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Dobson: Presidential selection process must begin with “the values test”; Update: 27% of Republicans would vote for pro-life third party over Rudy

posted at 2:34 pm on October 4, 2007 by Allahpundit
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He’s speaking only for himself, of course. In the op-ed pages of the New York Times. In the context of describing a meeting of influential social conservative leaders.

After two hours of deliberation, we voted on a resolution that can be summarized as follows: If neither of the two major political parties nominates an individual who pledges himself or herself to the sanctity of human life, we will join others in voting for a minor-party candidate. Those agreeing with the proposition were invited to stand. The result was almost unanimous.

The other issue discussed at length concerned the advisability of creating a third party if Democrats and Republicans do indeed abandon the sanctity of human life and other traditional family values. Though there was some support for the proposal, no consensus emerged.

Speaking personally, and not for the organization I represent or the other leaders gathered in Salt Lake City, I firmly believe that the selection of a president should begin with a recommitment to traditional moral values and beliefs. Those include the sanctity of human life, the institution of marriage, and other inviolable pro-family principles. Only after that determination is made can the acceptability of a nominee be assessed.

While he was writing this, the archbishop of St. Louis, Raymond Burke, was telling the hometown paper that he’d deny communion to Rudy over his pro-choice stand, a logical extension of the rumblings from the Vatican earlier this year about Catholic politicians whose wall between church and state is a little too high. Burke is no face in the crowd. According to the Post-Dispatch, he’s respected as one of the Church’s most brilliant legal minds and apparently authored a paper last year arguing that if a wayward Catholic politician had been formally warned not to receive communion, it would be a mortal sin for any priest or eucharistic minister to give it to them.

The more the religious establishment lines up against him, the more Rudy becomes the protest choice for conservatives who think the religious right has too much sway over the party. I’ve got to admit, for all the grief I give him, I’m starting to lean towards Rudy myself. Exit question: Is his lead solidifying?

Update: I guess this puts a bit of crimp in his “electability” appeal, huh?

If Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination and a third party campaign is backed by Christian conservative leaders, 27% of Republican voters say they’d vote for the third party option rather than Giuliani. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that a three-way race with Hillary Clinton would end up with the former First Lady getting 46% of the vote, Giuliani with 30% and the third-party option picking up 14%.


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Nominating Rudy not only risks a loss by boycott, it also risks dividing the Republican party even further. If that happens, his primary supporters are just as much to blame as those who would boycott him.

I’m not buying that argument. Those who support Rudy are not saying they will start a third party if he doesn’t get the nod.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:08 PM

I just have one question… What was the message that people were trying to send when they voted for Perot?

Oh yeah, no one remembers.

Lehosh on October 4, 2007 at 4:09 PM

Rational Thought on October 4, 2007 at 4:08 PM

What you said!

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:09 PM

Lehosh,

Actually, I do know what the message was. No new taxes. Read my lips. But I doubt the 3rd party candidate will have such a snappy bumper sticker to work with this time around.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:10 PM

I’m so fed up with both sides at this point. Is there really a point to voting anymore? Both sides want continued growth of the federal government. Both sides want continued development of the nanny state. Both sides are filled with corrupt people looking out only for themselves and their continued control of money into their own coffers.

Why SHOULDN’T people be looking at third party candidates?

Benaiah on October 4, 2007 at 4:10 PM

Everybody who has their first choice not win can claim he was vetoed by the pique of others.

Not if that choice is the one made by the majority of the party.

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:10 PM

How do you justify giving the presidency to Hillary!? You are willing to give the presidency to her knowing full well that any chance of changing the dynamics of the SC are going to be gone, in our lifetime, anyway. By the time you have punished the republican party, looking towards that magic future date when a candidate that you approve of has a shot at winning, it will be too late.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 3:55 PM

Why blame us? If Hillary wins why not blame George Bush or the RNC or John McCain or Rudy G?

Why blame their victims?

MB4 on October 4, 2007 at 4:10 PM

You are saying that Dobson is not a Christian leader?
Interesting…

right2bright on October 4, 2007 at 3:29 PM

That certainly isn’t what I am saying. Dobson has influence among some Christians, but he is not the leader of a church like many seem to think. He is certainly not a kingmaker in political terms. I think AP just likes to throw these types of posts up to get the traffic up.

Snidely Whiplash on October 4, 2007 at 4:12 PM

Why blame their victims?

Their victims? You are a drama queen, aren’t you?

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:13 PM

New bumper sticker;

Vote for Rudy because Hillary is the anti-Christ and will kill you if Rudy doesn’t save you!!!

I need more of a reason to vote for someone.

MB4 on October 4, 2007 at 4:14 PM

Their victims? You are a drama queen, aren’t you?

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:13 PM

Not really. Are you?

MB4 on October 4, 2007 at 4:15 PM

Go ahead and put Hillary into the White House in 2009 and shut the f*** up afterwards whining and complaining about it. The yahoo wing of the GOP makes me want to puke. Yeah the sun rises and sets on Fred Thompson’s big ass.

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 4:17 PM

If you leave the republican party this time, you will be trying to prove another point that no one remembers 8 years from now.
Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:04 PM

People voted for H. Ross Perot because thy were tired of deficit spending. They got a balanced budget under Clinton and a Republican Congress.

People aren’t quite the idiots you think they are.

In this case, though, a Giuliani boycott will not give Social Conservatives the obortion ban they want. They forget that the Republican party is basically the party of business – not social conservatism. That’s why the cracks have opened and support is pealing away.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 4:17 PM

People aren’t quite the idiots you think they are.

