8:45 post: Mark Foley leads in Florida! Update: CNN CALLS IT FOR LIEBERMAN; MSNBC says Michael Steele loses; CNN says Chafee loses

posted at 8:51 pm on November 7, 2006 by Allahpundit

That is to say, Joe Negron leads. Only 34% reporting thus far, though.

CNN just called Ohio for Sherrod Brown over Mike DeWine. That plus Casey’s win in Pennsylvania equals a net Senate pickup of two seats thus far for the Dems.

Allen’s clinging to a 1.5% lead but Chuck Schumer was just on saying that the heavily Democratic districts in northern Virginia haven’t been counted yet.

Standby for updates.

Update: Schumer’s full of crap: CNN says 82% of the votes in Fairfax County are already in.

Update: Geraghty thinks the polls lowballed the GOP by about 5%. That jibes with the results in the House race in Kentucky’s 3rd District, where Northup trails by 1% with 88% counted. The RCP average had her trailing by about six points.

Update (Ian): Jeff Bingaman (D-NM), Ben Nelson (D-Nebraska), Kay Hutchinson (R-TX), Herb Kohl (D-Wisconsin), and Craig Thomas (R-Wyoming) all win another term.

Update: Two cases where the polls were right (or close to right): Indiana’s 2nd and 9th. In the 2nd, Donnelly leads by 4 with 53% reporting; that’s where most of the polls had him. In the 9th, Hill leads by 2% — again, where most of the polls had him.

Update (Ian): Lieberman declared winner. Take that nutroots!

Update: JOEMENTUM!

Update (Ian): Harold Ford Jr. caught hanging out in a confederate bar.

Update: MSNBC says it’s over for the Man of Steele.

Update (Ian): How can they call it with these results:

cardin-winner.JPG

Update: With 78% in, Webb’s within 1% of Allen.

Update (Ian): Whitehouse takes seat from Chafee — again networks are calling a Dem win with only 1% of the vote in.

Update: That makes three pickups in the Senate for the Democrats (RI, PA, OH) with Missouri, Montana, Tennessee, Arizona, and Virginia to come. They need three of those five for control, and Tennessee and Arizona look good.

Update: Stabenow holds onto her Senate in Michigan, defeating Mike Bouchard.

Update (Bryan): I think the Steele call is too soon. Absentees aren’t factored in yet and he’s going to pull more of the black vote than GOPs usually do in MD. So stay tuned to that one.

Update: Things aren’t looking good folks. MD puts the incompetent mayor of Baltimore in as governor, returning to the pre-Ehrlich era of nepotism and one-party rule, and favors an empty suit over Mike Steele. Irony of irony, the bright spot for the right is Dem hold in CT against the nutroots’ Freshmaker. But hey–let’s let Larry O’Donnell eat a little crow for predicting that Lieberman would pull out of the race altogether. In the annals of prognostication, that was a serious stinker.


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Alright!!!! We are making a comeback!!!!

Jared_MA on November 7, 2006 at 8:56 PM

Nice catch on Schumer, Allah.

Dudley Smith on November 7, 2006 at 8:57 PM

Allah: In Virginia, only 50% of the precincts in Alexandria and Arlington county have reported though and have so far voted overwhelmingly for Webb.

Greg Tinti on November 7, 2006 at 9:05 PM

I’ll keep boring people with VA returns:

1,733 of 2,443 (70 %) Precincts Reporting
George Allen 791,844 51 %
Jim Webb, Jr. 752,466 48 %

Allen has opened up a little lead now. It was a dead heat a little while ago.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:07 PM

I’ve been checking as many of the state election returns websites as I can, and what they are reporting is almost entirely the exact opposite from what we’re being told by the media.

They’re projecting Santorum’s defeat, but only Philly has reported in so far.

Something’s not adding up, if you ask me. I hope they’re not basing their projections solely on exit polls, because we know how well that’s worked in the recent past. =D

Iowa Voice on November 7, 2006 at 9:13 PM

The Joe Man makin copies

sonnyspats1 on November 7, 2006 at 9:17 PM

Starting to sound like Joe is the only bright spot tonight. Foley is down again, according to that CNN link.

lorien1973 on November 7, 2006 at 9:18 PM

CNN is outragously gleeful tracking DemocRATS, if you tune in they are slobbering over their tracking board..

retired on November 7, 2006 at 9:18 PM

I haven’t the heart, but has anyone checked in the Kos kidz yet? They’re probably in full on gloat mode, despite the loss by their Golden Child.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:19 PM

They’re projecting Santorum’s defeat, but only Philly has reported in so far.

