Election night-eve open thread
posted at 11:02 pm on November 6, 2006 by Ian
In a new SurveyUSA poll, Michael Steele is three points behind, well within the margin of error.
According to RCP, Bob Corker has a 6-point advantage over Harold Ford Jr.
Lieberman has an average of 11.8-points over Lamont.
Other important Senate races here.
Final predictions:
The MSM would like you to believe — and they do have people believing — Democrats will sweep the House and take over the Senate. However, Kerry caused enough damage to at least prevent a clean sweep. The House is too close to call; if the Dems do take over, it won’t be a veto-proof majority. The Senate will go 50-50 and Dick Cheney will server as the tiebreaker once again.
Key Senate races:
MD: Steele (R) over Cardin (D); CT: Lieberman (I) over Lamont (D); PA: Bob Casey (D) over Rick Santorum (R); VA: Allen (R) over Webb(D); TN: Corker (R) over Ford, Jr. (D); MT: Tester (D) over Burns (R); MO: McCaskill (D) over Talent (R); NJ: Menendez (D) over Kean, Jr. (R); OH: Brown (D) over DeWine (R); MI: Stabenow (D) over Bouchard (R); RI: Whitehouse (D) over Chafee (R).
Note: Just because I think a certain candidate will win does not mean I want them too.
Have any election predictions? Trackback or comment below.
UPDATE: Sorry I keep switching back and forth with some candidates. I’m taking my toss-ups and making a clear decision. This is tough!
Blowback
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republicans hold the senate 52-48. they take NJ, VA, TN, and MO. they hold the house 220-215.
paranoid on November 6, 2006 at 11:09 PM
Tomorrow will be interesting, that is for sure.
zerodamage on November 6, 2006 at 11:11 PM
Steele wins! Steele wins!! Steele wins!!!
But, we won’t know it until Friday, because of the thousands of absentee ballots that will not be counted until Thursday. In the meantime the Dems will cry foul, and question every contest. It will definately be ugly.
Melba Toast on November 6, 2006 at 11:12 PM
I’ve got no predictions, i don’t even want to try
Defector01 on November 6, 2006 at 11:15 PM
We cannot allow the Democrats to win. If the adults were incontrol of the Democratic Party then dishing out a bit of punishment for the idiocy of No Immigration Reform, No Child Left Behind, Prescription Drug Benefit and the Republicans putting together McCain Feingold. But that isn’t the case, as bad as the Republicans have been at standing up for issues we thought our party was all about the Democrats are simply dangerous to Freedoms survival.
I have a piece on my blog…
Marine Faults American Public: We’re Not In It For The Fight
PierreLegrand on November 6, 2006 at 11:16 PM
Dems pick up 13-17 in House, leaving a +/- 2 margin either way. I’m thinking that Republicans are underrepresented in polls, and will hold the House… barely, but I wouldn’t bet on it.
Senate, Republicans hold a 3 seat majority.
DaveS on November 6, 2006 at 11:17 PM
Are you counting Lieberman as a Democrat in the 50-50 Senate?
mikeyboss on November 6, 2006 at 11:18 PM
For the Senate I’m going with: Steele, Corker, Allen, Talent and Burns. I also think Chafee has a chance. No predictions for the House.
SCGOPgirl on November 6, 2006 at 11:23 PM
I also predict Republicans will sweep all of SC’s statewide seats. It maybe close with Lt. Gov and possibly Sec of Edu, but Governor is a Republican lock. I just wish Ralph Norman’s campaign could have gone better in my district, SC- 5.
SCGOPgirl on November 6, 2006 at 11:34 PM
I watched Newt this evenng on H&C and he brought up some very good points. There have been quite a few races where the polls, pushed by the media, were very wrong. I want you to think about something. The media has a vested interest in this election and they have shown thier bias. Many polls taken, if you think about it, can be pretty skewed. And to add, its usually just a small sample. How many of those polled are actual conservative voters? The polls were wrong in 94(I didn’t follow again until 00), 2000, 02, 04, and now? I posted a pretty glum outlook a few days ago. Something in my mind changed. I looked at the evidence in history. I believe that we (conservatives) will prevail after all is said and done, but it will be after many lawsuits and words spit from forked tounges. We all know that the MSM will push the advantage to the Dems all day long in order to supress the Rep vote. And we also know that most of us vote either early morn or in the evening after work.
