Hillary: We must not act unilaterally in Pakistan — wait, Barack said what? Okay, then we should

posted at 1:40 pm on August 2, 2007 by Allahpundit

Geraghty catches what he thinks is a flip-flop but which is actually the rare flip-flop-flip. Read the two quotes he’s got. If you parse them very, very finely, as Hillary shills doubtless will, you can make the case that she’s saying it’s okay to target Osama unilaterally but not Al Qaeda training camps, which require a joint effort. But why on earth would she make that distinction? The camps aren’t so sprawling that they’d require days’ worth of sorties to take out and you’re going to run the risk of collateral damage even in a very precise attack on Bin Laden himself. Take out the whole camp and you may well prevent a terrorist attack; kill the man and you only hand the reins to Zawahiri.

And needless to say, this isn’t a subject on which Hillary, of all people, wants to appear weak.

That’s the flop and the second flip. Here’s the original flip, from the CNN debate on June 3. You’ll find it at the end after Obama and Spicoli’s candidate of choice are done hashing out their little dispute. What could explain her willingness to take a unilateralist line here and then again yesterday, but not on July 27? Go back to Geraghty’s post and note who her audience was that night. There’s your answer.

Meanwhile, here’s what the man who’s going to Heal the World and restore our good global standing accomplished yesterday. Hillary may be telling people what they want to hear but at least she’s not walking into doorknobs.

Blowback

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Is it just me, or all the presidential candidates so small? They just aren’t bigger than life people anymore. Is it me getting older or the candidates?

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 1:44 PM

Allah, did you check Drudge? Obama says nukes are off the table.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 1:45 PM

lorien, its the whole elected body that are small. And you aren’t alone in feeling that way.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 1:46 PM

Obama says under any circumstance.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 1:47 PM

Liberals: the enemy within. God help this country if these people take over completely.

jdawg on August 2, 2007 at 1:48 PM

The Obama nuke thing is linked here. Let’s please check the links first.

Allahpundit on August 2, 2007 at 1:49 PM

Heh, sorry, jumped the gun.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 1:50 PM

As for the pic of shrillarity on the front page –
The face that sank a thousand ships!!

jdkchem on August 2, 2007 at 1:52 PM

She looks like a zombie in that front page pic, though the Village Voice probably doesn’t have a problem with that.

Obama is dumb as hell, how could he possibly think he can sit there and say, “ya know what, we aren’t gonna do a second strike”? The riots would be incredible if he tried that.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 1:55 PM

This keeps getting better. I can’t wait until she has to deal with Rudy or Fred! instead of just B. Hussein, Silky and W.

Harpoon on August 2, 2007 at 1:57 PM

Now, what was the name of that old dolphin show?

No wait, that might improve ‘the shills’ appearance.

OK, how about the “Shlipper”?

nah, still too good for her.

shooter on August 2, 2007 at 1:59 PM

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 1:44 PM

It’s not that, it’s just that with 24 hour news cycles you get more without as many filters. Can you imagine how much worse Johnson or Carter would have looked if they were in office today?

Harpoon on August 2, 2007 at 2:01 PM

I think the nuke thing was a rookie error, but he corrected himself right there. He left it that nuclear options “hadn’t been discussed” and isn’t “on the table”.

As ready as I am to towel-snap the Obamessiah ™ I don’t agree with Geraghty that this was a clear promise never to use nuclear weapons. I think it was a muddle and I expect him to clarify it (and be grilled on it) very soon.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 2:05 PM

Regarding the Obama-no-nukes-ever point – isn’t Obama absolutely right? When we would ever use nuclear weapons against an enemy? The result of any nuclear weapon attack would be massive civilian casualties. How could we ever justify doing that?

Am I missing something? Is there a way to launch a nuke attack that doesn’t kill civilians on a grand scale? How is Obama wrong about never wanting to use nukes? Or is he just wrong for saying that he won’t ever use nukes?

