British cops: All signs point to KGB in Litvinenko murder; Update: Russia won’t help — unless Britain hands over Putin’s enemies
posted at 6:54 pm on December 5, 2006 by Allahpundit
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Yeah, except they really don’t. I was ready to do an end zone dance here in front of some of our commenters who are sold on the dirty-bomb theory, but there isn’t anything in the article that conflicts with that theory. The sources point to the fact that the plot was “highly sophisticated,” that it involves a former FSB agent — Lugovoy — and that it would have taken a whole team of people with access to polonium-210 to pull it off. Right — but all of that would also be true if a team of former FSB agents were smuggling polonium either to sell for use in a weapon or, possibly, for use in a weapon of their own. Litvinenko was an ex-FSB agent himself, don’t forget, and one with multiple motives, i.e., money and religious sympathies. Plus, the dirty-bomb theory has something that the assassination theory doesn’t: a plausible explanation for how the polonium got into Litvinenko’s system. Says the Times:
A senior police source told The Times yesterday that the method used to kill the 43-year-old dissident was intended to send a message to his friends and allies.
“It’s such a bad way to die, they must have known,” the source said.
They could have sent a message with a bullet and a note. The dose that killed Litvinenko would have cost literally tens of millions of dollars to obtain; it doesn’t make sense that they would have wasted it on him. Accidental self-contamination in the course of handling material that he was smuggling? That makes more sense.
Now, ‘fess up, dirty-bomb believers: there’s virtually nothing the cops would or could say in support of the assassination theory that would make you believe it, is there? Unless they can produce the assassination weapon, you’re going to call cover-up on this come what may. It’s too sexy to let go of. Level with me. Honest dialogue begins here.
They found polonium traces inside Arsenal stadium today, by the way. Who attended the Arsenal match on November 1, the same day that he met Litvinenko? Right. Lugovoy.
Update: You’ve got to be kidding.
Russia named its price yesterday for providing help in the investigation into the death by poisoning of Alexander Litvinenko. It demanded that Britain hand over the enemies of President Putin who have been given asylum in London…
In a clear sign of growing diplomatic tensions, the Prosecutor-General appeared to link the Litvinenko investigation to the demands by the Kremlin for Britain to hand over Boris Berezovsky, the exiled oligarch, who is one of President Putin’s fiercest critics.
British courts have thrice rejected Russian requests for the extradition of the billionaire businessman, but Mr Chaika said that he expected a fresh application “in the near term” for Mr Berezovsky and for Akhmed Zakayev, the Chechen separatist leader.
Does this, at last, explain why polonium was used? To make the killing so sensational that the British public would demand that it be solved — which Moscow could then use for leverage in its demands for Berezovsky? But in that case, why didn’t they just poison Berezovsky instead of Litvinenko? Lugovoy knows him; he could have gotten to him.
Just what in the hell is Putin doing here trying to extort Blair when he’s already under suspicion for having had someone assassinated? Can this report possibly be true? And what’s this about?
Andrei Lugovoy, the key figure of interest to the police, who was among the last people to see Litvinenko on the day he fell ill, was suddenly admitted to hospital in Moscow yesterday. He claimed that he was too ill with radiation poisoning to speak, but later from his hospital bed said that he had nothing to hide and was ready to meet the detectives.
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FSB, the new
KGBfamily. A bunch of mafiosos, no matter who they are.Entelechy on December 5, 2006 at 7:03 PM
Lugovoy had motive, means, and opportunity. An ex-KGB multimillionaire with tickets to a soccer game.
Too bad this didn’t go down near a British millitary base. Jo and Hippie from “Red Cap” would’ve taken the bad guys down in 52 minutes plus commercials.
ScottMcC on December 5, 2006 at 7:10 PM
I heard that radioactive traces were found in the queen’s “unmentionables” drawer at the palace too.
And on George Michael’s bicycle seat.
quax1 on December 5, 2006 at 7:16 PM
It’s time to call in Simon Templar.
Editor on December 5, 2006 at 7:23 PM
They tried to poison him too. Very funny. This story getting weird everyday. It is either a smuggling disaster or the KGB dirty tricks.