I will not watch the polls during the day/eveing/next morning. But I will watch the fight afterward. Watch the Dems wig out at the results. Watch the lawsuits fly.Wait for the end result.
My prediction – it will not be settled until mid December.
lsutiger on November 6, 2006 at 11:34 PM
if democrats lose tennessee, they’ll pin it on invisible racism. in all other cases, diebold.
jummy on November 6, 2006 at 11:35 PM
I’m finished with the post .. sorry for changing it several times, I couldn’t understand where I got my 50-50 math until I saw I forgot to include the Chafee race.
Ian on November 6, 2006 at 11:35 PM
to clarify, they will cry “diebold” evern where diebold machines were not in use.
jummy on November 6, 2006 at 11:38 PM
I vote for optimism. But what the hell I’ve been disappointed before.
infidel4life on November 6, 2006 at 11:39 PM
I still say Republicans hold the Senate and lose the House by just a few seats. Not a Democratic sweep as the MSM wants us to believe. Still a major defeat for the Democrats which are, a failing party.
thedecider on November 6, 2006 at 11:40 PM
…I won’t dare predict what will happen tomorrow…except that *here*, on HotAir, that it’ll be busy.
Down here in Texas, they’re saying that the early voting indicates that this’ll be a heavy turnout year. There are special elections and a few controversies — DeLay’s seat — as well the celebrity/curiosity factor with Kinky running for governor. By and large, there shouldn’t be any big changes down here (possibly the DeLay seat), so I wish the folks in Tennessee, Missouri, Maryland, Virginia and Pennsylvania well. Keep strong.
Folks can say that, once again, there’s not really any choice…but they’d be wrong. This year, it’s all about choice…choose wisely.
Puritan1648 on November 6, 2006 at 11:42 PM
I think it’s going to be a close shave in both houses. Neither party will emerge with a mandate to control Congress.
infidel4life on November 6, 2006 at 11:43 PM
More Good News!
Christoph on November 6, 2006 at 11:43 PM
Chris Matthews, seething about sharing the anchor duties with Olbermann, will passive aggressively make repeated references to All About Eve. As the night goes on and Matthews gets punchy, his analysis will be reduced to statements like “karma bites you in the ass, right, KO” and hints that the Countdown College Tour was cancelled by MSNBC’s legal department.
Republicans hold the Senate and Diebold holds the House. Actually, gerrymandering will hold the House.
rw on November 6, 2006 at 11:47 PM
I want to clarify one thing… I, along with others, have ragged on Allah for his pessimism lately. I think more than anything, for me, it’s a result of fearing what would follow a loss of either house. If that were to happen I would become king of the pessimists about the future of the country and the world. It’s not worth going in to a lenthy explanation, but the gist is that we’ve seen what effect the media can have on the public already, especially when it comes to creating bogus “scandals” week after week. They know that the original allegation, no matter how baseless, is what sticks, even after it’s been proven to be horse shit. The analogy goes something like – you go to the surgeon because he said that you had a tumor that needed to be removed. Upon getting surgery, he doesn’t find a tumor… But you’re stuck with a scar from that day forward.
Think about how this has worked when they’ve been out of power? Now consider just how bad it would be if they were in power? With unending investigations the media will just be in Heaven.
So again, in the event that they win either house, I will be exponentially more pessimistic than AP…. so admittedly a portion of my optimism, or non-pessimism, is out of necessity. However I do stand by the fact that I think polls are largely bull. We’ve discussed it to death and I don’t feel like getting in to it again.
The best and most constructive thing I think any of us can do at this point is pray. Not as a figure of speech… I mean literally pray… a lot.
RightWinged on November 6, 2006 at 11:48 PM
…except that the Dems have been behaving as if they have a mandate since 2000…and the Republicans have let ‘em run with it….
…one party is deranged, the other fatigued…sorry times we live in.
Puritan1648 on November 6, 2006 at 11:49 PM
GOP will keep both Houses. I know this because I saw an absolutely stricken Terry McAuliffe on Hairball with Chris Matthews tonight. Unless Bill Clinton broke their engagement, it’s a clean sweep.