Where did I claim people were idiots? Other than the ones I’ve actually called idiots.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:21 PM

By the way what did Ronnie Reagan do to make abortion illegal? Let me see, he nominated Sandra Day O’Connor and Anthony Kennedy to the Supreme Court.

By the way what did doofus George Herbert Walker Bush do to make abortion illegal? Let me see, he nominated David Souter to the Supreme Court.

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 4:22 PM

I’m not buying that argument. Those who support Rudy are not saying they will start a third party if he doesn’t get the nod.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:08 PM

No, they’re just saying that they don’t care that the candidate they support faces boycott and has the potential for divisiveness within his own party.

If you are warned about the consequences of a potential action but ignore that warning and carry it out anyways, you deserve responsibility for those consequences- even if they aren’t fair.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 4:23 PM

Not if that choice is the one made by the majority of the party.

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:10 PM

Being chosen by the majority of the party does not and never has translated to 100% support within the party. The majority ignores the minority at their own peril.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 4:26 PM

So by voting for a Pro-Life candidate with no chance of winning instead of Rudy, we get the Queen of abortion.

Makes compete sense?

This something like how her husband was elected.

Hening on October 4, 2007 at 4:29 PM

Perot was a “clear leader” five months before the 1992 election with Clinton a distant third. Thirteen months before the 2008 election, what makes anyone think these polls are any more reliable an indication of the future?

calbear on October 4, 2007 at 4:30 PM

IF you mean to have your vote count, vote for the Republican nominee. If you choose a moral high ground and wish to cut off your nose to spite your face, then vote for the Democratic nominee. just don’t bitch about it afterwords when it happens.

This is a scare tactic attempt by the far-right. Rudy by far has the best chance to defeat Hillary. I for one, put the abortion issue a bit down the totem pole this time around in light of recent events. The Supreme Court is currently stacked on the conservative side and in spite of all that, Roe v.Wade is still on the books. The far-right representation is not the be all and end all which will decide all future elections.

Just imagine Hillary using her presidential veto against the likes of the bills put forth by the Reids, Pelosis and Kennedys…oh wait, she won’t.

This discussion is lunacy.

awake on October 4, 2007 at 4:30 PM

If Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination and a third party campaign is backed by Christian conservative leaders, 27% of Republican voters say they’d vote for the third party option rather than Giuliani.

You poor, benighted fools. When will you sick people understand that it ISN’T YOUR PLACE to force a woman to go through with a pregnancy that she’s not prepared for? Putting legal restrictions on abortions is NOT AN IMPORTANT issue. We’re fighting two wars and we’re facing a crisis with Social Security and other entitlements, and you pathetic bastards are going to put Hillary in the White House because you can’t deal with other people having the freedom to make different choices than you would make.

I’d rather be governed by the Dems forever than by the likes of you. Frankly, reading this kind of garbage makes me want to go out and vote for Hillary. You “values” voters make me sick.

Whew, had to get that off my chest. Cheers.

Enrique on October 4, 2007 at 4:32 PM

Being chosen by the majority of the party does not and never has translated to 100% support within the party. The majority ignores the minority at their own peril.

Then why belong to a party at all? The whole point is to fight like heck during the primary, then come together behind the nominee during the general.

But hey, if social conservatives want to set this precedent, then let’s rumble.

I don’t like Fred’s stance on the first amendment. If you pick Fred, I’ll sit out.

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:32 PM

the obortion ban

Aye, lad you must be talkin’ about that Irish controversy.

“Sister Margaret Mary, Kelly O’Brian and Sean O’Reilly are talkin’ ’bout O’bortions again!!”

Hening on October 4, 2007 at 4:33 PM

Skywise on October 4, 2007 at 2:41 PM

Ditto that. Also this:

The yahoo wing of the GOP makes me want to puke.

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 4:17 PM

And the yahoo wing wonders why they don’t get their way ALL the time! LOL! Maybe if they weren’t so fickle and were a little bit more reliable a “base” (as they claim to be, which is a joke), they WOULD get their way.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 4:34 PM

We’re fighting two wars and we’re facing a crisis with Social Security and other entitlements, and you pathetic bastards are going to put Hillary in the White House

You had an Amen from me, up until this part:

Frankly, reading this kind of garbage makes me want to go out and vote for Hillary.

Sorta contradicting yourself, aren’t ya?

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 4:37 PM

This ought to be good. We have the potential for the Ron Paul wing of the republican party. The pro-choice wing of the party. And the republican nominee of the party. Odds aren’t looking very good for anyone here but Hillary!

I think I’ll go out and campaign for Barak! I can be an Obama girl.

Sue on October 4, 2007 at 4:38 PM

My comment is awaiting moderation?

awake on October 4, 2007 at 4:38 PM

I bet they sit in the 2004 “Kerry wins” bleachers.

tarpon on October 4, 2007 at 3:36 PM

No, they simply sit in reality. There is no Republican candidate right now who’s anywhere near Hillary when it comes to fund raising. And while money isn’t everything, it certainly shows a commitment to a candidate.

Personally, I’d like to donate to someone, but there’s no one I care that much for right now.

The best we’ve got right now is “anybody but Hillary,” and how well did that work for the Democrats in 2004 when they tried it against Bush?

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

Makes complete sense?

This something like how her husband was elected.

Hening on October 4, 2007 at 4:29 PM

It only makes sense if you’re from the cluetard wing which thinks it’s more important to “send a message” by being in the minority. Or, if you’re five years old.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

The majority ignores the minority at their own peril.
Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 4:26 PM

Yes, very true. But the far Right ignores the Centrists at

their

peril.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

IF you mean to have your vote count, vote for the Republican nominee. If you choose a moral high ground and wish to cut off your nose to spite your face, then vote for the Democratic nominee. just don’t whine about it afterwords when it happens.