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:06 PM

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:06 PM

Do you really think the average person is gonna care about civilians if a major US city gets turned into a smoldering crater? They’re gonna want revenge, lots of it.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 2:09 PM

Talk about triangulation! or maybe it’s multi-reangulation…er, something

CP on August 2, 2007 at 2:10 PM

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:06 PM

Deterrence, even in these days, relies upon the credibility of the threat of retaliation.

James on August 2, 2007 at 2:10 PM

The Great Foreign Policy Tit-for-Tat Fight.

(Cleavage optional.)

profitsbeard on August 2, 2007 at 2:14 PM

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:06 PM

Its partially deterrance. You never say you won’t use them, even though you won’t. Plus, we do have tactical nukes that are designed for battlefield situations, not nuking a city.

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 2:14 PM

I think if a major US city gets turned into a smoking crater, Allahpundit might even relax the Hot Air rules prohibiting, ahem, certain nuclear targeting discussions.

Enrique–he is VERY VERY WRONG for saying that he will never use nukes. Even if he privately swears that even though the entire Soviet arsenal is airborne for the US, he won’t use nukes, he can’t say that.

The whole point of having a nuclear arsenal is deterrence. And deterrence depends on the bad guys believing–or at least believing it is possible–that crossing certain lines will result in a plutonium-powered retrofit of their army, their government, and their civilization.

If you say “we’ll never use nukes”, you’ve just thrown away your ace.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 2:15 PM

Many liberals–and also America’s enemies–are pushing for a No First Use (of nuclear weapons) promise by the US.

That’s lame, but it’s still not quite as sweeping a promise never to use them–even, apparently, as a second use.

But again, I think Obama moved away from such a promise.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 2:17 PM

Is it just me, or all the presidential candidates so small? They just aren’t bigger than life people anymore. Is it me getting older or the candidates?

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 1:44 PM

That’s because we elect “Managers” not “Leaders”.
“Leader” take risks and make mistakes but then keep moving forward with their plan. “Managers” make mistakes by not takeing risks and then spend the rest of their time covering it up.

ronsfi on August 2, 2007 at 2:19 PM

Whenever I think of Hillary, I wonder why I’m not thinking of Megan Fox instead. Life’s too short.

Halley on August 2, 2007 at 2:20 PM

Enrique-

Crazy people have to have a little, gnawing, terrifying, paralyzing kernel of fear that perhaps, under some conditions, you are even crazier than they are.

It’s a subconscious, primordial threat that needs to be retained.

Obama’s just doing what he thinks is fancy footwork.

Breaking toes and smiling.

profitsbeard on August 2, 2007 at 2:22 PM

I can’t believe that this guy; Obama, is that stupid. Boy, would I like to have him in a poker game where he is telegraphing every card he has in his hand.

cjs1943 on August 2, 2007 at 2:23 PM

In the words of our enemy: “When people see a strong horse and a weak horse, by nature they will like the strong horse.”

Bin Laden may be one evil Jidhadi but he has that right. While the loony left may control the Democratic primary, pretty much everyone else wants a strong President. Hillary knows this, and Obama can afford consultants.
This would be a good place to say its all about partisan politics but that would just be a waste of keystrokes.

TunaTalon on August 2, 2007 at 2:26 PM

I scratch my head every time I hear some of the answers candidates give to tough questions. Answers come in platitudes with multiple caveats attached, leaving me (and others) wondering what they meant.

Why not just say I will do everything in my power to protect the USA and it’s citizens? Or is that too GWB and out of vogue at this time.

And by the way, I concur with see-dubya about never throwing away your ace. I wonder what Gorby would have done if Reagan said he would never use nukes.

swami on August 2, 2007 at 2:27 PM

Either of them by themselves, Shillary or B.Hussein, are just plain scary slow. They just seem so dimwitted and not capable of leading anything, let alone the most powerful country in the world. They’re consumed by what others will think, or say. They are not driven by morals or ethics or principled decision making. Thats a bad set of rules to live by.

Yet I think if the two were together, it would be even worse… they would never make a decision, right or wrong.