NightmareOnKStreet on November 6, 2006 at 11:54 PM
Im hoping that if it looks like the dems are doing well that will inspire the people in Wyoming who vote later to keep Burns over Tester.
We will see if there is a ripple effect based on early returns
William Amos on November 6, 2006 at 11:57 PM
BTW why is there a link on this site to the right to this crappy site ?
http://www.prwatch.org/tbwe/index.html
William Amos on November 7, 2006 at 12:01 AM
No way Talent loses! I’ve never seen the Republicans more motivated here and never seen the rest so ambivalent.
TBinSTL on November 7, 2006 at 12:10 AM
I think Georgia might save the House for us…this is different from my earlier posts. It’s late, and I’m feeling optimistic!
I never doubted we’d lose the Senate. In fact, the only race that might be close enough to challenge will be Maryland, and if the democrats try and thwart a black candidate for the Senate they will slit their own throats…which their Middle East supporters would know a lot about.
SouthernGent on November 7, 2006 at 12:15 AM
Even More Good News!
Christoph on November 7, 2006 at 12:16 AM
Oh, I forgot to add I’d pay a year’s salary (not much, mind you) to see the look of SURPRISE on Pelosi’s face when they lose! Oh, wait…nevermind…it’s always there.
SouthernGent on November 7, 2006 at 12:19 AM
Wisdom from Markos Zúniga…
Christoph on November 7, 2006 at 12:22 AM
Steele, Allen, Talent, Corker for the good guys.
We flip the 2 GA districts and keep Foley’s seat.
Thats my soothsayin’.
p0s3r on November 7, 2006 at 12:28 AM
Metallica on communism.
Scot on November 7, 2006 at 12:33 AM
Great find Christoph, thanks.
RightWinged on November 7, 2006 at 12:34 AM
I’m with TB.
Folks inSt. Louis County have gotten tired of Claire’s us vs them crap. “A senator for the rest of us” my ass.
Jim’s still “in”.
Also AD 2 will fail.
Folks are starting to see it as the (state)constitutional blunder that it is.
annoyinglittletwerp on November 7, 2006 at 12:39 AM
I continue to work to upset Stabacow in the Michigan election, and believe that there remains a good chance of her losing. It all depends on how people view Governor Granholm’s stewardship, and should the UAW succeed in keeping her in office then those workers deserve to be unemployed as that is what will soon happen to them. With Michigan on the bottom of the American economic charts I believe that the electorate will decide a change is needed.
I’ll be working 2 poll watcher shifts today. Maybe I’ll run for office in 08 as it can’t be any harder than what I’ve been doing for the GOP this year. :oP
DannoJyd on November 7, 2006 at 12:41 AM
I forgot to state that the Republicans will keep both houses.
DannoJyd on November 7, 2006 at 12:42 AM
There’s a lot of Republican optimism in these results.
Here’s my poll:
How many of you who said Republicans keep both houses did so to encourage people demoralized about all the reports that Democrats would take at least one house? I won’t tell.
Mark Jaquith on November 7, 2006 at 12:43 AM
I’m of the former and the latter.
infidel4life on November 7, 2006 at 12:47 AM
Mark, I voted as I did because I do not believe the liberal media, nor the broken polls.
DannoJyd on November 7, 2006 at 12:50 AM
I don’t know what to believe anymore. For a while I thought Dems would sweep the House and take the Senate. Then I thought Republicans would hold both Houses with extremely slim majorities. Now I think it’s too close to call. It’s going to be interesting and exciting as always.
Ian on November 7, 2006 at 12:53 AM
What I predict is that if the Democrats don’t take both the Senate and House we are going to hear world record levels of whining and see so many lawyers people will think the ACLU is hiring illegals to fill its ranks.
Benaiah on November 7, 2006 at 12:54 AM
Republicans will keep both. I have felt it.
Coyote D. on November 7, 2006 at 12:55 AM
Personally, I think republicans will retain control of both. I try very hard to keep myself a “moderate” and “independant,” but the disgusting crap I see spewing from the Dems this year is pushing me to vote almost straight Repub.
My exception will be Liebs. And he’s getting my vote because Lamont surely doesn’t deserve it. That moron is still fighting the “anyone but Bush” battle that was lost 2 years ago and utterly enraged me with at least one of his campaign ads.