This is a scare tactic attempt by the far-right. Rudy by far has the best chance to defeat Hillary. I for one, put the abortion issue a bit down the totem pole this time around in light of recent events. The Supreme Court is currently stacked on the conservative side and in spite of all that, Roe v.Wade is still on the books. The far-right representation is not the be all and end all which will decide all future elections.

Just imagine Hillary using her presidential veto against the likes of the bills put forth by the Reids, Pelosis and Kennedys…oh wait, she won’t.

This discussion is lunacy.

awake on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

Agh! Must use preview.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

Agh! Must use preview.

Oh, I don’t know. The formatting gives it a nice ee cummings feel.

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:40 PM

how well did that work for the Democrats in 2004 when they tried it against Bush?
Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 4:39 PM

Woulda worked out great if they hadn’t put Droopy Dog up there.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:42 PM

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:40 PM

Drat, I was going for Bukowski.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:43 PM

You poor, benighted fools. When will you sick people understand that it ISN’T YOUR PLACE to force a woman to go through with a pregnancy that she’s not prepared for?

Enrique on October 4, 2007 at 4:32 PM

So very much missing the point there.

By that same logic, it wasn’t our place to force Andrea Yates to continue being a mother when she clearly wasn’t able to continue doing so.

I’m not even on the side that will sit out if Rudy gets the nomination, but your complete lack of understanding on this issue is one of the main reasons so many people will sit out.

The truth is, people like you don’t want social cons in your party anyway. So why complain when they take that cue? You realize you needed them all along?

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 4:44 PM

Woulda worked out great if they hadn’t put Droopy Dog up there.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:42 PM

But that’s exactly why they put him up there. They wanted someone who could beat Bush.

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 4:45 PM

the far Right ignores the Centrists

Not just the centrists, SouthernDem. I probably agree with more of what the Dobson types want than the “centrists,” BUT unlike them, I’m not a dumba$$. They seem to think that if a Republican is President, they should by default get everything they want, and to hell (literally?) with everyone else.
Frankly, I think anyone who would vote third party over Rudy (and hand the election to the Dems) is a complete moron.
Even Sam Brownback, of whom I’m NO fan, understands that the guy with whom he agrees 80% of the time is not his “enemy.” (I guess that’s why Dobson isn’t supporting Brownback?)

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 4:48 PM

I am a Christian.

But I’ll be DAMNED – figuratively and perhaps literally – if I’m going to sit here and let these Christian conservative Quislings ruin this election for the rest of us.

Vyce on October 4, 2007 at 4:51 PM

Rudy by far has the best chance to defeat Hillary.

LOL!

If Rudy Giuliani wins the Republican nomination and a third party campaign is backed by Christian conservative leaders, 27% of Republican voters say they’d vote for the third party option rather than Giuliani.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 4:51 PM

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 4:45 PM

Yes, but I have no idea why.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:52 PM

This so-called Christian conservatives are so selfish and egotistical, it is not even funny. There is nothing that scares me more in this world than a president Hillary, and if these idiots make it happen because of theirego, I don’t know how i will take it.

These people are so dumb…WOW!!!

Chudi on October 4, 2007 at 4:57 PM

Not that I’ll give a damn as to who he thinks I should vote for, but all I’ve heard Dobson do thus far is complain about the candidates. He doesn’t like Rudy, he doesn’t like Fred, Mitt’s a Mormon who’s flipped on abortion…who is he going to support? The others can’t win in match-ups with either Obama or Hillary. Oh, and no matter what dreams tell us, Hunter can’t defeat the Clinton media-controlling machine and her war chest.

MB4, Rudy didn’t say Iraq isn’t important. He said attention must also be placed elsewhere in places such as Afghanistan, which I’d point out has had more attacks, with Taliban gaining ground, as of late.

amerpundit on October 4, 2007 at 4:57 PM

Presidents (any President) can’t modify Roe v. Wade, directly, but they CAN and do nomnate judges to the Supreme Court who will or will not maintain (I paraphrase a complicated process, I realize, but the point is, it’s the S.C. personalities and perspectives that will make any difference in this regard, that will have any huge change in the existing problem of abortion-on-demand). Presidents, I believe, can affect funding and influence society in this regard, so it’s no small thing what a President’s position respect for the unborn is, and with Giuliani, I believe it’s very clear by now that he’s of the mind that “every individual has the right to their opinion” and that he governs with those generalities in mind.

That is, he is LIBERAL in his efforts to allow for a “variety of perspectives” on complex issues, and seems to think (as I do, so far, so good) that abortion is not an option for onesself but that (and here I disagree with him) he as a leader or in influence has “no right” to influence anyone toward or to join in his opinion, and that, therefore, he suggests (strongly) that he’d maintain abortion-on-demand because someone, somewhere would want that and he doesn’t believe anyone’s in any position to assert their “opinion” in supercedence of anyone else’s.

That generalization, that LIBERAL position is fine and dandy when it’s limited to general social considerations (”you say tomato, I say tomahtoe”), but it’s irresponsible on issues affecting life and death (that means, all areas affecting both) and areas of ethics that then affect life and death.

Which is where the “opinion” by Catholic Bishop in this article enters into things: Holy Communion is an issue of life and death (I agree with him, as a Catholic) and he would refuse it to anyone identifying as a Catholic who disagrees with the Church on this issue of abortion (the Church regards abortion as an act of murder except in extreme cases of lifethreatening situations for a mother, and even then the life of the unborn is recognized and regarded with great love and care, as it should be).

