It’s prediction time, baby
posted at 2:09 pm on November 5, 2006 by Allahpundit
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Suddenly, everything’s coming up roses: the new WaPo poll puts the generic-ballot margin at six points, due in part to an inexplicable uptick in optimism about Iraq; Mason-Dixon sees Senate momentum for the GOP, particularly in Rhode Island and Montana; and Joe Lieberman, bless his heart, is being touted as the new legislative kingmaker before whom the nutroots must kneel to have their initiatives pass.
And yet … a chill wind blows.
The Weekly Standard has already weighed in. Bill Kristol’s predicting catastrophe. I think Duncan Carrie and Victorino Matus are closer to the mark. 50/50 Senate, 226-209 in the House.
A little food for thought from Orson Scott Card while you mull:
[T]here are no values that matter to me that will not be gravely endangered if we lose this war. And since the Democratic Party seems hellbent on losing it — and in the most damaging possible way — I have no choice but to advocate that my party be kept from getting its hands on the reins of national power, until it proves itself once again to be capable of recognizing our core national interests instead of its own temporary partisan advantages.
To all intents and purposes, when the Democratic Party jettisoned Joseph Lieberman over the issue of his support of this war, they kicked me out as well. The party of Harry Truman and Daniel Patrick Moynihan — the party I joined back in the 1970s — is dead. Of suicide.
Update: Almost forgot this. Who said it?
If the Republicans somehow manage to defy expectations and retain control of House and Senate, this dangerous denial will be empowered and enhanced. Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld will be all the more convinced that they are right and all the more determined to pursue their manic dream of remaking the world. They will be like Nixon, the last to realise that their own fantasy has ended — but, unlike Nixon, with a Congress of their own party they will be able to drag the entire country with them. If that happens, the centre in America will not hold. And we will be facing severe strife within America itself — as well as a potential disaster in the Middle East…
My own profound hope is for a resounding victory for the Democrats. That’s not because I agree with them on every issue. Far from it. But I can recognise incompetence, fanaticism and recklessness when I see them; and right now, all three have seized the White House and the Republican leadership. It will be good for the Republicans to lose this election.
What do you suppose he means by “severe strife”?
Update: Is KP taunting the Chairman?
Update: In light of the two new polls, Dean Barnett e-mails to say that he was optimistic before feeling optimistic was cool.
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I predict the Senate and the House remain Republican, but the balance in the House is down to maybe a 4 seat advantage.
Mortis on November 5, 2006 at 2:15 PM
Given the October-surprise-of-the-day coverage in the MSM and elsewhere, if the Democrats fail to take the Senate, and make only modest gains in the House, they will, in fact, have spectacularly failed to capitalize on significant political opportunities. If they fail to take both houses, heads are going to roll big time.
I’m going with the prediction that the Democrats come up short in both Houses. Close, but no cigar.
whatnext on November 5, 2006 at 2:16 PM
Republicans lose 2 senate seats and 12 congressional seats: keep both houses.
Christoph on November 5, 2006 at 2:18 PM
But I hope they keep Howard Dean.
He’s the gift that just keeps giving.
Mortis on November 5, 2006 at 2:18 PM
I predict violence from the left when they lose again.
infidel on November 5, 2006 at 2:19 PM
Republicans retain control of both Houses and Bush gets to replace Justice Stevens before the end of his term.
.
GT on November 5, 2006 at 2:19 PM
Again the gap comes from likely voters over registered voters.
Republicans are far more likely to you know vote….
I think it will be nearly a 50/50 split in both houses and an uproar about “diebolds”
William Amos on November 5, 2006 at 2:19 PM
I’m going with the birthday boy, too (Have a good one, Mortis!).
In fact, I think the GOP may pick up seats in the House and the Senate.
Call it a firm feeling, but we’ve got the Joementum!
Now, get out there, Conservative (and Jacksonian Democrat) America, and Win (yet another) One for the Gipper!
Jen the Neocon on November 5, 2006 at 2:20 PM
My heart says Repubs gain 1 in Senate, Repubs lose 3 in House.
But my head says Repubs lose 2 in Senate, Repubs lose 8 in House.
