GOP within four on Pew’s generic ballot, Pelosi preemptively alleges vote-rigging; Update: Gallup sees Dem lead shrink by six
posted at 9:33 pm on November 5, 2006 by Allahpundit
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This, combined with that WaPo poll released this morning, makes it a two-alarm fire with Gallup still to come later tonight. If we’re close there too, the Times is going to put a special flag-draped coffin photo series insert in tomorrow’s edition.
Pew always does a nice job with tables of the key data so click that first link and breeze through. Points to note: (a) not only has the margin among likely voters narrowed from 53-40 in early October to 47-43 now, but the number of undecided voters has increased by three points to 10%; (b) voters who say they’ve given “quite a lot of thought to the election” are up three points in the last month among Democrats — and 16 points among Republicans; and (c) sweetest of all, check this out.
The ABC-WaPo poll didn’t ask about Waffles, unfortunately, but Loseweek is worried. Quote:
Chuck Schumer got right to the point. On Thursday afternoon, the New York Senator, who’s leading the Democrats’ efforts to win back the Senate, called John Kerry and let him have it. The Massachussetts Senator’s supposed “botched joke” about the president’s handling of Iraq had become a feast for Republicans—sucking up tons of airtime and knocking Democrats off message in the crucial remaining days before the midterm election. Kerry’s attempts to fight back, by calling the Republicans “stuffed suits” and “right wing nutjobs,” was only prolonging the story and making things worse. Apologize now, Schumer told him, according to a high-ranking party official who didn’t want to be named talking about a private conversation. (A source close to Kerry said the exchange was cordial.)
Meanwhile, Pelosi says if she’s not the incoming Speaker of the House on Wednesday morning, it’s because the GOP cheated:
In an interview from her Capitol office, Pelosi characterized Tuesday’s vote as a referendum on the war, shrugged off President Bush’s efforts to make her liberalism a national issue, described the current GOP leadership as a “freak show,” and expressed confidence about her party’s prospects to pick up the 15 seats it needs for a majority.
“I know where the numbers are in these races, and I know that they are there for the 15; today (it’s) 22 to 26,” Pelosi said Friday.
Pelosi cautioned that the number of Democratic House victories could be higher or lower and said her greatest concern is over the integrity of the count — from the reliability of electronic voting machines to her worries that Republicans will try to manipulate the outcome.
“That is the only variable in this,” Pelosi said. “Will we have an honest count?”
New York City’s most popular tabloid used today’s lead editorial to address a comment she made a few weeks ago on 60 Minutes to the effect that “war on terror” is a precise synonym for “Afghanistan.” It’s a solid piece but the takeaway is the rebuttal graphic. Click for full size.
I’ll update when the Gallup poll comes out. For now, Cheney’s got the right mindset.
Update: Here’s Gallup. It’s officially a trend, but probably not enough. We’re still seven points down, although…
“Based on history, a 7-point lead among likely voters still suggest Democrats will take enough votes to win a majority of seats in the House,” says Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of the Gallup Poll. What gives some analysts pause, however, is the sophisticated redistricting over the past decade that has made most congressional districts less competitive…
What’s shifted is the determination of Republicans to vote. The Democratic advantage among registered voters was 11 points, but Republican voters were more likely to be judged as sure to go to the polls, making the edge among likely voters smaller.
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Gallup is out… Dem lead shrunk from +13 to +7. That’s officially a trend, with 3 polls showing the Republicans cutting the lead by at least 50%.
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 9:34 PM
Yep…and the Dems knew in September the polls were skewed…..JFK Jr made the talking heads circuit pounding the voting machines, then CA Dems issued the Voter Rights Open Letter, then ABC came out with the bad-bad machine stories…..look at the last few days…tons of stories about stolen cards, viruses…..
It will be months before we know the exact makeup in the House….the Senate we may know Wednesday…but the House votes are going to 50 courts to figure out.