So, in less serious issues, then, we can all, most of us as Christians, as Catholics, respect the “your opinion, my opinion, let’s all get along” perspective of Giuliani, but after a point, up to a point, that becomes a position that services wrongs, in fact, services evil (if you regard abortion as murder, if you regard murder as evil, you then regard anyone who participates in that by consent, willingly, or makes that possible, willingly, as evil, is my point — if the word, “evil” bothers you, then just substitute in “wrong” but either way, it’s a serious wrong to the point of being abhorrent).

I don’t want Hillary Clinton (or any Democrat) in the White House. I tend to blame many among the GOP for helping to make that possible — they have not organized or even identified many actual Conservatives and so we have these likely nominees that are causing many of us to twist and contort in our efforts to vote for them on principles alone). But the fact is, these are who we have from among who to nominate.

If Giuliani is the nominee, yes, I’ll vote for him as a Republican. But I’m VERY CONCERNED about his Liberal views on not only this issue (abortion on demand) but as to amnnesty, open borders, what appears to be his eagerness to redefine the very terms that identify these problems in an effort to enable the problems to continue and flourish, just like with abortion).

Giuliani says he’s strong on national security. O.K. So show me. Show everyone. Instead, he focuses on his work in that regard as it relates to New York. The United States is not New York and New York today isn’t too recognizable to many of us as being a part of the United States.

So, the Catholic Bishop has a very good point, here, as to an illustration of how individuals are to be evaluated. Our big problem politically as Conservatives is that there’s no huge money/media machine behind the likes of Duncan Hunter (a Conservative, would be a wonderful President), and Romney, a pro-life, talented executive who has a history of sound ethics and a stable personality, successful family and professional life, is offensive to some Christians.

So, too many Conservatives are applying near-sighted criteria in selecting/supporting Republican candidaes, with the exception of the Democrats who are pushing Ron Paul in their efforts to elect a Liberal as a Republican.

I’ll vote for Giuliani, I’ll vote for Romney, Tancredo, Hunter. That’s all. I would not be happy in a vote for Giuliani, but would perceive that as an act of service to the country if and as I had to do that. But, Giuliani needs to get straight with Conservatives. Otherwise, he’s proving he’s helping Hillary more than he’s helping the U.S.A.

S on October 4, 2007 at 4:57 PM

So Jaime, who is your ideal pick to defeat Shillary?

Do the math…27% of Republicans would vote against Rudy for the pro-lifer. That leaves up to 73% who still would vote for Rudy.

now if you are saying that the third party candidate will garner more votes in totality than Rudy, assuming he wins the nomination, that would be quite a bold statement.

Are you saying that amigo?

awake on October 4, 2007 at 4:58 PM

I agree. Go for the certain defeat in 08.

lorien1973 on October 4, 2007 at 2:41 PM

I’d rather honorable defeat than a victory that tells the GOP “Liberal republicans are the way to go!!!”

MadisonConservative on October 4, 2007 at 5:00 PM

awake on October 4, 2007 at 4:58 PM

You say Rudy has the best chance “by far” of beating Hillary.

I say: I don’t think so.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 5:02 PM

Lets see…

Colorado as of this month…

Registered voters.

998,878 Republicans
860,407 Democrats

967,853 UNAFFILIATED!!!!!!!!!

Yep, a full third of the electorate is NOT allied with either major political party…

Now… take 27% of the Repubs away…
Take the folks out of the demos who don’t like Hillary (can’t find Dems, but with a 40% unfavorable rating its got to be in the 20-30% range)…

You now have the MAJORITY of the electorate up for grabs… by a third party candidate.

ITS NOT ONE OR THE OTHER!!!

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:03 PM

This so-called Christian conservatives are so selfish and egotistical, it is not even funny. There is nothing that scares me more in this world than a president Hillary, and if these idiots make it happen because of theirego, I don’t know how i will take it.

These people are so dumb…WOW!!!

Chudi on October 4, 2007 at 4:57 PM

Oh, dumb according to you? I guess it’s better than being a freaking cry baby. Damn, some people on here have about as much sense as libtards.

wytammic on October 4, 2007 at 5:05 PM

I’d rather honorable defeat than a victory that tells the GOP “Liberal republicans are the way to go!!!”

MadisonConservative

THAT as good a recap of what’s taking place today among many of us Conservatives as ever can be said. A LOT of us just do not want to see the Republican Party drift any more Liberal.

Social liberals have had a bad effect on the GOP for a while now but it’s just coming forward as to what extent. I doubt it’s paranoia that suggests me to conclude that it’s not by accident, either, that this has occured.

The problem a lot of us are also having is drawing any distinctions of importance as to issues between Giuliani and Hillary Clinton. One’s a Liberal, one’s a Marxist Liberal.

S on October 4, 2007 at 5:05 PM

I wish everyone would support Romney. He fulfills all the positions as to issues that Conservatives want, he’s the most capable executive among the nominees, his family’s nice and even his wife is lovely in the media…I just don’t see what’s to not like about him, about his family.

That he’s a Mormon isn’t an issue for me, and I’m not a Mormon, but I am a Christian. I am having problems understanding why a segment of Conservatives rejects the man. But I recognize that it’s a big handicap and would likely be worse on a Presidential level, unless enough Republicans organize in his support.

S on October 4, 2007 at 5:08 PM

One’s a Liberal, one’s a Marxist Liberal.