I think they are basing it on the fact that he was down so far in the polls at the start of the day; that its a pretty easy call.

lorien1973 on November 7, 2006 at 9:19 PM

Getting tight:

1,885 of 2,443 (77 %) Precincts Reporting
George Allen 858,105 50 %
Jim Webb, Jr. 848,445 49 %

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:20 PM

Sucks for Steele :( Bloodbath upcoming, I think. Starting to think both houses are gone :/

lorien1973 on November 7, 2006 at 9:21 PM

Steele’s losing because they say so! That’s all that matters. Really, I guess they know where the vote’s coming from and project from there. Cause they’re always right you know….

ScottG on November 7, 2006 at 9:22 PM

How long before the mail in vote is tallied?

sonnyspats1 on November 7, 2006 at 9:24 PM

ABC says Murtha 60%, Irey 40%…at 3%.

ScottG on November 7, 2006 at 9:25 PM

The moral victory is now complete.

frankj on November 7, 2006 at 9:25 PM

Allen’s lead now down to 12k votes with 78% in. If he doesn’t hold on, it’s Majority Leader Reid.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:25 PM

Northrup lost. Things are going south in a hurry.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:26 PM

Update (Ian): How can they call it with these results:

I am royally confused about that as well. They’re calling a lot of other races with 0% reporting (like Wyo governor).

tiekitwist on November 7, 2006 at 9:27 PM

cnn calls whitehouse over chafee

SCGOPgirl on November 7, 2006 at 9:27 PM

Less than 10k vote difference now:

1,975 of 2,443 (80 %) Precincts Reporting
George Allen 898,328 50 %
Jim Webb, Jr. 889,136 49 %

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:29 PM

Ian,

Those are current numbers?

Rustyw on November 7, 2006 at 9:29 PM

How the heck can they call Maryland for Cardin? All night they wouldn’t display numbers for the race, and the first set of numbers they display they call it for Cardin when Steele is head at 1%? Oy.

The MSM has not learned from the past 6 years.

Enoxo on November 7, 2006 at 9:34 PM

Ooooh, in a “Confederate” bar, huh? BFD!

Donnah on November 7, 2006 at 9:36 PM

Ian, I agree with you… WTF is all of these calls for Dems with only 1% to 4% precincts reporting, with the Republicans leading by double digits???

Aaarrrgghhh!!!!!

MsUnderestimated on November 7, 2006 at 9:37 PM

Candidate Votes % of votes
Michael Steele (REP) 27,498 53%
Ben Cardin (DEM) 23,357 45%
4% of precincts reporting

Rustyw on November 7, 2006 at 9:37 PM

they’re calling 90% of them for dems with less then half the results in
hell call California for Angelides while your at it, the polls haven’t closed evenhere

Defector01 on November 7, 2006 at 9:38 PM

and this is fox too, aint fox supposed to be on OUR side?

Defector01 on November 7, 2006 at 9:39 PM

They’re going back to relying on the exit polls, and I’m pretty sure they’re gonna get burned in more than one race here.

Iowa Voice on November 7, 2006 at 9:41 PM

Fox had Barone on, and he said that the “Decision Desk” isn’t using exit polls. But they keep calling 1% Dem wins.

DaveS on November 7, 2006 at 9:41 PM

According to TKS, some of these early calls are based on exit polls.

If that’s the case, I’ll hold off on chalking Steele up as a loss for now. It may still turn out that way, but I’ll believe it based on real vote counts and not on exit polling numbers which are sh-t.

thirteen28 on November 7, 2006 at 9:41 PM

I’m also confused. Steele was ahead, and the last I saw, Lieberman was down. What’s going on?

Chris L. on November 7, 2006 at 9:42 PM

fox calls hold for republicans in Florida 13 -Buchanan

SCGOPgirl on November 7, 2006 at 9:42 PM

Healey gave concession speech. The idiot voters in the People’s Republic of Taxachusetts can say hello to the return of Michael Stanley Dukakis politics. Deval “Dukakis” Patrick has won election.

How many of us right minded Mass types are going to declare refugee status to get into NH?

