Abbas calls for elections, pushing Palis towards civil war

posted at 7:50 pm on December 16, 2006 by Allahpundit

He didn’t have much to lose — he’s already an enemy of Allah. Possible outcomes:

1. Civil war.
2. Hamas boycotts the election; newly elected government deemed illegitimate.
3. Hamas forms an alternative Palestinian Authority in Damascus; newly elected government deemed illegitimate.
4. Combination of 2 and 3; newly elected government deemed illegitimate.
5. Hamas participates in the election and wins; Abbas’s authority, peace process crushed.
6. Hamas participates in the election and loses.

The only “good” option is the last one and even there the newly elected government would be of dubious legitimacy. It’s not clear that Abbas has the power to call new elections in the first place, and if Fatah wins, they’d be seen as a western puppet whose victory was bought by the promise of renewed U.S./EU financial aid. Israel’s staying out of it but Fatah is begging them to make some sort of diplomatic concession to Abbas to bolster his authority. Mohammed Dahlan, one of his right-hand men, wants them to release convicted murderer Marwan Barghouti from prison so that he can come home and lead a Fatah “dream team” of candidates. Beyond parody.

Tony Blair’s doing a swing through the Middle East right now in support of Abbas. Which brings us to our must-read of the day, right over here at Little Green Footballs.


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Gangsters.

forest on December 16, 2006 at 7:55 PM

For me, being a Green Bay fan (my wife if originally from Wisconsin, I don’t have a choice) this is like when the Bears play the Vikings.

I root for the refs. In this case, I guess I’ll root for the undertakers.

E L Frederick (Sniper One) on December 16, 2006 at 8:02 PM

*cough* excuse me… it’s Da Bears, and Da Vikings… my bad.

E L Frederick (Sniper One) on December 16, 2006 at 8:04 PM

Hmmm.

Theworldisnotenough on December 16, 2006 at 8:19 PM

Let’s hurry up and give these people a state.

Sean M. on December 16, 2006 at 8:28 PM

I suppose we should root for Fatah as they are the (slightly) lesser of the two evils. But hopefully Hamas will take out enough of them that the “winners” will be so weakened that they won’t be able to attack Israel for at least a generation.

Tony737 on December 16, 2006 at 9:09 PM

The only “good” option is the last one

Hey, what’s wrong with Civil War?

Seriously, none of them is a good option, because all these guys’ll remain terrorist murderers at the end. The good option would be for them to accept the rule of law and stop terrorism. But that’s an option that no one even mentions while sober.

Attila (Pillage Idiot) on December 17, 2006 at 1:07 PM

Tony Blair’s doing a swing through the Middle East right now in support of Abbas.

It’s downright funny to think of Blair wasting his time on that. Doesn’t the man know he’s mortal and that every day is precious?

Kralizec on December 18, 2006 at 4:18 AM