Me thinks the Marxist Liberal can at least be overthrown by force. ;)

wytammic on October 4, 2007 at 5:09 PM

Yes, but I have no idea why.

SouthernDem on October 4, 2007 at 4:52 PM

You know, I don’t either except that Dean wasn’t as centrist as Kerry was.

I remember having a conversation about Kerry with my roommate at the time, telling her, “Kerry just does whatever you guys want him to, even if it means changing his mind.”

She replied, “That’s what we like about him.”

She was soooo convinced that Kerry would win, that Democrats hadn’t ever been this angry before.

My mother had a little more perspective on the issue.

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 5:12 PM

But S,

Isn’t Romney pro-choice at the core, just flipping on the issue after entering the race?

awake on October 4, 2007 at 5:15 PM

I’d rather honorable defeat than a victory that tells the GOP “Liberal republicans are the way to go!!!”

Make plans for hospitalization, since you’re shooting yourself in the foot. I guess you think you’ll get more of what you want with a Democrat in office.
Logic is clearly not your strong point.

amerpundit:
Who will Dobson support? Well, I suppose he’d support himself as the candidate, or maybe Pat Robertson.
But here’s a poll asking who would be the “best” third-party candidate for the yahoo wing:
http://www.campaignsandelections.com/poll/

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:19 PM

I’d rather honorable defeat than a victory that tells the GOP “Liberal republicans are the way to go!!!”

MadisonConservative

Liberal or moderate Republicans ARE the way to go.

I hate to tell you this, but the country’s changed. While in terms of economics and national security most Americans probably skew to the right, on social issues, they’ve been skewing left for a while now and that’s NOT going to stop any time soon.

Most Americans detest abortion……but they don’t want it take away. Most Americans aren’t all that comfortable with gay marriage……but they don’t want a constitutional ban of it. Most Americans appreciate strong family values……but their values are most decidedly NOT the same as those of people like Dobson.

We’re nowhere near Europe or even Canada in terms of our take on social issues, but most Americans ARE moderate to liberal on social issues, and that IS why someone like Rudy is the best chance to beat Hillary, because he appeals beyond Republicans to the independents and undecideds, because he embodies the conservative positions of being strong on defense (and whether YOU personally believe he is or not, that at least is the perception) and also shares many of THEIR same moderate-to-liberal beliefs on social issues.

This is how the landscape of America is. DEAL WITH IT. Or choose the candidate James Dobson tells you to vote for, and then stare at your TV on 1-09-09 as Bush leaves office and President Hillary is sworn in.

Vyce on October 4, 2007 at 5:23 PM

She was soooo convinced that Kerry would win, that Democrats hadn’t ever been this angry before.

That’s the whole point now, too, isn’t it?

Conventional “wisdom” is that the Dems are going to win. People are trying to push the Republicans left to improve their chances (they think).

The probem is that the Republican party has two main constituencies – business and social conservatives. Both are peeling away right now, repelled by each other.

The key is to find a candidate who is “centrist” in the Republican party, not “centrist” in the general electorate. If that’s accomplished the Republicans stand a good chance.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 5:25 PM

Then why belong to a party at all? The whole point is to fight like heck during the primary, then come together behind the nominee during the general.

But hey, if social conservatives want to set this precedent, then let’s rumble.

I don’t like Fred’s stance on the first amendment. If you pick Fred, I’ll sit out.

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 4:32 PM

I realize that you’re just being contrarian here, but remember that Rudy backed McCain-Feingold too even if he wasn’t in Congress to actually vote on it, so bad example.

Most Republicans will support the nominee, but certainly not all- especially when that nominee has and does come out against aspects of the Republican platform on some issues very important to many in the party, like guns and abortion.

It wouldn’t be a precident either- more than a few Republicans voted for Perot, Robertson, and other 3rd party candidates in the general election.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:26 PM

Liberal or moderate Republicans ARE the way to go.
Vyce on October 4, 2007 at 5:23 PM

Yeah, that worked out great for Ford, HW Bush and Dole and totally killed Reagan’s chances of winning.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:29 PM

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:19 PM

Once again you say we only have two choices… I don’t buy that.

The Republican party is NOT the only option in the entire country. Many don’t like the way the current Republican party has acted the last few years, which is why they lost the last election.

Unless they really make a break with the past, I believe they will loose the next as well.

As I’ve said before, I will no longer vote to keep someone out of office… I reject the idea that I have to vote for the Republican even if I disagree with him, because he’s LESS screwed up than the opposition.

If thats the best arguement you have… you’ll loose.

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:29 PM

Most Americans detest abortion……but they don’t want it take away. Most Americans aren’t all that comfortable with gay marriage……but they don’t want a constitutional ban of it. Most Americans appreciate strong family values……but their values are most decidedly NOT the same as those of people like Dobson.

EXACTLY.

And I’m a conservative–but also, a realist. I’d be much happier with Duncan Hunter as President than Rudy, but Rudy’s about a thousand times better than Hillary or any Democrat running. Duncan Hunter isn’t going to win, and neither is some kooks’ third-party candidate.

Nevertheless, 27% say they’d vote third party NOW, when it doesn’t mean anything. I would hope they’d find that part of their brains responsible for logic when in the voting booth, when they consider the idea of “President Hillary Clinton.” But maybe I give them more credit than they deserve.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:30 PM

These polls are meaningless. Why tout them? The Democratic candidate will determine the turnout for Republicans.

Really, I think I have to stop coming to Hot Air with its doom and gloom. It is too early to write off the election and I don’t come to Hot Air for the negative vibes.