By six months out, pollsters will have figured out how to spin their ‘06 polls as having accurately depicted the race.
a4g on November 5, 2006 at 2:22 PM
Still 48 hours before I’d like to predict, but I’ll say -3 in the Senate and -12 in the House, GOP retaining majorities.
Followed by complete lefty meltdown.
JammieWearingFool on November 5, 2006 at 2:29 PM
We still need to see what dirty tricks the Dems pull on election day (slashing tires, shooting into Republican candidate’s headquarters, etc.).
I’m feeling slightly optimistic. Not because the Republicans deserve to win (which I don’t think they do, with the record high spending, the growth in government, and all), but the Democrats definately deserve to lose, as shown by their bizarre actions over the past few months.
I was fully prepared to sit out this election in protest of the way the Republican House and Senate have been acting, but the Dem’s actions have shown me that I do need to get out and vote.
The Dems can thank Kerry and Dean for the Republican “Get out the vote” results.
rmgraha on November 5, 2006 at 2:30 PM
I’ve got to bounce and don’t have time to give much of an analysis.. but GOP keeps both. Tons of litigation because Dems have been fooled by the polls that were intended on fooling us in to giving up.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 2:34 PM
Well, if we hold on to 226 seats in the house as AP suggests, I’ll be awfully happy!
Kevin M on November 5, 2006 at 2:37 PM
House and Senate remain Republican, if not…I’ll move to Canada!
Ropera on November 5, 2006 at 2:37 PM
The GOP will keep both the house and the senate. I agree with JammieWearingFool that there will be a complete lefty meltdown and possible violence when the Dhimis lose. If the left is this rabid on Saddam getting the death penalty, what will they be like when the Repubs win?
Neocon Peg on November 5, 2006 at 2:38 PM
House – Dems, by 1 or 2 sets
Senate – 50-50 depends on Steele though.
I have Harris or Nelson as my choice in florida. I hate Nelson, but I think Harris is the lowest form of politician :(
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 2:39 PM
Democrats are more enthusiastic about voting because the MSM is telling them the Republicans are on the way out. Republicans are not so enthusiastic because they know their party has suffered a few black eyes and they have some understandable resentment. I think the polls are predictable in that respect. In the end, Republican voters WILL turn out – it will not be the big Republican defeat the MSM is hoping for – and the MSM will start their damage control by blaming Republican scare tactics, Saddam’s verdict, or…just fill in the blank with ususal liberal talking points.
thedecider on November 5, 2006 at 2:45 PM
Republicans lose 4 Senate seats, 20-22 House seats.
I’m fairly sure about the former; no one really knows about the latter, and anyone who claims they do is lying.
Knemon on November 5, 2006 at 2:46 PM
The GOP may lose the House but they’ll keep the Senate.
thedecider on November 5, 2006 at 2:47 PM
GOP will hold both. The actual prediction from the losers’ point of view:
1. Massive fraud utilizing Diebold voting machines, conveniently ignoring the fact that it was Democrats who called for machines after the 2000 Florida debacle using paper ballots.
2. Giant propaganda effort on behalf of the Bush junta’s lockstepped corporate media lackeys at LA Times, NY Times, etc., despite the fact that all of them were party to various October surprises that tried to damage GOP candidates.
3. Democrat candidates were way too far to the right and had no guts to stand up to The Man, even though since the olden days of JFK the Democrats had nominated one liberal flagbearer after another for the Presidency, DNC Chair, and prospective House Leader.
Luckily, liberals don’t do guns, so all will be just fine.
Niko on November 5, 2006 at 2:47 PM
…follwed by the compulsory Dem bloodbath. Happy trails, Dr.Dean, and hit the bricks, John Kerry, (who shall remain in the Senate merely as a seat warmer for Mitt Romney). Say hello to Supreme Court Justice Janice Rogers Brown, with VP Cheney casting the 51st vote.
Then…Rudy Time, baby!