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 9:38 PM
USA Today story on Gallup, spinning like mad.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 9:39 PM
sorry RFK Jr
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 9:39 PM
Dems win = referendum
Republicans win = They cheated
Why can’t these consistent losers, accept that America doesn’t wan them? In reality, even when they make gains, it’s because they got the votes of idiots, young idealogues, America haters, and people upset with the GOP giving a default vote to the Dems. But they just can’t seem to accept it when they lose. They still bitch about 2000 constantly.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 9:41 PM
By the way, not only is Pelosi launching a preemptive strike… the NY Times was on it a couple weeks ago.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 9:43 PM
From the article:
What also gives some of us pause is the fact that everyone knows that polls almost universally overstate Democratic numbers. So when they compare ‘94 numbers versus todays, THEY see Rep+6 vs Dem+6 and claim “striking similarities”. I see Rep+9 vs Dem +3 and call BS.
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 9:43 PM
RCP has the Gallup numbers as well. Like Dave said, it looks as though the Dem lead has been cut in half.
Those worthless Time and Newsweek polls on RCP’s sites are throwing off the average, which I think is more in the Dem +4 to +7 range.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 9:43 PM
The Dems don’t have any problem with the Lyndon Johnson/Mayor Daily shenanigans but they all wanna call in the U.N. when the Reps win……ACORN hardly makes it in the paper but one machine screws up in MO and Karl Rove will be Robespiere~!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 9:46 PM
Hey, if we just break even can we call it a “moral victory?”
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 9:48 PM
Slu, if Kos can claim a moral victory when Lamont’s down by double digits, we can claim a moral victory for being down by 4% in a generic ballot.
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 9:50 PM
Cut in half or was it always there, every election it seems that the Dems are always with an inusrmountable lead
It was stunning by Schumer and Emanuels refusal to predict victory on Meet the Press and I’m getting tired of the relentless attacks by Russert on Republicans, its just really irritating.
Really Saddam wasn’t grilled that much by his own angry people when on trial
EricPWJohnson on November 5, 2006 at 9:50 PM
What’s considered a win for republicans? Keeping both houses? is that the standard for victory?
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 9:51 PM
Gallup, just before the 2004 election:
Of course, the final result ended up being a bit different.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 9:54 PM
No but he did get arrested for having a concealed weapon between his buttcheeks.
Has anybody seen his not exactly the ‘all American First Lady’ wife lately?
Speakup on November 5, 2006 at 9:55 PM
Speakup….I think I saw her in a Reuters photo spreading catsup on some Lebanese guys shirt.
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 9:58 PM
I’d say that would be considered a huge victory at this point. For Republicans to gain seats in either the House or the Senate would be unthinkable, and, if it happened, the entire Democratic Party would have no choice but to commit seppuku.
frankj on November 5, 2006 at 10:00 PM
It’s extremely unlikely we’ll keep both houses. I’ll be happy if we keep the Senate.
Allahpundit on November 5, 2006 at 10:02 PM
I think the GOP is losing the House for sure. But the Senate is looking good. Even Republican hatin’ MSNBC is conceding that Senate races favor the ‘pubs.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:04 PM
Allah….we will keep the Senate….but your right about the house…..I think the Republicans waited too long to go on the offensive…..but it will be close.
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 10:05 PM
Gallup is becoming giddy-up!
Vote for strength and survival!
Not Flee Now, Pay Later.
(And pray for rain!)
profitsbeard on November 5, 2006 at 10:06 PM
Love the Cheney pic!
Now, if Bush would just announce a change of heart on the immigration issue- toward the conservative side- we could
have a real blow-out! Monday surprise, anyone?
Scotsman on November 5, 2006 at 10:07 PM
I dunno guys. I think that when you consider the known biases of polling, it isn’t such a long shot to expect the Republicans to win 60% of the “toss-up” seats.
I don’t think it is anywhere near certain the GOP will hold the house (more likely that they won’t), but I don’t think it is remotely “for sure” that they won’t either.
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 10:09 PM
Huh? The election is on Tuesday.
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 10:10 PM
Pah! It’s late fall. Let me have my pessimism.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:11 PM
Glenn beck may be a waffle….but let’s all remember the truth he spoke in 2004……Republicans vote on Tuesday, Democrats vote on Wednesday….pass the word.
Aaaarrrrrrrrrggggggggggggggggggggggggg!!!!!!!!!
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 10:13 PM
I have to admit I’ll miss hearing from Kerry during the next election. The only times I could breathe this week was when reading about him or watching Borat clips. In 2008 Kerry will be in an undisclosed location, probably the one they kept Hannibal Lector in.
pedestrian on November 5, 2006 at 10:16 PM
I agree. I’ll be happy with Lieberman winning and hopefully Steele. It’s sad though, cuz the house was actually doing stuff. It’s the senate where good legistlation went to die.