Neither of these two are capable of the difficult and immediate decisions required to hold office beyond where they are, with Senator babysitters and all.
Can you imagine a ‘presidential’ press conference?

ouch, that does scare me.

shooter on August 2, 2007 at 2:28 PM

hold on i had to go put on my hip waders it was getting kind of deep in here .
Well it’s good to see everyone wanted to play one up the other with a big steaming pile of Bull@#$%.

The correct answer to the question is not “yes but….” . It is simply “Hell Yes!!!!!”

Isn’t the hellfire missile a relatively small missile ???

I am sure somebody can answer that for me.

Mojack420 on August 2, 2007 at 2:32 PM

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 2:09 PM

Really? Imagine that Iran somehow drops a nuke in Dallas. Our response would be to nuke Tehran and murder thousands of people that had nothing to do with it? That’s not a morally defensible position from where I sit.

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 2:14 PM

Your point about tactical nukes is well-taken, but don’t we have conventional weapons that do the same kind of damage?

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 2:15 PM

See-dub, what kind of deterrence are nuclear weapons against people who think God wants them to murder Jews, Hindus, Christians, and apostates? If they’re not deterred by bunker-busters, how are nukes going to deter them?

profitsbeard on August 2, 2007 at 2:22 PM

To restate the point I just made to see-dub, we can’t make people who think that God wants them to suicide-bomb Jews think that we’re crazier than they are.

I appreciate the feedback everyone, but I still don’t see how having a nuclear arsenal in 2007 does us any good when we can’t even waterboard a motherf*cker without taking massive heat for it. I think Obama got this one right. There is no deterrence here. Even if Putin eventually goes off the deep end and nukes Washington – how can we morally justify nuking Moscow in return if it would mean massive civilian casualties? Those civilians wouldn’t have had anything to do with it. I don’t mean to sound like Andrew Sullivan, but it seems like our conventional weapons arsenal is destructive enough at this point.

I can understand why we wouldn’t want Obama to SAY that he won’t ever use nukes – but I defy anyone to present a hypothetical scenario in which we would have to use a nuke in lieu of conventional weapons.

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:43 PM

When we would ever use nuclear weapons against an enemy? The result of any nuclear weapon attack would be massive civilian casualties. How could we ever justify doing that?

When said civilians are backing a government that is about to annihilate us or an ally, that’s when.

pedestrian on August 2, 2007 at 2:44 PM

Anyone listen to Newt on Rush today? I was so impressed I rather think he could overcome his questionable past if he talks like that for the next year or so. I seldom get the feeling Newt is just telling me what I want to hear as I do with most politicians and boy he has some great ideas.

frreal on August 2, 2007 at 2:44 PM

Hit reply too slow to see your latest.

Those civilians wouldn’t have had anything to do with it.

Then who does bear responsibility? The only way to preserve civilization is to preserve laws, one of those is that taking lives has to be punished. Jesus never said laws were not to be enforced. Paul spelled it out that it is the job of those in government to enforce the laws. When a nation undertakes an attack on a people, out of necessity that whole nation is held morally responsible. That was made quite clear in the Old Testament.

pedestrian on August 2, 2007 at 2:49 PM

Ridiculous. A Hellfire is a precision weapon, in that it can’t destroy much more than a car or a single floor of a building. The issue of “collateral damage” does not apply. Furthermore, Hellfires are not fire and forget weapons. They require constant eyes on until they hit their target.

That Wolfe would suggest “collateral damage” means he and his producers are ignorant of the implications of their scenario, or are loading the question with their own bias.

Oddly, only Kucinich answered the question, as the primary question is one of assassination. The rest act like Wolfe was talking about carpet bombing a town.

Agrippa2k on August 2, 2007 at 2:53 PM

Well, at least we know who the jihadists’ candidate of choice is (of the ones who stand an actual chance of winning the presidency). They were probably leaning towards Edwards, but with Obama’s ignorant comments, that may have changed.

Rick on August 2, 2007 at 3:00 PM

I defy anyone to present a hypothetical scenario in which we would have to use a nuke in lieu of conventional weapons.