Kid from Brooklyn on November 5, 2006 at 2:48 PM
Republicans gain in the Senate and House. No, I’m not drunk. Much. At this very moment. But I have been drinking and will continue for the near future, and I started to drink because I realized the Republicans are going to win. Not tie. Not lose some. Not lose a lot. But win. So my drinking for this past week isn’t causal to my “crazy” prediction, but my sound prediction is causal to my drinkin’. I’m celebrating. Why are the Republicans going to win?, you ask, well, I have ten reasons based on facts and analyses and other thingygabobs, but I can’t remember them right now. If I’m right, and after my happiness binge winds down (should last until about Thursday), I’ll surely begin to remember what the reasons were again, that and my nearest relation’s names and birthdays, and let the interested know. If I’m wrong, perish the thought, but there is a very small possibility everyone else is right and I’m wrong, since it does happen every once and awhile, I probably won’t even notice, drunk as I’m going to be. Anyway. Go Elephants.
itomania on November 5, 2006 at 2:48 PM
If the dims lose, Chris Matthews is going to have a stroke on his little TV show.
Dave R. on November 5, 2006 at 2:49 PM
Imagine the entertainment Olby will provide us with if they should lose.
Gregor on November 5, 2006 at 2:50 PM
Senate – 51 Republicans. The House is going to be harder. It’s going to be really close, no matter what. 217-218 one way or the other. And, of course, a complete lefty breakdown. I’m all right, as long as we keep the Senate. After terrorism, Justices are the most important issue.
Giuliani/Rice ‘08!
JohnJ on November 5, 2006 at 2:51 PM
I’ll put up my previous prediction. Reps gain 5 in the senate and 15 in the house. Although, I’ll add that there will be at least 4 that switch parties with in the next two years.
- The Cat has spoken
MirCat on November 5, 2006 at 2:51 PM
lorien, I couldn’t disagree with you more!
I saw Katherine Harris debate Bill Nelson and she wiped the floor with him!
He came across as an old gasbag and even told the audience that if he was re-elected, he most certainly would vote to RAISE TAXES!
Unbelievable.
Harris was smart, articulate and up-to-speed on every issue.
Vote for Harris! Nelson’s an old fart now, heading for Robert Byrd country.
Jen the Neocon on November 5, 2006 at 2:52 PM
Republicans will hold both–but we won’t know it until the end of the week, because of all the absentee ballots cast in Maryland. The Dems will claim another stolen election.
Melba Toast on November 5, 2006 at 2:52 PM
That should be the republican mantra. Watch Dean, Olby go mental – vote R LOL
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 2:52 PM
4 senators that is, rep and dem both
- The Cat
MirCat on November 5, 2006 at 2:52 PM
What the hell is Bill Kristol smoking?
I think we will do far better than predicted – maybe senate holds at 52 to 48 but we lose the house by 2 or 3 seats.
My HOPE is that we pick up a few seats in each chamber. The collective freak out on the left and in the press (yet I repeat myself) would be so damn fun to watch.
Rosetta on November 5, 2006 at 2:52 PM
I predict the Cowboys will score a TD against the Redskins 4 1/2 minutes into the 3rd quarter.
infidel4life on November 5, 2006 at 2:53 PM
That just might be worth Tivo’ing.
.
GT on November 5, 2006 at 2:54 PM
Let me clear something up. I agree with Harris on lots of issues.
But, I think she is the lowest form of politican because she used her position in the 2000 presidential election as a stepping stone to the House. Now, she’s using it to the Senate, ignoring the wishes of party to keep her seat secure this time around. She used her popularity and desire for power to possibly screw every republican in the state. Lowest form of politician. As I said.
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 2:54 PM
Dean? Shouldn’t that be vote aaarrrrrrrraaaaaaarrrrr!!!!
- The Cat
MirCat on November 5, 2006 at 2:54 PM
lorien, maybe–I don’t live in Florida, but I take it that you do.
I know that the GOP and Gov. Bush haven’t supported her very much and there’s been a lot of weirdness around her campaign, but she does have the right take on the important issues and no-one could be worse than Nelson!
When he talked about raising taxes, he was PROUD OF IT!
I couldn’t believe a politician could be so shameless about how they were going to stick it to the voters!
Jen the Neocon on November 5, 2006 at 2:58 PM
I predict that all of the posters are correct. By the end of the news cycle they will have justified whatever prediction they made, they all have a back door.