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 10:17 PM
Today’s Meet The Press, with host Tim (Michelin Man look-a-like) Russert, had him making his last desperation gasp to paint Republicans in the worst possible light he could come up with, without looking 100% biased, instead of only 95%. It would have only been more obvious if he had worn his blue sweater with the big “D” on it. It would fit right in with those blue pom-poms he’s always waving and the water bucket he carries for Hillary, Chuckie S. and the other slugs he shills for.
Today’s program had the sta-puff marshmallow man continually ranting, “What about Folley”, but what about Folley, yea, but what about Folley.” He was making damn sure nobody forgot about Folley. After all, maybe it could cost the Republican another few dozen votes if they heard about Folley one more time.
Russert believes if he can say something slightly untoward about Democrats every one out of ten times he sticks the knife into the Republicans, then he must be taken as a fair
and unbiased journalist. All I can say about that is, beside Timmy Boy being an egotistical, self inflated fool, he’s also quite full of sh*t if he thinks he’s getting over anyone in T.V. land with an IQ larger than an gnat.
gunter on November 5, 2006 at 10:17 PM
So Nancy is crying foul already? So, if the dems win the machines worked correctly? Spare me!
SouthernGent on November 5, 2006 at 10:18 PM
I suppose it is probably healthier to take a more pessimistic view going into Tuesday. Then you can only go “up” from there.
If it cheers you up, though, consider the fact that Nancy Pelosi is talking about rigged elections. That doesn’t sound like someone who is certain, does it?
DaveS on November 5, 2006 at 10:22 PM
Republicans with blogs really need to start their posts today and tomorrow…democrats, don’t even bother voting, the republican vote suppression machine is in action!
Need to get it out there, now, to offset the obvious attempts by the democrats to claim it later. By pre-emptively doing it (thick sarcasm of course), it makes the claims far less credible and far more pathetic.
lorien1973 on November 5, 2006 at 10:22 PM
The media demoralization campaign has been very effective this round.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 10:27 PM
HEY ALLAH,
DO YOU EVER SLEEP?
Troy Rasmussen on November 5, 2006 at 10:27 PM
The media demoralization campaign has been very effective this round.
Yes, because I’m nothing more than a mind-numbed robot who does nothing but follow the media’s lead.
Could you possibly be more insulting?
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:28 PM
I don’t buy these mad fluctuations. I’m thinking their numbers were over representing Democrats all along to create momentum for Democrats and demoralize Republicans and now they are pulling the numbers back to preserve their reputations on election day.
Perchant on November 5, 2006 at 10:28 PM
Me too.
IT’S A CONSPIRACY, SLU!
Allahpundit on November 5, 2006 at 10:33 PM
IT’S A CONSPIRACY, SLU!
Yeah, it’s finally time for me to admit it. I’m just a big fake conservative. My goal is to bring down the morale of Republican voters.
And writing daily on my own right-wing blog (fake, of course).
And writing a twice-monthly conservative column, printed in a local paper.
The media has done its work well.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:36 PM
I’m not trying to insult you guys (Slu and AP), I just think you may be giving the polls to much credit.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 10:36 PM
That’s exactly what’s going on. They tried and tried to depress the Rep turnout, but now they see they’ve failed. Which means they have to save themselves for the next go-around. “Well, yeah, our numbers were off, but we SHOWED the trend. If we’d had another week, we could have produced the real numbers.”
Editor on November 5, 2006 at 10:36 PM
Vote Josh Jennings.
infidel on November 5, 2006 at 10:38 PM
‘You wouldn’t have won if we’d beaten you.’ - Yogi Bera
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 10:38 PM
Oops. Should have read:
Yeah, it’s finally time for me to admit it. I’m just a big fake conservative. My goal is to bring down the morale of Republican voters by printing negative stuff on right-wing blogs.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:38 PM
I’ve been concerned for a long time that many Democrats have themselves convinced that Bush stole the elections in 2000 and 2004. That mindset allows them to cheat in the 2006 elections and believe that they are justified in doing so. It was the mindset of the thugs in WI who slashed the tires on the Republican Get-Out-The-Vote vans in 2004. It is likely the mindset behind the disappearance of the Diebold smart cards in Tennessee this year. I’m really shocked by how little is done to ensure the security and integrity of the voting process in the United States. Ensuring that every voter is:
a) Alive
b) Registered
c) A legal citizen
d) Positively identified using photo ID
e) Only allowed to vote once
should be top priorties, and it’s really unconscionable that they’re not.
