Hey, how’s that peace deal between Pakistan and the jihadis working out?

posted at 6:59 pm on September 27, 2006 by Allahpundit

Really super. Every bit as well as could be expected.

Musharraf had the stones to present it this way at his press conference with the president last week:

This deal is with the tribal elders of north Waziristan agency. And the deal has three bottom lines, which we fixed for ourselves. And this is very important, which I explained to the President.

Number one, there will be no al Qaeda activity in our tribal agency or across the border in Afghanistan. There will be no Taliban activity in our tribal agency or across in Afghanistan. There will be no Talibanization, which is an [obscurantist] way of life — no Talibanization. All these three have been agreed by the tribal elders who signed that deal. And when they signed the deal, they are honor-bound, and they have already strict honor code to not only abide by it, but also that whoever violates it, they’ll move against them.

He served up the same lie to Jon Stewart last night on the Daily Show, which ended up being an appropriate forum for this subject.

Bush is hosting him and Karzai for dinner tonight at the White House. Karzai’s going to beg Musharraf to move against the Taliban and close the jihadi-factory madrassas and Musharraf’s going to nod thoughtfully and push food around on his plate. A good time to be had by all.

Oh, forgot to mention — Musharraf’s new book claims that Khaled Sheikh Mohammed participated in the kidnapping and murder of Danny Pearl and that KSM himself might have been the one who beheaded the martyred reporter. Omar Saeed Sheikh, who confessed to the crime in open court and is rumored to have links to 9/11, is currently on death row in Pakistan; his lawyers have already moved to introduce Musharraf’s book into evidence in a bid to have him released.

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Musharraf’s blind eye toward Waziristan may be exactly what the place needs. A blind eye is, after all, blind. You can’t hold a guy responsible for something he didn’t see when he’s got a signed deal that says he’s supposed to look away.

So anyway, who’s in charge of enforcing the Waziristan side of the Afghan border? Some ambitious young officer could get himself a lucky hat out of an arrangement like this.

I’m just airing this out, mind you.

Pablo on September 27, 2006 at 7:56 PM

Out Troops are not allowed into Pakistan, but if Mushy is not in control of Waziristan, then it’s not really part of Pakistan, is it? And therefore our Troops oughta be sent in there to find that camel turd and his little butt buddy.

Tony737 on September 28, 2006 at 1:52 AM

Musharraf may be duplicitous, but that’s probably the only way for him to hold the Pakistan government together. The alternative to him would be a new regime far more cozy with the Taliban.

Musharraf operates in the shadows, mostly, on matters of security. But he could not send a large-scale frontal attack against the Taliban so he’ll settle for attempting to erode and corner the Al Qaeda elements first; and that’s very complicated by Bin Laden’s (and his closest followers’) inter-marriages and inter-clan ties with Afghanis and western Pakistanis. But if Musharraf can cut that part of Pakistan off — and undermine the Taliban infuence — he would gain on the national level. Not while doing it, but after the fact.

So in the shadows, and unfortunately probably farther down the road, we might see a huge difference in the counter-intersurgency operations along that border. The Afghan government doesn’t want that border to become “moveable” anymore than does Musharraf. But this leaves an opening, ever so slight, and ever so darkened by shadows, for the Coalition’s special ops teams to make incursions, eventually.

It is at least progress that all sides get that this border is not a neutral border anylonger. In fact, the border is not a thin internationalized line; it has become a wide region that straddles the two countries. Containment is Musharraf’s priority, as it is Karzai’s, and that means a war of attrition. I doubt there will be a knock-out punch thrown anytime soon.

F. Rottles on September 28, 2006 at 10:47 AM

The only way to “immedately and permanently” close the area is to NUKE IT.

Otherwise, leave the negotiations to the locals, who understand these options better than outsiders.

The safeguard is vigilance of the local situation and we do not have another option. If you think of another solution, pipe up now. I am always in favor of something that works and do not claim infallability.

tormod on September 28, 2006 at 12:09 PM