Ouabam on December 5, 2006 at 7:26 PM
I am still not buying the dirty bomb, smuggler theory. As I have said in other threads the cost is just to great monetarily. A bullet or a knife in the chest with a note would have sent the same message.\
I am of the opinion that this goes strait to Putin. That bear ain’t dead, it was just sleeping.
Sammy316 on December 5, 2006 at 7:30 PM
Let’s meet them halfway and give them Zakayev.
Mark V. on December 5, 2006 at 7:32 PM
Let’s? Oops. I mean the Brits. The Brits should give them Zakayev as a gesture of good faith.
Mark V. on December 5, 2006 at 7:33 PM
Well,if it is intended for a dirty bomb, the whole world now knows the effects of polonium-210, and rightfully fears them. So the impact of a dirty bomb, and hence it’s value, has been greatly increased. The photo of the bald Litvinenko dying in his hospital bed is indeed worth more than a thousand words- it’s priceless. All that remains is to determine who’s selling, who’s buying, and where it might be used. And what’s the end game- terrorism, extortion, political change?
Scotsman on December 5, 2006 at 7:38 PM
I’m not buying this “murder”. Polonium-210 is an alpha emitter. Alpha can be stopped by a simple sheet of paper. For his wife, kids, friends, 4 or 5 airplanes and 2 hotels to have traceable contamination the “killers” must have bathed him in polonium-210. If you get alpha on your skin, take a shower. So the last I heard they put it in his tea. Unless he is pissing on his friends, family, hotels and airplanes this does not add up.
Bomb Doctor on December 5, 2006 at 7:44 PM
Hey, that’s why I keep coming back. And I haven’t got a clue as to what happened here, but I hope it’s got a Bruckheimeresque ending. That would totally rock You Tube.
Pablo on December 5, 2006 at 7:45 PM
And with friends like that…
Whassup, BD?
Pablo on December 5, 2006 at 7:46 PM
Finally looking for a job. Time to go back to work.
Bomb Doctor on December 5, 2006 at 7:48 PM
Would they have to consume the piss?
Editor on December 5, 2006 at 7:48 PM
by the way, that was a serious question.
Editor on December 5, 2006 at 7:50 PM
Damn, it’s been a good year? Plus? Good for you, and regards to the Missus.
Pablo on December 5, 2006 at 7:53 PM
Not necessarily. But alpha will not hurt you if it’s on your skin as long as you shower. If you breath it, it’s bad, but if you ingest it in moderate amounts you’ll piss it out in a matter of days. For all this contamination all over the place we’re not talking about an assassination. Let’s not forget this guy has ties to the Chechans and a “history” of smuggling radioactive materials. Not to mention his maybe AQ ties.
Bomb Doctor on December 5, 2006 at 7:53 PM
Pablo
17 months! My goal was to birdie every hole at my home golf course before I went back to work, but the 16th is kicking my ass!
Thanks, I’m so glad I got divorced so I could meet her!
Bomb Doctor on December 5, 2006 at 8:00 PM
Allah–have you renamed the cast so we can follow who the hell you’re talking about?? Names like John and Dave instead of all the -nyvkovs would help me. I’m sorta blonde.
seejanemom on December 5, 2006 at 8:07 PM
Another day, another revelation. I’ve given up on theorizing here … truly a Chinese puzzle. I think I’ll wait patiently on the conclusion of this matter … if it will ever come. :)
A side note, I do hope the British Government hands over that criminal Berezovsky to the Russians — as well as the Chechen. Britain can’t expect to have friendly relations with Russia, whilst giving shelter to some of its fiercest enemies. Berezovsky belongs in Siberia.
MoonbatMedia on December 5, 2006 at 8:15 PM
Allah:
Probably because “under suspicion” doesn’t mean a thing? Proof required. I don’t think anyone should start apologizing for rumours against them. That’s just silly.
MoonbatMedia on December 5, 2006 at 8:17 PM
This whole deal is Kabuki Theater.