ITookTheRedPill on November 5, 2006 at 10:39 PM
I’m not trying to insult you guys (Slu and AP), I just think you may be giving the polls to much credit.
I look at polls in the aggregate, as trends. If you consider that these polls, when taken together, represent the opinions of thousands of voters, they represent what I believe is a good general opinion of where Republicans stand with the voters.
Thanks to GOP fecklessness, the trend is against Republicans. If they lose the House next week, they honestly don’t have anyone but themselves to blame.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 10:44 PM
…the spin possibilities on this one are amaaaaaazing!
If the Republicans retain both houses, the Dems will spin that they’ve lost seats.
If they lose the House only, it’ll be the greatest Democratic victory since electin’ Ol’ Hick’ry!
If they lose the Senate as well, it’ll be a rout…except that, unless they win BIG, as they’ve hallooing for months that they will — “referrendum on the war”, and all that — they’ll actually look rather bush league.
…but the Republicans never went “on the offensive”…they played the debutante even when Kerry handed them an own goal…it was the blogosphere that made the story mandatory on the airwaves, I’m convinced.
Even if the Republicans retain both houses, they’ll sit by and watch as pundit after pundit pronounces grandly their bought opinions, when they’d be wise to actually use politics to play politics. There’s a lot left to be done…and Dean’s Democrats will still be seditious and treasonable ’round the edges after the last vote is counted. Pelosi, Kerry, Conyers and the rest aren’t going anywhere. They’re with us for life.
The only bright spot from a schadenfreude standpoint will be the arrogant gaffes which will abound should they prevail in either house. Mind you never portrayed as such in the enabling press. Kerry’s gaffe was a “botched joke”, after all, and who really cares about treason in the modern world?
Puritan1648 on November 5, 2006 at 10:47 PM
Everybody keeps saying this election is a referendum on the war in Iraq.
Well, I don’t know if I buy that. Maybe in 2004. Or 2008 But this is a bunch of local elections. Dealing with local issues.
And since the economy is fine, thats a moot issue. Mostly.
Anyway, I’m not sure if I really buy this idea that all these elections are hinging on the war in Iraq.
I’ve heard politicians say all politics is local. Iraq seems like a national issue, not local. Yeah, maybe the MSM is pushing this ‘referendum on Iraq’ thing.
But I don’t know if I buy it.
But November 7 will tell the real story.
My prediction? Keep both houses. Based off of absolutely no polls. Just a gut feeling. Extrapolated to a nation of 300 million. Which is kinda iffy. Oh well.
EFG on November 5, 2006 at 10:48 PM
Allah, as I’ve been telling you, we will keep the House, and we will keep the Senate. The polsters erred in thinking that America lost Republicans right after the 2004 elections, and as those errors remained in place it was inevetible that the polls would falsely give ground to democrats.
My only surprise is that the polsters didn’t start reporting increases for Republican candidates earlier. Usually we see those start 7 days before an election.
DannoJyd on November 5, 2006 at 10:50 PM
Limerick; Perhaps secretly she’s ‘green helmut’.
Speakup on November 5, 2006 at 10:54 PM
Or Baghdad Bob!
Limerick on November 5, 2006 at 10:59 PM
I guess I’m just a bit more of an optimist… partly out of necessity because I fear what will happen if the Dems win either. But also I’ve seen polls oversample Democrats, etc. and they just always seems like such bullshit to me. I think they hammer us for months until we’re all supposed to just be accept a beating, because 99% of the public isn’t going in to the methodology and disecting each poll. They love the fact that the vast majority of people don’t realize that these national polls are virtually meaningless when we’re talking about local elections.
We shall see, but I’m still sticking by “holding both houses”. I don’t think we’re going to make gains, but I predict a hold.