Mooseman

Mooseman on November 7, 2006 at 9:43 PM

2,065 of 2,443 (84 %) Precincts Reporting
George Allen 948,615 50 %
Jim Webb, Jr. 940,177 49 %

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:43 PM

at least they’re not calling Allen v Webb

Defector01 on November 7, 2006 at 9:44 PM

They’re going by exit polls. I don’t get it either. I guess they think since they waited until the polls were closed, they’re getting a more representative sampling.

We’ll see. I’m feeling glum. I was really hoping Steele would pull it out, and now they’re projecting that O’Malley wins Gov in MD, too. That’s truly depressing. Even my wife voted for Ehrlich.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 9:46 PM

Party Candidate Votes V%
R Michael STEELE 30,749 51
D Ben CARDIN 28,391 47
GR Kevin ZEESE 1,112 2

Steele isn’t dead yet.

Dawnsblood on November 7, 2006 at 9:48 PM

dawn
it, along with alot of other races are incredibly tight

Defector01 on November 7, 2006 at 9:49 PM

Allen’s lead down to 6,000 votes. However, I will state that if Webb finishes ahead by less than 5,000 votes, Allen will win on the absentee ballots. Assuming that there are that many remaining, that is.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:50 PM

Update from VA:

2,117 of 2,443 (86 %) Precincts Reporting
George Allen 966,232 49 %
Jim Webb, Jr. 964,899 49 %

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:51 PM

Lead back up to almost 3,000.

Last update on VA for a while, I promise.

Physics Geek on November 7, 2006 at 9:53 PM

Steele and Erlich are listed as having lost in Maryland, but with 7% of the vote in both are several percentage points ahead.

Methinks the newsies are going by the exit polls, and we all know how accurate they are.

Lornkanaga on November 7, 2006 at 9:57 PM

I’m looking at Fox News on Virginia senate,
George Allen (i) Republican 980,724 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 951,514 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 21,495 (1%)

I don’t know why other’s numbers are so differnt, but it looks like Allen is close to closing the deal with 86% in.

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:13 PM

Steele and Ehrlich are both behind now.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 10:13 PM

Lamont conceded. Mentos anyone?

Coronagold on November 7, 2006 at 10:14 PM

now with 88% in at fox in virginia senate:

George Allen (i) Republican 1,002,128 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 977,000 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 21,979 (1%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:15 PM

I can’t stand the suspense….need another drink…

Scorched_Earth on November 7, 2006 at 10:16 PM

AP’s (via the Baltimore Sun) has Cardin up 139K to 115K, with 403/1793 precincts reporting. This is starting to look like a wipe-out.

Crap.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 10:18 PM

and Baltimore came in early, but this isn’t over:

Ben Cardin Democrat 136,140 (54%)
Michael Steele Republican 112,575 (45%)
Kevin Zeese Green 4,024 (2%)

MD – Governor
15% Precincts Reporting
Robert Ehrlich (i) Republican 87,596 (51%)
Martin O’Malley Democrat 83,440 (48%)
Ed Boyd Green 1,610 (1%)
Christopher Driscoll Populist 358 (0%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:20 PM

and this from Drudge, without attribution as to who he’s using as a source:

VA SEN [92.63% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,058,509 49.88%
D- WEBB 1,038,154 48.92%

MO SEN [696 of 3746 IN]
R- TALENT 206,733 53.1%
D- MCCASKILL 168,937 43.4%

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:22 PM

and good riddance to bad rubbish in Rhode Island anyway

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:23 PM

from Drudge, again I’m not attributing mostly because I don’t feel like clicking through at the moment:

VA SEN [93.21% IN]
R- ALLEN 1,063,772 49.83%
D- WEBB 1,045,345 48.97%

MO SEN [810 of 3746 IN]
R- TALENT 237,750 53.4%
D- MCCASKILL 204,249 42.9%

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:34 PM

and down the stretch they go

Defector01 on November 7, 2006 at 10:35 PM

something odd to ponder, foxnews lists 93%, did 14,000 Webb votes come in at the same time?

George Allen (i) Republican 1,063,163 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 1,031,073 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 23,332 (1%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:36 PM

U.S. Senate
County Precincts Total 476/1793
B. Cardin(Dem)165,142 52.11%
M. Steele(GOP)146,891 46.35%
K. Zeese (Grn)4,874 1.54%

Only a third of the precints are in, Steele is up big in some counties, that have yet to report all precincts. Cardin is up big, the inner city an Prince George’s county. My cousin lives there, I sense an arguement coming in the barber shop when next I visit.