North Korea invades South Korea. After a more or less flattening Seoul and killing several thousand American troops stationed there and “observing” at the DMZ, Nork tanks roll through the the RoK and fortify positions. American and Korean troops flee southward down the peninsula and are able to slow the advance (which gathers steam as it loots the South’s resources) but lack the strength to counterattack. Our carriers are steaming in but are days away; American troops need reinforcements but may be forced to surrender.

We could A: land conventional forces to fight against superior numbers or

B: send in both conventional and nuclear-tipped Tomahawks to disable the DPRK’s command and control bunkers, armored divisions, and artillery positions–thereby creating chaos behind enemy lines and halting their advance.

Another likely scenario, even better: DPRK sends a Taepodong with a hot warhead into downtown Tokyo. It doesn’t work perfectly, but it’s enough, and it’s dirty. Tokyo is reeling and in crisis mode. We don’t know how many more warheads Kim has.

A: Invade North Korea conventionally and hope we can disable their well hidden ICBM sites with airstrikes. All at an immense cost to American (and RoK, DPRK, and Japanese lives), or

B: ctrl-alt-delete Pyongyang before they can launch another one.

I think there’s a lot to be said for B in both these cases.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 3:06 PM

Really? Imagine that Iran somehow drops a nuke in Dallas. Our response would be to nuke Tehran and murder thousands of people that had nothing to do with it? That’s not a morally defensible position from where I sit.

Maybe not, but do you think the American public would accept any other response? I don’t. It would be anarchy and mass riot until that kind of retaliation was put in place. I’m not saying right or wrong, I’m arguing political reality, which doesn’t always concern itself with right or wrong.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 3:07 PM

Just to clarify: by “even better” I meant a better hypothetical, not in any sense a “better” turn of events.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 3:08 PM

And maybe not the capital itself Enrique, but command bunkers and installations, as See-Dub points out.

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 3:09 PM

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 1:44 PM

A while back, I read an (in my opinion, well argued) article about why our Presidents and Presidential candidates don’t seem so special anymore.

Their central argument was that, prior to Nixon, the press protected the President. Candid quotes would be spruced up so that, although the sentiment spoken was still the same, the actual ‘quote’ in the newspaper seemed quite eloquent and super-educated. Personal scandals not related to their ability to govern were hidden from the public. Pictures always showed the men looking their best and vaguely reminiscent of a Greek god.

The article said that everything changed after the Bay of Pigs invasion. The press felt that they had been betrayed by Kennedy and that he had lied to them and made them look foolish. At that point, they began to take on an adversarial role….just in time for President Nixon and the Watergate scandal.

After Nixon resigned, the press (drunk on the power of having ‘brought down’ the most powerful man in the world), the press made it their mission to reveal every personal flaw a President might have. They looked for scandals, missteps, a misspoken word, etc and printed whatever they found. Of course, to make sure Dems still looked better than Reps, they pile more crap on the Rep Presidents (whether made up – i.e. Reagan hating gay people; a stretch – i.e. the “mission accomplished” banner that was referring to the Naval ship’s mission and not the war itself; or true – i.e. President Bush’s stumbling tongue).

Thought it was at least an interesting theory.

JadeNYU on August 2, 2007 at 3:12 PM

I can understand why we wouldn’t want Obama to SAY that he won’t ever use nukes – but I defy anyone to present a hypothetical scenario in which we would have to use a nuke in lieu of conventional weapons.

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:43 PM

The point is, you don’t want to EVER take it off the table. You don’t want to limit yourself in any way. As for your question about Iran dropping a nuke on Dallas, Bad Candy is right, you would very likely be in the minority in thinking a nuke heading to Tehran would be morally wrong. You have to remember, Enrique, we are the lone superpower in the world — that means we can’t just ignore the fact that one of our city’s was nuked, by not responding accordingly. Once we go down that road, every little country with a crazy dictator will come after us. They are already starting to think that way as it is.

Rick on August 2, 2007 at 3:23 PM

…but I defy anyone to present a hypothetical scenario in which we would have to use a nuke in lieu of conventional weapons.
Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:43 PM

Why assume that nukes have to be used to be useful? We got through the cold war with just the threat of using nukes. Every President of the United States must make the world understand that using nuclear weapons is “on the table”, even if it’s just a bluff.