Eisenhower asked for a one-armed advisor (economic), why? Because all of his advisors kept saying “on the other hand”.
We need one-armed pollsters.
right2bright on November 5, 2006 at 3:00 PM
I predict that Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan will be the top box office earner for it’s opening weekend.
Ooops, that already happened. How about:
strong>Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan will be the top box office earner for next week too.
As for the House and the Senate – too close to call. The Left will continue to exert power until the United States suffers another major disaster – or two: Pearl Habor, 9/11, ? and ? will bring sanity back – and decrease the power of the Defeatocrats.
omegaram on November 5, 2006 at 3:00 PM
Yes I’m in Florida. I can’t stand Nelson, I think he’s a typical liberal democrat. But I also cannot forgive Harris for making it hard on EVERY republican in the state to get elected. She’s a lightning rod for democrats and she knows it. Her presence on a ballot will increase Democrat turnout in this state. She should’ve stayed in the house, at least for a few more years.
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 3:01 PM
lorien, to be fair to Harris, she was in a no win situation with the Florida 2000 thing–watching her from Texas, I was so proud of her and the whole GOP, especially in Florida.
She was just doing her job and the Media just about crucified her, criticizing her makeup, calling her Cruella de Ville, saying it was down to an affair she was having with Jeb Bush…all because she reported the fact that Bush had won the electoral votes of Florida fair and square!
She held her head up high and counted the votes just as the Secretary of State was supposed to and for this she had to get her own lawyer and argue doing her job in front of SCOTUS!
I think she has guts and I’d vote for her in a New York minute if I lived there!
Jen the Neocon on November 5, 2006 at 3:07 PM
If the Republicans hold the House and Senate, I predict the Dems will kick John Kerry out of the country and send him to France wit Howard Dean following him. I also predict it will be the result of all those damn Diebold employees tinkering with the electronic voting machines.
bopbottle on November 5, 2006 at 3:11 PM
She did great in 2000. I don’t disagree. Fact remains. She is a lightning rod. Democrats hate her – rightly or wrongly is irrelevant. They will turn out to vote for anyone who is not her, and other democrat candidates as well. It’s reality, that’s all.
Her desire to be a senator could have screwed how many other candidates? Every house seat is up for re-election this cycle, as always. Let’s say 5-10 seats go democrat by 2-3%, this could easily be pinned on Harris because of turnout against her. Is 1 person worth 5-10 house seats?
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 3:12 PM
By the way, AP, the link to Andrew Sullivan was just mean. As for being on the verge of vomiting, that’s exactly how I feel every time I read one of drama queen’s whiny, bleeding-heart pleas to dump the Republican party.
thedecider on November 5, 2006 at 3:12 PM
Call it a draw… I know that it sounds like the easy way out, but as the heart and head split has been used here already, I’ll do the same.
My heart says that at the last minute the undecided will realize what’s at stake, and do the right thing. Repubs gain or hold even…
But my head tells me that the MSM has poisoned the waters of this cycle with far too many misleading and down right hateful stabs at the Republicans and that they will at least lose a few seats in each.
The House -12, the Senate -3…
Kerry’s non-sense in the last week is a huge heart breaker for the Dems…
Saddam’s verdict is also a plus for the right because it show progress…
Blended together I see a draw in that the Republicans stay in control of both houses.
Keep the faith… Vote like you mean it.
RalphyBoy on November 5, 2006 at 3:13 PM
House..Dem 215 Rep 216 (Before court) Dem 222 Rep 209(after court)
Senate….Dem 47 Rep 52 I 1
Then Bush declares martial law and all is well.
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 3:14 PM
Still, eternal props to Allahpundit and Ace for predicting in early 2004 that Andrew Sullivan would turn out to become one of the greatest backstabbing traitors (I paraphrase) of all time.
Niko on November 5, 2006 at 3:16 PM
Anything less than a complete blowout is a loss for the Dems.
That being said, I think the Republicans will still control both houses, possibly gaining seats in the Senate.
Iblis on November 5, 2006 at 3:24 PM
The most important thing is simply for all of us to actually vote, and then DRAG several people with us to the polls. If we lose … it will be due to those who stay home.