Follow it here

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 10:44 PM

Steele just went up 300 w/ 34% reporting again.

msipes on November 7, 2006 at 10:49 PM

U.S. Senate
County Precincts Total 591/1793 214,763
B. Cardin(Dem)214,763 50.11%
M. Steele(GOP)207,010 48.30%
K. Zeese (Grn)6,852 1.60%

Steele closes. Stay positive (I have way too much emotionally invested in this race)

Sommerset county where are you?!?!

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 10:50 PM

Cardin 224,899

34% of precincts reporting

Steele 225,146

msipes on November 7, 2006 at 10:51 PM

U.S. Senate
County Precincts Total 613/1793
B. Cardin(Dem) 224,899 49.17%
M. Steele(GOP) 225,146 49.22%
K. Zeese (Grn) 7,384 1.61%

Heck yeah c’mon Steele.

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 10:56 PM

foxnews, with 95% in,

George Allen (i) Republican 1,087,296 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 1,058,058 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 23,932 (1%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 10:56 PM

Steele up by 5,000 votes!!

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 10:57 PM

Somerset County get with the program!!!!

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 10:57 PM

Baltimore City, Prince George’s, and Montgomery are not helping.

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 11:02 PM

He just went up 11k votes!

Cardin 249,298

Steele 260,693

38% reporting.

msipes on November 7, 2006 at 11:04 PM

Steele up 15000 votes now

41% reporting

msipes on November 7, 2006 at 11:05 PM

Less than a quarter of Balto City precincts have reported in, and they’re saying that voting was heavy in the city. That’ll swing heavy towards O’Malley, and significantly towards Cardin.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 11:06 PM

not to be anymore pollyanna-ish than I may already have been, but the radio reports in Maryland all day were that the turnout in Baltimore was low.

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:07 PM

I’m glad there is a Drudge. Go there. Get Numbers. Helps my blood pressure.

I am sick of nepotism in politics. About the time some odious stinker ages out, a clone comes out of the family orchard to take their place. The parties massage and groom these little stinkers and hand them ballot slots. Ick.

entagor on November 7, 2006 at 11:09 PM

21000 vote lead now.

44% reporting

Steele has the momentum

msipes on November 7, 2006 at 11:09 PM

Washington Post has just withdrawn their projection that Cardin was the winner

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:11 PM

Somerset HAHA. Only an extra 1000 votes for Steele.

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 11:12 PM

Methinks Baltimore wants to drop a bomb on Steele. Maybe he got too much of the vote?

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 11:13 PM

Steele has move out to 21k lead

44% Precincts Reporting
Michael Steele Republican 310,372 (51%)
Ben Cardin Democrat 289,746 (47%)
Kevin Zeese Green 9,976 (2%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:16 PM

57 out of 290 precincts in Baltimore City have reported, and they’ve been stuck on that for seemingly an hour. It does seem odd that they’re not reporting more.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 11:16 PM

cms, nukemhill, msipes do you all live in Maryland?

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 11:18 PM

I’m in DC

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:20 PM

Allen clinging to 12K lead with 9% in

VA – U.S. Senate
97% Precincts Reporting
George Allen (i) Republican 1,105,901 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 1,093,471 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 24,510 (1%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:22 PM

Get this. According to WBAL (Baltimore AM station), the ‘exit polls’ were nothing more than random phone calls to voters. No controls whatsoever.

We really have no idea what’s happening.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 11:22 PM

should be with 97% in

VA – U.S. Senate
97% Precincts Reporting
George Allen (i) Republican 1,105,901 (50%)
Jim Webb Democrat 1,093,471 (49%)
Glenda Parker Independent Grassroots 24,510 (1%)

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:23 PM

I live in Owings Mills, MD. North-west of Baltimore City, in the County.

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 11:23 PM

I must say, that holding back voting results in large metro areas is a world-wide practice to protect inner-city (machine) candidates. I’ve seen it in practice, first hand, throughout eastern Europe. May show us where the People’s Republic of Maryland fits in.

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:26 PM

I’m moving to the new Steele thread: http://hotair.com/archives/2006/11/07/steele-its-not-over/

nukemhill on November 7, 2006 at 11:26 PM

So far, thank God for Zeese and the Greens in MD

cms on November 7, 2006 at 11:28 PM

Meet you there.

Theworldisnotenough on November 7, 2006 at 11:29 PM

Joe Negron has conceded.

Donnah on November 8, 2006 at 12:03 AM