By the way, I’d argue that they do have more to blame than themselves. How many White House “scandals” has the media conjured up that fell flat? The media played up the “scandals” until they turned out to be non-existant, and then moved on to their next one. Do you think Plamegate impacted people? How about WMDs? A lot of people believe Bush lied/mislead on WMDs… Not getting in to the fact that I believe they were there, the point is most people aren’t aware that the Dems spent 13 years making the WMD case. They aren’t aware that Clinton made regime change our policy a month before attacking and issuing a speech you’d think came out of Bush’s mouth. They have no clue about the economy. An overwhelming amount (approaching 80%) of the public rate their own finances positively, but only in the last month do some polls show that they rate the economy positively… How can this be? Because the media is so down on it, they assume that their positive personal situation must be a fluke. How about the defecit? We hear “record deficit” day in and day out… but I’d be willing to bet that 99 out of 100 people don’t realize that as a percentage of the economy, it’s actually lower than the average right now. I could go on and on, but you get the point. I don’t think all the blame can go to the GOP themselves.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 11:02 PM
Things that make you go hmmmmmmmm…..
OK, I predict: Republicans keep BOTH Houses
I just simply think the depressing news predicting defeat is going to backfire. There are many like me who altho very disappointed with the Republicans will NEVER again vote for a Democrat. And NOT voting just assures the Dems ARE elected. Not going to sit out and by NOT voting, vote for the Dems.
We simply arent THAT stupid out here in the real world!
labwrs on November 5, 2006 at 11:11 PM
labwrs on November 5, 2006 at 11:11 PM
Anyone else happen to look at your clock and see “11:11″ or “1:11″ a lot?
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 11:13 PM
Sure, the media has done what it can to make the GOP look bad, but they always do, for the most part. In the past, however, the Republicans have managed to blunt the effects of bad media by keeping their base happy.
In the past few years Republicans in Congress have done nothing but irritate the base. Immigration, spending, scandal - all of these have had a cumulative effect on regular GOP voters and have whittled away at the willingess of Republicans to vote.
Slublog on November 5, 2006 at 11:13 PM
I think we keep them both, based on … nothing, and a deep and abiding distrust of both polls and the media, both of which have been borne out by polling failures in previous elections.
Also, it seems that the media and their wholly owned subsidiary “the pollsters” have been even more insane than usual this season.
Gobsmackingly Vile, in fact.
Jaibones on November 5, 2006 at 11:17 PM
I say that it will be about 50-50. Both sides are getting fed up with consistent mediocrity.
Emmett J. on November 5, 2006 at 11:17 PM
Drudge (on Drudge Radio right now) repeated what I (and I think many of you all) have been saying for some time. For the Dems it’s going to be “we win or you cheated”.
RightWinged on November 5, 2006 at 11:27 PM
This from the rep from San Francisco.
If the Republicans hold both houses, the left will get as ugly as we have ever seen them. Reread this bit from Peggy Noonan in 2000. We will have to maintain the integrity of this election and this country.
Coyote D. on November 5, 2006 at 11:37 PM
MR. SIEGEL: I’m looking at all the same polls that you’re looking at every day.
MR. ROVE: No you’re not. No you’re not!
MR. SIEGEL: No, I’m not –
Stephen M on November 5, 2006 at 11:40 PM
Pelosi’s comments are no surprise.
The liberals have been cheating since the beginning of time, so they just assume everyone else does too.
Gregor on November 6, 2006 at 12:13 AM
Does anyone know if West Virgina has a Republican governor? Byrd is going to coast to a victory, but he’s not the spryest “bird” in the flock. It would be interesting if he has to resign and they have a Republican governor. This is why the governors’ races are SO important!
GO OUT AND VOTE!
SouthernGent on November 6, 2006 at 12:13 AM
You just can’t trust machines…. I suggest a show of hands.
RalphyBoy on November 6, 2006 at 12:15 AM
After this got out, they should have locked Kerry in a basement somewhere…
rw on November 6, 2006 at 12:50 AM
Praise Jesus that Kerry wasn’t elected President and I’ll betcha that a bunch of people who did vote for him in ‘04 were really, really sorry about it after this week and won’t be pulling the “D” lever again.
Jen the Neocon on November 6, 2006 at 12:58 AM
If Pelosi is saying stuff like “if they win, they cheated”, it makes me wonder if their internal polls are somewhat less rosy than the ones out for national consumption.
