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Condi to Bush: Release the Irbil Five

posted at 5:36 pm on April 13, 2007 by Allahpundit
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Bush to Condi: no.

Dedicated to my pal Tanya, who, like me, once thought Condi was presidential timber. Those were the days.

At a meeting of the president’s top foreign policy team Tuesday, the administration decided that the five Iranians will remain in custody and go through the periodic three-month review used for other foreign detainees picked up in Iraq, U.S. officials said. The next review may not happen for weeks, and possibly not until July…

Iran is threatening not to attend a pivotal meeting in Egypt next month of Iraq’s neighbors — plus the United States and international groups involved in Iraq — that Washington hopes will increase regional cooperation to stabilize the country. Without Iran, which exerts great influence in Iraq, the meeting could end up having marginal impact, according to Iraqi officials and Middle East experts.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice went into the Tuesday meeting with a recommendation to free the men, but after a full review of the options she went along with the consensus, U.S. officials said. Vice President Cheney’s office made the firmest case for continuing to hold the men.

Supposedly one of the factors here is that they don’t want to release the five too soon after the British sailors got sprung or else it’ll look too much like what it actually is, i.e., a quid pro quo. So it’s not so much that it’s not happening as that it’s not happening now. Looks like I was too pessimistic in predicting April 26 as the release date, which makes this the second time today I’ve been wrong about something and the second time I’ve been happy about it.

Another factor is the risk of Iran starting to kidnap our guys to force an exchange. Has that process already begun? Maybe:

An American fugitive living in Iran since he murdered an Iranian opposition activist in the US in 1980 has revealed that he met a former Federal Bureau of Investigation agent shortly before the latter disappeared on the Iranian island of Kish a month ago.

US authorities have been anxiously seeking information about the former agent, Robert Levinson, for several weeks. The Iranian foreign ministry says it is trying to clarify his whereabouts. US officials suspect he is in Iranian detention.

[Dawud] Salahuddin, known in Iran as Hassan Abdulrahman, said he was detained by officials in plain clothes at 11pm and taken from the room he shared with Mr Levinson to be questioned about his Iranian passport. Mr Salahuddin was freed the next afternoon and told by the officials that Mr Levinson had flown back to Dubai…

According to Mr Salahuddin, the meeting was only to put Mr Levinson in touch with Iranian authorities to help his investigations on smuggling of cigarettes as part of the former agent’s work for a tobacco company.

Salahuddin isn’t the most credible source. He’s an old-school homegrown American jihadi who converted to Islam in the late 1960s, killed an Iranian dissident living in Maryland in 1980 as “an act of war and religious duty,” then escaped to Iran where he’s lived ever since as a fugitive from justice. On the other hand, what would a guy like that gain by implicating his Iranian protectors in Levinson’s disappearance? If they wanted that fact made public, there are plenty of other ways to do it.

Finally, the Blotter has a follow-up on that Pakistani jihadist group which it claims is being funded by the U.S. government to attack Iran. Funny how motivated Musharraf can be when he wants to go after Talibs:

On Wednesday, a contingent of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, acting with what the Pakistani source called “specific intelligence,” moved against several Jundullah hideouts in and around the towns of Pishin and Zahedan in Iranian Baluchistan. Ninety members of Jundullah were reported arrested, and weapons caches were seized, some of them containing what the source described as “heavy weapons.”

According to the source, the Pakistani military moved against similar Jundullah elements on Thursday morning near the town of Mand, along Pakistan’s border with Iran, right across the border from Pishin. A gun battle ensued, during which four Jundullah militants and a Pakistani security officer were killed.

The Pakistani military is reported to have grown increasingly uncomfortable with Jundullah’s cross-border raids into Iran and has been trying for several months to push the group to move its activities to Afghanistan, where it also has a presence.

Probably for the best. The fewer jihadis, the better, whoever’s side they’re — temporarily — on.


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Is Condi going weak?

amerpundit on April 13, 2007 at 5:40 PM

Another SecState captured by the bureaucracy of Foggy Bottom.

Athos on April 13, 2007 at 5:44 PM

Man, how disappointing.

Mr. Bingley on April 13, 2007 at 5:48 PM

Condoleezza: I recommend freeing the men.

Cheney: I say hold ‘em.

{GWB}: Hold ‘em. I’ll take the heat.

Summarizes all parties in a pretty crystalline manner, eh?

ps. Very well done post, AP.