Call people you know who feel the same as you … and go in groups!
Gregor on November 5, 2006 at 3:24 PM
I predict that the dems will get caught stuffing the ballot boxes in Mo. and NM.
Kerry will not apologize for the ballot stuffing.
Pelosi will not be able to get a refund on the drapes.
Dean will be locked up in the funny farm.
Clark will be hung along with Saddam.
BobK on November 5, 2006 at 3:27 PM
Or at least the threat of violent revolution anyway.
Message to the radical Left. Bring it on already. And please come to my neighborhood first. I have a surprise waiting for you…
CliffHanger on November 5, 2006 at 3:29 PM
Let’s see–Steele wins in Maryland, Talent in Missouri, Chafee in Rhode Island (for what that’s worth, policy-wise). Burns loses narrowly in Montana, as does Kean in Jersey (damn!), and Santorum and DeWine take the pipe. Oh, and Allen wins in Virginia by a small margin, and Corker blows Ford out in TN. So what’s that leave us? GOP 53, Dems 46 + Bernie.
In the House, call it a loss of 20 for the Republicans, with two unexpected Democrat incumbents loses, leaving it GOP 214, Dems 221.
Athanasius on November 5, 2006 at 3:44 PM
Chaffee leading? Shocka!
That one strains credulity. There’s no apparent reason for a surge like that.
Pablo on November 5, 2006 at 3:49 PM
I also predict a close run for the house and senate, but the Republicans keep control of both. Expect outrage and charges of fraud from the left. Lots of lawsuits. General screaming, pulling of hair and rending of clothing.
Also expect the far-left to go absolutely bugnuts – to the point of criminal.
Just like the old chinese curse – “May You Live In Interesting Times”
Timothy S. Carlson on November 5, 2006 at 3:52 PM
I predict that we Republicans will keep our majorities in both the Senate and the House. We will even pick up seats in the House. Murtha will lose, Cantwell will lose. Corker, Santorum, Steele will all win by wide majorities for the Senate. I hope Chafee and DeWine lose. Leiberman will win. The Demofascitst will go into complete meltdown. Arnold will get reelected. Saxton will win here in Oregon.
marianpaul on November 5, 2006 at 3:56 PM
Allen defeats Webb by 4%
Steele defeats Cardin by 5%
Corker defeats Ford, Jr. by 10%
Santorum defeats Casey, Jr. by 1%
Burns defeats Tester by 4%
Kean wins by 2%
GOP retains Foley’s seat as well as Gehrlach and Weldon winning, Sherwood defeats Carney by 4%
Ehrlach beats O’Malley by 8%
and in two years we have twice as many polling groups, redundantly taking twice as many ‘dem-heavy’ polls, to further undermine the credibility of elections by suggesting that the vote tablulations is incorrect, rather then their propaganda polls.
cms on November 5, 2006 at 4:06 PM
I’ll say the GOP holds the Senate, but loses the House by the slimmest of margins: only 2 or 3 seats. Which would be unfair in one regard: the House at least addressed border security and controlling illegal immigration (if only half-heartedly by some of the Republican delegation); the Senate is all about Amnesty, baby.
Spiny Norman on November 5, 2006 at 4:12 PM
Lorien, Pres. Bush and VP Cheney were lightning rods too. A lot of people were voting against them as opposed to voting for kerry. But the party didn’t dump them. I think Harris has been treated badly and needs Republicans to get out and vote for her.
Rose on November 5, 2006 at 4:19 PM
I do know the democrats will tie any election they lose up in courts. I heard they have 500 lawyers in Maryland to make sure Steele loses no matter the outcome.
Senate: GOP 53, Whigs/dems 45, “Independent” 2
House: GOP 219, Whigs/dems 216 (Thanks to Georgia’s new House districts!) It coule be 220 215…Vernon Robinson is really on fire here in Wake County, NC…it could be the upset of the night!
SouthernGent on November 5, 2006 at 4:28 PM
We lose 5 house seats and “GAIN” one seat in the Senate.
Get out the vote.
I hope Vernon can final win a seat, its going to be hard.