Krydor on November 6, 2006 at 1:35 AM
The bastards feel the Republican breath on their neck…this is almost as good as sex!
Ropera on November 6, 2006 at 1:50 AM
Right, because Republican voter fraud never happens. Republicans should be optimistic… looks like Diebold will probably pull the election out of the crapper for them again. And who knows how many more partisan douchebags like Ken Blackwell there might be out there?
Constantine on November 6, 2006 at 2:56 AM
Ehhh, I had to go dig up my password to sign in. I hate it when the computer goes blooey.
I’m definitely voting on Tuesday. Any sane American knows the seditious dhimmis–otherwise known as Democrats–will run the country into the toilet faster than you can say “cut and run”.
I’m also voting on Tuesday because of local issues. They’re trying to expand gambling in Nebraska again, and I’ll certainly be doing my part to see that that doesn’t happen. I can’t tell you how many times I voted against various gambling initiatives in the last few years. They never give up. This time around it’s an effort to install video keno machines around the state. I predict it will go down in flames. I hope.
jaleach on November 6, 2006 at 2:57 AM
WE will not lose the House and those who think otherwise need to get some reality. Polls lie and whenever they say one thing, the exact opposite is true.
marianpaul on November 6, 2006 at 2:58 AM
Ann Coulter makes this perceptive point about the upcoming election:
“Despite the precedent of big wins in midterm elections for the party out of power — especially in a sixth-year midterm election — something is depressing the Democrats’ popularity with Americans this year. I suspect it’s the perception that many of them are Democrats.”
Kind of says it all, doesn’t it?
jaleach on November 6, 2006 at 3:03 AM
Ah yes… Ann Coulter, the election expert.
Constantine on November 6, 2006 at 3:20 AM
Forget the polls! They are not telling the truth because they are mostly all biased towards the Democrats.
Talk to your neighbors and friends. If you live in a rural area (as I do) “served” by an incumbent Democrat (as I am), ask your gun owning friends if they are going to vote for the candidate whose slick DCCC produced ad accuses the Republican of “favoring assault weapons,” or the Republican, whose party opposed the useless so-called “Assault Weapon Ban.” Ask them if they support gun control.
Talk to your local dry cleaners or hardware store owner (even if they are a franchised national brand). Talk to your local auto-repair shop. Ask them if they intend to vote for the Democratic candidate whose party intends to RESTORE the Death Tax, or the Republicans, who want to end it for all time.
Talk to the families where both have to work to pay their mortgages and taxes and ask them if they want to pay more taxes if the Democrats take over.
You will be surprised as to the number of people I’ve talked to that are unhappy with the war, but who DO NOT want to lose it, AND who don’t want guns banned, taxes reimposed, or higher income taxes.
The American people, as a whole, are considering national defense AS WELL as social issues such as reimposing taxes and gun control.
The Bush-haters CANNOT BE REACHED using logic or pursuasion. There is nothing anybody can do to impress upon them the folly of letting the Democrats take over.
But everybody else, those who work for or own small businesses, who have to work two jobs to stay afloat, are gun onwers, and intellectually understand the nature of the Democratic Party, and their opposition and disdain for the war in Iraq starts to evaporate, as other more important differences come to the forefront.
Here’s a clue. Time magazine a few years ago made the claim that 45% of American households have gun owners living there. The NRA estimates that there are between 85 and 90 MILLION gun owners in America. Everyone of these gun owners (by law) are eligible to vote.
EVERY DCCC produced TV ad that I have seen in the districts in my viewing area — every one! — paints the Republican candidate as someone who either votes with the NRA, favors “assault weapons,” and/or opposed renewal of the Clinton AW Ban.
Now, not all Democrats support gun control. But Rep. Rahm Emanuel of Chicago, the chair of the DCCC was an architect of the CLINTON GUN CONTROL EFFORTS and is a gun hater, personally. And HE is speaking for the PARTY everytime an add ends with a “DCCC produced this ad” coda.
The war in Iraq is not the only issue that separates Republicans from the treason party.
