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Bush considering cutting Iraq troop levels by half next year

posted at 4:07 pm on May 26, 2007 by Allahpundit
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There’s something familiar about this. From the Times piece that Drudge has been splashing for the past 16 hours:

The Bush administration is developing what are described as concepts for reducing American combat forces in Iraq by as much as half next year, according to senior administration officials in the midst of the internal debate…

The mission would instead focus on the training of Iraqi troops and fighting Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia, while removing Americans from many of the counterinsurgency efforts inside Baghdad

Missing from much of the current discussion is talk about the success of democracy in Iraq, officials say, or even of the passage of reconciliation measures that Mr. Bush said in January that the troop increase would allow to take place. In interviews, many senior administration and military officials said they now doubted that those political gains, even if achieved, would significantly reduce the violence.

Compare that to the Iraq plan that Hillary laid out for the Times in an interview in March:

Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton foresees a ”remaining military as well as political mission” in Iraq, and says that if elected president, she would keep a reduced military force there to fight Al Qaeda, deter Iranian aggression, protect the Kurds and possibly support the Iraqi military.

In a half-hour interview on Tuesday in her Senate office, Mrs. Clinton said the scaled-down American military force that she would maintain would stay off the streets in Baghdad and would no longer try to protect Iraqis from sectarian violence — even if it descended into ethnic cleansing.

And now compare it to pages 49 and 50 of the Baker-Hamilton report that was released in January:

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I guess Bush figures if he makes concessions to the “realist” position, particularly by adopting the plan outlined by the likely party nominee, the Democrats will have to abandon their goal of total withdrawal and support it as a “reasonable” compromise. Half a solution is better than nothing, in other words — unless it ends up getting American troops killed while doing nothing to prevent civil war.

Another one of B-H’s key recommendations was negotiations with Iran, you’ll recall. Those start Monday. In apparent honor of the occasion, the State Department announced today that a committee it had set up last year to coordinate aggressive action against Iran and Syria is being formally disbanded. Quote: “A senior State Department official, speaking on the condition of anonymity because he is not authorized to speak to the press, said the group was shut down because of a widespread public perception that it was designed to enact regime change. State Department officials have said the focus of the Iran-Syria group was persuading the two regimes to change their behavior, not toppling them.”

Meanwhile, U.S. troops welcomed Sadr back today by killing five “gunmen” in Sadr City and arresting a capo suspected of links to the Revolutionary Guard. That’s the second high-profile hit on the Mahdi Army in as many days, yesterday’s killing of the JAM commander in Basra being the first. The local Sadrist goons promised revenge last night, and today they delivered by bombarding the British base. For their trouble they received a care package from the Royal Air Force. The unstable “stability” in Basra might be just about over now.


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We’ve been there for four years, and the iraqis still cannot agree to evenly share the oil revenues amongst each iraqi citizen equally. They could do what the kuwaitis do if they wanted to but obviously they don’t want to, because if they did, it would be done. I’m starting to believe they really do want their civil war, and I don’t want to be there for it. HOWEVER, once we leave and the ethnic cleansing begins, the jihadis will take over, and with the help of Iran they will then have all the oil revenues they will ever need to attack us and we will be paying for all of it at the pump, on top of the fact that the appeasing dhimmis we have elected to office will submit to their demands. Unless and until we get an alternative and renewable energy program up and going, which no one is seriously doing (to not even be drilling ANWR is suicidal…) so what do we do? What is the solution?

JustTruth101 on May 26, 2007 at 4:23 PM

This is a Pandora’s box to be sure.

Stay and try to stabilize things, the Media and Dems and now some Republicans will continue to wail and gnash their teeth.

Leave, and the situation could descend into an ever worse chaos with Iran probably coming out on top.

gmoonster on May 26, 2007 at 6:02 PM

AP,

Troop levels will have to come down regardless of what Bush or anyone else want. It’s a product of the surge, our end ground force strength, and rotations.

Currently, we have well over 50% of our deployable ground forces deployed. Anything over 50% is unsustainable which is why this whole operation is called the “surge” in the first place. Even if we wanted to, we could not maintain the current force levels in Iraq past the spring of 2008 without breaking title X and calling up more Guard units, or pulling forces out of Korea and other places to send to Iraq, or extending deployments indefinitely.

Currently around 60% of our ground force is currently deployed and those troops will have to rotate back to the states in the spring of 2008. The remaining brigades currently in the states will rotate out to replace them. Obviously 40% of the force is less than 60.

NPP on May 26, 2007 at 6:04 PM

Drudge and the rest are really overblowing/misrepresenting this. Same way the British troop cuts were overblown/misrepresented.

Patriot33 on May 26, 2007 at 6:48 PM

Yes, that’s nice, can we please photoshop Rosie’s face under Sadr’s turban now?

see-dubya on May 26, 2007 at 7:48 PM

Let’s get Mookie some teeth, get him a hair cut and get his stinkin ass (which by the way he hasen’t washed for over twenty years) shot and killed. I would like nothing better than to see him hanging over a rail like a landed walleye!!!

NEMETI IN SYRACUSE on May 26, 2007 at 8:42 PM

Tactical nukes make sense if we wish to reduce US forces.

Hening on May 26, 2007 at 9:25 PM

Mongo like candy!

Dave Shay on May 27, 2007 at 7:57 AM

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