We triied in Winston Salem in the 5th hope he has better luck in the 12th?
kara26 on November 5, 2006 at 4:35 PM
Senate; 51 Reps. House; Dems take it by 4 and they will NOT pick Pelosi as Speaker (would destroy their ‘08 chances). All the other House committees get their nightmare leadership, though. Impeachment effort to start by March and die by May.
Mike O on November 5, 2006 at 4:38 PM
Agreed. I think we are going to see a big-money organized campaign of legal assaults on close races they lose.
infidel4life on November 5, 2006 at 4:39 PM
Every American, Blue AND Red, need to read that entire Orson Scott Card essay. He’s always been one of my favorite sci-fi authors because he’s so thoughtful in how he constructs his stories and his characters. He hits this one dead on perfect. I’m sending the link to all my friends and family, Blue and Red.
And I hope the GOP pulls it out with the massive groundswell that looks like is happening. The dems are spinning furiously that it’s impossible for them not to win this election.
Lessons from the Titanic, anyone?
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 4:51 PM
It’s about time for Rove to release a Bin Laden tape.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 4:59 PM
I predict weeks and weeks of lawsuits.
p0s3r on November 5, 2006 at 5:03 PM
My guess. Yes, I know that’s an old school internet viral video, but that’s how I roll. (btw, probably NSFW, but really not that bad)
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 5:04 PM
Right on, like I said earlier:
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 5:05 PM
After reading the new Pew Research poll that just came out and is posted on Drudged, I’m revising my opinion.
I believe the Republicans will lose 1 senate seat and 5 house seats.
Christoph on November 5, 2006 at 5:12 PM
I think the GOP will lose 2 seats in the Senate and 8 or so in the House, but we will win strategically.
Tim Burton on November 5, 2006 at 5:16 PM
I have absolutely no faith whatsoever in ANY polls. I just don’t trust ‘em. They are all to frequently very wrong.
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 5:16 PM
to = too
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 5:16 PM
My prediction?
Republicans lose the House, barely keep the Senate.
Doesn’t Bill Kristol always predict catastrophe? That guy’s like Pig Pen – only with a cloud of pessimism over his head.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 5:19 PM
Steele loses. Which sucks, because I love him more than my own mother. But he can’t do it.
Everything else – who the hell knows?
Enrique on November 5, 2006 at 5:23 PM
Enrique,
Bullshit. Steele’s got the Black Democrat endorsements and that’s very very important. Historic, even. Black America is going to start moving toward the red side of the political spectrum because they’re realizing there’s more opportunity and way less racisim in the GOP.
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 5:27 PM
The level of open racism in the dem party is disgusting and disgraceful.
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 5:28 PM
If Steele loses, I’ll live in Canada. And that’s a promise.
Christoph on November 5, 2006 at 5:28 PM
Senate: 63(R), followed by 37 Democratic Senators resigning after admitting they don’t understand ‘world politics’.
House:Clean sweep (R). Pelosi admits on Wednesday that she is relieved, since she has no plan.
Presidency: Bush abdicates to Newt Gingrich.
World peace ensues.
Kevin M on November 5, 2006 at 5:41 PM
Infidel is probably right. The tone of that party has been building ut to this for some time. If they lose this, it push them past the point of ever returning to civility (last seen before my lifetime.)
Coyote D. on November 5, 2006 at 5:46 PM
I predict the GOP keeps both, but I also predict a slew of recounts and lawsuits before the final tallies are in.Yes, optimistic with a touch of pessimism.
vcferlita on November 5, 2006 at 5:50 PM
GOP -1 in the Senate; -4 in the House. And that’s the troof.
Bugler on November 5, 2006 at 5:54 PM
I listened to that idiot Larry Sabato earlier and he predicted (of course) a Dem senate, at least 6 new Dem governors and an even to Dem Senate.
He’s a joke here in Virginia after he came out and voiced his take on Geo Allen and the “N” word awhile back. SO much for unbiased pollsters.
My two cents worth……Rep Senate – 51, Dem House – 224, and like many previously have said, tons of lawsuits.
BacaDog on November 5, 2006 at 5:56 PM
oops…should have said Dem House
AP, Where’s the preview button we’ve asked for??