Taxes and Gun Control are POISON to the Democrats. Help them drink a second helping of “Grape Kool-aid” by pointing out where the Democratic Party stands on these issues.
georgej on November 6, 2006 at 3:31 AM
Ah, yes…Constantine emerges from his spider hole with the DA of Palm Beach county who has nothing better to do than
persecuteprosecute Ann Coulter for voting in the wrong precinct and Rush Limbaugh for having private personal prescriptions.Wonder why he can’t get Drudge on something; he lives in Palm Beach, too.
Give it up, Connie, baby, AC is da bomb (altho I know AP doesn’t think so).
Jen the Neocon on November 6, 2006 at 3:33 AM
Well now that just ruined my entire day. I know it’s true, but I really didn’t want to be reminded.
IrishEi on November 6, 2006 at 7:48 AM
We can keep the Democrats happy, we will let them state that they voted for a Democrat before they cast their vote for a Republican.
right2bright on November 6, 2006 at 8:26 AM
Did anyone else notice that the NY Post map above indicates that the entirety of Western Europe with the exception of Spain (which I doubt) consists of “Nations where al Qaeda has a base of operations?”
I actually thought the map was the most interesting part of this post. Thanks AP!
Babs on November 6, 2006 at 8:55 AM
On the earlier “prediction time” post I stated to expect a slew of recounts and lawsuits before the final tallies are in. I’ll say it again..expect a slew of recounts and lawsuits before the final tallies are in.
vcferlita on November 6, 2006 at 9:08 AM
“That is the only variable in this,” Pelosi said. “Will we have an honest count?’’
Or better yet, one that is bent to the left? Right what’s her face?
RalphyBoy on November 6, 2006 at 9:44 AM
AP, Thanks for the links to the polls.
Been trying to supress my optimism for tomorrow, but the Pew poll in damned interesting. The Dims (and the MSM) have been saying all along that the female vote was moving more to the blue column because of the war.
The Pew poll tells quite a different story. From Oct to Nov the Dem/Lean Dem percentage of the female vote has fell from 58% to 48% with 5% of that decline moving to the Rep column. The most promising number is the Female-under-50 which fell a full 12% from 60% to 48%, with 6 of those points moving back to the GOP. I think that is pretty telling.
What’s happened to the “Women are sick of Bush’s war” mantra?
Also interesting is a decline in the Non-White Dem numbers from 76% to 70%. The entire 6% drop went to the undecided column. This at least indicates that the non-white voter is thinking about his allegience to the Dims.
When you look at the table of likely voters the only segment the Dims gained in was voters with household income
BacaDog on November 6, 2006 at 9:55 AM
Post got cut off….
When you look at the table of likely voters the only segment the Dims gained in was voters with household income of less than $30,000.
Tuesday miracle in the works? Only if we get out the vote!
BacaDog on November 6, 2006 at 9:58 AM
If the polls were to be believed we would have been calling Kerry Mr. President for the last 6 years besides I never tell the pollsters the truth when they call.
Maybe Pelosi has a point about voter fraud, do the Democrats want to put the election off for a year or two so that together we can eliminate all possible voter fraud or do they want to do this thing tomorrow. Let’s make it their choice.
Buzzy on November 6, 2006 at 10:05 AM
I’ve never been called by a pollster…nor have any of my friends…
If Republicans don’t get out and vote…they deserve what will happen…
I guess the good news of the day is…Muslims are raising their kids to be bombers…lib dems are killing their babies…won’t be many left soon…sooner the better…
Actually cancelled a trip to the republic of SF because of Pelosi…I refuse to spend money there…
areseaoh on November 6, 2006 at 10:17 AM
If that’s the case rightwinged I would be very, very nervous as these groups represent a considerable portion of the population. Idiots alone are at least 25%, although you can’t put them all in the democratic camp; young idealouges and America haters are a good 15-20%; and people upset with the GOP…that’s the real question I guess. Very few can be happy, especially true conservatives, though I doubt they will vote democrat, Tuesday will be interesting…
JaHerer22 on November 6, 2006 at 10:19 AM
Oh, so NANCY is up out of her hide hole this week????
seejanemom on November 6, 2006 at 10:32 AM
Yeah, six more weeks of winter.
The good news is, that was the secret signal to start our illegal voting. I am waiting for my secret call from Rove and “Operation Stop the Vote”.
right2bright on November 6, 2006 at 10:45 AM
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