Why assume that Iran will leave their fingerprints on a nuclear strike on the U.S.? Atomic bombs travel well by ship. That would muddy the moral waters and Iran knows it.

We get just the government we deserve, and so do the Iranians.

TunaTalon on August 2, 2007 at 3:28 PM

I wonder why I hear the song “Dance a Little Side Step” from Best Little Whorehouse in Texas whenever one of these candidates speak?

/sarc.

Pulchritudinous Patriot on August 2, 2007 at 3:43 PM

Fellow Americans, I am proudly standing here to humbly see.
I assure you, and I mean it- Now, who says I don’t speak out as plain as day?
And, fellow Americans, I’m for progress and the flag- long may it fly.
I’m a poor boy, come to greatness. So, it follows that I cannot tell a lie.

Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep, now they see me now they don’t-
I’ve come and gone and, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step,
cut a little swathe and lead the people on.

Now my good friends, it behooves me to be solemn and declare,
I’m for goodness and for profit and for living clean and saying daily prayer.
And now, my good friends, you can sleep nights, I’ll continue to stand tall.
You can trust me, for I promise, I shall keep a watchful eye upon ya’ll…

Ooh I love to dance a little sidestep, now they see me now they don’t-
I’ve come and gone and, ooh I love to sweep around the wide step,
cut a little swathe and lead the people on.

Pulchritudinous Patriot on August 2, 2007 at 3:45 PM

As for your question about Iran dropping a nuke on Dallas, Bad Candy is right, you would very likely be in the minority in thinking a nuke heading to Tehran would be morally wrong.

Rick on August 2, 2007 at 3:23 PM

Yes, it would be morally wrong in that situation. The moral thing to do in that situation is to send ten nukes headed toward Tehran and any surrounding strategic sites.

You can’t play a stupid tit-for-tat game with nukes if it’s a second-rate country you’re dealing with. Once someone goes far enough over the edge to bring nukes into play against us, they must be pounded flat…they already have decided that they have nothing to lose.

Additionally, what ‘the American people’ will allow won’t enter into it. Nuclear warfare doesn’t hinge on opinion polls.

James on August 2, 2007 at 3:51 PM

1. start war with Pakistan, a nuclear-armed ally
2. never use nuclear weapons under any circumstances
3. lose said war with Pakistan

Christoph on August 2, 2007 at 3:55 PM

If you parse them very, very finely, as Hillary shills doubtless will, you can make the case that she’s saying it’s okay to target Osama unilaterally but not Al Qaeda training camps, which require a joint effort. But why on earth would she make that distinction?

Because Hillary does what every modern politician does, only to a degree that defines her very existence: she wipes out independent, objective observation and replaces it with a popularity detector. She detects (she doesn’t know, she detects) that Osama is hated by the public and is indefensible. Pretty much any death for him would be justified in the public’s eyes. So she’s okay with that.
But al Qaeda terrorists are floating abstractions to the public; they are not concrete, identifiable entities like Osama. “Who is al Qaeda? I know it’s a gang of terrorists, and I know they did 9/11, but who are they? I don’t have a name or a face to fix them in my head. I don’t want to support killing people I’ve never seen. I don’t even know if they’ve ever done anything wrong. They just belong to some group whom I’ve never seen and don’t know anything about, except for their connection to 9/11. Besides, innocents might get accidentally killed, and I’m definitely against that. So we have to get terrorists humanely. We have to capture them and put them on trial. The alternative — ruthless, overhwleming force — is intolerable. If another country joins in, then that helps, because it shows that we’re not imperialist bullies.”

This is the unfocused, unintegrated, concrete-bound hash that passes for thought today. This is what, and how, people think, and this is what Hillary picks up on. She lives to accumulate power in order to put her political philosophy into action. Thus, she must gauge where her philosophy intersects public opinion. She’s willing to compromise on position, but only insofar as it doesn’t diminish her range of power.