Bomb Doctor on December 5, 2006 at 8:24 PM
Allahpundit, you’re a fair openminded guy which is one reason you have widespread respect in blogging circles, and mine.
Great post.
I’m only 80% sold on the dirty bomb (or nuclear trigger theory since Polonium-210 is ideal for primitive, simple weapon designs) mostly because it seems a far simpler explanation for the facts and you laid out why.
And as far as ‘fessing up to the assination theory, well, I was originally a believer in it and had no reason to doubt Litvinenko because frankly I’ve never heard of him and I’m sure Putin can be a bastard.
What ex-KGB head/Russian leader doesn’t have that quality within him at least as a tool if necessary?
But AJ Strata, who has added new information to his blog (and I’ve criticized him strongly too for so don’t think this is a loyalty thing on my part) that just keeps on getting stronger and stronger, has sold me.
His explanation, or at least not the Putin assassination theory, appears to me much more likely.
At the risk of putting another AJ Strata plug into play, I think he’s very bright when analyzing science, intelligence, or military affairs… less so with politics where you excel.
His blog is quality and I think it deserves consideration for a spot on your “War on Terror” blogroll on your sidebar.
Either way, it’s good reading. I won’t have to buy my spy thriller this month.
I just hope to God he’s wrong. If he’s right, I’m glad they blew their Polonium. Especially since it has a short half life and must be used within a relatively short time period if destined for use in a nuclear bomb.
Which, incidentally, is British intelligence’s main fear and they’re gloomy about it.
Christoph on December 5, 2006 at 8:29 PM
The story was strange from the get go but is getting curioser and curioser by the minute. I don’t believe any theory. The characters all are shady, including ‘Sasha’, the dead guy. He was no lacrima cristi.
The circles he worked/lived in are all shady. His conversion, and the timing of it, speaks volumes – I just don’t know what it all means. This will some day be the book/movie of our times. A few more will also die (will be killed) in the process. Whoever is covering butts, including their own, will not rest, yet.
Entelechy on December 5, 2006 at 9:23 PM
I’m sure somebody has already mentioned this and i just missed it, but what form would the polonium-210 be in? Would it be a pellet? Or a liquid? And i still don’t understand why radiation is being found all over the place if he was poisoned internally.
Scot on December 5, 2006 at 10:19 PM
See this, Scot, it’s a solid (right hand column, “Physical Properties” but also see this:
Christoph on December 5, 2006 at 10:36 PM
Most likely a fine powder, or granulated
LegendHasIt on December 5, 2006 at 10:44 PM
Thanks Christoph. This story gets more interesting every day.
Scot on December 5, 2006 at 11:56 PM
AJ Strata’s at it again with this new post:
Scaramella Modifies His Story
In an interview with CNN Scaramella implies that the threats to him and Litvinenko were not from the Russian government, but simply Russian by background – which really challenges (again) the Putin assissination [sic] theory:
[gotta read the whole thing -- I won't try to excerpt it -- it's too good]
Christoph on December 6, 2006 at 12:21 AM
Clarice Feldman dis agrees.
Christoph on December 6, 2006 at 12:29 AM
His deathbed conversion to Islam is the key.
profitsbeard on December 6, 2006 at 1:33 AM
Let me live up to my name and offer the following uninformed speculation. All the competing theories are correct. Mr L and his friends were involved in radioactive smuggling; there is a Chechnyan/Islamic connection; and for these reasons, Putin did indeed have him killed, possibly using the latest shipment of the goods: Toasted with his own polonium. Don’t necessarily attribute this to international altruism on Russia’s part. While Russia seems to have no problem with a nuclear Iran, which is short sighted on their part, it’s hardly likely they’d sit by and let the same fine people who did the Breslan massacre get ahold of the stuff.
If the truth (ifwe ever learn it) turns out to be this, I’ll bet I won’t be the only one here drinking to the health of Putin.
dhimwit on December 6, 2006 at 9:58 AM
What could a hotdog vendor in a packed stadium do with a few gallons of polonium-spiked mustard?
RedWinged Blackbird on December 6, 2006 at 10:13 AM
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