Hot Air Mobile
Home The Vault Gear About
Hot Air -- get your fill


Blankley on “realism”: The last mistake

posted at 4:39 pm on November 22, 2006 by Allahpundit
Share on Facebook | printer-friendly

Consider this a counterpoint to Derb’s piece, which welcomed the return of “paleorealism.” James Baker’s influence is waxing, some Iraqis are calling for a new strongman (namely, former PM Iyad Allawi), and the debate among Democrats and some Republicans isn’t if we’re going to start withdrawing but whether it’ll be within the next six months or twelve.

The stage is thus set, says Tony Blankley, for America’s biggest — and last — mistake:

If we, the most powerful force on the planet, in a fit of disappointment and anger at our bungling policies to date, decide to shrug off our responsibilities to the future — we will soon receive, and deserve, the furious contempt of a terrified world. In fact, even those Americans who today can’t wait to end our involvement in the “hopeless” war in Iraq will — when the consequences of our irresponsibility becomes manifest — join the chorus of outrage…

Those who call themselves realists are the least realistic. Their great unreality is that they can’t imagine that the passions of the people — for good or ill — are to be reckoned with. Thus it was they who for half a century supported and exploited the Middle East dictators who caused the Islamist pathologies that threaten the world today. It is they who will do business with the corrupt dictators to the very minute that they are overthrown by the Islamist mobs. They will keep the cash register humming until it is flooded with blood. The “realists’” unjustified conceit is, today, the most dangerous pathology facing America.

As in all struggles, each side will make mistakes. We have certainly made several. But as the last century’s great chess master Savielly Grigorievitch Tartakower once famously observed: “Victory goes to the player who makes the next-to-last mistake.” Retreating from Iraq would be the last mistake.

Walid Jumblatt, Lebanon’s Druze leader and the Middle East’s most prominent anti-Syrian politician, told WND yesterday after the assassination of Pierre Gemayel that Assad is “emboldened by the fact that the Americans are searching for an exit strategy from Iraq. This is encouraging all kinds of people to kill and create chaos in the region.” The problem for him, for Blankley, and for us, though, is that we don’t have much choice left in the matter: Iraqis want us out, not immediately but sooner rather than later. Blankley’s point about the last mistake is well taken but the fact is we’re only facing the last mistake now because of all the other mistakes before.

Which brings us back to Allawi. I leave you with a quote comparison. From his address to Congress on September 23, 2004:

For the skeptics who do not understand the Iraqi people, they do not realize how decades of torture and repression feed our desire for freedom. At every step of the political process to date the courage and resilience of the Iraqi people has proved the doubters wrong…

As Prime Minister Blair said to you last year when he stood here, anywhere, any time ordinary people are given the chance to choose, the choice is the same: freedom not tyranny, democracy not dictatorship, and the rule of law not the rule of the secret police.

Do not let them convince others that the values of freedom, of tolerance and democracy are for you in the West but not for us.

For the first time in our history, the Iraqi people can look forward to controlling our own destiny.

And from this Sunday’s Times of London regarding speculation about his dictatorial aspirations:

“Iraq was not and is not ready for elections,” Allawi said in an interview last week…

Asked whether he would be willing to lead a new government, Allawi said he had found his premiership “so lonely” — but hinted that he could be ready to “give it a final try”…

Allawi said that he had told friends in the West that they could not “photocopy” their democratic systems and impose them on Iraq and the Third World. “You can’t just get out of tyranny and go to the ballot and choose,” he said.

He was in London at the time to receive treatment for hypertension.


Blowback

Note from Hot Air management: This section is for comments from Hot Air's community of registered readers. Please don't assume that Hot Air management agrees with or otherwise endorses any particular comment just because we let it stand. A reminder: Anyone who fails to comply with our terms of use may lose their posting privilege.

Trackbacks/Pings

Trackback URL

Comments

Comment pages:

Their great unreality is that they can’t imagine that the passions of the people — for good or ill — are to be reckoned with.

That ought to be taped inside every drawer in the Oval Office desk. And actually, pretty much everybody in power.

see-dubya on November 22, 2006 at 4:49 PM

I think it would be interesting to see where these “dictators” and “would be dictators” own their homes. Florida? Italy? Belize? Where does the rules of a country rest his head when it gets weary?

Democracy is fragile…I think it requires those politians who are active in it’s growth process to treat it with the respect necessary to help it grow…I don’t know…who am I to say anyways…I’ll go play my Wii.

StoutRepublican on November 22, 2006 at 4:50 PM

He was in London at the time to receive treatment for hypertension.

More likely for treatment for “Acute McCain Syndrome.”

hillbillyjim on November 22, 2006 at 4:54 PM

Iraq needs someone like Franco (as in Generalissimo) to squash it for a generation while slowly growing democratic reforms.

laelaps on November 22, 2006 at 5:01 PM

Iraq needs someone like Franco (as in Generalissimo) to squash it for a generation while slowly growing democratic reforms.

I suppose you mean somebody like, er,…Saddam Hussein?

hillbillyjim on November 22, 2006 at 5:06 PM

If we can’t stomach a small fight in Iraq, we may as well just hand the keys of civilization over to the Islamists. 300 million people and an economy accounting for 25% of world GDP and we are cowed by some fanatics.

As for Allawi, of course he is down on elections – he lost badly in the last one. The only way he will run Iraq again is if he is appointed – so no surprise when he suggests it.

Clark1 on November 22, 2006 at 5:12 PM

…you want realism?

Go to that link on MM’s vent today, http://www.memrifilms.org.