Al Qaeda means nothing to people. It’s just an alien name. To the pitiful extent to which they care to assign meaning to it, they equate it with “terrorism” itself. “Beat al Qaeda and you beat terrorism.” Not even our President is immune to such anti-conceptual sloth. Hillary is unelectable because of her personality, but she knows very well what words America wants to hear.

Lazarus on August 2, 2007 at 4:06 PM

“… but at least she’s not walking into doorknobs.”

AP, are you suggesting Obama is a mental midget?

Dusty on August 2, 2007 at 4:27 PM

Nothing says strength like tossing away the biggest stick in the shed…

I’m sure the next question to him should be able disarmament, if you are unwilling to ever use them, what’s the point of having all the shiny things that make big boom?

Canadian Imperialist Running Dog on August 2, 2007 at 4:27 PM

ahem,

I’m sure the next question to him should be about disarmament, if you are unwilling to ever use them, what’s the point of having all the shiny things that make big boom?

fixed.

Canadian Imperialist Running Dog on August 2, 2007 at 4:29 PM

The US nuclear arsenal was built to fight the Cold War. If North Korea, for example, were to launch a missle against a target in America, it’s up in the air (no pun intended) what the response would be. Do you risk using a single MIRV against the launch site only to find out the NK missle is conventional when it hits US soil?

Response to any terrorist attacks with nuclear weapons is even hazier. Likely it would involve more of the same conventional tactics we are already employing.

Nuclear weapons are not smartbombs…there is nothing ‘surgical’ about them. Modern rules of engagement do not allow you to target civs. It sounds like our hands are tied anyway.

Asher on August 2, 2007 at 4:29 PM

Do you risk using a single MIRV against the launch site only to find out the NK missle is conventional when it hits US soil?

No, definitely not.

Four or five at a minimum.

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 4:34 PM

Is it just me, or all the presidential candidates so small? They just aren’t bigger than life people anymore. Is it me getting older or the candidates?
lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 1:44 PM

Just take a look at their feet. Last debate I took the time to look, several of the dem candidates were standing on platforms. Notable Hillary and Kucinich.

csdeven on August 2, 2007 at 4:40 PM

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:43 PM

You just jumped the shark. The reason we nuke civilians is to put them into compliance and force them to turn on their countrymen who brought the wrath of the USA on their families.

csdeven on August 2, 2007 at 4:48 PM

PS Additionally, if that doesn’t work, we kill every last damn one of them and dare the other countries inclined toward terrorism to rethink their strategy.

Remember, the ultimate goal of the islamo-fascists is to turn the entire world into an Islamic paradise (in other words, a hell hole for sane people). The death of every last Muslim doesn’t fulfill the insane ramblings of Mo, that they think are prophecies. They will submit.

csdeven on August 2, 2007 at 4:53 PM

So, if bin Laden, Iran, or the NorKs use a nuke on a US city, Obama would NOT RETALIATE in kind?

I think he’s announcing that he is unfit for the office of the President of the United States of America by effectively announcing that he would unilatterly stand down the strategic forces.

Enrique makes a point that many also have: “…but I defy anyone to present a hypothetical scenario in which we would have to use a nuke in lieu of conventional weapons.”

That scenario would be the use of a weapon of mass destruction against an American city causing many casualties. WMD include nuclear, biological, and/or chemical weapons. And the use of any such weapon would be part of the scenario.

Last May 10th, I made several posts in a Hot Air thread about what would happen if a US city were nuked by terrorists. Here’s an excerpt:

The unclassified portion of NSPD 17 (”National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction”, December 2002)_ explicitly states:

“The United States will continue to make clear that it reserves the right to respond with overwhelming force — including through resort to all of our options — to the use of WMD against the United States, our forces abroad, and friends and allies.”

There. In black and white is all the warning that is needed for Islam [or anyone else] to take note as to what will happen if the USA is struck with a WMD, not just a nuclear weapon. This is the open, bald-faced PROMISE of overwhelming retaliation (and the phrase “all of our options” means nuclear weapons, don’t kid yourself otherwise). There should be no doubt that we will retaliate with nuclear weapons.