BacaDog on November 5, 2006 at 5:57 PM
Good! I hope they do. And then they can be dealt with, legally, and be held responsible for the traitors they actually are. Can’t wait.
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 5:59 PM
My prediction -
Republican Senate
Dim House
and I’d actually prefer it to be opposite since the House Republicans have been the more conservative where illegal immigration is concerned.
Benaiah on November 5, 2006 at 5:59 PM
ummmm… AS the traitors they actually are.
//D’oh!
techno_barbarian on November 5, 2006 at 6:01 PM
Ah the elusive preview button… Rumor has it, that item topped Johnny Kerry’s Xmas list this year, and Momma Heinz is desperately trying to find it. Sadly, she’s only found the Easy Button, after watching this hilarious commercial. My sources tell me that if she can’t find the Preview Button in stores she’s going on eBay to pay $2000 for a Playstation 3, and hopes it will be good enough.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 6:01 PM
Prediction?
We keep both the House and the Senate.
EFG on November 5, 2006 at 6:23 PM
Orson Scott Card, an admitted Democrat, has a very good point. It’s not often that a democrat makes sense and we should be grateful when one of them sees the writing on the wall. It was a good read as a precursor to “Obsession.” Thanks AP, for posting the link
Troy Rasmussen on November 5, 2006 at 6:34 PM
I hope you guys are right and we keep at least the Senate, if not, GOD have mercy on us. I predict, and I hope I am so wrong, the congress will go heavy democrat, will be up by 5-10 seats. However, I think we might, and I pray, hang on to the senate. Republicans have to do a better job in 08 or we will see Gore, Clinton, Obama. May the LORD have mercy if the blameocrats take both.
locwilliam on November 5, 2006 at 6:42 PM
I’ll disagree on the tons o’ lawsuits conventional wisdom. Kerry promised his 10k lawyers would protect the vote in ‘04. That turned out to be an empty promise, at least as far as the moonbats are concerned. Any lawsuits filed will be by third parties. The DNC is to election fraud protection as the GOP is to controlling illegal immigration. Nothing but empty promises.
rw on November 5, 2006 at 6:44 PM
I read the whole polling data that is linked in “at six points” and it just reconfirms what I have been thinking for the last few years. The negative news the MSM has been force feeding the nation is working. I wish Fox could be broadcast as one of the BIG 3, but unfortunately, it is not. The “news” they report is always bad, always reflects badly on our goverment when the Reps are in power, and it always will be that way ( until we put them out of business…hopefully one day). Just think of the orgy like parties the left will have if my worst fears come true. And that party will extend for some time. I will sound like a defeatists, but I think we may hve to get our thinking caps on for how we will deal with dem control for the next years.
May God help us all
lsutiger on November 5, 2006 at 6:52 PM
I pray that we maintain both because we can effectively end the Democratic Party, as successes will be further realized by 2008.
Good point, however I’ll repeat what I just said. Maintaining GOP power in both houses effectively ends the Democratic Party. They will have to root for failure beyond anything we’ve already seen because I think successes will materialize in a way easier to understand, despite media distortion, by 2008. I’m sure the Dems will stick around, because they’ll have imcumbents capable of being reelected, but can you imagine the blow that the party will be dealt if we maintain both houses? Can you imagine!? Further, maybe some who appear as RINOs will then have the balls to get things done they’ve been afraid to for fear of dirty election games. But overall, the Democratic Party will be screwed.
On the other hand, if they lose, they’ll certainly kick Dean to the curb, which will be a sad day…. for us. But they’ll probably keep him if they win anything, even though he’ll have really had no impact, because Democrat wins by default. Not the result of anyone supporting the party of no ideas and obstructionism.
Back to the point, I think because of the desperate situation this lose will do to the Democrats, they’ll be all over the courts. Their desperate Kos Kids, etc will force them to because they’ve all been so confident, fooled by their own media’s polls. These polls were intended to demoralize us and keep us home, but it’s only made them overconfident and unprepared to compensate for the get out the vote effort of the GOP, and the fact that there are countless flaws in these “polls” that render them pointless. (i.e. I have a cell phone only, therefore I’ll never be polled.)