Watch the free “Arab and Iranian Reaction to 9/11, Five Years Later”. It’s about 43 minutes long, watch it whole or broken into little chunks for those of you with narrow pipes to the Internet.

It’s more of the stuff like “Obsession” and that thing Beck did the other night. Ron Silver narrates. Very good stuff.

I come away from it thinking “Talking monkeys”…except that there’re plenty of “truthers” here in the West who’re just as deranged.

20 years of a strongman in Iraq…just like Franco? They don’t grow ‘em like Franco in the Middle East.

Puritan1648 on November 22, 2006 at 5:30 PM

Endgame, indeed. I just hope when we finally get out of Iraq and Afghanistan, we take these lessons to heart and give the finger to the rest of the world from here on out. Problem in Darfur? No our problem. Problem in Iran? Not our problem. Problem with Syria? Not our problem. Problem with Muslims outbreeding Europeans? Not our problem. Terrorist attack on U.S. soil? Not our problem. honestly, if another terrorist attack did happen on U.S. soil, we should absorb it and move on. We certainly shouldn’t attack the country responsible, because after a year or two we’ll get bored and give up anyway. Time to accept it: The American moment has passed, and the rest of our lives will be spent witnessing our culture’s decline.

Anyway, Happy Thanksgiving everyone!

Enrique on November 22, 2006 at 5:39 PM

Allawi said that he had told friends in the West that they could not “photocopy” their democratic systems and impose them on Iraq and the Third World. “You can’t just get out of tyranny and go to the ballot and choose,” he said.

He is exactly right. You can’t just impose democracy without security. Iraq needs a strongman–a pro-American and capitalist leader until the country is stabilized, someone like Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew. Can anyone name any of the now extremely wealthy Asian nations that went from third world disorder to economic prosperity that didn’t have a strongman before democracy?

It was foolish to overthrow a vile dicator and then suddenly go politically correct (to appease Europeans) by immediately granting mob rule, not imposing a secular state, and allowing freedoms for anti-American militia leaders who wanted to destabilize the country.

januarius on November 22, 2006 at 5:41 PM

Iraq needs someone like Franco (as in Generalissimo) to squash it for a generation while slowly growing democratic reforms.

Interesting suggestion. But I think you’re being too Eurocentric. I look to South American dictators for possible models of what is needed for Iraq. Think Castello Branco, Getulio Vargas, Juan Peron, or Augusto Pinochet (Spare me, I know about Operation Condor).

bert169 on November 22, 2006 at 5:55 PM

In the immortal words of veteran newsman Kent Brockman: “I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, democracy simply doesn’t work.”

liberrocky on November 22, 2006 at 5:58 PM

In short, consensus seems to be that the middle east deserves its dictators. Is that about right? You can call them what you will (strong men, whatever), but clearly everyone has given up on these people. Nice. The millions of people slaughtered under other dictators are probably not available for comment.

US failures in Iraq is simply a manpower issue and casualty aversion issue. Not a political one. If the US had more troops and the will/authority to kick ass without discretion; this would have been over a long time ago.

lorien1973 on November 22, 2006 at 6:07 PM

I wish we had not “saved” Europe in WWII. Not tried to fend off China in Korea. Where do you suppose we would be today? In all probability we would all be talking German, no Jewish people, no women’s/gay/civil rights movemtents. No African Americans, no disabled, no mentally ill. No medical advances except in the torture chamber of the Gestapo. No moon walk. No internet, no cellphones….you get the drift. But, whay the hay, we’re headed there anyway. Thank you Kennedy, Rangel, Kerry, Gore, Schumer, Durbin, Pelosi, Waxman, et al.

sharinlite on November 22, 2006 at 6:22 PM

Ouch, Enrique.

PRCalDude on November 22, 2006 at 6:26 PM

I wish we had not “saved” Europe in WWII. Not tried to fend off China in Korea. Where do you suppose we would be today? In all probability we would all be talking German, no Jewish people, no women’s/gay/civil rights movemtents. No African Americans, no disabled, no mentally ill. No medical advances except in the torture chamber of the Gestapo. No moon walk. No internet, no cellphones….you get the drift. But, whay the hay, we’re headed there anyway. Thank you Kennedy, Rangel, Kerry, Gore, Schumer, Durbin, Pelosi, Waxman, et al.

sharinlite on November 22, 2006 at 6:22 PM

Hey – remember, we win by losing – right?

Seriously, we win by backing up our words, or theory, with the will to carry it out…….

putting theory into practice, just like the Founding Fathers did.

If they had thrown in the towel in 1776, we would still quite possibly be another colony of the jolly ol’ Empire, serving for God, Country, and King Charles (and Queen Camilla).

Now imagine if we will not back up our thoughts with the will to win, we can have the unique distinction of becoming a Caliphate of North America under the fair, the just, the all knowing, the all powerful President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Golly, it just gives you goosies thinking about it, doesn’t it?

Happy Thanksgiving!

Emmett J. on November 22, 2006 at 9:17 PM

Not our problem. honestly, if another terrorist attack did happen on U.S. soil, we should absorb it and move on. We certainly shouldn’t attack the country responsible, because after a year or two we’ll get bored and give up anyway.

Unfortunately, that is what it has come to. I remember predictling this sort of outcome on Sept. 12, 2001 because I never thought political correctness could be overcome enough to allow for a proper response (decisive victory a la WWII.) The West has too much self doubt, and the Islamists have none. Then the Taliban fell and I became hopeful. But now were back to Sept. 10th.

Coyote D. on November 23, 2006 at 12:56 AM

Comment pages:


You must be logged in to post a comment.