I suspect that should a nuclear weapon be detonated in an American city, that Muslim countries around the world will be falling all over themselves claiming and trying to prove their innocence, hoping to avoid our retaliatory hammer.

Allahpundit says: “First we’d need to figure out who did it.” The presupposes that the people of the United States are going to care which jihadist group and which sponsor of state terrorism was involved. I do not think the American public will care, nor do I think the the federal government will dilly-dally trying to prove guilt in a court of law, or to the UN Security Council who’s responsible.

Personally, I think the op-orders have already been issued, and distributed to Strategic Command, as contingencies. I think which specific option is invoked may depend upon which ‘bad guys’ is the *likely* (not absolutely) culprit. I think that any retaliation will be wide (as in national or regional) as opposed to narrow or a specific “camp” or target.

While I would like to think that the United States would provide relief assistance after our strike, it would not surprise me that we simply let them rot. And I guarantee that there will be NO occupation, NO “nation building.” Our experience in Iraq will have foreclosed that option. No, we’ll strike hard, destroy cities and large areas of real estate, and maybe send in a few “blankets” and medical supplies afterwards, but I doubt that we’d send in any massive humanitarian aid.

Tuna Talon, that should answer you question about whether or not Iran’s fingerprints were present.

Enrique, you need to understand something. America WOULD destroy cities and kill civilians in the event of a WMD strike against the USA. The public would demand it.

Wretchard at the Belmont Club dealt with this in October 2003 in an essay, titled “The Three Conjectures.”

The problem, as he saw it was identifying the jihadists “command and control” element. As he said, there is no “red phone” to call and no way to defuse the issue. Bad Candy is right. The American people will be calling for blood, major blood and won’t care WHOSE blood it is.

Wretchard’s conjecture number two (Conjecture 2: Attaining WMDs will destroy Islam) goes like this: Any jihidist use of a nuke on American soil will end up, eventually, in Isam ceasing to exist. Why? No red phone, no way to call off the war. No way for use to even surrender, if we wanted to.

Wretchard wrote:

However, suppose Pakistan or North Korea engineered a reliable plutonium weapon that could be built to one-point safety in any machine shop with a minimum of skill, giving Islamic terrorists the means to repeatedly attack America indefinitely. Under these circumstances, there would no incentive to retaliate proportionately. The WMD exchange would escalate uncontrollably until Islam was destroyed…. a United States choked with corpses could still not negotiate an end to hostilities or deter further attacks. There would be no one to call on the Red Telephone, even to surrender to. In fact, there exists no competent Islamic authority, no supreme imam who could stop a jihad on behalf of the whole Muslim world. Even if the terror chiefs could somehow be contacted in this apocalyptic scenario and persuaded to bury the hatchet, the lack of command and control imposed by the cell structure would prevent them from reining in their minions. Due to the fixity of intent, attacks would continue for as long as capability remained. Under these circumstances, any American government would eventually be compelled by public desperation to finish the exchange by entering -1 x 10^9 in the final right hand column: total retaliatory extermination.

One more point.

The existance of the National Missile Defense project and Theater defense project (ABM systems being deployed now) gives the United States the capability to hold our nuclear retaliation, if an incoming bird can be splashed before striking the United States or US forces and allies.

If ABM systems work (as they appear to), and if the attack is by land or sea launched missile or aircraft, then the likelihood of having to retaliate with nuclear weapons, to “check fire,” goes down if we can destroy the incoming weapon. If the ABM system fails or if the attack is not airborne, then I have no doubt that NSPD 17 will be invoked, at least by this President.

If Obama is unwilling to respond to a WMD attack against an American city with nuclear weapons, and makes this his public position, he will invite terrorists to use them against us because he will have taken the deterrance behind NSPD 17 off the table. Accordingly, he is unfit to be the Commander-in-Chief, just as Jimmy Carter was.

georgej on August 2, 2007 at 4:54 PM

Asher on August 2, 2007 at 4:29 PM

F the “modern rules of engagement”! Our hands are tied only by our concession to savages. This is life or death — our life or death. If civilians are in the way, too bad for them. Don’t wanna get caught in the crossfire? Don’t live with warring animals.