Stormy70 on October 4, 2007 at 5:30 PM

Most Americans detest abortion……but they don’t want it take away. Most Americans aren’t all that comfortable with gay marriage……but they don’t want a constitutional ban of it. Most Americans appreciate strong family values……but their values are most decidedly NOT the same as those of people like Dobson.
Vyce

You stated it perfectly. Let me further state that whatever most citizens position is on abortion, most people do not think of abortion every day – they think about job security, safety (both home and abroad), affordable housing, health care, the cost of tuition, social secuirty safety – the yahoos of the GOP bear a strong resemblance to the Micale Moore crows on the Left. Just like Pat Buchanan’s minions seem similar to the peopel who watch Keith Olbermann (funny how Buchanan is so welcome on MSNBC these days).

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 5:35 PM

Yeah, that worked out great for Ford, HW Bush and Dole

Yeah, that worked out great for Carter and Clinton.

Fixed that for you. Thanks to the “base” (not) for that one!

I guess there was NOTHING good about Ford, Bush 41, or Dole, then? Nothing? Are you telling me Carter and Clinton were BETTER?

The Republican party is NOT the only option in the entire country. Many don’t like the way the current Republican party has acted the last few years, which is why they lost the last election.

When are you people EVER happy? Seriously! You aren’t EVER happy with the GOP, because you never have everyone in the party drinking your Kool-Aid! You even bitched during Reagan’s presidency!

Good grief, when are you people going to grow up? Only when America becomes Utopia (how moonbatty of you) and someone like James Dobson is President? Dream on!

If thats the best arguement you have… you’ll loose.

I’m sorry, but your spelling…I can’t let it go without comment. Get a spellchecker.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:38 PM

Sorry, I forgot to hit preview.
Michael Moore – not Micale Moore
crowd – not crows
security – not secuirty

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 5:39 PM

Conventional “wisdom” is that the Dems are going to win. People are trying to push the Republicans left to improve their chances (they think).

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 5:25 PM

And that’s exactly what I was talking about in reference to people who want to vote in Rudy because they believe he’s the only one who can beat Hillary.

Unfortunately, it seems that few people are for a Republican candidate. We’re mostly just against Hillary, and history tells us that isn’t the best way to win an election.

I’d like to believe we’ll win in 08, but I just don’t.

Esthier on October 4, 2007 at 5:40 PM

Rudy or Hillary – 6 of one, 5.9 of the other.

MB4 on October 4, 2007 at 3:19 PM

Whatever others already said, and one more biiiiiig difference, CDS or GDS. I prefer the latter.

Entelechy on October 4, 2007 at 5:42 PM

If Dobson endorses Huckabee early and he beats Fred in the early primaries, then Rudy can be a great attourney general.

If you liked the “Compassionate Conservative”, you’ll love the “Liberal Conservative”.

moughon on October 4, 2007 at 5:43 PM

Take the folks out of the demos who don’t like Hillary (can’t find Dems, but with a 40% unfavorable rating its got to be in the 20-30% range)…

You now have the MAJORITY of the electorate up for grabs… by a third party candidate.

ITS NOT ONE OR THE OTHER!!!

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:03 PM

Rudy’s favorable to unfavorable numbers are no better than Hillary’s; according to Rasmussen they’re actually worse. Her unfavorables are high, but so are her favorables- just about everyone has an opinion about her by now.

Using your numbers, 9.5% of the population wouldn’t be in play for Rudy, which wouldn’t bode well for him since Bush only won Colorado by 5% in 2004.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:43 PM

Dobson won’t endorse Huckabee. Huckabee is a real Christian, the embodiment of the “compassionate conservative,” and God knows Dobson wants nothing to do with compassion.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:45 PM

These polls are meaningless. Why tout them? The Democratic candidate will determine the turnout for Republicans.
Stormy70 on October 4, 2007 at 5:30 PM

Kerry counted on the opposite, and that didn’t exactly prove to be a winning strategy now, did it?

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:46 PM

Most Americans detest abortion……but they don’t want it take away. Most Americans aren’t all that comfortable with gay marriage……but they don’t want a constitutional ban of it. Most Americans appreciate strong family values……but their values are most decidedly NOT the same as those of people like Dobson

True, but most Americans also don’t want Federal funding of Abortions.

Most Americans do believe that Marriage is between a man and a woman… and see a need to protect that. Look at all the STATE elections that have voted that way.

Most Americans appreciate strong familty values… not having 3 divorces, you kids not liking you, and publicly divorcing your wife while she is ill…

And I’ll add, that most Americans think there should be some way to get guns out of the hands of criminals, without SUEING gun manufacturers…

Most Americans like low taxes… right up until you take away THEIR Social Security… or benifits… (PS, didn’t Rudy SUE Pataki to keep the New York commuter tax in place?).

I don’t really have a problem with Rudi’s stance on abortion… I do have a problem with his past actions, which now to not coincide with what he’s saying.

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:47 PM

Hilts on October 4, 2007 at 5:39 PM

Crows is OK.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 5:47 PM

Take the folks out of the demos who don’t like Hillary (can’t find Dems, but with a 40% unfavorable rating its got to be in the 20-30% range)

If you think the Democrats don’t want to win at all costs, and will sit out or go elsewhere rather than hold their noses and vote for Hillary, you are delusional. Where have you been for the last six or seven years?

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:49 PM

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:43 PM

Problem is that if the choice is only favorable, or unfavorable…

Unfavorable usualy means you won’t vote for the person… or at the very least you’ll have to hold your nose while pulling the lever to do so (or punching the key now days).