RushBaby on April 13, 2007 at 5:50 PM

Cut Condi some slack. She’s a diplomat – not presidential material. Her job is to seek out a working solution for bringing stability to the region. Her suggestion to free those five men was offered as a means to achieve the goal. Agree or disagree with doing it (even call it short-sighted), but do so in the larger perspective of why her suggestion was offered in the first place. It’s not that hard to see her point. By the way, I agree with W that these men should remain in custody. Releasing them now would be a huge mistake.

thedecider on April 13, 2007 at 5:50 PM

The Condisaster is what puts the harsh on my Fred! mellow.

Tabula rasa.

a4g on April 13, 2007 at 5:52 PM

It’s time for her to resign, don a niqab, and move to an Islamic country. She’s a dhimmi.

PRCalDude on April 13, 2007 at 5:54 PM

One has to wonder why Bush is inviting Robin Wright to top foreign policy team (TFPT) meetings. I thought the TFPT was a sekret organization whose proceedings are highly classified. Oh! Bush didn’t invite Ms. Wright? So is her stuff true? The TFPT isn’t saying one way or the other. Who are you going to believe … Robin Wright or …. nevermind.

crosspatch on April 13, 2007 at 5:56 PM

The Irbil five are members of the elite Quds Force, an arm of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps charged with Iran’s clandestine foreign operations. The Quds Force has ties to the Hezbollah, Hamas, Palestinian Islamic Jihad militant groups as well as to several of the Iraqi political movements that the United States has supported.

Let’s hope they keep these guys in solitary before they get tenure at terrorist U.

PS More on Belfield/ Salahuddin here. Makes you even more leery of groups like Malik Shabazz and what they might capable of.

see-dubya on April 13, 2007 at 6:01 PM

I wouldn’t say captured.. I’d say hog-tied.

In the early spring of 2006, in part as a result of the disintegrating situation in Iraq, America faced the prospect of a newly resurgent Iran, which was supporting Hezbollah in Lebanon and Shiite militants in Iraq, and suspected of building nuclear weapons. As the administration considered its response, it was divided between the regime changers (a faction of hard-liners who argued internally that Washington should continue to shun Iran and work ultimately to replace its leadership) and the so-called behavior changers (the moderates in the bureaucracy, Congress, and the wider foreign policy elite, including Rice’s former boss Brent Scowcroft, who strongly advocated for negotiations).

It’s WaMo, but it makes an interesting point early on: that Condi’s Iran is very similar to Powell’s Iraq. The Bush Doctrine is functionally dead, and while there’s still a strong contingent of regime-changers in the White House’s policy mill, the impulse to apply that methodology lacks sufficient power now. Bush and by extension Condi just don’t have the motive power to pull the trigger, and they increasingly lack the power to stand up to the State establishment.

spmat on April 13, 2007 at 6:07 PM

Cut Condi some slack. She’s a diplomat – not presidential material. Her job is to seek out a working solution for bringing stability to the region. Her suggestion to free those five men was offered as a means to achieve the goal. Agree or disagree with doing it (even call it short-sighted), but do so in the larger perspective of why her suggestion was offered in the first place. It’s not that hard to see her point. By the way, I agree with W that these men should remain in custody. Releasing them now would be a huge mistake.

thedecider on April 13, 2007 at 5:50 PM

I couldn’t agree more.

Glynn on April 13, 2007 at 7:03 PM

Have they tested the water at the State Department lately?

kmcguire on April 13, 2007 at 7:45 PM

Me too. I once thought Condi was presidential timber. But I knew I was wrong by the way she handled the negotiations over the war between Israel and Lebanon. So sad.

petefrt on April 13, 2007 at 10:02 PM

Shoot, give ‘em back. It’s not like we can’t pick some more up later, cheap.

doufree on April 13, 2007 at 10:28 PM

Me too. I once thought Condi was presidential timber. But I knew I was wrong by the way she handled the negotiations over the war between Israel and Lebanon. So sad.

petefrt on April 13, 2007 at 10:02 PM

And I once thought of helping her out with the Barbara Boxer thing . . .

- The Cat

MirCat on April 13, 2007 at 11:46 PM

MirCat on April 13, 2007 at 11:46 PM

LOL. No, really, LMAO! The more I read your comments, the more I discover how delightfully evil you are. Always enjoy the dark humor. Can’t understand why some don’t.

thedecider on April 13, 2007 at 11:50 PM

Count me among those who thought Condi was #44. I still think she’s just playing the “Good Cop” S.o.S. but I sure do miss her “Bad Cop” days as the N.S.A.