Seeing themselves heading in to the
lightlake of fire, they’ll pull out all the stops and we’ll see a lot of court battles. Guess which side the media will take the whole time?The New York Times already laid the groundwork for “election problems” a couple weeks ago. They’ve probably got articles ready for Wednesday exposing “voter fraud” or “voter supression” that caused their Democrats to lose.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 7:00 PM
Anything less than a massive Democrat victory will be a defeat for the left of truly historic proportions. If they can’t completely seize power now – they never will. With Bush’s low numbers, the frustration over Iraq, and the second-term six-year curse … it’s now or never for Democrats.
Even if they win both houses – if it’s not huge, they lose.
And make no mistake – by those (accurate) standards, I guarantee they lose.
If they take neither house, they are finished.
My prediction? (Channeling Mr. T, from Rocky III) … Prediction? PAIN …!
About the only thing a narrow Democrat win on Tuesday will accomplish is to make it easier for Rudy or Mitt to take the White House in ‘08.
Professor Blather on November 5, 2006 at 7:07 PM
Absolutely.
Allahpundit on November 5, 2006 at 7:11 PM
Republicans will hold both with a narrow margin after all the lawsuits and voting machine crying is settled.
A Berkley moonbat will burn himself in protest and Sheehan will move to France.
bj1126 on November 5, 2006 at 7:32 PM
Senate held R with a one seat advantage, House held R with a three seat majority.
The MSM is trying its best to predict its D wishes, always a dangerous course.
Which it would also be to cede power to these FLEE NOW, PAY LATER, no-answers-but-their-meaningless-mantra-of-”change”, utterly-uninspired, hate-the-opposition-only defeatists.
VOTE for strength and survival.
profitsbeard on November 5, 2006 at 7:44 PM
Dang, you folks are smart–I say that because I never imagined that so many other people would predict the same thing I was going to. I thought it over today, and my gut says we’ll hold both houses. Now that’s also what my gut knows I want to hear, but there’s no harm in being optimistic–as long as we do everything within our power to make it a reality.
I think we’re going to take it on turnout–even if the polls were worth anything, which they aren’t, they can’t predict who’ll actually show up. We’ve been told by the MSM for three months that we were beaten before the fight even started, and the Dems have been told that they’d already won. Well, talk’s never won a fight yet, and I have a feeling that all the premature celebration (they get that a lot, I bet) on the part of the Dems is going to backfire on them. Some of us were always going to vote, but I think the Kerry fiasco among other things has reminded the holdouts that no matter how bad the Republicans are–and they are, in so many ways–the Democrats are categorically worse on every single issue. And if we do hold what we’ve got–then we’d damn well better hold the Republicans’ feet to the fire, or we’ve got nobody but ourselves to blame.
Get out and vote, and make sure all of the smart and above average people (i.e., Republicans) you know do the same. Think of it as a big F-U to the Democrats, the MSM, the terrorists, and every other America-hating S.O.B out there.
ReubenJCogburn on November 5, 2006 at 7:52 PM
This was too funny not to share. It comes from the online Editorial page of the NYT. The hypocrisy simply oozes from your screen onto your keyboard. Get a towel:
I can’t stop laughing. Sides hurt.
thedecider on November 5, 2006 at 8:00 PM
My predictions, and they’re worth what you’re paying for them:
Republicans with a 52-46-2 advantage
Republicans lose house by narrow margin, with Democrats taking a 219-216 advantage.
After the ACORN scandal, I’ll predict that some of the narrower Democrat victories in the House will have fiarly obvious indications of fraud, which will be ignored in a typical MoveOn.org manner. If any recount ends with a Democrat ahead by 1 vote, the MSM will declare the race over. Republicans in Washington State are familiar with those sort of shenanigans.
Physics Geek on November 5, 2006 at 8:29 PM
The polls are our friends. If the polls say that the dhimicraps are leading, more Republicans will get out and vote. The Dhimicraps will stay at home because they think they have it in the bag. Just like 2004. I hope they never learn!
Neocon Peg on November 5, 2006 at 8:31 PM
I ‘m going with a narrow margin, but we’ll hold it.
REPUBLICANS BY TWO SEATS.
seejanemom on November 5, 2006 at 8:33 PM
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