Favorable means you may… not necesarily will…. you could be MORE favorable for another candidate…

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:51 PM

Most Americans appreciate strong familty values… not having 3 divorces,

I have two divorces. Are you actually saying I don’t have strong family values?

Careful, there.

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:51 PM

In 2004, the polls stated that the Democratic candidate would win, but that was before Kerry was nominated. Democrats always do better in polls before they nominate their actual candidate. Once the nominees are picked, then the polls become more accurate. It is politics 101.

Stormy70 on October 4, 2007 at 5:55 PM

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 5:51 PM

I personaly have no problem with multiple divorces, its the rest of the baggage along with it that worries me.

Fact is that his personal life has been… interesting… to say the least… and as your personal life IS one indication of character… it needs to be taken into account.

As to the Dems win at all costs comment..

No, I don’t believe you are correct. Yes, there are rabid Dems who think that way, but I think the vast majority are just decent people who are not cemented into a Party ideology…

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:57 PM

Yeah, that worked out great for Ford, HW Bush and Dole and totally killed Reagan’s chances of winning.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 5:29 PM

Of those you mentioned, the most recent is Dole.

That was 11 years ago. 12, by the time the 08 election comes around.

Things have changed SIGNIFICANTLY in this country since then.

Vyce on October 4, 2007 at 5:58 PM

Dobson is going to endorse Paul

offroadaz on October 4, 2007 at 6:00 PM

Things have changed SIGNIFICANTLY in this country since then.

Not for the people still living on 9/10/01 time, where gay marriage and abortion are still THE #1 issues. War? What war? Terrorism? What terrorism?

:sigh:

bamapachyderm on October 4, 2007 at 6:01 PM

Things have changed SIGNIFICANTLY in this country since then.

Vyce on October 4, 2007 at 5:58 PM

I sincerely doubt it- especially when a weak but staunch social conservative Bush won the past 2 elections largely because of strong social con turnout.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 6:02 PM

Problem is that if the choice is only favorable, or unfavorable…

Unfavorable usualy means you won’t vote for the person… or at the very least you’ll have to hold your nose while pulling the lever to do so (or punching the key now days).

Favorable means you may… not necesarily will…. you could be MORE favorable for another candidate…

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 5:51 PM

Not true at all- there are quite a few people in this very thread who have unfavorable opinions of Fred, Rudy or Mitt but would hold their nose and pull the lever for them anyways were they to get the nomination.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 6:04 PM

Just to throw in a bit of history.

Roe v. Wade was in 1973. In 1976, at the first Republican convention after it, the party platform endorsed the “efforts of those who seek a constitutional amendment to restore protection of the right to life for unborn children.”

From that time forward, the party platform has remained pro-life.

INC on October 4, 2007 at 6:05 PM

I think the R party has 3 branches: buisness, social and libertarian

The buisness wing has been in control with thier corporate welfare, labor and trade policies. I thought the social and libertarians were working to take this back for 08 because of problems like the border and people who want to kill us, but if they are going to vote 3rd party because of an untimely and currently almost totally irrelevant issue such as abortion then they are choosing to split the party into 3 parts instead of moving it altogether. This will keep the status quo socialism creep along with all the liberal values they incorectly think thier vote is going to stop.

Resolute on October 4, 2007 at 6:07 PM

I think the R party has 3 branches: buisness, social and libertarian

Yeah, good point. I don’t know how large the libertarian group is, but it’s a factor. Seems like business and social cons have far bigger voices.

Libertarian most closely describes me. But I’m not a Republican, never have been. I’m one of those Independents you’ve heard tell of. I think most libertarians are probably independent by their very nature.

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 6:19 PM

Ruh roh…

Just heard a Mitt speech on Fox…

Is it true the Rudy was part of the lawsuit to get the line item veto overturned???

If so??? ouchy…

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 6:21 PM

jaime on October 4, 2007 at 6:19 PM

Yep, I think there are a lot more indepenent conservatives out there than people think.

Romeo13 on October 4, 2007 at 6:22 PM

So the Republican party is only the Republican party if it reflects the values of part of the coalition?

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 2:54 PM

Lets see how well your Republican Party does when those who care about values leave it.

You can have it.

VinceP1974 on October 4, 2007 at 6:35 PM

27% of Republican voters say they’d vote for the third party option Hillary! rather than Giuliani.

Fixed.

TABoLK on October 4, 2007 at 6:36 PM

Romeo13: transcript for RCP of May 14, 2007 interview:

WALLACE: Well, good. Let me get my question out, and then you can get to your answer.

President Clinton — when he had that power back in the mid-’90s, he used it to line-item veto what he said was excessive Medicaid spending. You not only opposed it, you took him to the Supreme Court and you got it ruled unconstitutional.

So it’s because of you we don’t have the line-item veto.

(LAUGHTER)

GIULIANI: The line-item veto is unconstitutional, and I’m a strict constructionist. The line-item veto — if we want, it has to be done by constitutional amendment.

The reality is it so fundamentally alters the separation of powers — if you read the Constitution carefully and you go back to the Federalist Papers, it’s unconstitutional. The Supreme Court decided that. I believe that.

And of course, it was in the interest of my city to advocate for it. And when I took an oath of office to be mayor of New York City, it was my job to protect the people of New York City, and I did it vigorously and strongly and…

INC on October 4, 2007 at 6:38 PM

Isn’t Romney pro-choice at the core, just flipping on the issue after entering the race? – awake on October 4, 2007 at 5:15 PM

I allow people to change their positions, especially on really, really serious issues such as this (abortion).