Lazarus on August 2, 2007 at 4:54 PM

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 3:06 PM

Put me down for “B” in both cases. I’d rather not wait, but we need to allow them the first move so we will have the moral high ground.

csdeven on August 2, 2007 at 4:58 PM

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 2:09 PM

Really? Imagine that Iran somehow drops a nuke in Dallas. Our response would be to nuke Tehran and murder thousands of people that had nothing to do with it? That’s not a morally defensible position from where I sit.

lorien1973 on August 2, 2007 at 2:14 PM

Your point about tactical nukes is well-taken, but don’t we have conventional weapons that do the same kind of damage?

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 2:43 PM

Right. No one gave a crap about ‘morally defensible’ when Dresden occurred. Funny how ‘morals’ come up when applied in mirror fashion. How, pray tell, is is ‘morally defensible’ not to use every weapon/tactic/trick in your arsenal to achieve the end you wish, which, in this case, is to prevent more of YOUR citizens’ deaths as quickly as possible? There’s no such thing as ‘innocent civilians.’ You smash an enemy quickly, decisively, brutally, and you do it so he’ll quit or die. Period.

TinMan13 on August 2, 2007 at 5:46 PM

TinMan13 on August 2, 2007 at 5:46 PM

One quibble with an otherwise dead-on post. There are innocent civilians in an enemy country. There are people who know that their country is wrong, and who side with the good guys, and who may even act to undermine their own hostile regime. They are innocent. But they are not worth our suffering to avoid killing. They are not a barrier to our full, moral self-defense. They are, in a word, arbitrary, worthy neither of targeting nor restraint. When it’s our people or theirs, innocents don’t matter.

Lazarus on August 2, 2007 at 6:08 PM

see-dubya on August 2, 2007 at 3:06 PM

Bad Candy on August 2, 2007 at 3:09 PM

Points taken. I can see how we might want to use a nuke if we could direct it specifically at a military target – but isn’t that why the likes of Hezb’allah always pose as civilians and hide weapons caches and other legitimate military targets in residential areas? You both make good arguments, but I really think the likelihood of us ever being in that kind of ultra-specific circumstance (where we’re reasonably sure we could use a nuke without massive civilian casualities) are slim. Of course, I could be wrong.

Enrique, you need to understand something. America WOULD destroy cities and kill civilians in the event of a WMD strike against the USA. The public would demand it.

I don’t remember us clamoring for the deaths of Afghan civilians after 9/11.

Anyway, good discussion, mates.

Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 9:45 PM

Many of you wish for Fred to declare and disrupt such a good summer spectacle…with sooo many months left to go.

The nutroots must be going ballistic.

Entelechy on August 2, 2007 at 10:16 PM

When it’s our people or theirs, innocents don’t matter.

Lazarus on August 2, 2007 at 6:08 PM

Thanks for the clarification, very true. We don’t clamor for the deaths of ‘civilians,’ such an assertion is patently ridiculous and an example of the completely hypocritical black and white thinking of the ‘shades of gray nuance’ crowd.

Perhaps the ‘morally defensible-moral equivalence’ crowd could explain their concept of morality.

TinMan13 on August 2, 2007 at 10:27 PM

I don’t remember us clamoring for the deaths of Afghan civilians after 9/11.
Enrique on August 2, 2007 at 9:45 PM

I think that is because the Afghanis refused to allow the taliban to hide amongst the population.

csdeven on August 3, 2007 at 12:50 AM

TinMan13 on August 2, 2007 at 10:27 PM

Thanks for the clarification, very true. We don’t clamor for the deaths of ‘civilians,’ such an assertion is patently ridiculous and an example of the completely hypocritical black and white thinking of the ’shades of gray nuance’ crowd.

Indeed. So long as there is no strategic benefit to killing civilians, doing so is a mistake.

Perhaps the ‘morally defensible-moral equivalence’ crowd could explain their concept of morality.

They have none. They are amoral. They reject an objective code to guide man’s life. All they know is the promoting of man’s suffering.

Lazarus on August 3, 2007 at 12:22 PM