On that note, Rob Simmons also gets my vote (district 2, CT). Why? Because while he may be as smarmy as any career politician, he fought for the survival of SE CT’s economy. I can’t count on any Democrat to fight for defense jobs or keeping a military base open. Not once have I ever heard (in the past 4 years) a Democrat speak up about maintaining the economic base of where I live (SE CT if that’s not obvious) and not denounce “Bush’s policies.”
Well, Mr. Bush is not on the ticket this year, folks. So I’m not voting for or against Bush. I’m voting for or against what I view as stupidity, and the Democrats overall have lost that battle in my eyes.
Spread the hope and vote for those that will protect us. Find me a Dem who vows to protect us (other than KP…she’s not on the ticket…yet), and I’ll vote for them if I like their message. For now, like it or not, Republicans are the only ones fit to defend this nation.
American_Jihadist on November 7, 2006 at 1:01 AM
Irey beats Murtha. Republicans gain seats in the Senate and House. Ito takes the rest of the week off and flies to Hawaii to celebrate.
America is at war and the serious folks ain’t staying home, the electorate has undergone a significant change (undetected) in the last few years (more Republicans than Democrats), Lieberman and Steele, given the nature of the new media and other reasons, including the interconnectedness of the new African American mega-churches etc.., have coat-tails that reach into other states like New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Rahm Emmanuel’s head blow-ups and Schumer shrugs his shoulders and says, “Wasn’t me.” Kennedy drinks.
itomania on November 7, 2006 at 1:04 AM
It is going to rain in Detroit today. That always hurts democrat turnout in my state.
Is Bush messing with the weather again?
DannoJyd on November 7, 2006 at 1:05 AM
IF, the Republicans keep both Houses of Congress, I wonder how much screaming of cheating, rigged electric voting machines, etc. we’ll hear from the Left.
Keep a bottle of pain reliever handy. It could get VERY shrill.
Yakko77 on November 7, 2006 at 1:06 AM
Senator Palpatine, welcome to our humble thread.
infidel4life on November 7, 2006 at 1:06 AM
Would love to see it. I’m currently living in SE CT, but my heart will always be where home is in SW PA. Murtha has enraged Mom to near incoherency when we talk politics on the phone (she has two “military brats”). :) There is at least one less vote for Murtha and if Dad has any common sense, he’ll vote Mom’s way or only reveal his vote in his will. :P
American_Jihadist on November 7, 2006 at 1:11 AM
I don’t believe the polls, I don’t believe the big name pundits, I don’t believe the news-readers, I don’t believe the Pelosis and the Rangells etc.
I don’t even believe the meterologists predicting the weather for tomorrow (Today in time zones east of here, now).
Overall, I think it is a ‘coin-toss’; only a couple of ‘slam-dunks’ in US house & Senate races. Heck, it is within the realm of possibility that we might even pick up a couple of seats.
I’ve been depressed about this for weeks, but when it comes down to the wire, I actually have hopes that at least 50.1% of us voters will, in the end, vote against the “we promise we have a better plan, but it is a secret until it is too late” democrats, even if we are less than thrilled with the Republicans overall.
I will bet the mortgage payment that MY conservative Congressman is going to be re-elected though.
LegendHasIt on November 7, 2006 at 1:14 AM
A little birdie told me Murtha was campaigning for other candidates over the weekend, leaving his district unguarded. Let’s hope his Hubris is answered with a good swift kick out the door. Also hoping your Father does the right thing and avoids Mother’s wrath.
itomania on November 7, 2006 at 1:26 AM
No telling on Dad. I haven’t had the political discussion with him yet. Guess we’ll have to wait until tomorrow evening to see if Mom is in jail for spousal abuse. :)
American_Jihadist on November 7, 2006 at 1:31 AM
My county is all mail for the first time this year, as of 5pm only 1/3 of the ballots have been received, not a good sign for turnout, we’ll see what happens. Mike McGavick is hopeful, want to see?
Gwillie on November 7, 2006 at 1:35 AM
Oh darn, link didn’t work.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuWM8IDJIj8
anyone thinking preview?
