Surprise! Iran opens heavy-water production plant

posted at 8:12 pm on August 26, 2006 by Allahpundit

They’re men of their word, I’ll give them that. Big deal or no big deal? Here’s a passage from a report about the nuclear plant they’re building in Arak written back in 2003 by Jack Boureston, an expert in nuclear tech and former analyst for the IAEA:

The IR-40 heavy water research reactor is significant because it produces high quality plutonium, the most important component for a compact, nuclear device. If Iran wishes to develop a nuclear weapon small enough to launch on top of its Shahab 3 or 4 missiles, it will most probably be an implosion device with a plutonium (Pu) core. The only way to acquire that is through reprocessing irradiated fuel. Bushehr is a light water reactor that has received much international attention and most probably will continue to be closely scrutinised, making it difficult to clandestinely remove its spent fuel for reprocessing. Even if the IR-40 has just as much attention, the Iranians would have a better chance of removing irradiated fuel or irradiating natural uranium targets for Pu production in this reactor.

Indeed, a heavy water reactor is among the most dangerous in existence from a proliferation perspective.

Russia is hinting it’ll veto Security Council sanctions on Iran — so Bush is moving to plan B. An interesting dilemma for the nutroots: if Bush actually can put together a coalition of western European nations to impose their own sanctions, is it a victory for diplomacy? Or does the lack of a UN imprimatur render that approach illegitimate per se? Or is it as simple as Bush being wrong no matter what move he makes?

Elsewhere, Slapstick Politics has a selection of cartoons from Tehran’s sparsely-attended Holocaust-denial snoozer. Nice job by this guy working the “Christkiller” angle in:

christ-killer.jpg

And this guy too, for his minor masterpiece of self-pity and moral equivalence:

holocaust-toon.jpg

It’s been a hell of a week for the victim industry in the Middle East. But then, it always is.

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Right about now, Iran is like that old creepy dude you see trolling parks with a trench coat. You know he’s going to flash, it’s a matter of when, and what will he try after the fact. So, this surprise is really no surprise, nor will their announcement of “nuclear birth”, whenever it is they get around to opening the trench coat.

Kid from Brooklyn on August 26, 2006 at 8:23 PM

Looking at these cartoons…ugh..fighting the urge to…

ZZZZZZZZZZZ….

tickleddragon on August 26, 2006 at 8:45 PM

…And that, my friends, is how a society acts that is 600+ years ahead of the middle east. Wish we had 600+ years for them to grow the “f” up.

tickleddragon on August 26, 2006 at 8:46 PM

Surprise! Iran opens heavy-water production plant

Update: Israel opens bomb-bay doors.

Update: U.S. and Britain, following tradition, backs Israel.

Update: The U.N. and the Resto\ of the World, also following tradition, goes “bolistic” (pun intended).

Or is it as simple as Bush being wrong no matter what move he makes?

You bet!

Entelechy on August 26, 2006 at 8:48 PM

Day of corrections :(

Update (2) “back Israel”

UPdate (3) “Rest of the World”

Entelechy on August 26, 2006 at 8:51 PM

Obviously, we don’t want Iran to have nuclear weapons and I don’t know if they’re developing them, but if they’re not developing them, they’re crazy.”

Martin van Creveld

I thought that summed it up nicely. (all emphasis mine).

THeDRiFTeR on August 26, 2006 at 8:52 PM

“Obviously, we don’t want Iran to have nuclear weapons and I don’t know if they’re developing them, but if they’re not developing them, they’re crazy.”

Well, unless the risk of regime change brought on by the pursuit of nuclear weapons is greater than the risk of regime change in having to fight a war without nuclear weapons. Then, not so much.

Allahpundit on August 26, 2006 at 8:58 PM

As I said here:

I really don’t see an unsolvable problem here. Step 1 is for George Bush to grow a pair. Step 2 is even more obvious. So, what are we waiting for?

bdfaith on August 26, 2006 at 9:27 PM

Russia is hinting it’ll veto Security Council sanctions on Iran — so Bush is moving to plan B. An interesting dilemma for the nutroots: if Bush actually can put together a coalition of western European nations to impose their own sanctions, is it a victory for diplomacy?

I must be dumb. Sanctions are evil because they hurt only “the people.” Force is evil, always, period.

Is there a third option that will eliminate the threat of Iran launching something at Israel or us? If so I wish some lefty would explain it to me. Without using the words “poverty,” “diplomacy,” or “table.”

Anwyn on August 26, 2006 at 10:22 PM

And I must be double-dumb, because while I can sort of blindly grope at the meaning intended by the first cartoon, I really have no idea about the second.

Anwyn on August 26, 2006 at 10:24 PM

And I must be double-dumb, because while I can sort of blindly grope at the meaning intended by the first cartoon, I really have no idea about the second.

Anwyn on August 26, 2006 at 10:24 PM

The pretext of prevention of a future Holocaust as the cover under whick the evil Zionists oppress the brave and noble muslim. Either I just nailed it, or the cartoon was some sort of sick Rorshcach and I’ve inavertently outed my deep-seated antisemitism and Jihad sympathies. (I’m George Galloway, biyatch!)

Kid from Brooklyn on August 27, 2006 at 12:08 AM

Thanks, Kid. I see now.

Anwyn on August 27, 2006 at 12:50 PM

Right the F%^& on, NOW, we have this. Okay. Well. Obviously the Rooskies are helping out now.

Time for the Tridents, Dang!

That sub could perceivably sneak up to one of our seabords and launch the missle from there. It’s go time now. Crap.

NTWR on August 27, 2006 at 1:25 PM

No idea why entire post was linked – testing to see if a new “commentariat disaster” has been started.

Entelechy on August 27, 2006 at 2:32 PM

sometimes i wish i was the president. straight forward, do what i say i will, without all the bullsh@t. that’s what you would get from me if i was the president. Iran would be rubble by now.

i mean come on, when the leader of a country is openly making statements about wanting to wipe the country of israel off the world map, and is obviously directing his country’s resources towards the developement of nuclear weapons, when do you start to take him seriously? it’s like we are dealing with another hitler, and just like in the time of the WWII generation, nobody took hitler seriously as he rose to power until it was too late.

and another thing, i’m sick of our country sending our tax dollars in foreign aid to countries that educate their children to hate us (*cough* saudi arabia *cough*) as well as countries that harbor terrorist organizations or equip them. spend all that money on the military and make our country STRONG.

speak your truth sincerly, respectfully and gently, but carry a very BIG stick.

wizduels on August 27, 2006 at 3:15 PM

Entelechy, HA! what jokes. They would flip flop daily until NY was a nuclear waste dump. It’s pretty easy for the likes of those jerks to claim they’d have it all under control if only they were in power, from the safety of their cush Senate seats. We saw how decisive Kerry was during his run for pres.
And Pelosi, she needs to go back to the East coast and quit ruining California! She seems so highly medicated…what a nightmare if she gets speaker.

NTWR on August 27, 2006 at 3:53 PM

Right the F%^& on, NOW, we have this. Okay. Well. Obviously the Rooskies are helping out now.

Time for the Tridents, Dang!

That sub could perceivably sneak up to one of our seabords and launch the missle from there. It’s go time now. Crap.

NTWR on August 27, 2006 at 1:25 PM

We got Hunter Subs for that…..

:)

VonHelton on August 27, 2006 at 5:27 PM

It is a very easy matter to cause the kind of chaos that’s necessary.
It doesn’t require an expensive missle or anything like that. Iran has a very severe and readily exploitable achilles. It’s there if you look.
It does depend on the will of the american leadership to exploit it.

tormod on August 28, 2006 at 10:31 AM