Things that make you go read
posted at 10:51 am on October 17, 2006 by Bryan
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Former Communist intel chief Ion Mihai Pacepa on the North Korean nuclear program. It’s too good to excerpt, so just Ctrl-click and read the whole thing in a new tab.
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Captain Ed and Joseph Shahda at Free Republic have been doing yeoman’s work on captured Iraqi intel documents. The latest one Shahda has translated (and which is posted at Captain’s Quarters) shows, unsurprisingly to anyone who has been tethered to reality for the past decade or so, that Saddam’s Iraq was very interested in staging terrorists attacks against the US. Iraq had ties to terrorism and fostered terrorism on its own initiative.
The no-ties lie needs to die.
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How’s that Bush economy doing? Yet another record high for the Dow.
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There are finally signs from China that Beijing is taking Kim Jong-Il seriously as a problem. China has flip-flopped on whether or not it will enforce UN sanctions against North Korea, apparently landing on the side of enforcement. That’s a big enough shock to those of us who’ve watched China enable Kim over the years. But now there’s word that China is reinforcing its border with North Korea by building a latter-day Great Wall, stepping up customs and so forth. And then there’s the report that China is openly talking about regime change in North Korea. Personally, I put very little stock in that report. If it’s anything, it might be a warning, but if China is really serious about dealing with Kim it would start “losing” food supplies destined for North Korea and it would suddenly start having trouble delivering Kim’s oil supply and find devious ways to undermine Kim’s authority among his military.
So though I don’t take the coup talk very seriously yet, I will take credit for starting it, way back on July 2, 2003. Since that time, the WSJ has written about China taking out the trash and the Bush administration apparently even broached the subject with Beijing at least once–only to be rebuffed by a Chinese study concluding that it didn’t have the speed to invade North Korea in a way that would preserve Seoul from North Korean artillery or keep Kim from launching all kinds of nastiness on his way out. The North Koreans reportedly have half a dozen chem and bio weapons in their arsenal in addition to any crude nuclear weapons they might have, and they have missiles capable of hitting Chinese, South Korean and Japanese cities. A slow invasion would get a lot of innocent people outside North Korea killed.
Simply put, China’s PLA doesn’t have the shock and awe capability of the US military. It’s too centrally controlled and too dependent on heirarchy to allow for the freedom of movement and decision-making that the US model affords. And China’s air force is quite weak; the PLA depends more on centrally-controlled missile launchers to conduct its long range operations than on a fast and free air punch.
I just wonder when North Korea will take a cue from Mexico and protest China’s fence-building at the UN.
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I almost forgot to add–wonder why North Korea is the first country in history to have a failed nuclear weapon test? In April 2003 the US and the Aussies reportedly helped sneak several top-tier scientists out of North Korea, including nuclear scientists. I haven’t heard anything about this story since then–of course, whether it’s true or not, that’s the kind of story competent intel agencies would keep close to the vest–but the failed nuke test last week reminded me of it.
Update: One more for the grab-bag, and it’s a doozy from Mark Steyn:
[I]n 2003, Abdurahman Alamoudi was jailed for attempting to launder money from a Libyan terror-front “charity” into Syria via London.
Who’s Abdurahman Alamoudi? He’s the guy who until 1998 certified Muslim chaplains for the United States military, under the aegis of his Saudi-funded American Muslim Armed Forces and Veterans Affairs Council. In 1993, at an American military base, at a ceremony to install the first imam in the nation’s armed forces, it was Mr. Alamoudi who presented him with his new insignia of a silver crescent star.
He’s also the fellow who helped devise the three-week Islamic awareness course in California public schools, in the course of which students adopt Muslim names, wear Islamic garb, give up candy and TV for Ramadan, memorize suras from the Koran, learn that “jihad” means “internal personal struggle,” profess the Muslim faith, and recite prayers that begin “In the name of Allah,” etc.
OH, and, aside from his ster ling efforts on behalf of multicultural education, Alamoudi was also an adviser on Islamic matters to Hillary Clinton.
And it turns out he’s a bagman for terrorists.