Gwillie on November 7, 2006 at 1:36 AM
After all the speeches and ads and all the money spent, the Republican’s chances boil down to to whether or not AJ’s Mother is thrown in jail. Easier to understand than the polls at least.
itomania on November 7, 2006 at 1:41 AM
I remember back in ’98 the polls and pundits predicted big losses for the dems because of Clinton’s problems at the time. The dems actually gained seats that year, although i don’t remember how many. It was amazing to watch the media go from depressed and dejected pre-election to euphoria post election.
Scot on November 7, 2006 at 2:07 AM
I’m truly optimistic for the Republicans.
Something tells me that there are many more folks out there (not picking up their phone to answer polls) who would rather have a tarantula lay eggs in their ear than see Reid and Pelosi every day on tv.
Mark, sorry I didn’t answer sooner but I was burning incense and sacrificing chickens. I’m from the “pray-but-row-for-shore” school of thought.
NightmareOnKStreet on November 7, 2006 at 2:10 AM
St. Louis weather is supposed to be low 60′s and sunny.
Not that it matters to me as I’m stuck poll-watching open to close on(what’s shaping up to be) zero sleep.
Coffee. Coffee. More Coffee.
Please.
annoyinglittletwerp on November 7, 2006 at 2:32 AM
My earlier link is’nt loading for some reason. It was a live version of Metallica’s Harvestor of Sorrow, a great musical denunciation of communism which libs like Pelosi still believe in whether they admit it or not. Just go to You Tube and search Metallica if you’re interested.
Scot on November 7, 2006 at 2:39 AM
A salient point made on PowerLine:
Freelancer on November 7, 2006 at 2:44 AM
I was hoping for bad weather in the city myself, zombies hate rain…..ahh well.
Do you know where you will be working? I’m off tomorrow and could bring by some good coffee and munchies.
You can email me if you don’t want it posted publicly.
TBinSTL on November 7, 2006 at 2:55 AM
AP,
check this out
http://polipundit.com/index.php?p=15842
EricPWJohnson on November 7, 2006 at 3:12 AM
I voted early here in Georgia due to having an appointment to keep after work. There are no real tight races in my district, but I voted for every Republican on the ballot anyway….no Dem votes for anything from me this time. Not even if one was running for dog catcher.
quax1 on November 7, 2006 at 3:24 AM
I believe that the Republicans will retain the House by at least 5 seats (possibly more) and the Senate by at least 4. It is possible that the Republicans might even gain 2 Senate seats, but probably not. It is impossible for the Democrats to “run the table” and claim 6 currently held Senate Republican seats.
In the House, I think that the Democrats and the media are smoking dope if they think that there will be a “blowout” or gain of more than 20 seats. The recent appeal to gun control (i.e., trying to “tar” a Republican for not supporting the ban on “deadly assault weapons” or for “standing by the NRA”) in ads initiated by Rahm Emanuel’s DCCC is having a backlash in my community and in most red state counties.
In two hotly contested elections in Illinois, the 6th and the 8th districts, the DCCC has ads attacking the Republican candidates for opposing a woman’s right to choose, and wanting to legalize “deadly assault weapons” and so on. All ultra-LIBERAL issues that do NOT resonate well in these districts. The candidate’s own ads do NOT mention these issues, BTW.
Emanuel’s comments in WASHPO that he doesn’t understand why the poll numbers are converging shows that he doesn’t understand that gun control is still a potent PRO-REPUBLICAN issue.
In other words, the Democrat’s attempt to make over their party as “moderate” in issues other than the war is failing. As for the war, except for the hardcore moonbats and despite what the media claims, most Americans do not want to see the USA fail in Iraq and recognize that the “cut and run” stance by the Democrats is the worst outcome.
That is why I am optimistic that the Republicans will control both Houses next January.
georgej on November 7, 2006 at 4:25 AM
I am staying positive, both houses will be won by Republicans.
George on November 7, 2006 at 5:38 AM
I cant give democrats a vote they surely dont deserve, and I dont want to give republicans(my own party) a vote they havent earned… So Im voting for the troops, the overwhelming majority of the troops are supporting the efforts in the WOT and Im casting my vote for them and the party that will do them the most good.
If BellaPelosi makes Speaker we are in for a rough ride..