Based upon Romney’s many statements recently about his current position as to abortion (he’s now pro-life), and especially due to WHY he says he’s become pro-life, I believe him.

He is someone who has had a change in moral conviction after a very big issue (abortion) was more thoroughly considered by him (so now he’s pro-life after more closer examination of conscience).

I’ll admit this here…I USED to have a similar position on abortion, when I was younger, less mature, more concerned with social acceptance (that translates to being more eager to follow trends).

I USED to rationalize a pro-choice position as does now Giuliani (he hasn’t changed, unfortunately, with age and I think this indicates a lack of depth on his part) and also as Romney USED to have: that they as individuals would never agree to abortion, that they regarded it as wrong, evil, bad, rejectable, a wrong act, but that they “recognize” the — here’s the Liberal view — “right” of others to make their own choice (thus, pro-choice).

I USED to have that Liberal perspective (younger, less profound, not devoted too much time or consideration to the issue, was willing to “tolerate” nearly any and all out of efforts to get along, be sociable, all that, which is more a perspective of youth and inexperience than one of wisdom), and then I started with passing time to consider what my actual beliefs and values were under challenge and I admit here as I did then in my past that my “tolerance” represented a lack of conviction on my part AND an effort to not rock the boat. There’s a lot of social pressure when you’re young/er to be egalitarian, to be so adaptable to anything and everything and a lot of negative pressure when you’re young/er to not be too adament about much of anything, less you’re branded a “fanatic” or “too religious” and such (and so socially, Liberalism does control youth/younger ages via this method — mostly through academic environments, which you’re more likely to be involved in up to and through your early 20’s, and in my case, into my 30’s).

Once I was moreorless out of the influence of Liberalism (not entirely, just moreso), I started evaluating many of these serious issues independently, in my own time, heart and prayers.

So, I could no longer say that just because I’d never have an abortion, that I’d look the other way or be willing to sanction or even make possible someone else involved in abortion (which is what the position of Giuliani is, like other Liberal Republicans like him).

And I believe that was Romney’s position, too. However, his explanations about his change in position about this seem very similar to what I experienced as I grew and examined my own beliefs more closely.

So, I accept his explanations and his position as being a pro-life person also involved in politics representing a pro-life political process. And why he changed his position, as also I did years ago.

I don’t perceive his changed position in this regard to be whimsical or “flipflopping” because to anyone of faith the issue is just too profound. No one of any seriousness would ever be able to explain as Romney has in the details as he’s explained his experience in this regard, if not sincere.

Thus, I accept Romney as a pro-life candidate. I know unquestionably that I am pro-life and I empathize with anyone who shares this same experience as to this issue, especially.

S on October 4, 2007 at 6:48 PM

Wow, there sure are a lot of people here who don’t realize that whoever ends up as President of the United States for the next 4 years is not the be-all/end-all of concerns for Evangelical Christians.

Evangelical Christians believe in ETERNITY!! You really expect them to compromise their moral beliefs for a mere blink in time?

Hey, even if Hillary wins, and no matter how badly she screws up this country, Evangelical Christians have read the BOOK and Evangelical Christians believe, in the end, they win.

So a lot of folks who think that POLITICS are the most important things in this life and would damn others for not “Voting” the way the political pundits believe they should, really just need to wake up to real-life realities.

Fatal on October 4, 2007 at 6:49 PM

Lets see how well your Republican Party does when those who care about values leave it.
You can have it.
VinceP1974 on October 4, 2007 at 6:35 PM

I care about values, but I might not care about your values. Are you saying only the social conservative wing of the party has values?

Slublog on October 4, 2007 at 6:50 PM

I allow people to change their positions, especially on really, really serious issues such as this (abortion).

Based upon Romney’s many statements recently about his current position as to abortion (he’s now pro-life), and especially due to WHY he says he’s become pro-life, I believe him.

S on October 4, 2007 at 6:48 PM

Given that he didn’t change his position until he started working on a Presidential run and that he previously supported Roe v Wade being upheld, I don’t believe him.

His explanation that he had an “epiphany” when looking into the stem cell debate is absurd and doesn’t match his public statements at the time.

Hollowpoint on October 4, 2007 at 6:55 PM

Vyce, things (and people and civilizations and nations) change. They don’t always become “more Liberal” over time, sometimes they become more Conservative. Look at France for example of that, look at Russia…look at China, etc., our own nation…all nations go through cycles of influence and advocacy about issues, and I THINK that the U.S. is going through a change toward the more Conservative, not the more Liberal.

The PROBLEM IS, at this time in our calendar, how that’s going to be reflected in the political. I tend to think all the backlash against exising Republican candidates is one not by Liberals but by Conservatives.

The Democratic Party is nearly meaningless in my view as any bellweather indication of where the country is “going” so much as where a certain personality type is running to…they’re eager to find cover, seek some escape or otherwise blame someone else (or something) for their unhappiness, and the big difference between Liberals and Conservatives is that Liberals really do need revenge, they need to inflict social harms and penalties on those they disagree with IDEOLOGICALLY (and thus, the obvious, nonsensical lies like those about Rush Limbaugh, the statements not based on reality but reflective of someone’s inner psychology, the need to display like a temper tantrum).

They MAY win the Presidency but I really don’t think they will in ‘08. UNLESS there’s a deceitful voting process…

I say that because Conservatives are devoting a great deal of time now to airing out the doubts, confusions, disagreements and once that’s done, we’ll vote and it won’t be for Democrats. The RNC just may be our problem, too, that most of us aren’t discussing…because the Party seems to be issuing confusion, moreso than us voters are.

S on October 4, 2007 at 7:01 PM

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