That’s one guy infiltrating the US military, US schools and US politics. And he only got caught because he left a paper trail of his drumming up funds for terrorists.
Good Lord, how many more Alamoudis might be out there?
That’s one among many relevant questions that too many of our wartime leaders can’t answer.
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My guess is China won’t even need a fence. They’ll probably just line up and shoot North Koreans as they approach the border. Kind of like a carvival game. Wouldn’t mind seeing that on our border.
msplitt on October 17, 2006 at 11:55 AM
And that kind of comment gets us dubbed “shoot the Mexicans” types. Thanks.
Bryan on October 17, 2006 at 11:58 AM
There’s a difference between being a terrorist nation or sponsoring terrorist acts and actively supporting AQ, which is the issue. The document doesn’t tell us anything new – Iraq has long supported and commited acts of terrorism, but there still is no evidence that Saddam had any sort of alliance with AQ.
NPP on October 17, 2006 at 11:59 AM
That’s a very fine line in the sand. I think your picking nits, just to pick nits.
That’s akin to saying, you can support Hezbollah and still be a good dictator, but if you support Al Qaeda, you’ve crossed the line…
E L Frederick on October 17, 2006 at 12:05 PM
We can rehash this into infinity, but Zarqawi was operating in Iraq prior to the 2003 invasion. Richard Clarke worried that if we drove al Qaeda out of Afghanistan that they would just boogie to Baghdad. The two Abus of terrorism, Abu Nidal and Abu Abbas, turned up in Baghdad. Saddam paid off Palestinian suicide bombers and tried to kill Bush 41.
To assume that Saddam had no interest in working with al Qaeda, when his own documents report meeting with bin Laden’s agents several times, and when the Clinton administration bombed that Sudanese pill factory on the suspicion that it was a dual-use plant making chemical weapons of Iraqi design for al Qaeda, is far more charitable a reading of him than he has ever deserved. But liberals are charitable where Saddam is concerned, and all-fired angry at Bush 24/7. It’s just the way they are.
Bryan on October 17, 2006 at 12:11 PM
I originally thought that a civilian rebellion would be be a good way to overthrow Kim. The fact is that the lives lost would be too great and it would allow Kim the time to unleash some of his more hazardous aresenal before going down.
I too believe that China is the key to solving the current NK situation. Military action (by any agent) would become bloody. Replacing Kim is China’s best option.
natesnake on October 17, 2006 at 12:46 PM
the Bush administration apparently even broached the subject with Beijing at least once–only to be rebuffed by a Chinese study concluding that it didn’t have the speed to invade North Korea in a way that would preserve Seoul from North Korean artillery or keep Kim from launching all kinds of nastiness on his way out.
The talk about Chinese capabilities is beside the point, since they have no intention of invading North Korea. North Korea is a useful proxy for them in many ways, and they’re not going to give it up. So, of course they argue that they’re “too slow” to invade. If their interests were seriously threatened, they’d be on the DMZ in a jiffy. Hell, they pretty much walked from the Yalu to Seoul in eight weeks in 1950. I think they could do better than that today, if they put their minds to it, especially because they wouldn’t be under US air attack this time.
Lehuster on October 17, 2006 at 12:48 PM
Bryan, thank you so much for featuring my countryman, Ion Mihai Pacepa. His defection to the U.S. in 1978 was a real big deal and a huge blow to communism. He was an invaluable resource for the CIA.
From this, also a very interesting article by him:
Things moved within days in Romania and there were very few deaths. It’s all a matter of where the top generals stand. The soldiers are the relatives of the North- and South-Korean people and will follow the orders.
Hoping against all hope that China wises up, for itself and the world. It also needs to clean up its own act in order to be followed as a global leader.
Russia hasn’t so far been able to define itself either – does it wish to be good or evil. That’s the simple and yet so complex question. It takes a ‘grand’ man to decide.
Entelechy on October 17, 2006 at 6:05 PM
Pacepa is a national treasure in two countries–Romania and the US.
Bryan on October 17, 2006 at 8:12 PM
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