Viper1 on November 7, 2006 at 5:43 AM
Burns wins Montana. That’s my dark-horse pick. I refuse to believe that Montana will elect a nutroots candidate. It just will not happen. If for no other reason than the fact that I got a kick out of the fact that a good (liberal) friend of mine just realized today that his name is Conrad, and that in fact reporters were not calling him Comrade Burns.
mhexel on November 7, 2006 at 6:34 AM
Well in most of the cases dealing with House and Senate, it will not be the party people are voting for, but the person running. The Dhims may think people like them and like what they stand for, NOT. People just didn’t like the Republican candidate, and so the same the other way around.
StuLongIsland on November 7, 2006 at 6:43 AM
I hear them….the MSM, the talking heads, the ‘experts’ with their endless polls. Every hour they are warning me in the most somber tones of this great Democratic blowout, the dissatisfaction of the American public, the huge desire for ‘change’. And golly gee, sometimes it almost scares the hell out of me. That’s when I have to push back from the keyboard, turn down the television and take a few thought clearing laps around my house. Literally. Cause when I shut out all the noise and listen to what my heart and head tells me I can’t help but be optimistic. I really do believe the GOP will retain control, albeit barely, of both houses. Interesting that here in my tiny town of 5,000 in rural TN no pollster has yet to contact me. Yet my neighbor, who is a registered Dem has been called 3 times! In fact, not one of my Rep friends and acquaintences has been ‘polled’, but 4 of the Dems have. Interesting, and food for thought methinks. So, again, neither house is lost and sanity will prevail. Why do I think this? Because at the end of the day, when all the talking is through, Americans are not suicidal nor stupid and much as they may absolutely hate Bush, survival is a very potent motivator.
dustoffmom on November 7, 2006 at 7:13 AM
Lamont loses, KOS rejects generous serving of humble pie by blaming congressional dems.
E L Frederick on November 7, 2006 at 7:30 AM
Well, it certainly won’t hurt.
They don’t count prayers at the polls though folks. Go volunteer to drive voters to the polls and GOTV! Turnout is the deciding factor today.
BacaDog on November 7, 2006 at 7:41 AM
I see that “Cindy” has now finally let the truth come out. Vote for ‘mercedes benz’?
Via Sweetness & Light.
dRauG on November 7, 2006 at 8:12 AM
Have you earned the right to vote?
seejanemom on November 7, 2006 at 8:13 AM
I’d almost hope for a 50-50 tie in the Senate, with Lieberman casting the deciding vote for the GOP leadership (since he has to know how disasterous a Dem Senate would be to the war effort). That would put the Kos Kid contingent into the political boneyard for good.
(I said almost; figure the GOP will hold with 52, including Chafee. If Chafee were the deciding vote, he’d switch; count on it.)
Mike O on November 7, 2006 at 8:13 AM
Ohio report:
I was the 33rd voter this AM at 7:45 in a very, very podunk little town.
Dayton and Cincinnati radio are both reporting VERY heavy turnout, with lines up to an hour.
HerrMorgenholz on November 7, 2006 at 8:15 AM
Only one prediction: Democrats are going to be disappointed.
The only question is how badly.
—————
Okay, one more prediction, but it’s a little obvious: you’re going to be hearing the word “Diebold” rather frequently.
Professor Blather on November 7, 2006 at 8:39 AM
Anyone see this in the paper edition of the NY Post?
Kissy Coumo Smoochy Coup
click on the photo box and see the frames. Sorry to ruin your breakfasts. Misery here, loves company, LOL These are people I have to put up with. Guess I will vote AllahPundit for senate in NY State.
StuLongIsland on November 7, 2006 at 8:45 AM
Missing Link — Kissy Coumo
Sorry about comfusion
StuLongIsland on November 7, 2006 at 8:46 AM
It’s raining on most of the East Coast today.
It’s obvious that God hates Democrats.
Because rain only makes the Democrats wet.
Republicans are impervious to rain.
Because Republicans are not pu$$ys.
It’s going to be a good day for the GOP.
We will keep both the Congress and Senate.
natesnake on November 7, 2006 at 8:52 AM
Heavy turnout means Republican votes. The pollsters will probably never figure out that the youth vote and assorted unicorns are just that. Bigmouthing would also come to mind.
