Unfortunately, probably not enough people know it to stop it.

But I’ll bet enough do to derail a certain Republican presidential candidacy that shall remain nameless.

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Update: Bob Owens points to the latest at the WashTimes.

The Senate’s immigration bill will only reduce illegal immigration by about 25 percent a year, according to a new Congressional Budget Office report, Stephen Dinan will report Tuesday in The Washington Times.

The bill’s new guest-worker program could lead to at least 500,000 more illegal immigrants within a decade, said the report from the CBO, which said in its official cost estimate that it assumes some future temporary workers will overstay their time in the plan, adding up to a half-million by 2017 and 1 million by 2027.

If the numbers are right then it’s important to emphasize that that half-million figure only accounts for guest workers who overstay their visas. It doesn’t account for people who are sneaking in over the border and are illegal from the word go. The Center for Immigration Studies cites the Census Bureau for the figure that 500,000 new illegals enter the country annually. If that trend holds and the amnesty bill reduces the flow by 25%, then you’re still looking at 3.75 million total by 2017.

Here’s some more good news. Try to look shocked:

[I]n a blow to President Bush’s timetable, the CBO said the “triggers” — setting up the verification system, deploying 20,000 U.S. Border Patrol agents to duty and constructing hundreds of miles of fencing and vehicle barriers — won’t be met until 2010.

Those triggers must be met before the temporary worker program could begin, and Mr. Bush had hoped to have them completed about the time he leaves office in January 2009.

Update: In light of the CBO figures, Captain Ed rescinds his tentative support for the bill and abandons ship.

Tags: immigration