Perfect prep for the MSM’s evening broadcasts.

Such power-grabbing can’t make Ahmadinejad too happy, one wonders…

Nasrallah needs the same ‘medicine’ as Zarqavi and Ahmed Yassin. Both were incredible ‘treatments’.

Bryan at Hot Air offers his analysis on why the team of Iran and Hezbollah is destabilizing Lebanon and attacking Israel now as opposed to when Iran has a nuclear warhead at its disposal. If the democracy movement in Iraq……

It only took 3 years for the Manhatan project to create the first 3 nucs from scratch, without knowing how to do it…

Romeo13 on July 22, 2006 at 1:09 PM

True it only took the U.S. 3 years to build their first nukes, BUT, the people involved already had a working knowledge of the problem. The Manhattan Project did not start really from scratch.

Let’s analyze this for a minute:

Much theoretical design work and testing of many sub pieces of the project where completed well before the decision by U.S. to actually try and make a bomb. In fact, German expatriate scientists where the one’s who actually built our first bomb, and they had been working on the problem for 20+ years prior to WWII.

While Romeo13 points out, correctly, that it doesn’t take that long to build such a device. And acknowledging that much of the technology and science of such a project is public scientific knowledge now. We must remember that a the significant pieces still missing in Iran involve targeting, delivery, ignition of such a weapon system.

Iran’s dilemma is that they can’t test their ability to ignite such a device without tipping-off the rest of the world to their capabilities. We won’t know, probably, until they actually set off a bomb.

Now, why is Romeo13’s comments so critical to the discussion?

Because, we do know that Iran has the missile technology to target and deliver with some level of accuracy.

So, theoretically, Iran could already have a working (although untested) nuclear weapon of unknown range.

Very scary to contemplate.

Iran’s government is elected…. go figure….

From among the Mullah approved candidates. It’s not a democracy by any stretch.

the idea that Democracies do not start wars is historicaly inaccurate… whether France in the first days of the Revolution… America… Britain… or Nazi Germany (Hitler was elected ya know), or even Italy in WWII… democracies are do not inherently have more wisdom than any other form of government IMO.

Iran’s government is elected…. go figure….

The problem is there are aspects of the Lebanese gov’t that are democratically elected and legitimate. But the terror group Hizbullah is ALSO a part of that government (elected) and it is the puppet of Syria and Iran. Worse, Hizbullah has NOT acted as a part of a democratic government but has just done what ever it feels like doing (in areas they control) WITHOUT asking, or cooperating with the REST of the Lebanese government.

Worse still, the Christian parts of the elected government have what they call a “paper of understanding” with Hizbullah whereby they don’t attack each other and have a truce. A pact made with the devil.

So, even though a large part of Lebanon is Christian, that Christian part is ALLOWING Hizbullah to deal with the Syrians so that they can get armed and kill Jews.

So, Lebanon is GUILTY all the way through, Muslim, Christian and otherwise. And Hizbullah is a puppet of Syria/Iran, so they are ALSO guilty!

Is is really safe to assume that Iran hasn’t PURCHASED one or more nuclear weapons from the ex-Soviet Union stockpiles (although maintainence of those is problematic), From North Korea or maybe even Pakistan?

And according to the reports I’ve read about the equipment, raw materials and other infrastructure that are more or less verified; my calculations are that Iran is only one month, possibly two from being able to produce their own crude multi-kiloton “Atomic” weapons. Sophisticated megaton true nuclear devices may be a few years away at the present pace…

But thinking that it will take Iran 5 years to be able to deploy nuclear weapons is, IMHO, ‘whistling past the graveyard”.

Scroll below for Updates

HT The Volokh Conspiracy via Instapundit

More info on what the MSM is not covering. The Israelis are doing more damage to Hezbollah then is generally reported. Also with the US now in Iraq the……

He instructs the Lebanese government what it may propose to Israel, the official Lebanese government forwards the message.

Instead of joining the war against Hizbullah, against terrorism, the Lebanese government seems to have decided to do whatever …

What long term benefit for the world in the long range plan of the muslim faith? As Bryan points out, they are excellent and patient strategists — but for what purpose? My fears for them are not just prejudicial speculations. Their “holy” book says I must die, my family and countyry must be destroyed. Their leaders continue to express thier intention to destroy not only Israel my my country as well. Their actions confirm their intent to carry out this plan.

We are way past preemptive strike time. It is time to neutralize the cancer — decisively. Every handwringing day that we deliberate only increases the destruction of the rest of the world will by to iradicate the cancer from the rest of the world’s societies.

Might want to peruse this as well… Gas centrifuges are only ONE way to get the fissile material you need for a weapon.

Especialy read up on the one that the IRAQIS had built…

Interesting read… key here is that Iran has created the Gas needed for all of these seperation techniques.

1. Israel invades and disarms Hez… as this is happening in an area that is NOT legaly controled by an ally, they are essentialy fighting a forward deployed action…much as we are in Iraq…

2. UN intervenes and places more troops on the border between Israel and Leb… creating a foreign invasion of Arab land… and creating a target rich environment. This has been somewhat defeated already due to France, Italy, and Russia volunteering troops… Iran probably thought America would volunteer… spreading us even thinner.

I also think that they miscalculated the response from Jordan, Egypt and Saudi Arabia… who are blaming Hez for the trouble…

Either way… I think it is still all about Nuclear Weapons.

They now say they will give us their answer on Aug 22… over a month from now… and that answer will be??? Lets talk… in a month or two… meanwhile they will continue to enrich uranium in both the locations we know about, and those we don’t.