Meanwhile, the Euro-press spins the “angry former Republican voters” as “voting against Bush, that’ll teach him.” As Prof Blather already summarized: for these people there can only be one explanation for the Democrat defeat.
Niko on November 7, 2006 at 8:52 AM
*WARNING – broad-brush, un-provable, sarcastic, mean-spirited observation to follow*
More Reasons Why the GOP Maintains Control of Both Houses:
1. It’s raining. Democrats fold at the first sign of resistance. Rain is wet.
2. It’s a government holiday. Sleeping in is mandatory. So is The Price is Right. And Oprah. And One Life To Live. And Judge Judy. And….. damn it’s 6:30 already! The poles close in 30 minutes, screw it. I’m sure the Dems will win anyways. (Dems have $hitty time management skills)
3. Republicans work in the private sector. This is just another work-day. Swing by the precinct on the way to work. Finished voting before 7:30 a.m.
4. Diebold.
5. Haliburton.
6. Carl Rove.
natesnake on November 7, 2006 at 9:11 AM
People joke about it – but Natesnake is telling a serious truth. No joke. There have been countless studies that establish that (for whatever reason), Democrats are significantly more likely to stay home when its a little too cold or hot, a little to wet or dry, a little to windy (or still?) …. in other words, when it takes a little effort.
I remember learning this in freshman Poly Sci about 100 years ago. From a very liberal professor who *HATED* it – but acknowledged the phenomenon.
Irony defined: global warming causes bad weather = liberals don’t show up to the polls to battle global warming.
Professor Blather on November 7, 2006 at 10:02 AM
Reporting in from another tiny podunk town…..west TN:
The ladies working the poll were absolutely amazed. I was the 31st voter in the first 40 minutes. They said normally they would have maybe 10-15 in the first hour or two. I can’t help but think this could bode very well for the GOP.
dustoffmom on November 7, 2006 at 10:08 AM
Mark,
Ditto.
Jaibones on November 7, 2006 at 10:59 AM
I admire everyone’s unfettered optimism. No matter what happens, at least you guys can say you stayed positive to the end.
Unpopular president, unpopular war, bad poll numbers, prediction of defeat from experts–no big deal. You guys “feel” victory. Kinda like Bush “felt” the WMDs and Cheney “felt” we would be greeted as liberators. Ahh, the sweet comfort of truthiness…
JaHerer22 on November 7, 2006 at 12:02 PM
Mrs.737 and I just voted. She is a registered democrat … guess what? She voted straight party line … for the Pubbies!
Tony737 on November 7, 2006 at 12:21 PM
This election is more about voter apathy than anything else.
Everyone I know is, for the most part, supporting the same political parties as they did in the election two years ago. So… if Republicans will win if Republican voters turn out to the polls.
Yes, Republicans are disgruntled with their party, but they(we) still do not embrace the current Democratic plans either.
So, Democrats are counting on disgruntled Republicans to not show up to vote. I say all this with certainty, because, Democrats have been campaigning very hard to encourage disgruntled Republicans to either vote for them, or to simply stay home and not at all.
So, if Republicans lose, it’s our own fault for not voting.
So, get our butts out of the house and go vote.
Lawrence on November 7, 2006 at 12:24 PM
Wow, you guys are really coming down hard on our fellow (albeit misguided) Americans, the Democrats. Don’t you think calling them “pu$$ies” is a little harsh? I live in New Jersey and if things weren’t ugly enough here before the Dems started circling the national drain, they are rapidly getting there. Just saw Brit Hume on FNC talking about the possibility of “Dems dirty tricks starting already” with Kean Jr.’s offices being vandalized. Naturally, I want to give the (allegedly dirty) Dems a chance to defend themselves. Afterall, they’ve recently been campaigning heavily in beach towns in my county (which is the ONLY RED COUNTY in a VERY BLUE STATE) and it is entirely possible that Menendez and his boys are just having a really bad day because… they’ve gotten sand in their v-a-g-i-n-a-s. So let’s take the high road guys and not rush to judgement, k? Remember, we’ll have the next two years to call them pu$$ies (AND LOSERS).
NightmareOnKStreet on November 7, 2006 at 2:03 PM