William Amos on November 7, 2007 at 2:08 PM
Perhaps Jimmy Carter was too busy.
amerpundit on November 7, 2007 at 2:08 PM
Oddly if you look their postions Chaimberlain has more in common with Ron Paul than the UN
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neville_Chamberlain
William Amos on November 7, 2007 at 2:13 PM
Jacking with the UN is a waste of time and always has been. Too many cooks spoil the broth. We need to pull out and watch them dry up like an old prune. The sale of the UN real estate could help reimburse us for the billions we have wasted there.
The fact the Cofee Anan (sp who cares)was their hero tells me all I need to know. He was a poster boy for “Useless Politicians”.
saiga on November 7, 2007 at 2:14 PM
Morgan, sorta like when Hans Brix threatened Kim jong-il with a written letter of condemnation … just before being fed to the sharks!
Tony737 on November 7, 2007 at 2:16 PM
And, two (2) years later, the bombs are falling on Coventry, London, Bristol …………..
OhEssYouCowboys on November 7, 2007 at 2:20 PM
Look, I don’t think Solana could settle a spat between first graders.
But what is Bush supposed to do?
We’ve done pretty much what we can solo on the economic front, targeting banks in the latest round of sanctions. But the Euros won’t go along with anything more that might cost them more than $2 in lost contracts with Iran, and China and Russia will block anything we try in the Security Council.
The only thing left is to talk tough and send an aircraft carrier group to the Persian Gulf, but then every Dem in Congress starts screaming and undermines any leverage the military noises might have given us.
Clark1 on November 7, 2007 at 2:23 PM
Iranian oil bourse in Euros! The sagging dollar is economic warfare. Why the silence about this? This euro-weenie is not going to do squat, except buy Tehran more time.
shaken on November 7, 2007 at 2:28 PM
Bush’s approach seems to be the opposite of, “speak softly and carry a big stick”
Yell menacingly and carry a wet noodle?
Bark and growl but keep some pudding close at hand?
FloatingRock on November 7, 2007 at 2:30 PM
This isn’t the first time I’ve seen “exceedingly slim” stand in for “impossible.”
Splashman on November 7, 2007 at 2:33 PM
Uhh… weren’t the Euroweenies already have a shot at using their l33t negotiating skills to try and diffuse the situation? They tried for what- 3 years with no progress at all, and now we’re going to let them have another turn? Insane.
Hollowpoint on November 7, 2007 at 2:47 PM
Fire up the Raptors and Stealths… They can have that one for free. Call Putin’s bluff, whats he going to do; roll T80s through eastern Germany?
liquidflorian on November 7, 2007 at 2:47 PM
Look! up in the Sky! Its IMPOTANCE MAN! Strange visitor from the EU, sent to right the wrongs and end the injustices of the world!
Along with his side kick, UN-able boy (as in un able to do anything) Impotance man will pen mighty notes asking for the Iranians to just acknowledge him.
Wyrd on November 7, 2007 at 3:15 PM
He looked into his eyes and saw his heart, his soul. He is is one who would do the work that is hard.
tomas on November 7, 2007 at 3:40 PM
The US has no influence in Iran. Hence there is a need to “outsource” to someone who does (albeit not much more.) And Solana is one of those. It is precisely because, as you said, Bush and Condi are out of ideas of their own that they are “letting the diplomatic process take its course.”
Believe it or not, this is the best non-violent way to deal with the Iranians. What would you propose to do differently, other than bombing?
Another reason this outsourcing is taking place is because the decision to attack Iran has already been made but the preparations haven’t been completed yet, so Solana is merely being used to stall and make it seem like diplomacy is “given a chance” for a longer period of time.
Who knows…
AlexB on November 7, 2007 at 4:05 PM
Maybe this is just doing “due diligence” before bombing the *$#& out of them. Optimistic of me, but not out of the question.
Attila (Pillage Idiot) on November 7, 2007 at 4:35 PM
Did Solana have reconstructive surgery? What happened to his pointy ears and the horns on his head?
Connie on November 8, 2007 at 1:29 AM
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