Tony737 on April 14, 2007 at 12:01 AM

I never bought the hype over Condi.

Captain America on April 14, 2007 at 12:58 AM

It’s too bad, I also thought well of Condi until the whole Lebanon – Israel fiasco.

Highrise on April 14, 2007 at 1:30 AM

Cut Condi some slack. She’s a diplomat – not presidential material. Her job is to seek out a working solution for bringing stability to the region.

That’s precisely the problem. We don’t want no stability in the region, but quite the opposite – a total collapse of most of the current dictatorial and/or fascist regimes in the region, starting with the Mullahs in Teheran.

Niko on April 14, 2007 at 6:18 AM

There hasn’t been stability in that region for centuries, if ever. What makes us think we can see it anytime in the near future. The societies over there have not evolved with the rest of the world and the sooner other countries and people realize that the sooner we can isolate them and let them kill themselves. As Niko said, “we don’t want no stability”. I agree, however, the amount of instability over there hasn’t been enough to cause the Mooselimb run countries to completely cave, so we need to foment dissent, encourage war within their factions and basically just let them kill themselves. The trick to this however is encouraging this “Darwinian” natural selection process to occur without 1) disrupting our supply of oil and 2) preventing these barbarians from coming here with their murderous life style. If we can figure out how to accomplish 1 and 2, the area will depopulate itself in several decades.

rayvet on April 14, 2007 at 7:25 AM

Islamic Iran is Islamic Iran. They will continue to do what they do best no matter what actions we take or do not take. They are kidnappers and hostage holders and cowards. If we give these guys up for any reason, it won’t be enough. Those crazy, inbred, 7th century mullahs have one goal, jihad, period.

I’m with the VP on this one.

Zorro on April 14, 2007 at 8:03 AM

No surprise, this is the genius who gave Israel such great advice.

lizzee on April 14, 2007 at 8:27 AM

*sigh*

Tanya on April 14, 2007 at 8:58 AM

Secretary Rice seems to adapt by imitation. She seemed to be a national security hardliner when her work was considered directly related to national security. Now she seems to have assimilated herself to the compromising, even appeasing ways of the Department of State. I wonder what she would be like if she became Secretary of the Treasury?

Kralizec on April 14, 2007 at 2:33 PM

Condi is a puppet, a yes woman, and as smart as she may be she is in over her head, like all the enablers around Bush.

Instead of getting good people, Bush hires people out of political favors, political nepotism, pay back or loyalty, NOT competence or qualifications. Cheney and Rumsfeld both where Bush #41 guys.

I hate to say it, like all of Bush’s other decisions, his appointee choices are bad, almost all are totally incompetent (”Brownie you’re doing a heck of a job”, Gonzalez (never been in court and can’t lie or tell a story the same twice, a lawyer that can’t lie), Harriet Myers (inexperienced friend of family), Bernard Bailey “Bernie” Kerik (Former NY Police chief with Mob ties and used 9/11 apartment for his liaisons with his mistress), John R. Bolton (Hates the UN and reputation is for un-diplomacy, known to have “spun” (lie) WMD story for administration.)

We see it’s a bad idea hiring yes men and political operatives for important positions. When Lincoln won Presidency, he brought in his worst detractors, critics and political rivals into his cabinet. Clinton had republicans in top positions in his cabinet. Bush? Partisan, political and incestuous appointments. The enabler cabal put Bush in a bubble; all dare not say the king has no clothes. What happened when people disagreed or spoke what the king did not want? He fired them, Colin Powell? Where did he go. (He was not fired but quit) But what about the other Generals that said they needed 300,000 to 400,000 troops? Fired.

Condi has nothing to do with foreign policy or being secretary of state except in name only. Karl Rove and Cheney have more power and call the shots in Bush’s cabal. Do you really think she is pulling strings? She does what she is told to do.

The Iran 5, is a quid pro quo for the Brit 15, duhaaa. You know what I am not that upset about it. Sometimes you have to deal and do things you don’t like.

gmcjetpilot on April 15, 2007 at 3:33 AM

gmcjetpilot, better red eunich than dead…

Entelechy on April 15, 2007 at 2:24 PM

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